What kind of value do you guys think young LBs, like DeMeco Ryans or Patrick Willis, have in relation to players at the offensive skill positions? Granted some of this depends on the scoring system of a given league, but how do you guys evaluate a trade of one of those LBs for a similarly young QB, for example?
1 Am I gaining more relative advantage for my starting lineup with this trade?You win by outscoring your opponent. No rocket science there. But it's the relative advantage that matters. If I'm giving 2 points at QB on average, but gaining 4 points at LB in my lineup, that's a deal that improves my chances of winning. The names and inaccuracies of your own market don't matter. If I'm getting more points into my lineup relative to my opponents, I'm more likely to win.
2 Am I grossly underselling or overpaying for this advantage based on my league market?
Still, it's not good trading practice to completely ignore the inaccuracies of your market altogether. There's no reason to offer more than you need to pull off a trade that improves your relative advantage. Other times, though, you may be sending a player with more value than the "numbers" would suggest, i.e. you can probably get more "value" on the market for this guy in a different deal. Then, the critical question becomes...
3 Is it worth it to overpay or undersell for the advantage?
You don't want to get a reputation as an owner that will overpay or undersell in the market. You'll get squeezed with every subsequent offer. Still, your objective is to win. Unless it's crazy, the right thing to do is take the relative advantage when you can.
I once dealt Willis McGahee for Jamie Sharper. Chris Chambers for London Fletcher. High draft picks for sure IDP talent, etc. All moves that didn't look great in the market at the time, but improved the bottom line of my team. The trades can go the opposite way, too, but given that most leagues short IDP scoring and value the ESPN offensive studs, the giving offense for defense deals tend to be the hardest to get your mind around.
tjford said:
I find personally that many of the players I play with in IDP dynasty refuse to trade any form of offensive player for any IDP; regardless of tier. The reason I think that is? Probably because many people fear getting duped from either end. It's easier to compare apples to apples and oranges to oranges.
The key here is that all these players are apples when you consider each deal in terms of relative advantage. What's the net effect of improving my LB3 slot to LB1 points (+ 5ppg) while losing valuable depth (0ppg) or giving a WR2 I can replace with a WR3 with upside (- 2-3ppg)? It may not seem quite that simple -- there's a difficult to calculate effect of the inaccuracy of your league's market -- but come playoff time it really is that simple.