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Posted (edited)
1 hour ago, Shaq90 said:

No picks? You guys run out of money or something?
 

Between getting divorced,  moving next weekend, getting the house sold, work busy AF and tracking AMC and GMC and Crypto... i am out of capacity my amigo. 

After i move next Saturday and the house closes on the 21st I expect to be back to my degenerate ways. I miss the daily baseball wagers. 

On top of that little AB flghts Muay Thai in Indiana and the golden gloves open division in W. VA both in July and my Dissolution Hearing is also in July so I am hoping for July to be a good month!

#nakedshorts

Edited by Angry Beavers
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7 minutes ago, facook said:

@Shaq90 Em, I'm on Nets ML.  Pray for me.

No clue on the ML. In my mind, it's a pick em. Think the value is on the Bucks +4 side of things. I took O239. I think they're gonna make good on the points Game 1 and then the series will dive into more defensive territory as it goes along. BOL!

Predicted Score:
Bucks 125 / Nets 124


MILWAUKEE BUCKS @ BROOKLYN NETS

TOTAL POINTS

Over (239.0) @ -123

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Just now, Angry Beavers said:

I just did 2 minutes of reading. Bucks seem to be the play but... 

Lets go Nets :towelwave:

My lean is the team off of more rest is rusty.  It's worked like 50% of the game 1 in the  NHL, so why the heck not?  :D

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1 hour ago, Shaq90 said:

No clue on the ML. In my mind, it's a pick em. Think the value is on the Bucks +4 side of things. I took O239. I think they're gonna make good on the points Game 1 and then the series will dive into more defensive territory as it goes along. BOL!

Predicted Score:
Bucks 125 / Nets 124


MILWAUKEE BUCKS @ BROOKLYN NETS

TOTAL POINTS

Over (239.0) @ -123

Adding:
 

MILWAUKEE BUCKS @ BROOKLYN NETS

2ND HALF - TOTAL POINTS

Over (120) @ -110

 

 

Total is close enough to the original total for under guys to double their investment. The crowd is what I'm betting on. It's loud and it's firing up these players. Oohs and aahs, adrenaline is pumping. Then you have the added advantage of "late fouls" and OT.

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5 hours ago, Courtjester said:

I am taking the Rockies m/l +105 tonight. 

Darn it!! Felt like a sound bet, Rocks hit well at home and have thrived against lefties. Oh, well.....I shouldn't curse it, but I am going hard for my Avs tomorrow. They haven;t lost two in a row in forever, so.........

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Posted (edited)
6 minutes ago, Shaq90 said:

Now going for some dessert.

 

BOSTON RED SOX (GARRETT RICHARDS) @ NEW YORK YANKEES (DOMINGO GERMAN)

PITCHER STRIKEOUTS

Domingo German Under (5.5) @ -110

 

@facook
@Angry Beavers
@Courtjester

 

I like the underdog outright.  For my first baseball win of the weekend I think.  Which would bode well for  your bet as well if they can knock German around.

Edited by facook
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Posted (edited)
2 minutes ago, facook said:

I like the underdog outright.  For my first baseball win of the weekend I think.  Which would bode well for  your bet as well if they can knock German around.

Agreed. I think both guys get knocked around (liked F5 and full game overs). But I also felt there was increased value betting against the NY market who are gonna bet German to get over strikeouts "because he's a Yankee".

They're not always the best leans, but it's what my brain comes up with. :lol:

Edited by Shaq90
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3 hours ago, Angry Beavers said:

Shaping up to be a craptastic day... :wall:

Worst baseball weekend of the year by far.  Also killed a couple of handicappers I respect and have modeled myself after (though don't blindly tail).  Heavily pitching-based, lots of F5 plays, F5 unders, and full game overs.  I am wondering if some of this effort to UN-doctor the ball is real, and impacting certain pitchers who have had great seasons up till now in a very significant way.  No proof, just speculating.  Also some very profitable team trends blew up this weekend which added to my misery.

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6 minutes ago, Courtjester said:

Sorry missed the earlier bets—I am going probably too big on the Avs tonight -105.  I also am going with the under 5.5. I also threw $20 on McKinnon scoring tonight at +210. 

If my withdrawal hits my account in time, I'll tail on Avalanche.

Hit the earlier bets and slammed the payout button.

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4 hours ago, Shaq90 said:

Agreed. I think both guys get knocked around (liked F5 and full game overs). But I also felt there was increased value betting against the NY market who are gonna bet German to get over strikeouts "because he's a Yankee".

They're not always the best leans, but it's what my brain comes up with. :lol:

:hifive:

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11 hours ago, facook said:

:hifive:

Nobody does it better than us!

 

3 game MLB slate

5:10PM - Marlins / Red Sox (1)

9:38PM - Orioles / Angels (5)

10:10PM - Cubs / Padres (7)
 

2 game NBA slate

7:30PM - Bucks / Nets (3)
10:00PM - Nuggets / Suns (6)


2 game NHL slate

6:30PM - Islanders / Bruins (2)
8:00PM - Jets / Canadiens (4)



*Number is order in which events start.

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25 minutes ago, Angry Beavers said:

@Shaq90

@facook

 

are the Nets allowed to win tonight?

psst - that is KC @ angels not balt - Kowar making the ML debut  - 

I will take Kowar/KC @ + 135

I took KC +.5 F5.  Bundy has the worst F5 record in MLB among starting pitchers.  Always dicey backing a debutant, but I'll take the chance he can keep them tied or better against Bundy.

Will probably be on BKN again.

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Did not post, but did win Sox -.5 F5.  Pivetta is one of those pitchers that has been a money maker for F5 this year.  Didn't want to post in case the regression of this past weekend continued.  Was gratifying to see him keep it up.

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24 minutes ago, Shaq90 said:

I took the over on the points. Would explain the lean but it's not more sophisticated than, "I bet the over last time and it didn't hit". I think the Bucks win straight up, but no value at -110.

 

MILWAUKEE BUCKS @ BROOKLYN NETS TOTAL POINTS Over (237.0) @ -122

Decided I didn't bet enough... pressed some more before tipoff. BOL (free money)!

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