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Bernie Sanders HQ! *A decent human being. (9 Viewers)

HS Tim 'I'm anti establishment because I believe xyz' is different from telling people two totally different things about one's involvement in two consecutive breaths. What's worse is Hillary thinks she can just jerk people around like this. Oh she's an experienced insider! Oh she's a rebellious maverick! Dance puppet dance!

 
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HS Tim 'I'm anti establishment because I believe xyz' is different from telling people two totally different things about one's involvement in two consecutive breaths. What's worse is Hillary thinks she can just jerk people around like this. Oh she's an experienced insider! Oh she's a rebellious maverick! Dance puppet dance!
You know, sometimes I have the distinct impression that you don't like her, Saints.
 
The cynicism never fails to amaze. Hillary can say anything. Note how now Hillary was merely a lowly US Senator for a mere 8 years but up until now her impressive "resume" includes alleged public service in DC dating 23 years to 1992 and in politics since 1974, the woman attended both political conventions in 1968 for crying out loud. But she's totally an outsider.
I've described Hillary as "reptilian" before. This is the kind of thing I'm talking about. A normal person would have a hard time saying stuff like this, but it doesn't seem to bother her at all.
There is not a single politician in Washington who believes they are part of any "establishment". No matter how long they have been there, all of them perceive themselves as independent souls who go their own way and defy expectations. Hillary is no different from the rest in this regard.
Sure, but Hillary really is different in her ability to tell people two completely different and mutually exclusive things on two different days. Even most politicians generally have a limit for how far they can push this sort of thing without getting overloaded by cognitive dissonance.

 
The cynicism never fails to amaze. Hillary can say anything. Note how now Hillary was merely a lowly US Senator for a mere 8 years but up until now her impressive "resume" includes alleged public service in DC dating 23 years to 1992 and in politics since 1974, the woman attended both political conventions in 1968 for crying out loud. But she's totally an outsider.
I've described Hillary as "reptilian" before. This is the kind of thing I'm talking about. A normal person would have a hard time saying stuff like this, but it doesn't seem to bother her at all.
There is not a single politician in Washington who believes they are part of any "establishment". No matter how long they have been there, all of them perceive themselves as independent souls who go their own way and defy expectations. Hillary is no different from the rest in this regard.
Sure, but Hillary really is different in her ability to tell people two completely different and mutually exclusive things on two different days. Even most politicians generally have a limit for how far they can push this sort of thing without getting overloaded by cognitive dissonance.
Shes either a terrible politician or a brilliant one. I would go with the former, yet if she wins we may look back at her career and this election cycle of 2016, like no other, and marvel at how she pulled it off.
 
HS Tim 'I'm anti establishment because I believe xyz' is different from telling people two totally different things about one's involvement in two consecutive breaths. What's worse is Hillary thinks she can just jerk people around like this. Oh she's an experienced insider! Oh she's a rebellious maverick! Dance puppet dance!
You know, sometimes I have the distinct impression that you don't like her, Saints.
Yeah? Take a look around, she helped "lead" us here.

 
Tim why do you pretend that you can't find the link posted further up?
Nowhere in that article does anyone suggest, even vaguely, that Bernie hates black people.
Seriously?

Can you explain the material difference between "black lives don't matter to Bernie Sanders" and "Bernie Sanders hates black people?" It seems to me that one implies the other, making them loosely equivalent.

(Actually, a person could hate black people and still value their lives, just less that white lives. If you want to be pedantic about it, Brock is saying that Sanders assigns literally zero value to the lives of black people, which is technically a stronger statement than just saying that he hates them).
In the current context, my understanding is that when someone uses the terms "Black Lives Matter" or "Black Lives don't matter" they're referring to the goals of the BLM movement, if that makes any sense.That being said, I'm not too excited to see David Brock getting involved nor am I happy with the direction that Hillary is taking this campaign. I still think she's going to win but she's trying awfully hard to give it away. And I don't like how Hillary plays politics and never have.
The campaign is going exactly the way we said it would even in the face of "this time's going to be different". It's exactly going the way she wants it to go. This is what she knows. This isn't her "trying to give it away". That's an excuse which ignores the reality of who she is. No one is forcing her to go this path. This is her best shot at winning. Might be time to sit down and think about what all these realities mean. There's still time Tim...perhaps your initial thoughts about her last election cycle are more true and based in reality than her book (which seems to be the single source that helped you make that 180 degree turn on her).

 
The cynicism never fails to amaze. Hillary can say anything. Note how now Hillary was merely a lowly US Senator for a mere 8 years but up until now her impressive "resume" includes alleged public service in DC dating 23 years to 1992 and in politics since 1974, the woman attended both political conventions in 1968 for crying out loud. But she's totally an outsider.
I've described Hillary as "reptilian" before. This is the kind of thing I'm talking about. A normal person would have a hard time saying stuff like this, but it doesn't seem to bother her at all.
There is not a single politician in Washington who believes they are part of any "establishment". No matter how long they have been there, all of them perceive themselves as independent souls who go their own way and defy expectations. Hillary is no different from the rest in this regard.
Sure, but Hillary really is different in her ability to tell people two completely different and mutually exclusive things on two different days. Even most politicians generally have a limit for how far they can push this sort of thing without getting overloaded by cognitive dissonance.
And what really seems to hurt her is the stark contrast in how she is versus Bernie. When he was confronted with the Democratic Socialist question he owned it and explained why it wasn't a bad thing. Hillary would have tried to distance herself and attack the other side if the same type of question had been given to her.

 
The cynicism never fails to amaze. Hillary can say anything. Note how now Hillary was merely a lowly US Senator for a mere 8 years but up until now her impressive "resume" includes alleged public service in DC dating 23 years to 1992 and in politics since 1974, the woman attended both political conventions in 1968 for crying out loud. But she's totally an outsider.
I've described Hillary as "reptilian" before. This is the kind of thing I'm talking about. A normal person would have a hard time saying stuff like this, but it doesn't seem to bother her at all.
There is not a single politician in Washington who believes they are part of any "establishment". No matter how long they have been there, all of them perceive themselves as independent souls who go their own way and defy expectations. Hillary is no different from the rest in this regard.
Sure, but Hillary really is different in her ability to tell people two completely different and mutually exclusive things on two different days. Even most politicians generally have a limit for how far they can push this sort of thing without getting overloaded by cognitive dissonance.
Shes either a terrible politician or a brilliant one. I would go with the former, yet if she wins we may look back at her career and this election cycle of 2016, like no other, and marvel at how she pulled it off.
I certainly would....that's for sure. It would be absolutely mind boggling.

 
I wouldn't marvel at all - as I said before, that's what I still think will happen and it will be a sad day for a lot of people. Not so much because Hillary is elected but because her being elected will mean more of the same and 4-8 more years of the country being further divided. I'm tired of that ####.

 
Tim why do you pretend that you can't find the link posted further up?
Nowhere in that article does anyone suggest, even vaguely, that Bernie hates black people.
Seriously?

Can you explain the material difference between "black lives don't matter to Bernie Sanders" and "Bernie Sanders hates black people?" It seems to me that one implies the other, making them loosely equivalent.

(Actually, a person could hate black people and still value their lives, just less that white lives. If you want to be pedantic about it, Brock is saying that Sanders assigns literally zero value to the lives of black people, which is technically a stronger statement than just saying that he hates them).
In the current context, my understanding is that when someone uses the terms "Black Lives Matter" or "Black Lives don't matter" they're referring to the goals of the BLM movement, if that makes any sense.That being said, I'm not too excited to see David Brock getting involved nor am I happy with the direction that Hillary is taking this campaign. I still think she's going to win but she's trying awfully hard to give it away. And I don't like how Hillary plays politics and never have.
The campaign is going exactly the way we said it would even in the face of "this time's going to be different". It's exactly going the way she wants it to go. This is what she knows. This isn't her "trying to give it away". That's an excuse which ignores the reality of who she is. No one is forcing her to go this path. This is her best shot at winning. Might be time to sit down and think about what all these realities mean. There's still time Tim...perhaps your initial thoughts about her last election cycle are more true and based in reality than her book (which seems to be the single source that helped you make that 180 degree turn on her).
Commish, it wasn't her book, but Game Change, not written by her. But even if I come to despise Hillary Clinton, I can't see myself walking away from supporting her since she represents the center and I don't want to upend the status quo. If there was another viable centrist choice out there I might reconsider but so far there isn't one.

 
Tim the problem with that argument is that Hillary causes the center to fall apart. You have a wonderful principle and ideology (seriously) but you have the worst possible standard bearer for it.

 
Tim why do you pretend that you can't find the link posted further up?
Nowhere in that article does anyone suggest, even vaguely, that Bernie hates black people.
Seriously?

Can you explain the material difference between "black lives don't matter to Bernie Sanders" and "Bernie Sanders hates black people?" It seems to me that one implies the other, making them loosely equivalent.

(Actually, a person could hate black people and still value their lives, just less that white lives. If you want to be pedantic about it, Brock is saying that Sanders assigns literally zero value to the lives of black people, which is technically a stronger statement than just saying that he hates them).
In the current context, my understanding is that when someone uses the terms "Black Lives Matter" or "Black Lives don't matter" they're referring to the goals of the BLM movement, if that makes any sense.That being said, I'm not too excited to see David Brock getting involved nor am I happy with the direction that Hillary is taking this campaign. I still think she's going to win but she's trying awfully hard to give it away. And I don't like how Hillary plays politics and never have.
The campaign is going exactly the way we said it would even in the face of "this time's going to be different". It's exactly going the way she wants it to go. This is what she knows. This isn't her "trying to give it away". That's an excuse which ignores the reality of who she is. No one is forcing her to go this path. This is her best shot at winning. Might be time to sit down and think about what all these realities mean. There's still time Tim...perhaps your initial thoughts about her last election cycle are more true and based in reality than her book (which seems to be the single source that helped you make that 180 degree turn on her).
Commish, it wasn't her book, but Game Change, not written by her.But even if I come to despise Hillary Clinton, I can't see myself walking away from supporting her since she represents the center and I don't want to upend the status quo. If there was another viable centrist choice out there I might reconsider but so far there isn't one.
I could have sworn that you said your opinion of her changed when you read her book...apologies.

ETA: And I like how all the important parts of the comment go unaddressed, but THIS part is worth reply :thumbup:

 
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Tim the problem with that argument is that Hillary causes the center to fall apart. You have a wonderful principle and ideology (seriously) but you have the worst possible standard bearer for it.
To me, it's very similar to the people who think Trump is "conservative". The big difference here is Trump is a relatively new entity so I can see how someone might be bamboozled by him with his dog and pony show. With Hillary, to believe she's a "centerist" or "unifier of the middle" is to ignore a very long political career.

 
I find it baffling she can claim Bernie won't be able to work with the other side to get things done on the heels of her constantly attacking the other side as an enemy that needs to be defeated.

 
DrudgeReport ran one of their super unscientific and meaningless "Superpolls" on their page, but I had to laugh at the results:

Trump 36.05% (413,399 votes) - Sanders 29.69% (340,387 votes) - Cruz 19.23% (220,501 votes) - Rubio 4.92% (56,444 votes) - (a bunch of others) - Clinton 0.88% (10,096 votes)

 
I still have a hard time believing that the Democratic party really hitched its wagon so strongly to a candidate who is under FBI investigation, and that it continues to double-down on that decision.

A lot has been written about what a clown show the GOP has become (rightly). But the Democrats have seriously lost it this time around too, in a quieter and less Trump-y way.
Hillary Clinton is not under FBI investigation. You've allowed the noise level of this manufactured scandal to elevate it's standing in your own mind.

 
New Suffolk poll in New Hampshire

Clinton 41

Sanders 50

Several interesting points -

Poll demographics

Female 57%

Male 43%

The poll participants skewed heavily in Clinton's favor in terms of gender - yet she was still down 9 points.

Favorability - Bernie was 79/12 (+67), Clinton 70/23 (+47)

The general "position" questions:

1. Guns - favored Clinton 44-30

2. Health care - Bernie with a very slight advantage 44-42

3. Emails - only 26% said it "bothered" voters

So, Hillary does relatively well v. Bernie on these issues, but still trails by 9

4. Trust - Bernie wins big here, 51-36 - and this really drives at the likability issue that Clinton faces.

 
I still have a hard time believing that the Democratic party really hitched its wagon so strongly to a candidate who is under FBI investigation, and that it continues to double-down on that decision.

A lot has been written about what a clown show the GOP has become (rightly). But the Democrats have seriously lost it this time around too, in a quieter and less Trump-y way.
Hillary Clinton is not under FBI investigation. You've allowed the noise level of this manufactured scandal to elevate it's standing in your own mind.
http://www.politifact.com/truth-o-meter/statements/2016/jan/14/jeb-bush/heres-whats-wrong-jeb-bush-saying-hillary-clinton-/

Her actions are under investigation and no one manufactured those actions....Hillary did.

 
If Hillary wins Iowa I think she has a shot in New Hampshire despite the polling. Even if she loses Iowa I wouldn't count her out in New Hampshire.

NH is a weird state. Hillary's turnaround win there in 2008 was shocking- only 2 days before she was 12 points down.

 
IIRC, the 2008 NH primary had a very similar gender breakdown so I assume that's where the weighting is coming from.

That seems about right. Iowa momentum could be decisive in either making New Hampshire close or turning it into a DD win for Sanders

 
If Hillary wins Iowa I think she has a shot in New Hampshire despite the polling. Even if she loses Iowa I wouldn't count her out in New Hampshire.

NH is a weird state. Hillary's turnaround win there in 2008 was shocking- only 2 days before she was 12 points down.
Hillary has no chance in New Hampshire.

If she somehow gets a win in Iowa, voters in NH will want to be contrarian. If Bernie wins in Iowa, his supporters will be emboldened, and will show up in force in New Hampshire.

She is also facing a difficult electorate - NH allows independents to vote in either primary - and if right-leaning voters sense blood in the water, they will vote against Clinton.

 
If Hillary wins Iowa I think she has a shot in New Hampshire despite the polling. Even if she loses Iowa I wouldn't count her out in New Hampshire.

NH is a weird state. Hillary's turnaround win there in 2008 was shocking- only 2 days before she was 12 points down.
Hillary has no chance in New Hampshire.

If she somehow gets a win in Iowa, voters in NH will want to be contrarian. If Bernie wins in Iowa, his supporters will be emboldened, and will show up in force in New Hampshire.

She is also facing a difficult electorate - NH allows independents to vote in either primary - and if right-leaning voters sense blood in the water, they will vote against Clinton.
All of these factors existed in 2008, if not more so. So what happened?
 
So someone explain to me what this "Clinton isn't under investigation, her server is" line of thought? It's the new talking point and being repeated in several places. What is so significantly different about them that warrants this dedication to distinguishing them?

ETA: And yes I use "dedication" in very loose terms here as it's just popped up recently after information's been revealed.

 
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She is also facing a difficult electorate - NH allows independents to vote in either primary - and if right-leaning voters sense blood in the water, they will vote against Clinton.
Given what's going on in the Republican primary, I'm doubtful that a lot of right-leaning people will forgo voting there to vote for Sanders. The whole "vote in either primary" thing does make things somewhat unpredictable, though.

 
Saints that article was from September. Krugman was trying to be provocative but made a pretty good point; I remember reading it back then. Not sure why you're posting it now.

 
Saints that article was from September. Krugman was trying to be provocative but made a pretty good point; I remember reading it back then. Not sure why you're posting it now.
I've deleted it, too snarky I agree, the point was that Krugman saw "good" in Trump's past economic proposals and everything he says about Hillary now could just as well as have applied to Trump then.

 
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Saints that article was from September. Krugman was trying to be provocative but made a pretty good point; I remember reading it back then. Not sure why you're posting it now.
I've deleted it, too snarky I agree, the point was that Krugman saw "good" in Trump's past economic proposals and everything he says about Hillary now could just as well as have applied to Trump then.
Not really seeing the connection but OK.
 
So someone explain to me what this "Clinton isn't under investigation, her server is" line of thought? It's the new talking point and being repeated in several places. What is so significantly different about them that warrants this dedication to distinguishing them?

ETA: And yes I use "dedication" in very loose terms here as it's just popped up recently after information's been revealed.
so nothing here? we can all agree to stop this incredibly stupid shtick? Makes "exactly the same" shtick look like a stroke of brilliance.

 
Haven't read either piece because, well....Krugman. There are few I ignore completely but there are exceptions to that rule....he's one.
Probably the most famous and one of the most well decorated economists on Earth? Yeah, why read his stuff.

LOL
yeah no
And I should probably clarify this. I am willing to bet the link you provided us has nothing to do with economics rather a political commentary of some sort. His economics are fine....nothing earth shattering. He's a complete trainwrek when he's talking about things outside his "expertise". It's sort of like trying to rely on Richard Dawkins to learn about some world religion.

 
Haven't read either piece because, well....Krugman. There are few I ignore completely but there are exceptions to that rule....he's one.
Probably the most famous and one of the most well decorated economists on Earth? Yeah, why read his stuff.LOL
yeah no
And I should probably clarify this. I am willing to bet the link you provided us has nothing to do with economics rather a political commentary of some sort. His economics are fine....nothing earth shattering. He's a complete trainwrek when he's talking about things outside his "expertise". It's sort of like trying to rely on Richard Dawkins to learn about some world religion.
Good point, since economic and federal policy don't intersect.

 
Haven't read either piece because, well....Krugman. There are few I ignore completely but there are exceptions to that rule....he's one.
Probably the most famous and one of the most well decorated economists on Earth? Yeah, why read his stuff.LOL
yeah no
And I should probably clarify this. I am willing to bet the link you provided us has nothing to do with economics rather a political commentary of some sort. His economics are fine....nothing earth shattering. He's a complete trainwrek when he's talking about things outside his "expertise". It's sort of like trying to rely on Richard Dawkins to learn about some world religion.
Good point, since economic and federal policy don't intersect.
oh boy

 
:shock: She had a 20 point lead two weeks ago!
Weirdly enough Hillary's campaign had just thrown out internal polling confirming she was ahead.

LV/NV is definitely union territory too.

An 0-3 start heading into SC is a definite possibility.
Nevada’s largest labor organization, the powerful Culinary Union, will not offer an endorsement before the state’s Democratic caucuses next month, a reversal from 2008, when a bitter fight emerged over its backing.

Local 226, which boasts 55,000 members who serve cocktails in casinos and prepare food for the roughly 50 million tourists who come to the state each year, said in a statement late Monday it will instead focus on helping elect a candidate in the November general election.

Eight years ago, in a closely fought Democratic primary, the union backed then-Sen. Barack Obama over Hillary Clinton. But the endorsement flowered into a hostile dispute, with former President Bill Clinton accusing the union of strong-arming its members — a majority of whom are Latino — into backing Obama.

 
Bernie down by 29 points in latest Iowa poll from Loras college. I guess that's an improvement from his 32-point deficit in that poll a month ago?

0-1 start is looking more and more likely, IMO. :thumbdown:

 

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