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*** OFFICIAL *** FFA WAGERING THREAD - Merry Christmas!!! (3 Viewers)

Montas 12-10-2 O/U with the A's (6-0-1 O/U with 29 runs allowed in 34 innings on 5 days rest).

Mariners F5 o1½ -135
Mariners/A's o10 +125

 
woah looks like Montas isn't starting until tomorrow, shoot got them mixed up on days I'm one day ahead of myself :bag:

 
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At halfway:

Koepka +648

Rahm +3325

Garcia +6050

Stenson +6550

BM matchups:

Stenson -115 over Oost

Hovland -111 over Ancer  HURRY!!!!

 
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Brooks at +700 at BV.  That's value at this point, especially if you are holding a big ticket on one of the guys above him.

 
This is a weird one, but I couldn't help but notice:

on BV

Who will Tyson Fury mention in the post fight interview following his bout with Tom Schwarz?

Joshua +700

Wilder +275

Both -250

Neither +900

Fury is the last person that would kick Joshua while he's down.  He's also been on record agreeing with those of us that think Ruiz will beat Joshua again in the rematch as well.  That means he'll offer words of encouragement if he says anything at all which doesn't make sense when he'll be interviewing for the HW title.

GPJ, please correct me if I'm way off...  

 
As long as I'll be watching the fight for the interview, might as well go with:

Fury Round 6 +950 (BM)

Fury Round 7 +950 (BM)

Fury Round 8 +1000 (BV)

Could also do under 9.5 -140 (BV) or Fight will be won Rounds 5-8 +185 (BM)

 
This is a weird one, but I couldn't help but notice:

on BV

Who will Tyson Fury mention in the post fight interview following his bout with Tom Schwarz?

Joshua +700

Wilder +275

Both -250

Neither +900

Fury is the last person that would kick Joshua while he's down.  He's also been on record agreeing with those of us that think Ruiz will beat Joshua again in the rematch as well.  That means he'll offer words of encouragement if he says anything at all which doesn't make sense when he'll be interviewing for the HW title.

GPJ, please correct me if I'm way off...  
Makes sense to me. Havent seen that one. 

I have Fury points and over, but the market seems to disagree. Schwarz is stout enough to not let Fury sit down on his shots, and i dont think he will throw it in early. 

 
Makes sense to me. Havent seen that one. 

I have Fury points and over, but the market seems to disagree. Schwarz is stout enough to not let Fury sit down on his shots, and i dont think he will throw it in early. 
I'm admittedly pretty ignorant on Schwarz, just saw that he's mostly been protected and that he's 30 lbs smaller.

Prop is listed on BV, still sitting at +275 despite my better efforts, which makes me wonder if someone knows something I don't.

 
somehow Rockies games play to the under after an extra-inning game, even after using up their entire bullpen the day before :shrug: just rolling the dice on it..

 
We have our annual conference in Vegas for my company.  The joke is "If you ever are wondering why facook isn't in the current session, it's because he's in the sportsbook with a cocktail."  So I'm not so good at not talking shop.
I'm gonna attend a conference in Cali on Thursday. Thinking about starting a new company after my current one just tanked. I'm gonna do the conference and then fly to LV. Should I try and to an Air B&B? I'm currently staying in a sweet oceanside Air B&B in Newport Beach for two days during the conference. Cost me 5 bills. But after I'm done with that - you think I should try to stay a few days in an LV Air B&B or just do a hotel. And if so which hotel.

 
Phillies losing 1-0 top of the 3rd. I think I'm about to buy them live. Atlanta dude having trouble throwing strikes and Philly about to do the second run thru the lineup against him..

ETA ..just bought +175 after that Bryce Harper walk

ETA2 oh ####!!!

@grantmcauley 2m2 minutes ago Sean Newcomb just took a liner off the head. He seems to be okay, being tended to now.
bullpen time

@ToddZolecki 1m1 minute ago Sean Newcomb is leaving the game under his own power. J.T. Realmuto hit a line drive off his head, with the ball flying into the stands. Ball registered 102.0 mph. Scary moment. Realmuto covered his mouth with both hands as he saw the ball hit Newcomb's head.
 
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better throw Reavie in there at +9500 as well.


Brooks at +700 at BV.  That's value at this point, especially if you are holding a big ticket on one of the guys above him.


At halfway:

Koepka +648

Rahm +3325

Garcia +6050

Stenson +6550
Also holding a 100-1 on Willett and a 150-1 on An.

Well, I'll be cheering for Reavie tomorrow, but should have just maybe stuck with my gut on Brooks.

For value right now going into round 4, I like Rahm 50-1, Stenson 100-1, An 150-1, and Scott 250-1.

Woodland super fan, but his stat line screams regression.

 
Mariners defense though. It's not.. professional. Just casually, randomly watching them this season I've seen their SS commit multiple errors. That's usually a position u want to be able to D-up at..

 
happened to hear about the website propswap tonight while I was reading about that 250-1 Blues cash tonight.

I feel like I'm missing something upon first glance at the site...

 
There are only 8 teams that have been profitable to the under this season, and the Marlins are the most-profitable team to the under in day games (17-3 +$1,355). Their starter Sandy Alcantara has gone 13-6 to the under in his 19 career starts, with five of the six overs coming in G1 of the series, but five of the six overs also came when he was starting on 5 days' rest. It sucks! In his only two home starts on 5 days' rest the over hit both times after he allowed 12 runs in only 10.1 innings. That sucks - because all other signs point to under, except for that one detail - Alcantara making his start on 5 days rest (especially at home) <_< SUPER annoying..

ETA also though, it kinda stands to reason some of these Marlins' day games gotta start hitting the over to start evening out the 85% under rate they got going..

 
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As long as I'll be watching the fight for the interview, might as well go with:

Fury Round 6 +950 (BM)

Fury Round 7 +950 (BM)

Fury Round 8 +1000 (BV)

Could also do under 9.5 -140 (BV) or Fight will be won Rounds 5-8 +185 (BM)
Fury comes up huge in this spot.  Didn't last nearly as long as I thought.  That kind of head movement is something I've never seen at HW.  Made him miss 4 straight in the phone booth.

 
This is a weird one, but I couldn't help but notice:

on BV

Who will Tyson Fury mention in the post fight interview following his bout with Tom Schwarz?

Joshua +700

Wilder +275

Both -250

Neither +900

Fury is the last person that would kick Joshua while he's down.  He's also been on record agreeing with those of us that think Ruiz will beat Joshua again in the rematch as well.  That means he'll offer words of encouragement if he says anything at all which doesn't make sense when he'll be interviewing for the HW title.

GPJ, please correct me if I'm way off...  
Cash it!

 
Fury comes up huge in this spot.  Didn't last nearly as long as I thought.  That kind of head movement is something I've never seen at HW.  Made him miss 4 straight in the phone booth.
I really overthought this. Fury fights are much more interesting when he bangs a little. Once he got his nose it was over.

 
Dodgers 36-5 SU +$2,849 (avg line -163) scoring 3+ runs in Ryu's career home starts and 21-0 SU when he's on extra rest (more than 5 days since his last start). Dodgers most-profitable home team in the last game of a series L5 seasons.

 
I'm gonna attend a conference in Cali on Thursday. Thinking about starting a new company after my current one just tanked. I'm gonna do the conference and then fly to LV. Should I try and to an Air B&B? I'm currently staying in a sweet oceanside Air B&B in Newport Beach for two days during the conference. Cost me 5 bills. But after I'm done with that - you think I should try to stay a few days in an LV Air B&B or just do a hotel. And if so which hotel.
Totally depends what you want.  If you're going to gamble, you should stay in a  place with a  casino, or a short walk to a casino.  Pain in the butt to have to Uber when you just wanna get down.  If you want to be in the thick of the craziness, you could stay on Strip (Venetian is my go to) or downtown.  If you want a place with a casino but a bit quieter atmosphere, a place like Red Rocks or South Point.  If you want peace and quiet do the Airbnb deal.

Personally at this stage if I wanted the craziness I'd stay downtown at the El Cortez or Golden Nugget.  I'm over the Strip.  And I'm pretty much over the craziness so I'd stay at RR or SP as my #1 seed.

 
I wanna start gambling again. What's the best place for a small-timer who doesn't want a ton of sites to chase odds but also wants a ton of props and other options/poker? Betonline seems to be the choice on reddit but it's not the overwhelming favorite. I have an account at Bovada already and I could just find that if I wanted.

 
Personally at this stage if I wanted the craziness I'd stay downtown at the El Cortez or Golden Nugget.  I'm over the Strip.  And I'm pretty much over the craziness so I'd stay at RR or SP as my #1 seed.
I'm with you, GB, but a young sportsman like Chain is going to want mid-Strip. My GB Osaurus recommends Vdara for quiet and elegance. You can get to the Aria or Bellagio sportsbook in a few minutes. Rates appear soft this summer, don't be afraid to look at Cosmopolitan, which will provide the most scenery.

 

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