I’m not trading McCaffrey for 1.03, 1.05, and 1.07. Nope. Dude was RB1at 29.5ppg and he’s 23 years old, with a work ethic and skill set that should afford him as long a career as any RB can have. Know what RB2 averaged last year? 21.2ppg. Further down at RB12 on a ppg basis was Nick Chubb. Nick Chubb is awesome! Seriously, love the guy. But he scored 16.3ppg. You would’ve needed two Nick Chubbs in your lineup last year to best McCaffrey.
So first question, who you taking at 1.03? Swift in Detroit? Dobbins? Akers? What’s the upside? Is Dobbins basically Ingram? He was at 16.4ppg last year. Then what at 1.05? Akers? Lamb or Jeudy? Whether you take Swift, Dobbins, or Akers at 1.03, they might be good for 60% of McCaffrey. Does the other one at 1.05 get you the other 40%? Regardless, you’re handicapped already against McCaffrey. And how much of an upgrade is the WR you get at 1.07 over whatever else you can plug into your lineup?
The only way I do this is if I’m super thin in my starting lineup, in a total rebuild with McCaffrey as my only viable piece, or would just rather spread injury risk from one stud out over three other assets. Otherwise I hold him and have a huge advantage every week over every other team in the league. He’s a fantasy assassin. You don’t trade guys like that.
I would take Dobbins at 3 and assume I’d make a run in 2 years when Ingram is out the door or close to it. I think in 2-3 years he will be more than what Ingram scored last year.
I know this league well and they always go very heavy on RB. Almost positive the guy at 4 would take a RB and then I would take Juedy or Lamb at 5. At 7 I would most likely get the receiver I didn’t choose unless the person at six just doesn’t like Akers or Swift. He needs a RB though.
I was thinking more on the lines of sell CMAC while he’s at peak value. If I get 2018 CMAC, which was still RB2 behind Gurley, it’d be easier to close the gap. Also I’m concerned with the Panthers in how they have a new qb and didn’t draft anything on offense. I’m not saying Bridgewater will be bad for CMAC but I think I have a better chance of 2018 CMAC than 2019 CMAC.
My other RBs are Zeke, Conner and Breida so when you add in Dobbs who probably won’t be great in year one of his timeshare, I’d still be solid at RB. It’s a 14 team league so RBs aren’t plentiful. I think Breida and Connor lose a ton of value after this year since I could see their teams both drafting their replacement next year.
Juedy and Lamb would help my aging wr corp. I have Hopkins, Adams, Theielen, and Hilton. I’m going to shop Thielen, Hilton, Breida, and Conner to see if I can get a late first and draft another rookie wr.
I know my team is built to win now so losing CMAC would probably hurt my chances badly but a lot can happen in the playoffs. This team gets to the playoffs even without CMAC.
Rb: Zeke, Dobbs, Connor, Breida
WR: Hopkins, Adams, Juedy, Lamb, Thielen, Hilton
TE: Kelce, H. Henry, Gronk
I could be strong for many years to come
I really appreciate the feedback even though it’s strong against my trade. It’s a gamble for sure