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Not sure what DJ has to do with anything but placing such value on a RB that hasnt done anything but average at best stats seems like a risky proposition. The Fins let him walk for a reason. Now I am not saying he is going to bust just that I think its nuts to A) have him ranked that high and B) wanting to trade up to get him when I think he will still be there for that poster.
I agree....not sure what the negative is with him. You may not love his talent but he succeeded in a worse situation the last two years. He may be the top ten back with the least question marks at this point.
I think Gurley, AP and DJ are the general consensus top 3 RBs. There are issues with almost every RB this year. My point with Miller or DJ or Bell or whoever we rank at 3rd, it has to be someone and that someone is going to come with some question marks. Miller's aggregate stats have never been that impressive (although good enough for 2 consecutive years as a top 10 RB), but he has been efficient and durable. He has all the skills people like in a RB and is on the team that has led the NFL in carries both of the last 2 seasons.
I see where you guys are coming from about potential etc. I just think the original poster is a little aggressive with his scenario. Until I actually see a season where he actually performs like that ranking then I am going to back off and rank him accordingly. Also the poster seems to be committing the cardinal sin of fantasy and that is falling in love with a player and doing crazy things (trading up, drafting him way too early, etc) to obtain him. I am not down on Miller just think its a bit nuts to have him at #3 which would be around pick 5-6ish. A lot of good proven wr's you would be leapfrogging.
I am a WR early guy, but Miller and DJ are the two guys that give me pause in the first. DJ because he has the largest ceiling in fantasy. Lamar Miller's ceiling probably isn't quite as high, but his floor starts at the top 10.
I would be willing to bet they have learned their lesson.
He's been top 10 last 2 years and his volume is only going to increase. The only concern is Houston's abysmal yards per carry last year. Was that because they are a bad offensive line or is it because they had bad RB play? It's very likely his efficiency dips, but the volume should make up for it. IMO he is one of the safest RB bets in the draft.
You're giving Mike Tannenbaum and the rest of the jokers that run that team far more credit than they deserve.
Since I am not well versed in the Fins front office, why did they let him leave? Serious question
Honestly I'm not sure they had a real plan. They tried to replace him with CJ Anderson (for even more money than Miller got I believe - I may be wrong about that though) and have now replaced him with a (presumably) washed up Arian Foster.
I am a die hard idiot Dolphins fan. The reason they let him walk is because they are in the bottom five in the NFL in talent evaluation...seemingly regardless of who they have calling the shots. Dont read too much into the Fins letting him go when evaluating his future. Even Bill Parcells' brain turned to mush as soon as he started wearing polo shirts with fish under the left lapel.
In no particular order: Gurley, DJ, AP, Bell (if he wins the appeal).
Why are you having such a hard time when he was RB6 last year (and RB9 the year before)? On less than 240 total touches, no less.
If you're in a PPR I think you would have to go with Julio but if your league is TD heavy I think you have to go with Lamar. Julio does not have a great shot at double digit TDs in a Kyle Shanahan offense. It's weird because he feeds the heck out of his #1 WR all up and down the field but it doesn't translate into them getting into the end zone.
We all hope Lamar will have a good year. We know Julio will have a good year every year like all his other years. Plenty of depth at rb in middle rounds this year, even in the second and third rounds. I have such difficulty taking rbs early now with all of the rb flops in the first round over the last few years. You just never know with those guys. Go with the sure thing, Busted
i have Doug Martin set as my 5th rd pick and Allen Robinson as my 6th ...so i have 4 rds to build around them ...thanks for the input
I totally agree but I think the qualifier of being in a PPR is very important with Julio. He's top 5 in that format. If you are in a standard league Julio is top 10 and considering he will be the 2nd or 3rd WR selected that seems like a meh ROI. He also seem more likely to break down than some of the other top WRs (closer to Dez than Antonio in that regard).
Those that are promoting him as great may see him differently than you. Certainly entitled to your opinion, of course.
Excellent post. David Johnson and Miller are 1A and 1B on my RB redraft board (PPR).
I'm in a 14 team league too, where any position can be in the flex- my first pick is 14 OVR, and I am trying to trade up in the draft to make sure that I get him
Thats the cardinal sin in fantasy brother. Its absolutely imperative you dont get fixated on one player and start doing crazy things like trading up into just the first round. Have a plan and let the draft come to you.
Alfred Blue just today began practicing after a shoulder surgery. Feels like a lot of people assume he still has the backup job but I think it's open for the taking between him, Hilliard and Ervin.
