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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@!

John Bender

By John Bender,
in Footballguys Free For All

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Warsteinner

Warsteinner 335

Posted
Posted

Hard to bet against the 88 at this track.

I disagree. I think its really hard to bet on any one car at this track unless your getting such good odds. Anyone can win here.

I agree with that. I'm in an A-B-C league and I have to run with him as my A driver.

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Dan Lambskin

Dan Lambskin 13,612

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We're doing MK,AK and HS

kids are 6,3 and 2 so saving Epcot for another time

Already paid and on meal plan so shouldn't be too bad

Well thats good... now you just have to worry about all the toy stands and other junk they throw at you.

Little late in the game to change any plans you may have (and I know you were in the disney thread) but whatever day you pick for the AK try and get there early and hit the safari first (By far the longest line, coolest thing and the animals will be up and about before afternoon naps). Even with the three kids you should be able to do the lions share of the park in half a day (Assuming you are passing on The Yeti Roller coaster and the few other adult rides). When my daughter was younger we would try and get back to the room by 2-3 for a rest hit the pool for a short while hit the hotel restaurant and than go to the MK for a few hours that night.

If you have any frozen fans I'm sure they will go wild at HS. I'd like a review when you get back.

Give me Newman for the win today.

Safari Fast Pass for 9AM :hifive:

Yesh hoping that's a shorter day for us...park only open till 5 anyway and Ohana that night

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ChainsawU

ChainsawU 5,757

Posted
Posted

I will say that TxTech at the least has never murdered one of their own players. Do you know that the overall cost of attending Baylor is $50k per year?

I mentioned this before, but my brother just moved out there from FL to work for Baylor. Said it's cold as ####. Also said the chick situation sucks, everyone gets married and nobody wears skirts in 20 degree weather. I told him to drive to Austin and ask around for Saw.

I grew up near Waco. There was a mall there. It was the only place you could eat at a fancy restaurant like Olive Garden or buy a Bart Simpson t-shirt within a 150-mile radius. At Baylor they make the students go to church. Church is an actual class at Baylor. And they take strict attendance in those Bible classes, too. It's so gross because the students who go there were raised insulated from the outside world. It's egregious. However, on the other hand you can imagine how freakishly kinky some of the girls turn out to be once they get loose. It's ridiculous.

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hooter311

hooter311 2,625

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Hendricks cars will all have a significant equipment advantage this early in the season but yeah, its anyone's race.

Like

Kahne -124 over McMurray

Jimmie -145 over Hamlin

Cars starting in back like Hamlin and Keselowski will be at a significant disadvantage.

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ChainsawU

ChainsawU 5,757

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Since 2013 the Avs are 15-4 SU (avg line -160.6) at home when the opposing team is on zero rest. They're 11-0 SU in that situation lined > -160 (avg line -135.4). The goalies haven't been named yet and the other thing that makes you pause (aside from the short line) is that all four losses were after the opposing team played in 'Zona the night before.

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ChainsawU

ChainsawU 5,757

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The Stars beat the Wild 7-1 on Jan 03 with Kuemper in net for Minnesota. The Wild are only 3-8 SU in revenge games this season, however all three revenge-game wins have come since acquiring Devan Dubnyk. He's started their L16 games and the Wild have gone 12-4 SU since then (avg line -139.3, ROI +32.9%).

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ChainsawU

ChainsawU 5,757

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Since 2013 the Stars are 2-7 SU and 7-2 to the over on the road on zero rest having to travel from Dallas the night/day before. They allowed the opponent to score 4,4,2,4,6,5,5,3,4 goals in those nine games. The two games where they didn't allow at least four goals were the two games they won straight-up.

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Doctor Detroit

Doctor Detroit 20,905

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Posted

Since 2013 the Stars are 2-7 SU and 7-2 to the over on the road on zero rest having to travel from Dallas the night/day before. They allowed the opponent to score 4,4,2,4,6,5,5,3,4 goals in those nine games. The two games where they didn't allow at least four goals were the two games they won straight-up.

I could go for an over play here.

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Treynwreck3

Treynwreck3 213

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Since 2013 the Stars are 2-7 SU and 7-2 to the over on the road on zero rest having to travel from Dallas the night/day before. They allowed the opponent to score 4,4,2,4,6,5,5,3,4 goals in those nine games. The two games where they didn't allow at least four goals were the two games they won straight-up.

I could go for an over play here.

IN.

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Good Posting Judge

Good Posting Judge 13,667

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Posted

to win I like Logano valuewise at +1800

holy crap dude. i missed this, but hell of a call

I watched the last half hour with barely any idea of what was going on, I felt like the girlfriend of some dude who's really into the Super Bowl.

Going "three wide" is pretty crazy, I assume? And then there's a black-white-checkered thingy when someone crashes near the end?

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Peyton Marino

Peyton Marino 4,778

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to win I like Logano valuewise at +1800

holy crap dude. i missed this, but hell of a call

I watched the last half hour with barely any idea of what was going on, I felt like the girlfriend of some dude who's really into the Super Bowl.

Going "three wide" is pretty crazy, I assume? And then there's a black-white-checkered thingy when someone crashes near the end?

i don't even know what sporting event you guys are talking about.

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Good Posting Judge

Good Posting Judge 13,667

Posted
Posted

That played out nicely. I rarely try to pick winners but it worked out today.

It didn't feel like a lucky bet. Guy was in the mix the whole time, and seemed (again, not much of an idea as to what I was looking at) to acquit himself very well at the end.

Also worth noting you were a fraction of a second from getting both H2H bets, but split instead. Nice work dude.

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modogg

modogg 4,709

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That played out nicely. I rarely try to pick winners but it worked out today.

any UFC tonight? didn't realize card already started. 1-0 so far, this is what else i got:

Martins +345

Reneau +175

i'm sure i can find another or 2 as well..

eta: light plays here, just pulling out of my ###

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hooter311

hooter311 2,625

Posted
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That played out nicely. I rarely try to pick winners but it worked out today.

any UFC tonight? didn't realize card already started. 1-0 so far, this is what else i got:

Martins +345

Reneau +175

i'm sure i can find another or 2 as well..

Nothing jumps out.

Johnson +130

and a half unit flyer on Saenz at +725

Value more than confidence. Give Johnson the fight 60% of the time and Saenz 30%.

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hooter311

hooter311 2,625

Posted
Posted

I haven't seen it, but with the politics involved how can there not be value on American Sniper +2800 Best Picture and Bradley Cooper Best Actor +2800?

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hooter311

hooter311 2,625

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That played out nicely. I rarely try to pick winners but it worked out today.

any UFC tonight? didn't realize card already started. 1-0 so far, this is what else i got:

Martins +345

Reneau +175

i'm sure i can find another or 2 as well..

eta: light plays here, just pulling out of my ###

One thing on the Martins fight, Khabilov will have Jackson in his corner tonight I believe but he did not get his camp in America do to Visa issues. I also like to fade guys coming off losing a title shot because its such a bit step back in your career. Hard to maintain focus, especially not getting a proper camp.

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modogg

modogg 4,709

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Posted

That played out nicely. I rarely try to pick winners but it worked out today.

any UFC tonight? didn't realize card already started. 1-0 so far, this is what else i got:

Martins +345

Reneau +175

i'm sure i can find another or 2 as well..

Nothing jumps out.

Johnson +130

and a half unit flyer on Saenz at +725

Value more than confidence. Give Johnson the fight 60% of the time and Saenz 30%.

wow, great call on Saenz. i was going to take Alcontra but number was too high for my liking. great call

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Peyton Marino

Peyton Marino 4,778

Posted
Posted

That played out nicely. I rarely try to pick winners but it worked out today.

any UFC tonight? didn't realize card already started. 1-0 so far, this is what else i got:

Martins +345

Reneau +175

i'm sure i can find another or 2 as well..

Nothing jumps out.

Johnson +130

and a half unit flyer on Saenz at +725

Value more than confidence. Give Johnson the fight 60% of the time and Saenz 30%.

wow, great call on Saenz. i was going to take Alcontra but number was too high for my liking. great call

damn, hell of a day for you mr. hooter :thumbup:

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hooter311

hooter311 2,625

Posted
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That played out nicely. I rarely try to pick winners but it worked out today.

any UFC tonight? didn't realize card already started. 1-0 so far, this is what else i got:

Martins +345

Reneau +175

i'm sure i can find another or 2 as well..

Nothing jumps out.

Johnson +130

and a half unit flyer on Saenz at +725

Value more than confidence. Give Johnson the fight 60% of the time and Saenz 30%.

wow, great call on Saenz. i was going to take Alcontra but number was too high for my liking. great call

damn, hell of a day for you mr. hooter :thumbup:

Let's go American Sniper!

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hooter311

hooter311 2,625

Posted
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That played out nicely. I rarely try to pick winners but it worked out today.

any UFC tonight? didn't realize card already started. 1-0 so far, this is what else i got:

Martins +345

Reneau +175

i'm sure i can find another or 2 as well..

Nothing jumps out.

Johnson +130

and a half unit flyer on Saenz at +725

Value more than confidence. Give Johnson the fight 60% of the time and Saenz 30%.

wow, great call on Saenz. i was going to take Alcontra but number was too high for my liking. great call

Alacantra is a beast but when your defensive wrestling is your biggest weakness you are going to have a bad loss or two on your resume. I don't really feel any different about him than I did before the fight but Saenz was great and fought the exact fight he needed to.

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