RedmondLonghorn said:
Just Win Baby said:
RedmondLonghorn said:
Just Win Baby said:
RedmondLonghorn said:
But the real point here is that there isn't any evidence in Young's total numbers so far to suggest he won't develop into a very good NFL passer (the flip side is that there is little evidence he won't be a below average passer either).
So the jury is still out. I'm not sure what is important about that finding...?It appears you want to use it to refute the notion that he is a bad passer... but plenty of QBs that had similar numbers as rookies went on to be bad passers, or at least bad QBs. So how does this prove your point?
I went out of the way to be objective in my analysis and the initial post was as objective as I could make it in tone. I wasn't setting out to prove something and selecting the data that I could find to support my desired conclusion.I presented data which showed, pretty conclusively, that Young has been about average as a rookie passer. And I also concluded, somewhat surprisingly, that rookie passing statistics tend to look pretty similar on the whole, whether you are talking about future Hall of Famers or guys who bust out of the league in under two years.
If you find those conclusions worthless and the whole discussion pointless, my apologies.
No, I'll apologize, as I didn't intend to convey that I found the discussion worthless. I found it interesting. But I felt an undercurrent of attempting to use these numbers to refute some Young critics, and I don't see that as a result of your analysis, that's all.
Well, I disagree.A lot of folks are very critical of Young's passing ability and some like to cite his modest passing stats and his less than scintillating QB Rating as evidence of his deficiency. Which would all be well and good, except that the appropriate group to compare it to is not other current NFL starting QBs, but other rookie QBs.
Compared to other NFL rookie QBs through recent history, Young is right about average. The fact is, almost all rookie QBs are pretty bad passers, compared to veteran starters.
I think this point gets lost in the discussion of Young because his prowess as a rusher makes people assume he can't pass (the Michael Vick comparison) and his unorthodox delivery makes people leap to conclusions about his accuracy.
OK, so let me sum up.1. Rookie QBs as a general rule are bad passers.
2. Vince Young has produced passing numbers that are comparable to those of average rookie QBs. Because average rookie QBs are bad passers, this means Young has been a bad passer this season.
3. You showed that some QBs who were bad passers as rookies went on to great success, while others busted. You don't show any evidence that would cause us to think Young is more likely to fit the former category than the latter.
So how exactly are you refuting the Young critics here?
NOTE: I like Young, I have never posted anything critical of him. I just don't see that you are accomplishing what you think you are with your research.