Thanks for the percentages. Didn't realize Boyd's was that high to be honest.
Do you have any concerns about Kirk's broken foot?
^agree that Mariota may not get extended, but they'd still need a competent QB to replace him. If Davis treads water another year and has a rookie or boring vet QB thrust on him, what will his value be then? Less than Boyd's is my guess.
I like Kirk fine enough, just don't see much of a ceiling. Drafted him in a couple spots on contending teams, but eventually packaged him in deals to make a championship push on both squads. Same question...if Rosen struggles again (which is likely IMO) and he doesn't improve statistically, what's his value heading into year 3? Perhaps I'm too low on him though...should look at his season more closely.
I'd still prefer the random 1st over any of them. 2020 looks to be a very solid draft as you mentioned and having an extra 1st provides a lot of flexibility to move up and get someone, even if it ends up being a late one.
My 2020/Boyd/Davis/Kirk rankings reflect the order I'd like to have them on my team without consideration to value. In a trade I'd be asking for the Boyd owner to add something to give up Davis, and Kirk is worth a late 1st on his own in theory...and to flip it around, Davis should fetch more than a late 1st while Boyd and Kirk are similar...so I don't love the value of the trade much. But from the angle of getting your guys, those are the assets I prefer.