*** OFFICIAL *** FFA WAGERING THREAD - Merry Christmas!!!

[Northern Voice 11,604]

2 minutes ago, Courtjester said:

I bet FD and DK go down at some point and either stop taking bets or give us the "It is taking up to 30 minutes for payouts to be posted" message. 

Pinnacle is incredibly slow today. It took me a ton of attempts to get my bets in.

[Angry Beavers 2,154]

Under 56 - 110 - 1 unit
Sacks O4 - 110 - 1 unit

Rest of these for .5: 
Neither team gets to 6 points in first Q - +300
Chiefs ML and Under Parlay +185
Kelce MVP +1100
No Score in 1st 730 of game +200
TB punts first -180
TB 1st to 3 punts -150
FG or Xtra point hit post or crossbar +300
 

GLTA
AB

Edited February 7 by Angry Beavers

[CFB Sicko 192]

Anyway, fairly easy decision for me:

 

1.) Brady has never lost the Super Bowl as an underdog. Only losses are to Foles and Manning.
2.) Buccaneers have the better pass rush.
3.) This NFL season has been more rigged than any I have ever seen.
4.) The Buccaneers are literally playing at home.
5.) There are enough "Tom Brady haters" who will bet against him for Vegas to make money.
6.) The Chiefs beat the Buccaneers in the regular season.

Everything is shaping up for the public to dump their money onto Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs. I've mentioned this a few times, this is the Patriots / Giants SB on repeat except this time Tom Brady is the underdog riding the #5 seed to upset the best record in the NFL, Kansas City Chiefs.

 

Tampa Bay Buccanneers +140
 

[facook 5,818]

15 minutes ago, Wine Thief said:

Damn Cookerino, I forgot to check in after I asked about squares, my bad.  I've been kinda hate watching the Bucs this year after they dumped Jaboo for some old washed up QB, prolly gonna play the ML on them and that way i'll be happy either way.  Mrs Nugs is all in on Tampa, nauseating.

Hope everyone wins and by wins I means hedge all bets to lock in a profit.  Cheers!

You are probably better off.  I donated $80 to get 1/2 and 8/3.  

[CFB Sicko 192]

Are the same people who wouldn't let the Chiefs cover the spread in the regular season (Vegas) going to give it all back on the biggest game of the year?

Edited February 7 by CFB Sicko

[facook 5,818]

12 minutes ago, CFB Sicko said:

Are the same people who wouldn't let the Chiefs cover the spread in the regular season (Vegas) going to give it all back on the biggest game of the year?

From what I've seen the books (b & m and online both) need KC moneyline and Tampa vs the spread, including having major liability on Buccs futures.  So a KC 1 or 2 point win would certainly validate your beliefs.

[Courtjester 3,496]

I think a sneaky play would be T. Johnson (TB) over 4.5 yards rec +100. This guy only gets about 2 targets a game but seems to pull out an amazing catch (or spectacular drop ) from those targets. 

[kevzilla 8,370]

Kelce anytime TD and KC win +130

[Big League Chew 935]

26 minutes ago, kevzilla said:

Kelce anytime TD and KC win +130

Those are good odds

 

 

[The Ref 4,425]

So most late action on KC -3, but line moving towards KC.  
 

Total action balanced shaded to over but total falling.

 

KC 27-24 or somesuch

[Cowboysfan8 8,146]

1 hour ago, Courtjester said:

I bet FD and DK go down at some point and either stop taking bets or give us the "It is taking up to 30 minutes for payouts to be posted" message. 

I can’t get a bet  in on DK all of the sudden

🙄

[Man In The Box 2,083]

36 minutes ago, Cowboysfan8 said:

I can’t get a bet  in on DK all of the sudden

🙄

I was having issues there too. Keep trying. Log in and out. My bets went through eventually. 

[Cowboysfan8 8,146]

Just now, Man In The Box said:

I was having issues there too. Keep trying. Log in and out. My bets went through eventually. 

Yep, got em in that way also

thanks

[Man In The Box 2,083]

3 hours ago, Man In The Box said:

I love Tampa. Here are my donations. 

TB +3

TB ML

TB -2.5

Scotty Miller o20.5

Scotty Miller first TD 28/1

Devin White MVP 40/1

Adding Antonio Brown o3.5 rec. Good luck all. 

[swirvenirvin 7,060]

On 2/6/2021 at 5:16 PM, FairWarning said:

AN interesting longshot on Fanduel - First one to 10 rush yards - T Hill +2000.  

was going to take him longest rush also but passed

[swirvenirvin 7,060]

4 hours ago, Rodrigo Duterte said:

HI I am looking to bet some props that align with a slanted view of the game.  Which is to say I think the Chiefs could win handily.

However I'm assuming that Mahomes Over props are premium priced and would rather not overpay on this stuff.

Are they any other angles you guys recommend in the prop pool, given my take on the game?  Or do I just close my eyes and wing it on a bunch of KC overs, along with some Tampa rushing unders?

Thank you.

Mahomes MVP

Mahomes 2 TD plus KC wins

 

[FairWarning 1,328]

Its a long shot, but hey - No sacks +4000.

[swirvenirvin 7,060]

3 hours ago, Northern Voice said:

• Tampa scores before first punt
• KC scores before first punt
• Score in first 5 minutes of the game
• Godwin anytime TD
• CEH Over 8.5 rush attempts
• Over 1.5 combined INTs
• Scotty Miller O20.5 receiving yards

im on about everything opposite as this

[East Coast Bias 1,297]

Bet a bunch of the multiple item player props on Bovada. Went heavily KC on them. Need every player to get 100+ receiving yards and a TD or two. Don't care if they were dumb. Watching the game with my son and rooting for offense.

Heads

1Q O10

1H O27.5

Hill 200+ receiving yards and a TD +3300

Either QB 500+ yards +3300

Mahomes & Brady 900+ passing yards, 70+ completions, 5+ passing TD +7500

Kelce and Evans 200+ receiving yards and 2 TDs each +9000

Both teams to score 10+ points in each half, Brady and Mahome 275+ pass yards each, Chiefs -6.5, 50+ points +510

Hill 100+ receiving yards & TD +185

Mahomes & Brady 250+ passing yards each, 2+ pass TDs each, Kelce and Evans 50+ receiving yards each, Hill 60+ rec yards +450

Brady & Mahome 200+ pass yards each, Kelce and Hill 70+ receiving yards each +100

Godwin and Kelce 2 TDs each +5000

Godwin and Hill 2 TDs each +5000

Mahomes 300+ pass yards, Watkins 100+ rec yards, CEH 100+ rush yards +6600

Hill to score first and last TD +4000

Kelce 100+ rec yards and 2+ TDs +500

Brady & Mahomes 600+ pass yards, Evans, Hill, Kelce & Godwin 400+ combined rec yards and 4+ combined TDs +650

Mahomes & Brady 550+ pass yards and 5+ pass TDs, Kelce, Hill and Evans combine for 300 rec yards and 3+ TDs +270

[jamil 833]

8 hours ago, The Ref said:

Vegas cleans up with a 1-2 point KC win.

I have it setup with a bunch on KC ML and TB +3.5 so I feel ok about it.

I’m legit hurt I’m going to not win the anthem prop this year.  I was undefeated.

Tails

TB rec the opening KO

L Ball points -1.5 > 1Q points

Mahomes no Int, Brady first Int

Mahomes no rush/rec TD

mahomes U5.5 rush

brady U .5 Rush yards

No missed xp

Under 2.5 passers

Under 788 yards

T Hill MVP

I hope you all choke

My lamelo bet got cancelled cause the #### was listed as blazers/hornets

[FairWarning 1,328]

All of my props are settled 1-2.  The one winner was this however:

First Player to Reach 10+ Rushing Yards

#2049157 - 02/03/2021 3:11PM 

+5000Patrick Mahomes

STARTED: 02/07/2021 6:30PM 

GAMEPLAY PROPS

 

 

 

[FairWarning 1,328]

Played some over 52.5 live on Fanduel

[Man In The Box 2,083]

33 minutes ago, FairWarning said:

All of my props are settled 1-2.  The one winner was this however:

First Player to Reach 10+ Rushing Yards

#2049157 - 02/03/2021 3:11PM 

+5000Patrick Mahomes

STARTED: 02/07/2021 6:30PM 

GAMEPLAY PROPS

 

 

 

Nice 

[The Ref 4,425]

1 hour ago, jamil said:

My lamelo bet got cancelled cause the #### was listed as blazers/hornets

Such bullS

[mquinnjr 3,050]

Barstool giving anyone who bet 100 on the game a 1k bonus with 1x roll because their site went down if you bet there.

[Courtjester 3,496]

Well, one of those nights where you spread enough bets around that you win enough to cover the beer and Buffalo Wild Wings with an extra little  $ to show for it. Not somehow to be proud of, but things could have been worse I guess. 

[CR69 1,551]

Didn’t do well but had a great time. A day with football sure beats the hell out of a day without it. 

[Cowboysfan8 8,146]

1 minute ago, CR69 said:

Didn’t do well but had a great time. A day with football sure beats the hell out of a day without it. 

6 1/2ish months til the next game 

[CR69 1,551]

9 minutes ago, Cowboysfan8 said:

6 1/2ish months til the next game 

Only 6 1/2 months until the next NFL game!!!

[FairWarning 1,328]

7 hours ago, mquinnjr said:

Barstool giving anyone who bet 100 on the game a 1k bonus with 1x roll because their site went down if you bet there.

Pretty generous of them.  Wish I played there yesterday.

[mquinnjr 3,050]

14 hours ago, FairWarning said:

Pretty generous of them.  Wish I played there yesterday.

They also paid out Gronk over 68.5 and Anytime TD +690 “because it was a bad beat.” It wasn’t a bad beat, just gambling, but I’m not complaining.

[CFB Sicko 192]

sup doods.

[facook 5,818]

Embiid over 29.5 points tonight.

Kings gave Jokic 50.  If Sixers roll and he sits out the 4th he might not make it, but even in a blowout he's got a good shot of getting there as they build the lead.

[lumpy19 8,459]

On 1/25/2021 at 2:32 PM, lumpy19 said:

Grabbed some standard Giselle u1.5 -110

Can’t wait to do this again next year

[mquinnjr 3,050]

FCS college football kicks off this weekend 

https://twitter.com/bookmaker_eu/status/1359482135577526272?s=21

[CFB Sicko 192]

sup doods.

[greedygoat 634]

8 hours ago, CFB Sicko said:

sup doods.

Got any plays or you just saying sup?

[swirvenirvin 7,060]

signed up for etr nba out of boredom... the are terrible at DFS, used their lineups 3 days in a row and the cant even place in a 50/50

[facook 5,818]

@guppymoney on twitter is a pretty sharp handicapper/tout.  I've been reading and watching some of his breakdowns recently and he's been very strong with free plays.  At the risk of mushing him, he's on Nova TT over and Nova/Creighton over today (total was talked about in a video I watched yesterday).  Here's a bit of a breakdown on the Team Total:

=====

Nova Team Total O 74 Nova 11-2 L13 vs Creighton Nova scored 76+ in 6 of 7 in Creighton. (80+ in 5 of 7)

Creighton vs Defenses that allow 50% shooting or higher are 6-1 Averaging 93 points a game in those 7 games. (nova allows 52.7% ranks #273 in the country) Creighton vs Top 50 offenses Giving up over 80 points a game. Nova #5 offense in the country

[CFB Sicko 192]

18 hours ago, greedygoat said:

Got any plays or you just saying sup?

76ers / Suns U221, -110

 

Starts in 40 minutes.

[facook 5,818]

On 2/10/2021 at 6:40 PM, mquinnjr said:

FCS college football kicks off this weekend 

https://twitter.com/bookmaker_eu/status/1359482135577526272?s=21

Tarleton from +2.5 to -1.5.  

[CFB Sicko 192]

####

[facook 5,818]

10 minutes ago, CFB Sicko said:

####

Keep firing Em.  I like betting NBA but don't do it well most of the time.  I'll take your plays when you are willing to share them.

[beer 30 3,558]

1 hour ago, facook said:

Keep firing Em.  I like betting NBA but don't do it well most of the time.  I'll take your plays when you are willing to share them.

@CFB Sicko made a believer out of me a while ago, missed today’s but please keep em coming 

[greedygoat 634]

1 hour ago, facook said:

Keep firing Em.  I like betting NBA but don't do it well most of the time.  I'll take your plays when you are willing to share them.

Plenty of other games to make it back, tonight alone. Don’t get discouraged, in Em we trust. 

[modogg 5,091]

no real research into this one, but going with 

Nets-Warriors ov 245

 

that is a bit of points, but seems like it should hit 

[Courtjester 3,496]

12 minutes ago, modogg said:

no real research into this one, but going with 

Nets-Warriors ov 245

 

that is a bit of points, but seems like it should hit 

That is a ton of points to overcome. I worry with Durant coming back the Nets will be a little disorganized. I went with Curry o 5.5 assists -115. 

I also like N. Noel over 5.5 points +100 for some reason. He isn't much of a scorer, but he is starting tonight.

Edited February 14 by Courtjester

[modogg 5,091]

11 minutes ago, Courtjester said:

That is a ton of points to overcome. I worry with Durant coming back the Nets will be a little disorganized. I went with Curry o 5.5 assists -115. 

I also like N. Noel over 5.5 points +100 for some reason. He isn't much of a scorer, but he is starting tonight.

i've always loved Noel, if i find it i will join you 

[modogg 5,091]

sheesh, should have just bet the Nets -3

[CFB Sicko 192]

Now might not be a terrible time to start betting on some Jazz +600 to win the Western Conference. I mean, they're probably going to be there if they continue playing like this. As of right now they are the #1 seed and they are known to have a great home court advantage.

Stellar defensive team. They just have to get to the Western Finals and you have a +600 hedge against them. Make it a free roll or play it straight. Your choice.