Do we have the same team - Booker, DT and Ajayi.
I'm thinking the opposite of you, though with Booker and Thomas. DT is locked into his targets. He's getting about 8 or so every single game so I don't think that changes. He also caught a TD from Lynch in Week 5. I also think the Jags are going to come out and load up the box and force Lynch to throw it which is going to make things really tough on Booker, make that tougher since the Broncos' O line stinks already.
i think Thomas has a floor of around 10-12 points in PPR which I'll take. Booker's could be sub-10 if they can't get the running game going. Could he get some receptions? Yes that's possible but in Week 5 in Lynch's first start the Broncos' couldn't run at all so even if he gets some receptions the lack of run game production could hurt him significantly. I think he's going to need a TD to come through no matter what this week without Siemian in all probability unless he breaks a big gain.
Also, one thing to keep in mind about all those Week 5 RB receptions is the Broncos were trailing in that game. That may not be the case on Sunday. In fact if the game plays according to script the Broncos should be playing from the front, even if it's a low-scoring game. I'm not sure the RBs will be needed to catch a ton of passes, at least not as many as Anderson and Booker were catching in Week 5 anyway. One other note - Booker has only had more than two receptions in a game once in the past six games. It's not like he has a huge role in the Denver passing game. So I don't think anyone should be penciling him for huge reception totals. Now he should be getting more given how good of a receiver he is and how good he is in the open field but Kubiak doesn't seem inclined to utilize him more there so based on recent game history there's nothing to indicate that's going to change.
Personally, I think Thomas is the safer play between the two. Right now I've got Ajayi in over Booker although his matchup is God awful I might end up going back to Booker before 1 ET on Sunday. I'm not crazy about either one of these situations right now and this being Week 13 isn't making any of this any more appealing.