Your complete Week 16 weather HQ - with Doppler RADAR (1 Viewer)

[The_Man]

Just for the fun of it, I pulled together the forecast for each game site and included the link to the weather.com page for that site. You should be able to check back on that link throughout the weekend for the latest forecast.

DOMES

New Orleans at Detroit

SF at St. Louis

Atlanta at Minnesota

Saturday

Baltimore at Dallas

Beautiful conditions for football.

Sunday – 1 p.m.

Cincy at Cleveland

Mostly cloudy and windy with snow showers. Highs in the low 30s and lows in the low teens.

NOTE: High winds.

Miami at Kansas City

Partly cloudy. Highs in the low teens and lows in the single mid digits.

NOTE: Frigid and very windy.

Arizona at New England

Windy, snow. Highs in the upper 30s and lows in the mid teens.

NOTE: High winds.

Pittsburgh at Tennessee

Morning clouds followed by afternoon sun. Highs in the mid 30s and lows in the mid teens.

NOTE: Winds out of the WNW at 13 MPH. Sounds like a pretty good day for football, though more like Pittsburgh weather than Tennessee.

San Diego at Tampa Bay

Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s and lows in the low 50s.

NOTE: Move from the mid-Atlantic to Tampa Bay.

4 p.m.

Buffalo at Denver

Partly cloudy. Highs in the mid 20s and lows in the mid teens.

NOTE: Sounds like a nice, windless day for two teams accustomed to playing in much worse December conditions.

Houston at Oakland

Showers possible. Highs in the low 50s and lows in the upper 40s.

Jets at Seattle

Snow likely. Highs in the mid 30s and lows in the low 30s

NOTE: Winter Storm Watch in effect from Saturday afternoon through late Sunday night. 80% chance of precip during the day on Sunday. From the NWS: THE SEATTLE-TACOMA METRO AREA IS IN THE TRANSITION ZONE BETWEEN THE KITSAP PENINSULA AND AREAS EAST OF PUGET SOUND... SO SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE ESPECIALLY UNCERTAIN. TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS HERE THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON COULD RANGE FROM A TRACE TO 4 INCHES.

EDIT TO ADD: Seattle homers and the NWS indicate that there might be very high winds for this game, although the linked forecast doesn't show that as of 4:30 p.m. on Friday. Keep your eyes on this one for updates about the wind.

Philly at Washington

Periods of rain early. Highs in the low 40s and lows in the low 20s.

NOTE: Seems a little breezy, with winds out of the NW at 15 mph.

8:15 p.m.

Carolina at Giants

Rain mixed with snow. Highs in the low 40s and lows in the upper teens.

NOTE: Likely to be windy. Currently calling for W winds at 20 MPH.

 

[packersfan]

Just for the fun of it, I pulled together the forecast for each game site and included the link to the weather.com page for that site. You should be able to check back on that link throughout the weekend for the latest forecast.

Cincy at Cleveland

Mostly cloudy and windy with snow showers. Highs in the low 30s and lows in the low teens.

NOTE: High winds.

Miami at Kansas City

Partly cloudy. Highs in the low teens and lows in the single mid digits.

NOTE: Frigid and very windy.

Arizona at New England

Windy, rain mixed with snow. Highs in the upper 30s and lows in the mid teens.

NOTE: High winds.

Jets at Seattle

Snow likely. Highs in the mid 30s and lows in the low 30s

NOTE: Winter Storm Watch in effect from Saturday afternoon through late Sunday night. 80% chance of precip during the day on Sunday. From the NWS: THE SEATTLE-TACOMA METRO AREA IS IN THE TRANSITION ZONE BETWEEN THE KITSAP PENINSULA AND AREAS EAST OF PUGET SOUND... SO SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE ESPECIALLY UNCERTAIN. TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS HERE THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON COULD RANGE FROM A TRACE TO 4 INCHES.

Carolina at Giants

Rain mixed with snow. Highs in the low 40s and lows in the upper teens.

NOTE: Likely to be windy. Currently calling for W winds at 20 MPH.

So basically, if you have QBs, WRs and/or TEs in any of these games you could be screwed. That's a pretty large number of players being impacted.

 

[Kevin Ashcraft]

That KC forecast may not be low enough....I saw this morning one prediction of a high of 7....with it being 3-5 above @ kickoff.

This also where some below average defenses (i.e. KC) could be nice plays.

 

[The_Man]

going to be a great Sunday for hanging around the TV, enjoying the Christmas decorations and drinking hot rum while watching football played in the harsh elements.

Sounds like the harshest weather impacts are going to be Cleveland and KC for sure, and maybe New England. Not sure if the Giants game will be much more windy than usual and the Seattle one is still up in the air -- could be nothing, or a significant snowstorm.

 

[packersfan]

The one thing I'd note about the KC forecast is it was supposed to be terrible there last week too and the weather didn't slow anything down significantly. The Chargers put up huge passing numbers. That's at least worth considering if you have any of the players in the game this week (Bowe, Gonzalez, Bess, Ginn and the QBs).

 

[bcr8f]

going to be a great Sunday for hanging around the TV, enjoying the Christmas decorations and drinking hot rum while watching football played in the harsh elements.Sounds like the harshest weather impacts are going to be Cleveland and KC for sure, and maybe New England. Not sure if the Giants game will be much more windy than usual and the Seattle one is still up in the air -- could be nothing, or a significant snowstorm.

Add Chicago monday night to that. Reports vary with the Weather Channel predicting 50 MPH gusts.

 

[packersfan]

The Weather Channel's web site has the current forecast at 14 mph winds in Chicago for Monday night. That's not bad and shouldn't impact Rodgers or Orton (Orton will have enough trouble just being Kyle Orton).

 

[The_Man]

I didn't post the Monday game because it's still more than 72 hours away. I'm being generous thinking that there might be a decently reliable forecast for games starting in less than 48 hours.

 

[Angry Beavers]

and to think I came here just looking to see if someone had managed to pull all of this information together.

You are The Man...................

Thanks!

 

[The_Man]

and to think I came here just looking to see if someone had managed to pull all of this information together.You are The Man...................Thanks!

What's up, AB?From Decmber through March I spend far too much time tracking potential snowstorms for the mid-Atlantic (about 99 percent of which miss us).

 

[buck naked]

Outstanding post!!

 

[KingEl]

The wind predictions for the Tenn/Pitts game have dropped off pretty good the past couple of days- they were forecasting 20-25mph, which was leading me to benching Bironas for Elam in the dome. I think Bironas is back in play now-- though Fister passing on a 49yd er because of the Houston "breeze" doesn't give me confidence.

 

[Rovers]

The last weather report from the Nat. Weather Ser. said sustained winds of 36 MPH, gusts to 50 for Seattle.

 

[ourmanflint]

The Weather Channel's web site has the current forecast at 14 mph winds in Chicago for Monday night. That's not bad and shouldn't impact Rodgers or Orton (Orton will have enough trouble just being Kyle Orton).

Yea but it's going to be like -5 degrees with the wind chill. 8 degrees is the projected high for Monday. Given that it's a night game and your 14 mph winds we are looking at a pretty chilly evening.

 

[Markus P Dub]

High of 13 in Denver Sunday with flurries http://www.9news.com/weather/forecast/

 

[The_Man]

The last weather report from the Nat. Weather Ser. said sustained winds of 36 MPH, gusts to 50 for Seattle.

This is a good posting. The NWS Winter Weather advisory says, in part: STRONG EAST WINDS WILL PREDOMINATE SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY but the Weather channel forecast currently shows only mild winds.Keep an eye on this - sloppy weather doesn't necessarily mean bad things for the passing in this game, but if these high winds materialize, that will make a huge difference.I'll update the original post.

 

[packersfan]

50 mph winds? Seriously? Can anyone remember a game with 50 mph winds? How gusty were the winds in the Bears-Niners game a couple of years ago? Anybody remember? They were awful but I don't think they got to 50 mph.

 

[Rovers]

Latest NWS report for Seattle:

Saturday Night: Snow, mainly after 10pm. Low around 27. Breezy, with a southeast wind between 18 and 22 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

Sunday: Snow. High near 34. Breezy, with a southeast wind around 25 mph, with gusts as high as 33 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.

Sunday Night: Rain and snow showers likely. Snow level 100 feet. Cloudy, with a low around 32. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

The wind forecast has improved, but still pretty bad.

 

[LOCO]

Latest NWS report for Seattle:Saturday Night: Snow, mainly after 10pm. Low around 27. Breezy, with a southeast wind between 18 and 22 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.Sunday: Snow. High near 34. Breezy, with a southeast wind around 25 mph, with gusts as high as 33 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.Sunday Night: Rain and snow showers likely. Snow level 100 feet. Cloudy, with a low around 32. Chance of precipitation is 70%.The wind forecast has improved, but still pretty bad.

playing the JETS, JETS, JETS

 

[proteus126]

The current WeatherUnderground forecast calls for Monday night in Chicago to be in the single digits and not windy, no precip. Let's assume that forecast holds...

How does extreme cold affect QBs in your experience?

Rodgers has been my QB all season. Delhomme my seldom-used backup. I am thinking of dropping Delhomme and picking up Garcia just in case I want to start him over Rodgers. Is there any reason to be concerned about Rodgers (or any QB) in this kind of cold? Or do QBs typically shrug low temps off? Sorry - it is a noob question but I am a noob.

edited to add: same for kickers. Is Prater in the cold in Denver ok or should I be thinking of picking up Hartley (NO) @ Detroit, or a warm weather kicker?

-Will

 

[Rovers]

I really hope that FBG does something regarding the weather for this weekend. I don't mean just a weather report, I mean how the latest forecast will impact specific players across the board, even an updated cheat sheet report to reflect what impact the weather might have. I've been playing FF since the early 80's, and I can't recall another weekend in FF where the weather could have such a large impact... add the fact that this is super bowl week for most leagues... to ignore this would be a mistake, almost a disservice, frankly. Right now, I think predictions and cheat sheets for several games are near worthless unless the weather issues are weighted.

I often see a comment like "keep an eye on the weather for this game"... sure but that does not offer any advice on how to adjust line ups, or how specific players could be downgraded. Does bad weather make TE's more valuable, and WR's less? Sure, one can expect more running plays, but woth that, which RB's might get more touches especially in a 70-30 RBBC offense?

For instance... will the JETS run the ball 40 times in that Seattle weather? How many of those go to Leon Washington? I realise it can't be accurately predicted, I can make my best guess, but I'd like to see what the best guess FBG might have too.

 

[packersfan]

Troy Aikman wrote a column recently in the Sporting News where he talked about how QBs view bad weather. He said cold was rarely an issue and he said with many QBs rain isn't a big problem either (it was with him he admitted because he had trouble gripping a wet football). The big issue is wind. If it isn't windy, Aikman said it was his experience that passing games aren't generally impacted negatively.

That was one QBs opinion albeit a Hall of Famer. For what it's worth, I would agree with that. With regard to the Monday night game, if it's just cold and not windy, I think Rodgers and Orton will be fine. Rodgers should be able to put up good numbers and Orton could too given how it's a cake matchup. The fact he's Kyle Orton would work against him more strongly in my opinion than cold weather. As we saw last week, for example, Orton handled the cold OK against the Saints. He just simply didn't play well because he's Kyle Orton.

 

[packersfan]

I really hope that FBG does something regarding the weather for this weekend. I don't mean just a weather report, I mean how the latest forecast will impact specific players across the board, even an updated cheat sheet report to reflect what impact the weather might have. I've been playing FF since the early 80's, and I can't recall another weekend in FF where the weather could have such a large impact.

I agree. I also don't recall a week when there have been so many games that could be significantly impacted by the weather - primarily the passing games. I do think the projections on Sunday morning should reflect any possible weather issues and I'd actually like to see a column of some kind breaking down each game and what FBG would do with the key players based on the weather. I do think this week is such a departure from the norm that something extra would be worth the time and would be of value to subscribers here.

 

[proteus126]

What about kickers? Does the ball go dead in cold weather, or does the temp not really matter?

 

[packersfan]

What about kickers? Does the ball go dead in cold weather, or does the temp not really matter?

If you watched the Bears-Saints game last Thursday night, neither Gould nor Hartley (a dome kicker) were negatively impacted by the weather. I wouldn't bench a good kicker in the cold unless I had a clearly stronger alternative. For example, if Crosby is your kicker, I wouldn't bench him for someone like Joe Nedney. I'd go with Crosby because nine times out of 10 he's going to deliver better production.

 

[deadstick]

This genius benched Peyton Manning for Matt Cassel. As if it didn't hurt bad enough watching last night, now I have to consider starting Shaun Hill due to the weather in NE.

 

[proteus126]

What about kickers? Does the ball go dead in cold weather, or does the temp not really matter?

If you watched the Bears-Saints game last Thursday night, neither Gould nor Hartley (a dome kicker) were negatively impacted by the weather. I wouldn't bench a good kicker in the cold unless I had a clearly stronger alternative. For example, if Crosby is your kicker, I wouldn't bench him for someone like Joe Nedney. I'd go with Crosby because nine times out of 10 he's going to deliver better production.

My kicker is Matt Prater. It will be cold in Mile High, but Buffalo is the kind of semi-stout defense a kicker thrives against. I figure that Prater gets 3 attempts against that kind of defense. But I am considering dropping him for Jason Hanson (DET) home vs NO. Not sure there is any real difference between the two, other than that Prater was hot early and has not been noteworthy lately. Hanson in the dome against a weak defense might be money. We get a 3-point bonus for kicks of 50+ yards, so both are tasty for that reason, but Hanson is more tasty. Are LONG kicks in cold weather less likely to happen - that might be the better question...The real question I am trying to answer for myself is who would you rather have kicking this weekend: Prater (cold), Hanson, Hartley, Gostkowski (cold, maybe precip), Gould (cold), Kris Brown, or Mason Crosby (cold)? Those are my options. 3 pts bonus for 50+ FGs. Sorry for the WDIS-type question. I'd kind of like to know the logic behind a given answer, if that makes it any better.

-Will

 

[HoTnickZ]

I'm wondering if Keller might be a better play than Carlson in these conditions.

Favre/Jets more apt to play in these conditions than Seneca/Hawks?

 

[gonzobill5]

thanks for the report - this is helpful info.

can someone convince me one way or the other how bad weather (wind, precipitation, something more than just cold...) affects the defense. I've heard partial arguments on both sides and would love to hear some facts or stats if anyone has them.

 

[Sabertooth]

I dumped Prater for Hartley this week after starting him every week. He's been in a slump + weather concerns. I expect the Saints to potentially hang 40+ on the Lions.

 

[Saints-Man]

 

[packersfan]

The weather forecast for Monday night in Chicago has changed rather dramatically. It's now calling for 30 mph winds. That's a significant change and if that's still the forecast on Sunday morning, it could result in some significant lineup altering with regard to each team's passing games (i.e. Rodgers, Jennings, Driver and possibly Orton, Olsen and maybe Hester).

 

[LionsFan78]

 

[Sonny Lubick Blowup Doll]

 

[Rovers]

thanks for the report - this is helpful info. can someone convince me one way or the other how bad weather (wind, precipitation, something more than just cold...) affects the defense. I've heard partial arguments on both sides and would love to hear some facts or stats if anyone has them.

No stats to back this up, but it's really all about the wind. Cold and precipitation don't seem to have a large impact on game plans, but high winds does especially in the passing attack and kicking game. Freezing rain (which is forecast for quite a few games) might cause an extra turnover or three, but aside from that, it's the wind. Boston and NJ has pretty high winds forecasted, while it looks like Seattle might not be as bad as originally forecast. Just saw the Chicago report... sounds like that will be a windy game now too.

 

[packersfan]

Latest forecast for the Monday night game now calls for light winds at less than 10 mph. The forecast has been all over the map the past 48 hours so who knows what the next 48 will bring.

 

[QuizGuy66]

I really hope that FBG does something regarding the weather for this weekend. I don't mean just a weather report...

I agree, as a paying subscriber, I expect them to make the weather good for my players while bad for my opponent In all seriousness though, it would be nifty if they could do perhaps a couple breaking news e-mails specifically about the weather ahead of the games tomorrow. That would be excellent. -QG

 

[packersfan]

Looking at Weather.com's current forecasts, the only game that appears to be a problem in terms of wind is the Browns-Bengals game. The current forecast has winds in excess of 25 mph the entire game. The only players likely to be impacted by that are Houshmandzadeh and Edwards.

The current forecast for the Dolphins-Chiefs game has it starting windy but then the winds dying down significantly as the game goes along. So that doesn't look like it will be a major problem.

The weather could be awful in terms of snow and snow/wind in New England and Seattle but the current forecasts for both of those games have very light winds so the passing games shouldn't be impacted all that much.

 

[Mr.Blonde]

The last weather report from the Nat. Weather Ser. said sustained winds of 36 MPH, gusts to 50 for Seattle.

I think that forecast might be more for the Cascade foothills than a forecast for the Downtown area.I live Downtown and right now, at 9PM PST, it is snowing, but flurries and coming straight down. Since 3PM this afternoon there has been 1-2 inches accumulation on my deck.I'll check back with an update before gametime, but for right now, I wouldn't panic.

 

[Rovers]

I really hope that FBG does something regarding the weather for this weekend. I don't mean just a weather report...

I agree, as a paying subscriber, I expect them to make the weather good for my players while bad for my opponent In all seriousness though, it would be nifty if they could do perhaps a couple breaking news e-mails specifically about the weather ahead of the games tomorrow. That would be excellent. -QG

What I meant was is there any imperical data on pass happy offenses in wet, cold windy weather? Or, just a best guess for the bad weather games, and which players could/should be up/downgraded. I have NEVER been one to whine about cheetsheet rankings or projections after the fact. Not looking for a silver bullet, just more info and opinion on this whole weather situation. I believe I've gotten myself all bunged up over it, and tend to over think when I do that. I guess I need to be talked down off the ledge!

 

[the spanker]

Looking at Weather.com's current forecasts, the only game that appears to be a problem in terms of wind is the Browns-Bengals game. The current forecast has winds in excess of 25 mph the entire game. The only players likely to be impacted by that are Houshmandzadeh and Edwards.

The current forecast for the Dolphins-Chiefs game has it starting windy but then the winds dying down significantly as the game goes along. So that doesn't look like it will be a major problem.

The weather could be awful in terms of snow and snow/wind in New England and Seattle but the current forecasts for both of those games have very light winds so the passing games shouldn't be impacted all that much.

Light winds you say? As far as everything I've ever read, snow isn't a big factor in the passing game is it?

 

[TheWick]

 

[QuizGuy66]

I really hope that FBG does something regarding the weather for this weekend. I don't mean just a weather report...

I agree, as a paying subscriber, I expect them to make the weather good for my players while bad for my opponent In all seriousness though, it would be nifty if they could do perhaps a couple breaking news e-mails specifically about the weather ahead of the games tomorrow. That would be excellent. -QG

What I meant was is there any imperical data on pass happy offenses in wet, cold windy weather? Or, just a best guess for the bad weather games, and which players could/should be up/downgraded. I have NEVER been one to whine about cheetsheet rankings or projections after the fact. Not looking for a silver bullet, just more info and opinion on this whole weather situation. I believe I've gotten myself all bunged up over it, and tend to over think when I do that. I guess I need to be talked down off the ledge!

Was just bustin' ya - always good to get as much info as possible -QG

 

[TheDirtyWord]

 

[Tar Heel Boy]

http://www.weather.com/weather/hourbyhour/...&begDay=356

This really sucks. I have Cassel/Welker/Fitz in this game and I really have no other options. Really sucks to make it this far and then have low scores due to crappy weather conditions. Even though I started Choice last night I think this was just a tease for me to get excited about the rest of my team. Damn...

 

[cowboy homer]

http://www.weather.com/weather/hourbyhour/...&begDay=356

This really sucks. I have Cassel/Welker/Fitz in this game and I really have no other options. Really sucks to make it this far and then have low scores due to crappy weather conditions. Even though I started Choice last night I think this was just a tease for me to get excited about the rest of my team. Damn...

I think you will be fine. The winds arent that bad and the teams have to throw. Both teams have a horrible running game. The one I think it affects the most is Moss. He catches deep balls and they will be hard to throw. Warner and Cassel both throw quick slants and 15 yard ins. Especially Warner.

 

[MDSkinner]

The current forecast for the Dolphins-Chiefs game has it starting windy but then the winds dying down significantly as the game goes along. So that doesn't look like it will be a major problem.

Since I live in KC I figured I would post the forecast as it is today (since it seems to change every 6 hour or so)Game time - Sunny to partly cloudy. Very cold. Wind chills approaching -10F. High 11F. Winds WNW at 20 to 30 mph.Just walking outside, it is freakin cold but right now the wind is not too bad (says right now that it is 10 MPH). It it gets to 20-30 I would say that will have an impact.ETA: Walking outside = about 10 Miles from the stadium

 

[Angry Beavers]

Doesn't seem like it will be too bad in NE - 100% chance of snow/rain, but little wind

the Car/NYG game seems like it might be really bad - 20+ sustained winds and 100% chance of precip at game time.

 

[Angry Beavers]

saw this posted on another board :

"they've showed the stadium a couple times so far on the NFL Network early morning pregame show. the snowflakes look like they are the size of dinner plates...and they are coming down hard. they said the crew can't clean it up fast enough."

I don't have the network ( thanks time warner) can anyone confirm?

 

[Tar Heel Boy]

http://www.weather.com/weather/hourbyhour/...&begDay=356

This really sucks. I have Cassel/Welker/Fitz in this game and I really have no other options. Really sucks to make it this far and then have low scores due to crappy weather conditions. Even though I started Choice last night I think this was just a tease for me to get excited about the rest of my team. Damn...

I think you will be fine. The winds arent that bad and the teams have to throw. Both teams have a horrible running game. The one I think it affects the most is Moss. He catches deep balls and they will be hard to throw. Warner and Cassel both throw quick slants and 15 yard ins. Especially Warner.

I'm hoping so. The good thing, if there is such a thing, is I don't have to sit and ponder who to start/sit. My options are limited for the most part, so I'll either win or lose with these guys.