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Here are very unofficial standings - done with manual scoring this week. As always, don't get too excited if you like your standings, or bummed if you don't, as these numbers are very subject to change. Most importantly - don't go spending any money you might not get if I'm wrong!!! Posted list as spoiler to limit scrolling issues:
I think the 25 point lead should probably hold up for me , I came up with about the same scores where I was tracking the top 7 going into the week.Many thanks to kardplayer for running live cutlines and standings throughout the year. Props to OrganizedChaos for building the live scoring tool, which helped fuel our addiction for having updates.I also want to thank all the regular posters to this thread for helping advance the collective knowledge on contest strategies. I am sure I am missing some people, but Iggy, BassNBrew, QuizGuy, and Modog are 4 that come to mind immediately. And of course, FBG deserves major props for offering such an awesome contest as part of their subscription. Congrats and you're welcome! Didn't hurt that I played chicken with the cutline almost every week...
Congrats to Cudz and all the top 10. That was a lot of fun this year. I ended up making it to the top 250 and finished at 81. I think the contest would be even better if the prize money was spread out more among the top winners. A $15,000 or $10,000 first prize would still be awesome. After all, making it to the top 150 out of 13,000 plus people is still a pretty huge feat!
Congrats to Cudz and all the top 10. That was a lot of fun this year. I ended up making it to the top 250 and finished at 81. I think the contest would be even better if the prize money was spread out more among the top winners. A $15,000 or $10,000 first prize would still be awesome. After all, making it to the top 150 out of 13,000 plus people is still a pretty huge feat!
Heh..., as the 10th place team I couldn't agree more. Going from $20,000 for first to $75 for tenth is kind of steep. Even worse is the drop from 5th ($1,000) to 10th ($75). I look back & see another TD sometime over the final 3 weeks would have moved me up to 5th. Ah well, it was fun & I didn't really start following it until late in the year.
Congrats to Cudz and all the top 10. That was a lot of fun this year. I ended up making it to the top 250 and finished at 81. I think the contest would be even better if the prize money was spread out more among the top winners. A $15,000 or $10,000 first prize would still be awesome. After all, making it to the top 150 out of 13,000 plus people is still a pretty huge feat!
Heh..., as the 10th place team I couldn't agree more. Going from $20,000 for first to $75 for tenth is kind of steep. Even worse is the drop from 5th ($1,000) to 10th ($75). I look back & see another TD sometime over the final 3 weeks would have moved me up to 5th. Ah well, it was fun & I didn't really start following it until late in the year.
I was just thinking the same thing I came in 36th place out of like 13,000 people and I get $30 ?I would be thrilled if I won the thing and got $10,000. I think the other $10,000 should be spread over the top 100.Congrats to the winner well done.
A very first look at what it takes to win - The top 5 entries had 25, 18, 26, 24, and 19 players/teams (which will henceforth be refered to as men or men weeks). Not much conclusive evidence as to optimum roster size. However, they do have some interesting stats. You have $250 to play with and 16 weeks of play (assuming that you go to the finals). This makes $3750 man/weeks for a full season after deducting $250 for bye weeks. What seems to be relevant to the success of the top five is relatively few significant zeroes (no score weeks excepting the byes).
A few terms which I will use need to be defined:
Zero weeks are those where a man scores nothing (and is not on a bye) multiplied by his salary.
Scoring weeks are those weeks where a man scores anything multiplied by his salary.
Efficiency is the percentage computed by dividing scoring weeks by the maximum of $3750.
The 1st team which had 25 men had $293 in zero weeks, or $3457 of scoring weeks which is 92.187% efficiency.
The 2nd team which had only 16 men had $116 in zero weeks, or $3633 of scoring weeks or 97.68% efficiency.
The 3rd team which had 26 men had $479 in zero weeks, or $3271 of scoring weeks or only 87.227% efficiency.
The 4th team which had 24 men had $312 in zero weeks, or $3438 of scoring weeks or 91.680% efficiency.
The 5th team which had 19 men had $269 in zero weeks, or $3481 of scoring weeks or 92.827% efficiency.
This sample is way too small to be conclusive of anything, but what it may indicate is that roster size is not a critical factor even though all previous research indicates that larger is better. The real reason larger is better is that smaller requires more luck on the injury front. Most zeroes are caused when guys do not play due to injury. So small roster size requires near perfect attendance on the field, witness the 2nd place team.
I am willing to bet that there would be a high inverse correlation between roster size and "efficiency" among those teams which made the final 250. That is, the smaller the roster size the greater the efficiency required and the larger the roster size the less efficiency needed to make the 250. As we all know you need to be good, but you also need to be lucky.
I think $10k should be filtered down throughout anyone who makes the final 250. Even if you pay the top 100 and do a 1 year subscription for the other 150.
Either way, I'll be back next year. Great contest.
Placed 8th this year, for $200. Another FG sometime in the last 3 weeks would have given a 5th place finish & $1K!I think I won $30 on this contest once before, and was mailed a check.Great contest - best perk of this site, IMO. Thanks to Joe & David for continuing to offer this every year.
Placed 8th this year, for $200. Another FG sometime in the last 3 weeks would have given a 5th place finish & $1K!I think I won $30 on this contest once before, and was mailed a check.Great contest - best perk of this site, IMO. Thanks to Joe & David for continuing to offer this every year.
It would have advance with only Ryan as the solo QB and only used Ryan in the 3 playoff weeks. That means both Luck $11 and Locker $9 turned out to be non useful monies. $3 on Seattle would have won this contest. Even if you don't cherry pick, the defensive scores of 7, 11, and 4 and kicker scores of 18, 11, and 12 could have been bested by several additions to win the top prize.
I don't think there is one. Goes by points only. So, if you pick all players that had a bye this week, you are screwed. The only caveat is that only two players from one team will count. Forces you to spread the money and not have four or five players from one team. Again, I don't believe there is a lineup since TEs are not needed. You could have zero RBs as well if you wanted to load up on WRs and Qb's. makeup of teams will be interesting. I have 16 players, with 8-10 playing this week. Only chance you have is to pick the players from the winners so they can count for more than one week.
It would have advance with only Ryan as the solo QB and only used Ryan in the 3 playoff weeks. That means both Luck $11 and Locker $9 turned out to be non useful monies. $3 on Seattle would have won this contest. Even if you don't cherry pick, the defensive scores of 7, 11, and 4 and kicker scores of 18, 11, and 12 could have been bested by several additions to win the top prize.
I completely agree, as evidenced by my own choice at the position. From a theoretical level you have only 1 QB slot to start each week. When you include the flex and assume equal chance across positions for the flex, you need to start 2.33 RBs, 3.33 WRs, and 1.33 TEs. If you had similar redundancy across those positions you are looking at 7 RBs, 10WRs, and 4 TEs. Which if you had a 30 man roster is doable I guess. But this also ignores that QBs get hurt at a lower rate, so similar redundancy really means more than 21 RB/WR/TE.
Did you all get the email from Joe earlier in the week? It said that we would get an email by the end of the week with a paper that we had to sign, notarize, and send back.
Did you all get the email from Joe earlier in the week? It said that we would get an email by the end of the week with a paper that we had to sign, notarize, and send back.
Just a wild guess, but I suspect anyone receiving $400 or more might be handled differently than others receiving less due to IRS reposting guidelines. Of course maybe their lawyers were concerned about violation of state law and they're doing something different as a cya for all money prizes.
Seemed a little early to put a 2013 Subscriber Contest thread out there but I couldn't help but notice that the change in the bye weeks this year (later) ought to really have an interesting impact:
Week 4: GB CAR
Week 5: MIN PIT TB WASH
Week 6: ATL MIA
Week 7: OAK NO
Week 8: CHI TEN IND SD BAL HOU
Week 9: DEN DET GIANTS ARIZ SF JAX
Week 10: CLE KC NE JETS
Week 11: DAL STL
Week 12: BUF CIN PHIL SEA
You'd have to think that'll drop some ownership percentages, especially for those week 12 bye teams.
Seemed a little early to put a 2013 Subscriber Contest thread out there but I couldn't help but notice that the change in the bye weeks this year (later) ought to really have an interesting impact:
Week 4: GB CAR
Week 5: MIN PIT TB WASH
Week 6: ATL MIA
Week 7: OAK NO
Week 8: CHI TEN IND SD BAL HOU
Week 9: DEN DET GIANTS ARIZ SF JAX
Week 10: CLE KC NE JETS
Week 11: DAL STL
Week 12: BUF CIN PHIL SEA
You'd have to think that'll drop some ownership percentages, especially for those week 12 bye teams.
Haha... QG - the subscriber contest's #1 fan. But yes, this is true. Makes players on those teams a bit of a tough sell. Personally, didn't figure anyone on those teams to be very good bargains anyway aside from maybe James Casey or Zach Miller. That hurts my TE sleeper plays...
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