Jump to content
Fantasy Football - Footballguys Forums

*** OFFICIAL *** FFA WAGERING THREAD - Merry Christmas!!!


Recommended Posts

2 hours ago, The Ref said:

Vegas cleans up with a 1-2 point KC win.

I have it setup with a bunch on KC ML and TB +3.5 so I feel ok about it.

I’m legit hurt I’m going to not win the anthem prop this year.  I was undefeated.

Tails

TB rec the opening KO

L Ball points -1.5 > 1Q points

Mahomes no Int, Brady first Int

Mahomes no rush/rec TD

mahomes U5.5 rush

brady U .5 Rush yards

No missed xp

Under 2.5 passers

Under 788 yards

T Hill MVP

I hope you all choke

:oldunsure:  Not sure why you want us to choke. 

Looks like you are the sharp side of a lot of those props. I am on the square side. So you will probably win a lot. Congrats! 

Link to post
Share on other sites
  • Replies 57k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Top Posters In This Topic

  • ChainsawU

    7354

  • swirvenirvin

    5049

  • lumpy19

    4552

  • facook

    4392

Top Posters In This Topic

Popular Posts

Well dudes, interesting update!  My wife and daughter surprised me today, told me they were a comin home 10 days early and would be here within the hour.  The tumor is now so small that he wants to ho

Home.  Some 40 hours later and the kid is basically back to normal.  Amazing.  She'll move up to Orlando for a few months for the radiation treatment with the Mrssus but for her the scary part is over

Well dudes, we're not sure what is next....but tonight Izzy takes her last chemotherapy treatment.  We'll go up in a few weeks to take a peek in her skull to see 'sup...but for tonight - we celebrate.

HI I am looking to bet some props that align with a slanted view of the game.  Which is to say I think the Chiefs could win handily.

However I'm assuming that Mahomes Over props are premium priced and would rather not overpay on this stuff.

Are they any other angles you guys recommend in the prop pool, given my take on the game?  Or do I just close my eyes and wing it on a bunch of KC overs, along with some Tampa rushing unders?

Thank you.

  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites
44 minutes ago, Rodrigo Duterte said:

HI I am looking to bet some props that align with a slanted view of the game.  Which is to say I think the Chiefs could win handily.

However I'm assuming that Mahomes Over props are premium priced and would rather not overpay on this stuff.

Are they any other angles you guys recommend in the prop pool, given my take on the game?  Or do I just close my eyes and wing it on a bunch of KC overs, along with some Tampa rushing unders?

Thank you.

Props Are counterintuitive.  If you think KC wins handily bet unders on Mahomes and overs on Brady.

  • Like 2
Link to post
Share on other sites
5 hours ago, Northern Voice said:

I'm up a bunch on the year for hockey, so here's where I give it all back on dumb super bowl bets. 

  • Tampa scores before first punt
  • KC scores before first punt
  • Score in first 5 minutes of the game
  • Godwin anytime TD
  • CEH Over 8.5 rush attempts
  • Over 1.5 combined INTs
  • Scotty Miller O20.5 receiving yards

:shrug:

Link to post
Share on other sites

Damn Cookerino, I forgot to check in after I asked about squares, my bad.  I've been kinda hate watching the Bucs this year after they dumped Jaboo for some old washed up QB, prolly gonna play the ML on them and that way i'll be happy either way.  Mrs Nugs is all in on Tampa, nauseating.

Hope everyone wins and by wins I means hedge all bets to lock in a profit.  Cheers!

  • Laughing 1
Link to post
Share on other sites
2 minutes ago, Courtjester said:

I bet FD and DK go down at some point and either stop taking bets or give us the "It is taking up to 30 minutes for payouts to be posted" message. 

Pinnacle is incredibly slow today. It took me a ton of attempts to get my bets in.

Link to post
Share on other sites

Under 56 - 110 - 1 unit
Sacks O4 - 110 - 1 unit

Rest of these for .5: 
Neither team gets to 6 points in first Q - +300
Chiefs ML and Under Parlay +185
Kelce MVP +1100
No Score in 1st 730 of game +200
TB punts first -180
TB 1st to 3 punts -150
FG or Xtra point hit post or crossbar +300
 

GLTA
AB

Edited by Angry Beavers
Link to post
Share on other sites

Anyway, fairly easy decision for me:

 

1.) Brady has never lost the Super Bowl as an underdog. Only losses are to Foles and Manning.
2.) Buccaneers have the better pass rush.
3.) This NFL season has been more rigged than any I have ever seen.
4.) The Buccaneers are literally playing at home.
5.) There are enough "Tom Brady haters" who will bet against him for Vegas to make money.
6.) The Chiefs beat the Buccaneers in the regular season.


Everything is shaping up for the public to dump their money onto Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs. I've mentioned this a few times, this is the Patriots / Giants SB on repeat except this time Tom Brady is the underdog riding the #5 seed to upset the best record in the NFL, Kansas City Chiefs.

 

Tampa Bay Buccanneers +140
 

  • Like 3
Link to post
Share on other sites
15 minutes ago, Wine Thief said:

Damn Cookerino, I forgot to check in after I asked about squares, my bad.  I've been kinda hate watching the Bucs this year after they dumped Jaboo for some old washed up QB, prolly gonna play the ML on them and that way i'll be happy either way.  Mrs Nugs is all in on Tampa, nauseating.

Hope everyone wins and by wins I means hedge all bets to lock in a profit.  Cheers!

You are probably better off.  I donated $80 to get 1/2 and 8/3.  :X

Link to post
Share on other sites
12 minutes ago, CFB Sicko said:

Are the same people who wouldn't let the Chiefs cover the spread in the regular season (Vegas) going to give it all back on the biggest game of the year?

From what I've seen the books (b & m and online both) need KC moneyline and Tampa vs the spread, including having major liability on Buccs futures.  So a KC 1 or 2 point win would certainly validate your beliefs.

  • Love 1
Link to post
Share on other sites

I think a sneaky play would be T. Johnson (TB) over 4.5 yards rec +100. This guy only gets about 2 targets a game but seems to pull out an amazing catch (or spectacular drop ) from those targets. 

Link to post
Share on other sites

So most late action on KC -3, but line moving towards KC.  
 

Total action balanced shaded to over but total falling.

 

KC 27-24 or somesuch

Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, Courtjester said:

I bet FD and DK go down at some point and either stop taking bets or give us the "It is taking up to 30 minutes for payouts to be posted" message. 

I can’t get a bet  in on DK all of the sudden

🙄

Link to post
Share on other sites
3 hours ago, Man In The Box said:

I love Tampa. Here are my donations. 

TB +3

TB ML

TB -2.5

Scotty Miller o20.5

Scotty Miller first TD 28/1

Devin White MVP 40/1

Adding Antonio Brown o3.5 rec. Good luck all. 

Link to post
Share on other sites
4 hours ago, Rodrigo Duterte said:

HI I am looking to bet some props that align with a slanted view of the game.  Which is to say I think the Chiefs could win handily.

However I'm assuming that Mahomes Over props are premium priced and would rather not overpay on this stuff.

Are they any other angles you guys recommend in the prop pool, given my take on the game?  Or do I just close my eyes and wing it on a bunch of KC overs, along with some Tampa rushing unders?

Thank you.

Mahomes MVP

Mahomes 2 TD plus KC wins

 

Link to post
Share on other sites
3 hours ago, Northern Voice said:
  • Tampa scores before first punt
  • KC scores before first punt
  • Score in first 5 minutes of the game
  • Godwin anytime TD
  • CEH Over 8.5 rush attempts
  • Over 1.5 combined INTs
  • Scotty Miller O20.5 receiving yards

:shrug:

im on about everything opposite as this

Link to post
Share on other sites

Bet a bunch of the multiple item player props on Bovada. Went heavily KC on them. Need every player to get 100+ receiving yards and a TD or two. Don't care if they were dumb. Watching the game with my son and rooting for offense.

Heads

1Q O10

1H O27.5

Hill 200+ receiving yards and a TD +3300

Either QB 500+ yards +3300

Mahomes & Brady 900+ passing yards, 70+ completions, 5+ passing TD +7500

Kelce and Evans 200+ receiving yards and 2 TDs each +9000

Both teams to score 10+ points in each half, Brady and Mahome 275+ pass yards each, Chiefs -6.5, 50+ points +510

Hill 100+ receiving yards & TD +185

Mahomes & Brady 250+ passing yards each, 2+ pass TDs each, Kelce and Evans 50+ receiving yards each, Hill 60+ rec yards +450

Brady & Mahome 200+ pass yards each, Kelce and Hill 70+ receiving yards each +100

Godwin and Kelce 2 TDs each +5000

Godwin and Hill 2 TDs each +5000

Mahomes 300+ pass yards, Watkins 100+ rec yards, CEH 100+ rush yards +6600

Hill to score first and last TD +4000

Kelce 100+ rec yards and 2+ TDs +500

Brady & Mahomes 600+ pass yards, Evans, Hill, Kelce & Godwin 400+ combined rec yards and 4+ combined TDs +650

Mahomes & Brady 550+ pass yards and 5+ pass TDs, Kelce, Hill and Evans combine for 300 rec yards and 3+ TDs +270

  • Love 1
Link to post
Share on other sites
8 hours ago, The Ref said:

Vegas cleans up with a 1-2 point KC win.

I have it setup with a bunch on KC ML and TB +3.5 so I feel ok about it.

I’m legit hurt I’m going to not win the anthem prop this year.  I was undefeated.

Tails

TB rec the opening KO

L Ball points -1.5 > 1Q points

Mahomes no Int, Brady first Int

Mahomes no rush/rec TD

mahomes U5.5 rush

brady U .5 Rush yards

No missed xp

Under 2.5 passers

Under 788 yards

T Hill MVP

I hope you all choke

My lamelo bet got cancelled cause the #### was listed as blazers/hornets

  • Sad 1
Link to post
Share on other sites

All of my props are settled 1-2.  The one winner was this however:

First Player to Reach 10+ Rushing Yards

#2049157 - 02/03/2021 3:11PM 

+5000Patrick Mahomes

STARTED: 02/07/2021 6:30PM 

GAMEPLAY PROPS

 

 

 

  • Like 3
  • Thanks 1
  • Love 1
Link to post
Share on other sites
33 minutes ago, FairWarning said:

All of my props are settled 1-2.  The one winner was this however:

First Player to Reach 10+ Rushing Yards

#2049157 - 02/03/2021 3:11PM 

+5000Patrick Mahomes

STARTED: 02/07/2021 6:30PM 

GAMEPLAY PROPS

 

 

 

Nice 

Link to post
Share on other sites

Well, one of those nights where you spread enough bets around that you win enough to cover the beer and Buffalo Wild Wings with an extra little  $ to show for it. Not somehow to be proud of, but things could have been worse I guess. 

Link to post
Share on other sites
7 hours ago, mquinnjr said:

Barstool giving anyone who bet 100 on the game a 1k bonus with 1x roll because their site went down if you bet there.

Pretty generous of them.  Wish I played there yesterday.

Link to post
Share on other sites
14 hours ago, FairWarning said:

Pretty generous of them.  Wish I played there yesterday.

They also paid out Gronk over 68.5 and Anytime TD +690 “because it was a bad beat.” It wasn’t a bad beat, just gambling, but I’m not complaining.

  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites

Embiid over 29.5 points tonight.

Kings gave Jokic 50.  If Sixers roll and he sits out the 4th he might not make it, but even in a blowout he's got a good shot of getting there as they build the lead.

Link to post
Share on other sites

@guppymoney on twitter is a pretty sharp handicapper/tout.  I've been reading and watching some of his breakdowns recently and he's been very strong with free plays.  At the risk of mushing him, he's on Nova TT over and Nova/Creighton over today (total was talked about in a video I watched yesterday).  Here's a bit of a breakdown on the Team Total:

=====

Nova Team Total O 74 Nova 11-2 L13 vs Creighton Nova scored 76+ in 6 of 7 in Creighton. (80+ in 5 of 7)

Creighton vs Defenses that allow 50% shooting or higher are 6-1 Averaging 93 points a game in those 7 games. (nova allows 52.7% ranks #273 in the country) Creighton vs Top 50 offenses Giving up over 80 points a game. Nova #5 offense in the country

Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Restore formatting

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

  • Recently Browsing   1 member


×
×
  • Create New...