My opinion is that the Packers do not bring Adams back unless he is willing to sign a team friendly deal similar to what Nelson did with his second contract and Cobb did with his most recent one (although Cobb is now at a point where he is one of the highest paid WRs in the league- 8th in 2017).
Next year Cobb and Nelson stand to be the 8th and 9th highest paid WRs in the league (12.5 mil average each). The only other team with 2 Wrs in the top 15 is Denver with DT at 10 and Sanders at 13.
Adams' new contract should at least pay him like a WR2, maybe even a WR1. Rodgers also needs a new contract; his is up after 2018. Clay Matthews makes a heck of a lot of money next year as well.
My point is the Packers just can't commit more money to their WRs when they are paying their top two guys 25 million dollars next season and need to lock up their QB for another large contract- likely making him the highest paid QB in the league.
Adams is gone unless he wants to sign for 3 million or something, and he's worth more. I don't blame him for chasing money elsewhere. He's likely to get 6-8 million a season. GB cannot afford that. They have Geronimo, who they like a lot. They also have some promising youth on the roster which they don't need now but could step it up. They likely take a WR round 2-3 next year with a higher draft pick, who could turn out to be a Nelson replacement.
We have seen other pretty good WRs leave GB and go on to just completely fizzle out: Javon Walker, Greg Jennings, James Jones. Adams likely is added to that list. He benefits greatly from Rodgers. His dynasty value depends on where he goes; if it's a team like Jacksonville, might as well just sell now if you can. It's a crap shoot.
If I had Adams in dynasty I'd probably try to sell if I could
I try not to be negative on these boards but this is one of the worst posts I have ever seen. I don't think you got anything right.
Adams is the future #1 receiver for the Packers for the next 5-10 years (if he isn't already - he drew Rhodes all game against MIN, not Nelson) ... he's not going anywhere. Given his age, I would take him in a vacuum over the other two any day of the week. Cobb hasn't proven he can play elite at the slot, let alone outside (where the big boys play!). Adams' talent, size, and athleticism is substantially more valuable in the NFL than what Cobb brings to the table. And (obviously) he's EIGHT years younger than Nelson.
Both Nelson and Cobb have their deals expiring in 2018. Cutting either one results in massive cap savings (Cobb - $9.5M, Nelson - $10M+) with relatively modest dead money hits ($2-$3M each). One of them seems likely to get released next year to free up space for Adams' extension. Nelson is on the wrong side of 30 and Cobb hasn't lived up to his contract. Since Nelson is 32, though, and Adams has essentially taken over his duties, Nelson is probably the odd man out. That said, they do have the cap space to carry all three (even with a new deal for Adams) and could let both older WRs go the next year (while drafting younger replacements) and get MASSIVE compensatory picks back. Spending essentially $10M for a 3rd round pick is a decent deal, and you get their production for another year. It's historically unlikely for an NFL to do so, but I could see them carrying all three at big cap hits for one year.
The fact that you think Adams is gone unless he signs for $3M is ludicrous. The guy is going to get paid $10M+/year by the Packers and be our #1 receiver for the next decade. He was a top draft pick, top collegiate producer, and has developed into a top NFL receiver. He's going to get paid and is not going anywhere.
Comparing Allison to Adams is insane. The guy is not within three tiers of talent, draft status, or production at any level of the game. Allison is a replacement level player, at best.