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*** OFFICIAL *** FFA WAGERING THREAD - Merry Christmas!!!


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Well dudes, interesting update!  My wife and daughter surprised me today, told me they were a comin home 10 days early and would be here within the hour.  The tumor is now so small that he wants to ho

Home.  Some 40 hours later and the kid is basically back to normal.  Amazing.  She'll move up to Orlando for a few months for the radiation treatment with the Mrssus but for her the scary part is over

Well dudes, we're not sure what is next....but tonight Izzy takes her last chemotherapy treatment.  We'll go up in a few weeks to take a peek in her skull to see 'sup...but for tonight - we celebrate.

21 minutes ago, ChainsawU said:

Rangers rank 5th in the MLB in runs per game this month. And they're pretty hot right now winning 8 of their L9 games..

I already played them vs Skaggs.  He is garbage.

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11 hours ago, jamil said:

Let's say you're holding a Toronto +5000 to win the ship. What do you do

@lumpy19 would tell you to hedge. 

Depends, IMHO. 1) You wait until Tor is facing an elimination game  2) You bet GS for the series now 3) With games 1 and 2 in Tor, hope Tor wins game 1 ( or games 1 and 2) and then you get a better number of GS.  I would talk myself in scenario #3,  GS would be available at better odds and then I would pass cause' I am winning the series, and then I would watch GS win 4 straight. Luckily for you I do not have any action on the series outcome... yet!

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Faves vs M's this season 27-13 SU and 26-13-1 O/U with 6 rpg (left-handed faves 9-3 SU and O/U with 7 rpg). A's seeing Leake for the second time this season..

Athletics -1 -108
Athletics Over 5½ +120
Mariners/Athletics o9½ +100

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5 hours ago, Angry Beavers said:
16 hours ago, jamil said:

Let's say you're holding a Toronto +5000 to win the ship. What do you do

@lumpy19 would tell you to hedge. 

Depends, IMHO. 1) You wait until Tor is facing an elimination game  2) You bet GS for the series now 3) With games 1 and 2 in Tor, hope Tor wins game 1 ( or games 1 and 2) and then you get a better number of GS.  I would talk myself in scenario #3,  GS would be available at better odds and then I would pass cause' I am winning the series, and then I would watch GS win 4 straight. Luckily for you I do not have any action on the series outcome... yet!

3

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EFL championship playoff final.

Basically, the championship game for the minor leagues. Winner gets a spot in the Premier league next season.

Villa beat Derby 3-0 and 4-0 during the season.

o2.5 -106 seems like the no brainer but you have to go back to the 2012 final to get a game to go o2.5 in this final.  

These games are usually played extremely tight. Early goals or red cards typically blow the game open....or they're due for an over and we get 3 goals by HT.

U2.5 -124

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Holliday chalk parlay

 

NHL [2] BRUINS (BOS) -150 

May 27MLB [902] NATIONALS (WAS) -296 [Action]

May 27MLB [904] 1REDS (CIN) GM-1 -205 [Action]

May 27MLB [912] RAYS (TB) -178 

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3 hours ago, lumpy19 said:
On 5/25/2019 at 8:49 PM, jamil said:

Let's say you're holding a Toronto +5000 to win the ship. What do you do

you should hedge, Toronto sucks

The end of an era.

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this will be Dodgers' second night back from 8-game east coast road trip. also will be the Mets' second night on the west coast after spending the L3 weeks in the eastern time zone..

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On 5/23/2019 at 2:40 PM, lumpy19 said:

👍

Most people I've worked with would probably be surprised to know I was "into sports".  Always been able to keep it compartmentalized amazingly well.

No sense talking shop to someone who doesn't gamble, outside of a public perception "mush report" while acting like a dummy.  

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On 5/25/2019 at 10:49 PM, jamil said:

Let's say you're holding a Toronto +5000 to win the ship. What do you do

Hedge to win 10u at -280

+22u Toronto

+10u Golden state

 

I'd use that as a baseline and adjust if necessary based on confidence.  

 

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8 minutes ago, The Ref said:

@Good Posting Judge

little birdy told me Ruiz at +1300 is more of a live dog than that price.  Thoughts?

I have irrational man-love for Ruiz. He looks like a fat piece of ####, but he's got incredibly quick hands and a good chin. And if it were Wilder at +1300, I'd be mashing the button because I think he'd give DW hell. Ruiz's one loss was a disputable decision, and if he were unbeaten I'm absolutely certain those odds would be shaved down.

But Joshua's a smart fighter, and he's mobile enough to just stick-and-move with his jab (8" reach advantage) and not get into the trenches with Ruiz. And Joshua doesn't have the fight-stopping power of a Wilder, but he's very precise when it's time to put someone away. I think the play here is Joshua on points 6/1.

 

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Opposing teams 6-1 SU (avg line -107) against Atlanta when the Braves had a day off yesterday, with a combined 90 runs scored in those seven games (13±3 rpg).

Nats o4½ +110
Nats/Braves o10 +145

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26 minutes ago, Good Posting Judge said:

Ed Miller's new book about sports betting is very good so far, about 1/4 of the way through. Nothing tremendously earth-shaking, but it's very solid. $10 on Kindle!

As in you're learning new things, or it's confirming stuff you already know?

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hbo ain't right for making that chernobyl ####. there's no way it's remotely historically accurate, especially on a historical level, and I think it's irresponsible. it should be in russian and english subtitled, for starters. just gross bro. sickening

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also broke up with booty woman, removed her key and gate access. hell of a day. embrace your day. because it may change overnight. ask me if I'm going to survive. the answer is yes. and I'm excited despite being sad.

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2 minutes ago, ChainsawU said:

also broke up with booty woman, removed her key and gate access. hell of a day. embrace your day. because it may change overnight. ask me if I'm going to survive. the answer is yes. and I'm excited despite being sad.

Dam. Sorry to hear that. Hang in there.

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9 hours ago, Good Posting Judge said:

Ed Miller's new book about sports betting is very good so far, about 1/4 of the way through. Nothing tremendously earth-shaking, but it's very solid. $10 on Kindle!

His column in Card Player the past couple months has been about sports betting too.

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12 hours ago, Good Posting Judge said:

Ed Miller's new book about sports betting is very good so far, about 1/4 of the way through. Nothing tremendously earth-shaking, but it's very solid. $10 on Kindle!

good interview on recent bet the process podcast as well

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5 hours ago, ChainsawU said:

hbo ain't right for making that chernobyl ####. there's no way it's remotely historically accurate, especially on a historical level, and I think it's irresponsible. it should be in russian and english subtitled, for starters. just gross bro. sickening

Completely disagree.  Read through the Chernobyl thread, might alter your thinking. Also it’s the best thing on tv by a long shot.

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5 hours ago, ChainsawU said:

also broke up with booty woman, removed her key and gate access. hell of a day. embrace your day. because it may change overnight. ask me if I'm going to survive. the answer is yes. and I'm excited despite being sad.

Whoa.  Glad you are excited.  PM if you wanna vent.

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5 minutes ago, facook said:

Completely disagree.  Read through the Chernobyl thread, might alter your thinking. Also it’s the best thing on tv by a long shot.

I know nothing about it.  Is it completely non-fiction or is it a story based the facts of the event?

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