Blick
Footballguy
I’ve never come close to this kind of feat.Drafting DK and AJB in the same draft is probably the greatest achievement of my life.
I’ve never come close to this kind of feat.Drafting DK and AJB in the same draft is probably the greatest achievement of my life.
+1I'm doing a startup tomorrow with people from these boards so I'll refrain from listing them out but will just say if this was FFPC standard I'd easily have Chubb last.
I'm in a ton of dynasty leagues that have multiple versions of these formats (contract/no contract/contract with salaries). I prefer no contract. I feel that player evaluation is much easier with no contracts. In the leagues I'm in that have contracts, when the contract expires, there's typically an offseason free agent auction, where it usually costs some league-specific currency to retain your best players. These leagues also have taxi squads where you can stash rookies for up to three seasons. My gripe with contract leagues is when you have, say, George Kittle on a 1-year deal (meaning he becomes a free agent after the season), and another guy has TJ Hockenson on a longer deal or on taxi squad (meaning he can be given as long a contract as the owner wants). In this example, owners will almost always want a discount because of Kittle's contract, while Hockenson carries a premium for having no contract. It's much easier for me to value Kittle against Hockenson with no contracts involved.Do most of you play a Dynasty Format where you get to hold the Player as long as you like, or Dynasty that involves Contracts (Years, Salary Cap, or both)?
I think 20's high, but I'm not worried about per game volume. He's a great bet for high yards per touch and at least a score every week.Yeah, he probably can't quite get Henry volume with Hunt there, but I expect the browns to be good and for Chubb to be closing out a lot of games with the lead this year. Plus, their schedule is very RB friendly (if you buy into that sort of thing carrying over). I think 20 touches a game is a decent bet.
I passed on both....for Darrel Henderson. :gunshot:Drafting DK and AJB in the same draft is probably the greatest achievement of my life.
I passed on both...for N'Keal Harry.I passed on both....for Darrel Henderson. :gunshot:
I passed on both....for Darrel Henderson. :gunshot:
Hold my beer because I passed on both of them for both these guys. But then I took Metcalf at 1.06 and the guy that took AJ Brown at like 1.10 traded him to me for Harry and 2.02, where I took Singletary who returned value for me.I passed on both...for N'Keal Harry.
I loathe all things group think. Welcome aboard!That 2019 draft was just wack like crack for fantasy purposes. We're supposed to be able to depend on "the professionals" to guide us on which players really are good, because, you know, draft position and all that.
It was after then that I decided I was going to take one person's counsel in all this - mine.
I agree with this, and so do most others.I loathe all things group think. Welcome aboard!
Probably one of the few things we can unanimously agree on.I agree with this, and so do most others.
While it has been a long drought of good RB in Detroit for a long time, since Barry Sanders really, I think they have a very good one now with Swift. New coaching staff, I'm willing to put that concern aside now. If the Lions had kept Patricia then I would be less optimistic.I agree with the above posts about him having a wide range of values. You're basically looking at what the owner wants for him. Ymmv
I'm only in one league (thanks for taking my bank account to the woodshed corona) and it's one I've been in for over a decade. We've got a 5 year max contract, 50mil salary cap, 300k salary minimum, roster max/min of 35/30 with unlimited taxi squad of 3 years, full idp (q, rbrb, wrwrwr, te, flex(all non qb), k, dtdt, dede, lblb, cbcb, ss, Def flex). 16 teams in the league.
I really don't like this question because sitting here I know logically those wrs are all going to be better than those rb for longer. But position scarcity and group think would make me put the rbs higher if I were actually going to be drafting right now. So in a vacuum it would be something like all the wrs in one teir then Dobbins small break cubb big break swift. In reality I would probably pick Dobbins first and have chubb somewhere in the middle of the wr grouping, with swift still last. Never trust a Detroit rb.
I had Brown, got Lamb, Swift and Dobbins last year, tremendous young nucleusDrafting DK and AJB in the same draft is probably the greatest achievement of my life.
tangfoot said:I agree with this, and so do most others.MAC_32 said:I loathe all things group think. Welcome aboard!
DropKick said:Probably one of the few things we can unanimously agree on.tangfoot said:I agree with this, and so do most others.
Remember when almost everyone had Cordarralle Patterson as the best WR of that draft class?Andy Dufresne said:That 2019 draft was just wack like crack for fantasy purposes. We're supposed to be able to depend on "the professionals" to guide us on which players really are good, because, you know, draft position and all that.
It was after then that I decided I was going to take one person's counsel in all this - mine.
Det has invested a lot of capital in the rb in the first two rounds since Barry Sanders. Kerryon Johnson (rnd 2, 2018), Ameer Abdullah (rnd 2, 2015), Mike Leshoure (rnd 2, 2011), Javid Best (rnd 1 2010)... And so on. In that time their best draft pick at rb was Theo Riddick, round 6 2013.Biabreakable said:While it has been a long drought of good RB in Detroit for a long time, since Barry Sanders really, I think they have a very good one now with Swift. New coaching staff, I'm willing to put that concern aside now. If the Lions had kept Patricia then I would be less optimistic.
I consider Dobbins and Swift to be tier one talents at the RB position. The tie breaker for me between them is that Swift is one year younger than Dobbins and I also think there is more entrenched RBBC in Baltimore compared to Detriot.
During his three years with Lynn as his hc Melvin Gordon went over 1000 yards rushing once. Yes Lynn slammed him into the line repeatedly despite Gordon's atrocious ypc so I can appreciate the idea of putting a more skilled player in Swift in the same position and expecting better results. Det could have a sneaky good oline this season which is something the chargers never had as well, but the chargers always had a defense that was at least solid. The lions might be the worst in the league if not for Houston. Will Lynn still be calling rb dives when the score is 28-3 in the third? Add to that Lynn began to embrace the rbbc with eckler, and I'm not convinced Swift is set up to be on the field during all the "come back" attempts detroit will be making this season.Surely you are aware of Anthony Lynns track record and he is their offensive coordinator. I don't really care about the coach speak here I know what he has done with RB in the past and I see this as very favorable for Swift in 2021.
As far as the Lions failure to secure a good RB despite some highish picks invested in them does not mean that Swift is not head and shoulders a better player than any of those guys were.
I am mostly betting on the player here over the history coaches or scheme. To put more of a point on that I think Swift is similarly talented as Dalvin Cook and he might have a very very productive season in 2021.
eta - As some of you know I am a Vikings fan. So its a somewhat painful admission by me to say that Swift may be almost as good as Dalvin Cook.
I agree that Swift in an eckler role would be a great fit, but that's where the signing of Williams concerns me. He's been sure handed the past two years catching 39 of 45 targets in 2019 and 31 of 35 targets in 2020, and I can imagine the coaching staff thinking they can galaxy brain the rest of the league by trying to stuff two round pegs into a square hole. I'm not inspired by Campbell or Lynn, and think that Campbell's hire was more about washing the Fat Pat stink out of the building by hiring a "players coach" than hiring the guy who can make the team superbowl worthy.Well it's interesting you bring up Gordon and dive plays. I would agree that when I watched the Chargers back then, that there was too much of that.
What is more intriguing to me about those teams is how he used Austin Eckler and what that may mean as far as Swifts opportunity as a receiver.
If I was an owner, regardless of my roster - I would want a 2022 1st or 2021 2nd round pick for him. It really is roster dependent for what the guy is holding or holes in the roster. If there are positional holes and you have an abudance of WR, maybe an Odell Beckham, Curtis Samuel tier player? I am staying clear of Mike Davis because I think his asking price is likely too high and the uncertainty for next year, because I am not one to rent a player.RB Mike Davis. I have a win now team and to have him as my flex would be great in my eyes, or as my RB3 in case of injury. Anyone know where to value him knowing he could be great this year but possibly replaced after that?
Probably depends mostly on how competitive the team is that currently rosters him. I was able to get him about a month ago for the 3.07 and a 2022 3rd. This was right after the NFL draft. The team that I acquired him from is one of the two worst teams in the league, so I was able to remind him that Mike Davis isn’t going to be doing him any good this season or next. I would think most people are going to want at least a 2nd for him, though. I would probably pay that if I were win now, because I think he has a good shot at finishing Top-15 this year.Interested in possibly acquiring RB Mike Davis. I have a win now team and to have him as my flex would be great in my eyes, or as my RB3 in case of injury. Anyone know where to value him knowing he could be great this year but possibly replaced after that?
I moved him for the 2.12 in this years draft before the NFL Draft. I am happy with the deal (I took Chuba with the pick). He should see volume this year and is a nice depth piece for a contending team.Interested in possibly acquiring RB Mike Davis. I have a win now team and to have him as my flex would be great in my eyes, or as my RB3 in case of injury. Anyone know where to value him knowing he could be great this year but possibly replaced after that?
The difference in price between Beckham and Samuel is huge imo. Samuel is an end of the roster guy and Beckham is in the wr 2/3 range with potential to have a "FU" bounce back year.If I was an owner, regardless of my roster - I would want a 2022 1st or 2021 2nd round pick for him. It really is roster dependent for what the guy is holding or holes in the roster. If there are positional holes and you have an abudance of WR, maybe an Odell Beckham, Curtis Samuel tier player? I am staying clear of Mike Davis because I think his asking price is likely too high and the uncertainty for next year, because I am not one to rent a player.
I'm confused, are you trying to pick up Evans? You seem set at wr and need to be aiming for rb. Or do you have Evans and want to pair him with one of your rbs to get something back?Mike Evans - price check. 10 team/PPR
I have A. Rob, Diontae Johnson, Julio Jones, AJ Brown, Jerry Jeudy and Michael Pittman (only guys worth naming).
Looking at pairing him with one of my RB's I don't want (they're unappealing) for literally anything of value.
RB's Leonard Fournette, Melvin Gordon, Kenyan Drake
I have the 2.2 and - any idea of a player or pick range I can land for him?
Not that this matters much but his contract makes him more of a potential two year rental provided he performs decently. He got $5.5M with $3M of that guaranteed. $2.5M is not a lot for a starting RB which is what he’d be getting in his second year provided he performs this year.The difference in price between Beckham and Samuel is huge imo. Samuel is an end of the roster guy and Beckham is in the wr 2/3 range with potential to have a "FU" bounce back year.
On that note, I agree with you on your overall impression of Mike Davis, too high and asking price for me on a one year rental that won't dramatically increase my odds of winning a league.
This is his first year officially being a starter at the age of 28. He's playing for a team that just threw in the towel on the season. He's had one season where his ypc was over 4, despite working as a backup where those numbers get inflated by the defense not expecting runs.Not that this matters much but his contract makes him more of a potential two year rental provided he performs decently. He got $5.5M with $3M of that guaranteed. $2.5M is not a lot for a starting RB which is what he’d be getting in his second year provided he performs this year.
I don’t disagree that could be a possibility but if that’s an option then why didn’t Atl do that this year and give him some competition? I think people on this board put too much stock in late round draft picks and UDFAs. Sure, occasionally they “hit” but let’s be honest. How often is that? At least Davis has proven he belongs in the league.This is his first year officially being a starter at the age of 28. He's playing for a team that just threw in the towel on the season. He's had one season where his ypc was over 4, despite working as a backup where those numbers get inflated by the defense not expecting runs.
He'll get volume but there's nothing stopping atl from replacing him next year with a late pick or a udfa.
Until they traded Julio Atl didn't even have the cap space to sign their rookie class. Doubt they could attract any quality competition.I don’t disagree that could be a possibility but if that’s an option then why didn’t Atl do that this year and give him some competition? I think people on this board put too much stock in late round draft picks and UDFAs. Sure, occasionally they “hit” but let’s be honest. How often is that? At least Davis has proven he belongs in the league.
I see Davis in that magical land of untradeable because his owner will want more than a guy trying to pick him up on the cheap is willing to pay. He is worth more to have on a team than it is to get a pick that isn't impactful.Interested in possibly acquiring RB Mike Davis. I have a win now team and to have him as my flex would be great in my eyes, or as my RB3 in case of injury. Anyone know where to value him knowing he could be great this year but possibly replaced after that?
Regarding the bolded above, I'm not sure that's entirely the case. Among other things, you don't sign a back like Mike Davis to a deal like that if you're throwing in the towel. It just doesn't make sense.This is his first year officially being a starter at the age of 28. He's playing for a team that just threw in the towel on the season. He's had one season where his ypc was over 4, despite working as a backup where those numbers get inflated by the defense not expecting runs.
He'll get volume but there's nothing stopping atl from replacing him next year with a late pick or a udfa.
Strongly disagree. And this is coming from someone who just picked Beckham in a startup (WR35), so it isn't like it's because I'm low on him. Curtis went WR45 and the only player I had higher on my board at that time was Fuller who I selected 4 picks later.The difference in price between Beckham and Samuel is huge imo. Samuel is an end of the roster guy and Beckham is in the wr 2/3 range with potential to have a "FU" bounce back year.
On that note, I agree with you on your overall impression of Mike Davis, too high and asking price for me on a one year rental that won't dramatically increase my odds of winning a league.
I think the main difference is upside. I don’t believe Samuel has the upside of a WR1.Strongly disagree. And this is coming from someone who just picked Beckham in a startup (WR35), so it isn't like it's because I'm low on him. Curtis went WR45 and the only player I had higher on my board at that time was Fuller who I selected 4 picks later.
I agree, but Beckham also has 3+ years on him and that hasn't produced a good season in a half decade thing.I think the main difference is upside. I don’t believe Samuel has the upside of a WR1.
Sorry, trying to pair Evans and one of my RBs for literally anything. Also, potentially including 2.2. This thread is tough to navigate because of roster breakdown, etc.I'm confused, are you trying to pick up Evans? You seem set at wr and need to be aiming for rb. Or do you have Evans and want to pair him with one of your rbs to get something back?
I’d probably put Harris, Pitts, and Chase ahead of him.Can I get a price check (draft pick wise) for Chris Godwin?
But would you take the 1.04 for him?I’d probably put Harris, Pitts, and Chase ahead of him.
Yes, Etienne and Javonte are worth more than Godwin. Buy him for the 1.6.But would you take the 1.04 for him?
I probably wouldn't.
I think it would depend on my evaluation of Etienne and how bad I needed a RB. I’d probably take the risk on Etienne though.But would you take the 1.04 for him?
I probably wouldn't.
This is where I have him tooYes, Etienne and Javonte are worth more than Godwin. Buy him for the 1.6.
Etienne is on my DND list. Any time someone meantions "Percy Harvin" as a comp for a running back it sends up a ton of red flags. Add in the presence of Robinson and Meyer and that's a backfield I want no part of.I think it would depend on my evaluation of Etienne and how bad I needed a RB. I’d probably take the risk on Etienne though.
If you use Etienne like Harvin it's a good thing because he's way better than Harvin.Etienne is on my DND list. Any time someone meantions "Percy Harvin" as a comp for a running back it sends up a ton of red flags. Add in the presence of Robinson and Meyer and that's a backfield I want no part of.