Annual offseason bump. Here are Rivers’ current all time rankings (regular season):
16 games started (176)
4 consecutive games started at QB (176)
18 wins (97)
21T comeback wins (22)
24T game winning drives (26)
15 pass attempts (5917)
20T pass attempts per game (32.9)
10 completions (3811)
15 completions per game (21.2)
10 completion percentage (64.4%)
12 total offense (44240)
12 passing yards (45833)
10 passing yards per game (254.6)
14T YPA (7.7)
8 passing TDs (314)
27T passing TD percentage (5.3%)
55 interceptions (156)
22T interception percentage (2.6%)
8 passer rating (94.7)
7 AY/A (7.62)
6 NY/A (6.96)
9 ANY/A (6.84)
28T Approximate Value (164) - note this is all positions, not just QB
22T Approximate Value (weighted) (128) - all positions
20T times sacked (361)
41 sack yards lost (2168)
47 sack percentage (5.75%)
25 fumbles (91)
25T fumbles recovered (31)
The sack and fumble numbers aren’t great at face value, but they aren’t bad when context is applied, i.e., considering the below average pass blocking he has received throughout most of his career.
His rate statistics are impressive, and in some cases elite. There is no reason to expect those to drop off, especially since there are reasons for optimism that his supporting cast on offense should be better this year than it has been in recent seasons. (Though I said the same thing last offseason...)
If he plays out his contract (3 more seasons) and avoids major injuries, he is a lock to retire top 10 in games started, completions, passing yards, total offense, passing TDs, and wins, and top 15 in AV and weighted AV across all positions. Presumably most or all of his rate stats should remain strong as well.
And it seems like he will play out his contract and perhaps beyond:
Rivers on potential new QB: “They’re going to sit for a while”
That is compelling. Is it enough for him to make the HOF if he does not win a Super Bowl? I think it's close, but ultimately will be tough for the HOF voters to leave him out, assuming he plays out his contract and stays healthy.