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*** OFFICIAL *** FFA WAGERING THREAD - Merry Christmas!!! (11 Viewers)

Can someone explain the Preakness to me, do most of the good horses who run the Derby (and don't win) get pulled for the Preakness? Was Justify up against a crazy-thin field, because 2/5 for a horse seems crazy. 

 
Good Posting Judge said:
Can someone explain the Preakness to me, do most of the good horses who run the Derby (and don't win) get pulled for the Preakness? Was Justify up against a crazy-thin field, because 2/5 for a horse seems crazy. 
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 coming back in 2 weeks after running farther than they’ve ever run before is no easy task, so yeah, a lot of of them will skip it and point to other races (not to mention they’ve had a pretty tough schedule leading up to he derby)

2/5 isn’t that crazy, especially in a smaller field.  You’ll even see 1/5 or 1/9 on occasion 

Also horses that low usually lead to some Bridge Jumping scenarios in the Show Pool (although often times more like 5 horse field)

 
TheGooRoo said:
Everything I see says 8 -115ish
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Anyone stick out for Hiesman?

Tua's price should be interesting like him but 10-1 isn't rich enough.

Too bad Clemson won't commit to Bryant unconditionally.  +3300 for a guy who would have great numbers and lead them to a playoff is a good price.

 
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facook said:
I feel like I drink way too much vodka on Friday night and Chain snorts way too much weed on Saturday morning.
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bingo! fwiw it was top-5, if not the best booty call ever. it was so hot I think she is in love. she left around 5AM then my adrenaline parlayed me into a sweet morning booze session. finished off a bottle of tanqueray & finally passed out around 2PM

 
comfortably numb said:
Which one? My hair can get pretty nappy
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my current rotation is Carol's Daughter's Sacred Tiare leave-in conditioner and Not Your Mother's Royal Honey & Kalahari Melon leave-in conditioner. the honey one is dope af, you literally end up smelling just like honey. And honey = money you know what I'm spraying? That's right, women's leave-in conditioner.

 
A's (-107)
Jays F5 TT U2.5 (-125)

Yes Em, I'm betting the A's to sweep the Jays in Toronto. Just running a little interference here.

Cards F5 TT U2 (-135)

 
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The Ref said:
Anyone stick out for Hiesman?

Tua's price should be interesting like him but 10-1 isn't rich enough.

Too bad Clemson won't commit to Bryant unconditionally.  +3300 for a guy who would have great numbers and lead them to a playoff is a good price.
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D'Andre Swift +3800 :wub:  

Went to my HS so :homer: , but he looked like what they recruited in the Michel role at UGA when he got his touches as a frosh. Think he's going to be unreal good, so I'm taking him this year and in 2019. He's not going to be a senior if his potential plays out next two seasons. 

 
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mquinnjr said:
D'Andre Swift +3800 :wub:  

Went to my HS so :homer: , but he looked like what they recruited in the Michel role at UGA when he got his touches as a frosh. Think he's going to be unreal good, so I'm taking him this year and in 2019. He's not going to be a senior if his potential plays out next two seasons. 
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Oh yeah - kids a good one.  I think he's a top 5 college fantasy RB this year.

 
I should probably go buy a lotto ticket

played a little 5 team chalk parlay today and got miracle wins out of Atlanta and Seattle

 
GS -7.5 and Over 226 - because it is Sunday night and Gambling. More confident in the GS wager as you have to figure they turn it on at home and Houston may have trouble generating Offense, but then again, we could have a track meet.

GLTA
AB

 
I think the over / under on this game is inflated in general. The total is 225.0. The FH total is 115. So, they expect the front half of this game to be higher scoring than the second half? That seems wrong to me. I've seen the Warriors come out Q3 like a bat out of hell. Plus, whoever wins this game gains homecourt advantage back. Feel like these teams will be dragging their feet deep into the 4th quarter.

1H / 2H splits Rockets vs Warriors 2018

Game 1 @ GS: 133, 110
Game 2 @ HOU: 126, 113

Game 1 @ HOU: 115, 113
Game 2 @ HOU: 114, 118

Lowest half in entire series is 110. Highest half is 133 (same game).
Average Half: 117.75
Average FH: 122
Average 2H: 113.5

 
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The Ref said:
Anyone stick out for Hiesman?

Tua's price should be interesting like him but 10-1 isn't rich enough.

Too bad Clemson won't commit to Bryant unconditionally.  +3300 for a guy who would have great numbers and lead them to a playoff is a good price.
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Haskins

 
Chase Anderson raises some yellow flags, assuming he's cleared to come off the DL after a bout of food poisoning. First, he's likely to be less than 100 percent with respect to strength and stamina. Secondly, before getting sick, his velocity was down from last season. That feeds into his actual ERA and WHIP reeking from good luck. He's sporting a very fortunate .210 BABIP and an 80 percent LOB. His FIP is 6.01 with an xFIP of 5.29, both much higher than his current 3.97 ERA.
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Greinke has the extra day of rest. In the three seasons he's been a Diamondback they're 22-8 SU (+$1269) starting a new series with him. Only Lester has won more money in that spot (+$1,607). Greinke is making consecutive starts vs Brew, but I'm not afraid of it. Diamondbacks have started their road series pretty well the L2 seasons, and going back to last August Brew 0-7 SU with 7±2 orpg coming home from the road.

Greinke -120

 
Rangers (+188)
Tigers TT O3.5 (+120)

played a little Rangers/Tigers/Rockies parlay at 21-1 for ####s and giggles

 
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Naoya Inoue -600 (BetOnline) (3u to win 0.5u)

McDonnell's OK, and this is a step-up for Inoue, but they're just on two different levels. This is a 95/5 fight.

 
Chris Guccione behind the plate in Milwaukee. some friends call him "gooch" like a white girl in a lesbian porno. other friends call him "taint"

 
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