Jump to content
Fantasy Football - Footballguys Forums

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 63.3k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Top Posters In This Topic

  • fantasycurse42

    3538

  • stbugs

    3405

  • BassNBrew

    3276

  • Capella

    2072

Top Posters In This Topic

Popular Posts

Trying to time bottoms is very hard. If you believe in the company long term I feel this price is a very strong entry point long term. Set it and forget for a while. When it doubles....take your

I will make a wager. If this stock hits $420.69 before this earnings call on March 31st, I will pass out 100 FBG subscriptions to the gents in the stock thread.

sponks

Just now, Bob Sacamano said:

Are people who got their asses handed to them the first time lining up to do this again?

 Nope, they’ll be the ones buying it at $200 again and bend over again. I’m sure the people who made money the first time are the same ones who were buying in the 40s to set this up again. It’s the circle of life. The people who come to the party last are the ones that clean up.

  • Sad 1
Link to post
Share on other sites

The fact they continue to circuit breaker GME on less than 1/2 of the volume of AMC tells you that their algos have this squeezing. They are not afraid of AMC going to the moon.

Edited by David Dodds
  • Like 2
Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, wilked said:

🔷 🙌 held on waiting for the second squeeze.  It's not a loss til you sell

 

Volumes are still low, lots of gamma left to squeeze on this one

How many of those people got their margins called and thus didn’t participate in this run up?

Link to post
Share on other sites
Just now, David Dodds said:

The fact they continue to circuit breaker GME on less than 1/2 of the volume of AMC tells you that they their algos have this squeezing. They are not afraid of AMC going to the moon.

Didn’t AMC flood the market with tons of shares? That’s the biggest difference, well and the fact that with GME you at least can push the Cohen turnaround. AMC just doesn’t have any real good impetus to blow up. 

  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, Charlie Harper said:

@David Dodds Are you not worried that AMC will sell more shares like last time? So far GME hasn't done that because I think Cohen knows WSB would be he core customers, plus free advertising, but AMC doesn't give a ####.

AMC is now sitting on a ton of cash too from doing this. AMC was a solid play up to $9. It's a play now because TONS of options will hit if this stock is above $8 on Friday (which looks extremely likely).

GME will probably recall their shares weeks before their earnings at the end of March. Cohen is smart not to raise capital this second and lose the investor momentum.

Link to post
Share on other sites
2 minutes ago, One said:

For AMC?

for GME. It's the only one that could take off. They halted this thing 3X for a reason. They need their AI to figure out an acceptable solution that is not a gamma squeeze.

  • Thanks 1
  • Love 1
Link to post
Share on other sites

I mean, I'm the biggest fan of this GME squeeze there is and the most anti hedge fund/MM guy around.  You've all seen me ranting about it like 100 times in this thread.  But those halts this AM were standard programmatic volatility halts.  You can see what the potential halt levels are for any stock at any time.

  • Like 3
Link to post
Share on other sites

Going to make a case for $HEC as somewhere very low risk to park cash.

- $HEC is a SPAC that is merging with online therapy company TalkSpace

- TalkSpace will be the only publicly traded company that solely focuses on online behavioral health

- TDOC earnings report indicated something like a 500% increase in their online therapy arm. Talkspace will compete for a large portion of that market share going forward

- Current price - ~$10.45

- Current price range seems to be the absolute base level of support looking left back to announcement date

- Max loss @ NAV of ~$0.25 if HEC dissolves without merger (very unlikely)

 

Theory: Park extra cash here. Carry through until merger for the biggest pop, or sell along the way for short term gain if needed for other plays.

Edited by Worm
  • Like 2
  • Thanks 1
Link to post
Share on other sites
46 minutes ago, jamny said:

I nearly got in on ARKK and ARKG on Monday. Glad I held off. Even with yesterday's rise, I'm real leery of going in too big right now. Outside of some picking, I'm staying mostly in cash until there's real strength. At least more than one day here and there.

I’m not staying in cash (assuming you have a large portion in cash), just riding things out. I have some more stocks to buy so I may dabble on a few but I’m not seeing a huge fall off. Most of my high fliers have already trimmed a good amount and for the most part they have having good earnings reports. I bought BILI back in November and it’s tripled and hit a high of 155. It was at 150 on Friday and hit a low of about 116 on Tuesday. Had a great report last night and it’s back at 144. Just insane movement but I’m just hanging in there as my most volatile stuff is in IRAs and I like them LT. My cash account is a lot of AMZN and cash and other LT stuff.

Too many ups and downs to worry about. I feels like I’ve got a little bit more to buy and the. Maybe lock and load for a while and just make small tweaks.

  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites

GME launch is the ultimate Psychology study.

Literally, if everyone diamond-handed right now this thing probably hits $1000+ as there are not enough shares to cover the short positions.

But the whole market works on people being weak and everyone wanting to ensure they aren't the last bag holder.

 

Edited by David Dodds
Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, David Dodds said:

GME launch is the ultimate Psychology study.

Literally, if everyone diamond-handed right now this thing hits $1000+ as their are not enough shares to cover the short positions.

But the whole market works on people being weak and everyone wanting to ensure they aren't the last bag holder.

 

I wonder if this will hit $400 like last time. A lot of people will have learned their lesson. However, if hedge funds are taking a side next to retail, why not?

Link to post
Share on other sites
Just now, Charlie Harper said:

I wonder if this will hit $400 like last time. A lot of people will have learned their lesson. However, if hedge funds are taking a side next to retail, why not?

We are just all along for the ride. This is a hedge vs hedge war being fought. If this thing makes a move to $300, I think it will go past $800 as it gains fuel along the way in the options market.

  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites

An aside. Interesting tidbit from SQ's earnings:

In 2020, more than three million customers purchased or sold bitcoin on Cash App

In January 2021, more than one million customers purchased bitcoin through the app for the first time.

  • Like 1
  • Thanks 1
Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, 2Squirrels1Nut said:

I've heard this comparison and prediction since the announcement of the vaccine.  I think it's probable.  I'm chewing on my fur here.

I have no other comment on this post other than I'm stealing the bolded line for my everyday shtick.

 

Thank you sir. 

  • Like 2
  • Thanks 2
  • Laughing 2
Link to post
Share on other sites
11 minutes ago, David Dodds said:

We are just all along for the ride. This is a hedge vs hedge war being fought. If this thing makes a move to $300, I think it will go past $800 as it gains fuel along the way in the options market.

I'm spooked they will keep halting so it won't run the way it should.

Link to post
Share on other sites
11 minutes ago, Bob Sacamano said:

An aside. Interesting tidbit from SQ's earnings:

In 2020, more than three million customers purchased or sold bitcoin on Cash App

In January 2021, more than one million customers purchased bitcoin through the app for the first time.

Hey, nice to see some other stock discussions in here. Do you like SQ long term? I’ve only got 35 shares. Should have bought back in August when it was re-recommended at $80ish. I think we may see it touch close to $200 again.

Link to post
Share on other sites
11 minutes ago, FreeBaGeL said:

Holy cow

Someone just bought a ton of 3/19 $500 GME calls at almost $3000 apiece.

This is what we want. This could very well be the people shorting as their algos are now saying the gamma squeeze is very much on the table. So the original bad guys end up being on the winning team too. Or just different hedge funds all lining up here for a massive play.

 

Edited by David Dodds
  • Like 2
Link to post
Share on other sites

I think there is major support at GME at $125. 

GME in the Europe market hit 135 Euros = $164.70

GME hit $184 afterhours last night

GME hit $170 premarket today

No one is selling at $125. Let's see where this stock is with 20 minutes until the bell closes.

Edited by David Dodds
  • Thanks 1
Link to post
Share on other sites
53 minutes ago, David Dodds said:

GME launch is the ultimate Psychology study.

Literally, if everyone diamond-handed right now this thing probably hits $1000+ as there are not enough shares to cover the short positions.

But the whole market works on people being weak and everyone wanting to ensure they aren't the last bag holder.

 

See now THIS sounds more like a ponzi scheme than Bitcoin...

  • Like 1
  • Love 1
Link to post
Share on other sites
28 minutes ago, stbugs said:

Hey, nice to see some other stock discussions in here. Do you like SQ long term? I’ve only got 35 shares. Should have bought back in August when it was re-recommended at $80ish. I think we may see it touch close to $200 again.

Give me all the shares of all the War on Cash stocks. SQ, PYPL, MELI, V, MA. Yes. More please. Will they sell me some Stripe? I'll take it. No? Go make friends with Chamath and get back to me in 90 days. Then I'll buy. TIA.

  • Like 1
  • Thanks 1
  • Love 1
  • Laughing 1
Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, David Dodds said:

GME circled back for a few more travelers. Welcome aboard. 

I can buy it buy it but can't sell until the funds settle.  Is this an over the weekend hold or will the money be made tomorrow?

Link to post
Share on other sites
2 minutes ago, BassNBrew said:

I can buy it buy it but can't sell until the funds settle.  Is this an over the weekend hold or will the money be made tomorrow?

If it goes to $340 or something on Friday, you couldn't sell? No advice on that kind of situation. I expect it to end above $150 today though based on what happened in the European market, yesterday's after-market, and today's pre-market.

Link to post
Share on other sites
Just now, David Dodds said:

If it goes to $340 or something on Friday, you couldn't sell? No advice on that kind of situation. I expect it to end above $150 today though based on what happened in the European market, yesterday's after-market, and today's pre-market.

Yeah...I'd get slapped with a good faith violation.

Link to post
Share on other sites

For a somewhat safer play on GME premiums are sky high and you can get some pretty decent money selling some pretty low dollar puts.

3/19 $70p pay $1740 for a break even of $53. 

$50p pay $730 for breakeven $42.30 (lower than it was prior to this recent run)

$40p pay $420 (heh) breakeven $35.80

$20p pay $50 breakeven $19.50

Edited by FreeBaGeL
  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites
19 minutes ago, Bob Sacamano said:

Give me all the shares of all the War on Cash stocks. SQ, PYPL, MELI, V, MA. Yes. More please. Will they sell me some Stripe? I'll take it. No? Go make friends with Chamath and get back to me in 90 days. Then I'll buy. TIA.

Chamath doesn't have any SPAC big enough to take down Stripe IMO. It's all about Ackman. 

  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites

I know some people have expressed an interest in IIPR, the weed REIT, previously. Earnings were yesterday.

 

Q4 Revenue - $37.1 million, up 110% year over year. Missed estimates of $38.5 million.

Q4 Income - $21 million (.91/sh). Up from $9.6 million ($0.78/sh) YoY. Missed estimate of $1.07/sh. Obviously the miss was due to new share issuance. I believe to refi/pay down debt. I don't know the details here. Would be worth looking into before buying.

They had 2 tenants miss rent. They collected from all remaining tenants. One of those delinquents has already been replaced and a new lease signed. 

I didn't see updated info on lease length, though it might be in there. As of 7/2020, though, they had a weighted-average remaining lease term of approximately 16 years.

Between Jan. 1, 2020, and Feb. 24, 2021, the company acquired 22 medical cannabis properties.

Dividend has increased by 24% YoY.

 

I sold around $220 to get my basis out, which represented a triple for me. But it's down almost 19% on those results today, to $179 today. Current yield is about 2.75%.

Edited by Bob Sacamano
Link to post
Share on other sites
5 minutes ago, Desert_Power said:

It's pretty similar, but at least Gamestop has revenue.

I still don't see why revenue matters and I'm sure you know that there are a number of stocks at high valuations that don't have revenue. Investments, at a very high level, are about supply and demand. Bitcoin fits into that definition very well. 

Edited by ConstruxBoy
Link to post
Share on other sites
32 minutes ago, ConstruxBoy said:

See now THIS sounds more like a ponzi scheme than Bitcoin...

They used to call it hot potato in elementary school.

  • Like 1
  • Laughing 1
Link to post
Share on other sites
2 minutes ago, Desert_Power said:

It's pretty similar, but at least Gamestop has revenue.

It's more akin to cutting a hole in the pockets of the guys running the ponzi scheme.

 

Crazy how the little guys can get painted the villain in any of this when it's the greed of the hedge funds over shorting the stocks that create the situation.

 

These guys win every day beating the little guy, this is the ultimate reap what they sow.

 

*And yes, ultimately it will be other big players that end up making the most money off this.

  • Like 2
Link to post
Share on other sites
16 minutes ago, FreeBaGeL said:

$50p pay $730 for breakeven $42.30 (lower than it was prior to this recent run)

$40p pay $420 (heh) breakeven $35.80

Those are really nice plays for 25 days, with obvious collection points in days if this thing does what Dodds is hoping.

  • Love 1
Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Restore formatting

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


×
×
  • Create New...