Dinsy Ejotuz
Footballguy
The small school adjustemtnt isn't that refined. There's only so much time.Ok. Which schools are actually small time schools, which are big schools and what about the ones in between? How often does that fluctuate? Do you determine this by their recruiting?I have a measure I use to compare WR performance that rolls things up into a single number. It's pretty straightforward, though there are some adjustments to it that aren't as obvious.If this could somehow be balanced I would put more stock in college performance stats than I do now but as it is I am curious how you approached this problem?
It turns out that if you compare that number for players across different divisions you get something like this...
There's basically no difference between BCS conference and non-BCS conference teams in D-I. In other words, if you're dealing with a team like Louisiana Tech you don't need to make any special allowances for the level of competition.
For playoff subdivision schools though you do need to account for level of competition by discounting that performance measure. Basically I just compared the average scores for big school and small school players and discovered that the average score was ~28% higher for small school players. Which is interesting because that yielded a virtually identical discount number as I got for RBs even though I worked them out separately - 78.2% for WRs and 77.7% for RBs (1/.78 = 1.28).
There's more randomness in that discounted number though -- you have to treat it with more skepticism than the big school measures.
What are the factors that go into the combined score?
BCS conference
Other D-IA
FCS, DII and DIII
Lumping the three groups together as 'small school' is probably why there's a lot of variance, and I want to break out the FCS schools at some point to see how different they are from DII and DIII. But it's still useful.
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