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*** OFFICIAL *** FFA WAGERING THREAD - Merry Christmas!!! (12 Viewers)

Yankees -141
NYY scores first -175
Yankees F5 o2½ -120

Vargas lowest ERA out of the 5 Mets' starters (3.17) but the highest xFIP (5.03). Something impending there. Mets needed eighth-inning rallies to win the L2 games, which was nice, but tonight Yankees get their bearings and get back to business. Red Sox set a good example last night on how to return from a 7,000-mile road trip while the Yankees just kind of laid there. ML is pretty straightforward on price & seems like a fair median regarding YTD, ROS, etc..

 
I’ve tried two credit cards and a debit card to try deposit money in my bovada account. All declined. 

Does anyone have a recommendation for another one that will take PayPal? Would like to bet this weekend and don’t want to mess with bitcoin (bovada preferred)

 
NREC34 said:
I’ve tried two credit cards and a debit card to try deposit money in my bovada account. All declined. Does anyone have a recommendation for another one that will take PayPal? Would like to bet this weekend and don’t want to mess with bitcoin (bovada preferred)
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Dan Lambskin said:
Its 2017 grandpa,  we use Bitcoin now
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mquinnjr said:
do your own due diligence, but if you go on the Reddit sportsbooks page where they can't nuke threads (like SBR, etc.  that they sponsor so the discussion isn't allowed) and search 5dimes credit card fraud there are a ton of threads and posts
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mquinnjr said:
just use Bitcoin. Lots of credit card fraud allegations from the 3P processor that they use.
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NREC34 said:
Does anyone have a recommendation for another one
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An option for you is that Bet Online will take gift cards. Like Visa Vanilla and stuff (check the small print on the packaging to make sure they are specifically allowed to be used for international online purchases). BOL will also charge you a 7.5% processing fee when you choose to deposit via credit card, debit card, or gift card, which is a slap in the face in my opinion. Most importantly though - decline any deposit bonuses they offer you. Chat with someone and decline that #####. The rollover is ridiculous and you'll never reach it before you bust. So if you gotta get down by the weekend, just buy yourself a Vanilla Visa gift card at Walmart with your debit card, use it to deposit and bet this weekend at BOL, and then withdraw via bitcoin and fund a better book, just remember it's a minimum of seven business days from your last deposit prior to requesting a withdrawal though.

 
facook said:
I took Astros and Stros -2.5 +220 so Rox are a mortal lock.
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Looks like lots of lead changes in that one. Some live betting might've been profitable. I had Rox +0.5 F5 at -170 and it feels like an expensive, ridiculously dumb wager looking back on it now even though it cashed (after a 5-run 5th no less) :rolleyes:

 
ChainsawU said:
Looks like lots of lead changes in that one. Some live betting might've been profitable. I had Rox +0.5 F5 at -170 and it feels like an expensive, ridiculously dumb wager looking back on it now even though it cashed (after a 5-run 5th no less) :rolleyes:
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Felt decent about hitting the ML and getting some profit even though it didn't go the way I'd hoped.  Like your Yanks play, took them F5 ml.

Red Sox/Dodgers parlay -101.

 
facook said:
Like your Yanks play, took them F5 ml.
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MLB Network pimping Vargas' 2.55 ERA over his last several outings without saying anything about his xFIP. I think I like the over in KC. Royals got a ton of hits last night. Mike Clevinger is making his first start of the season on 4 days' rest too. Still putting the pieces together on that one..

 
ChainsawU said:
Yankees -141
NYY scores first -175
Yankees F5 o2½ -120

Vargas lowest ERA out of the 5 Mets' starters (3.17) but the highest xFIP (5.03). Something impending there. Mets needed eighth-inning rallies to win the L2 games, which was nice, but tonight Yankees get their bearings and get back to business. Red Sox set a good example last night on how to return from a 7,000-mile road trip while the Yankees just kind of laid there. ML is pretty straightforward on price & seems like a fair median regarding YTD, ROS, etc..
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I'm in, go Yankees

 
ChainsawU said:
Alouettes are making their home debut in their third game of the season. It's kind of an embarrassing number of points to be getting for a home team, and it's the same matchup (Tiger Cats) that we cashed those bets with on Friday.. Same two teams. I'm leaning dog. But it's the Alouettes. My least-favorite CFL team to bet on. Tiger Cats had a game on them last time - that was the situation, playing their 3rd game to the Al's 2nd, which gave them the big advantage. Alouettes +12½ -110
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I'm going in for more. Last game was rookie head coach Khari Jones' second career game - two road games to start his career as head coach - and quarterback Vernon Adams' first start of the season after replacing starting QB Antonio Pipkin in G1 (a game in which Adams erased a 17-point fourth-quarter deficit to tie the game before Edmonton pulled out a win in the final two minutes). Their last game in Hamilton was a beat down, but the defense had some good plays with 3 picks (including one in the end zone) and a big goal line stand from the 1 yard line. The D won the turnover battle and won TOP by more than 13 minutes. "By some of the tried and true measures we use to figure out whether a team should win or lose, the Ticats were steamrolled in two of them." It was just the big plays and failure to capitalize on turnovers that doomed the Als last game. That's what makes the 13½ points feel even more ridiculous, yet public keeps piling on the fave and driving the number up. Fingers crossed the Als get better tackling and limit big plays now that HC can finally step on his home field for the first time, and maybe the Als become more fun to bet on after getting their bearings after all the changes in 2019.

Alouettes +540
Alouettes +13½ -105
Tiger Cats u34½ -110

2-team Teaser (ties push)
1. Alouettes +6½
2. OPEN

 
something to keep in mind:

Be back in your seat for the third quarter.


Slow starts have defined the Ticats for some time, so seeing them start slow again this year is nothing new. But what has changed is how they respond coming out the halftime break. While the scoring difference in the first half is 45-22 in Hamilton’s favour (not a bad split by any stretch of the imagination) it is the second half where things really tip in their favor. The Ticats have outscored their opponents 83-18 in the second half of their first three contests. The splits between the third and fourth couldn’t be closer (42 in the third, 41 in the fourth), but it is the third quarter where the team takes a manageable lead and turns it into a big one. Then they cruise, relatively speaking, and pull away in the fourth. The hallmark of a good team is being able to put your foot on another team’s throat and the Ticats have done that consistently to start the season and is a big reason why they are 3-0 for the first time since 2004.
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coach going conservative, rushing the ball on first down and not forcing the issue on 3rd and goal, settling for 3 on opening drive

 
turnovers baby :cool: hell yeah

Als catching 7.5 -120 -130 live after that pick on Hamilton's 2nd offensive play of the game

 
Last edited by a moderator:
@TSNKyleMelo Tasker is definitely hurt.
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4 receptions 35 yards 1H for this dude. was killing them on the quick-hitters, look like he re-injured his shoulder.

I'm holding Hamilton u17.5 1H :bag: Alouettes just gave up a FG drive to end the 1H. Hamilton is about to rip them a new one in the 2H I'm afraid

 
ChainsawU said:
I'm going in for more. Last game was rookie head coach Khari Jones' second career game - two road games to start his career as head coach - and quarterback Vernon Adams' first start of the season after replacing starting QB Antonio Pipkin in G1 (a game in which Adams erased a 17-point fourth-quarter deficit to tie the game before Edmonton pulled out a win in the final two minutes). Their last game in Hamilton was a beat down, but the defense had some good plays with 3 picks (including one in the end zone) and a big goal line stand from the 1 yard line. The D won the turnover battle and won TOP by more than 13 minutes. "By some of the tried and true measures we use to figure out whether a team should win or lose, the Ticats were steamrolled in two of them." It was just the big plays and failure to capitalize on turnovers that doomed the Als last game. That's what makes the 13½ points feel even more ridiculous, yet public keeps piling on the fave and driving the number up. Fingers crossed the Als get better tackling and limit big plays now that HC can finally step on his home field for the first time, and maybe the Als become more fun to bet on after getting their bearings after all the changes in 2019.

Alouettes +540
Alouettes +13½ -105
Tiger Cats u34½ -110

2-team Teaser (ties push)
1. Alouettes +6½
2. OPEN
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Guess I should have checked this thread last night!

Nice job

 
Relevant in Detroit today...

Check out what happens when big home dogs are playing in high total (10+) games...

sdql

The road team is scoring 8.25 runs a game and the overs are 28-5-3

 
ChainsawU said:
I'm going in for more. Last game was rookie head coach Khari Jones' second career game - two road games to start his career as head coach - and quarterback Vernon Adams' first start of the season after replacing starting QB Antonio Pipkin in G1 (a game in which Adams erased a 17-point fourth-quarter deficit to tie the game before Edmonton pulled out a win in the final two minutes). Their last game in Hamilton was a beat down, but the defense had some good plays with 3 picks (including one in the end zone) and a big goal line stand from the 1 yard line. The D won the turnover battle and won TOP by more than 13 minutes. "By some of the tried and true measures we use to figure out whether a team should win or lose, the Ticats were steamrolled in two of them." It was just the big plays and failure to capitalize on turnovers that doomed the Als last game. That's what makes the 13½ points feel even more ridiculous, yet public keeps piling on the fave and driving the number up. Fingers crossed the Als get better tackling and limit big plays now that HC can finally step on his home field for the first time, and maybe the Als become more fun to bet on after getting their bearings after all the changes in 2019.

Alouettes +540
Alouettes +13½ -105
Tiger Cats u34½ -110

2-team Teaser (ties push)
1. Alouettes +6½
2. OPEN
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Welp, got Als spread at least.

What you got tonight holmes?

 
Sunday Gold cup 

Lots if good value on Mexico +128 to win in 90m.

If you are a bit gun shy

+128 on a Mex win and throw 1/2 on draw +216

US has made it to the finals despite trying very hard to lets these crappy teams beat them.

Mexico is not 1 of those crappy teams

 
facook said:
What you got tonight holmes?
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Bombers +4 -123 (action junk)
Redblacks Under 28½ -110
Bombers/Redblacks u53½ -103
Bombers/Redblacks 1H u27 -118 (action junk)

I think it goes under barring stupid points (34+) from the dog. I seen 53 points max. So it's right on the cusp. The +4 spread bet is just action junk since it's a fairly popular wager with 3 out of 4 bets coming in on the dog so far. Really need the 1H to stay under 30..

 
ChainsawU said:
Bombers +4 -123 (action junk)
Redblacks Under 28½ -110
Bombers/Redblacks u53½ -103
Bombers/Redblacks 1H u27 -118 (action junk)

I think it goes under barring stupid points (34+) from the dog. I seen 53 points max. So it's right on the cusp. The +4 spread bet is just action junk since it's a fairly popular wager with 3 out of 4 bets coming in on the dog so far. Really need the 1H to stay under 30..
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Thanks.  "Smokin" Dave Coking got me on Winny +4 yesterday so with ya there.  Been going back and forth on total.  

 
Anderson might be ready to give up some runs after pitching a shut out into the 8th last start. M's know they need runs with Kikuchi. There's a precedent for overtime as 4 of Kikuchi's 8 starts vs the division have gone 10+ innings..

Mariners +135
Mariners o4½ +110
OAK/SEA extra innings +760

 
Greinke is making his 4th start against the Rox this season. That has been a career under spot for him (especially if his team scores less than 7 by themselves). But the D-Backs are coming from the day off, which is one of the best over spots in baseball, especially if you can get less than 9. So.. they may get to 7 tonight I'm just sayin'

Diamondbacks o4½ -125
Rockies/Diamondbacks o8½ -115

 
This is gonna be a sick 4-game series in Tampa: division rivals to close out the 1H of the season. Coming into today Yankees have won 15 of their L17 games since June 15. That's gonna be my action junkie jam for tomorrow as it's such a sick rivalry and Yankees 22-9-2 O/U in day games (2nd MLB).

Yankees/Rays Over 8½ -110

 
Blue Bombers are playing really detail-oriented football. High IQ stuff that's taking advantage of Redblacks' lack of discipline. They kind of went ground & pound after losing their QB on a designed run with 4:00 left 3Q. It was a sick draw up the middle, dude was just dumb and didn't get down in time; incurring a multi-player trainwreck on the take down. Dude already gained the first down and everything, super dumb play on his part, and kinda on the coaches too for calling that play. Anyhow, looking back now it was probably best for the under that their starting QB spent the entire 4Q in street clothes on the sideline.

 
facook said:
Giolito has been an auto bet for me for several weeks.  Was this morning as well.  Now I get the email that every tout on VSiN and ESPN is on them.  Surefire loser.  
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Same matchup again Saturday; Lester vs Giolito. What are the touts saying about it this time. I'm leaning runs as Jon Lester 42-25-3 (.627) career O/U in road starts as a Cub and 41-12-2 (.774) O/U when the Cubs plated more than 2 runs in those games..

 
game two with a late start
L3 seasons Jon Gray 16-6 SU in G2 of the series, and when games started 8:40 PM EST or later: 9-0 SU with 15 runs allowed in 59 innings pitched.

Rockies +100

 
ChainsawU said:
Same matchup again Saturday; Lester vs Giolito. What are the touts saying about it this time. I'm leaning runs as Jon Lester 42-25-3 (.627) career O/U in road starts as a Cub and 41-12-2 (.774) O/U when the Cubs plated more than 2 runs in those games..
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Only heard from one, and he's on Giolito again.

 
Argonauts +270
Argonauts +8 -107

Battle of winless teams; Lions' 4th attempt at a win this season versus Argos' 3rd. It's weird to see a winless team as the road favorite, even despite the -75-point combined margin in the Argos' two games to start the season. I think Toronto will need +4½ to cover with a 50/50 shot at SU win.

 
ChainsawU said:
Argonauts +270
Argonauts +8 -107

Battle of winless teams; Lions' 4th attempt at a win this season versus Argos' 3rd. It's weird to see a winless team as the road favorite, even despite the -75-point combined margin in the Argos' two games to start the season. I think Toronto will need +4½ to cover with a 50/50 shot at SU win.
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You're on fire.  I dare you to keep it up with the nightcap.  :D  

 
The nightcap looks pretty straightforward. You got a home fave looking at a bye week - receiving the majority of the bets after uncertainty about the road dog QB situation during the week - to which the line has adjusted a few points in response. Also it's the proverbial "brothers head-coaching against each other for the first time in league history" situation.

  1. Since 2011 the Stampeders have been dogs 23 times (covered 15 of them)
  2. Since 2015 dogs are 18-10 ATS versus the Roughriders (16-2 ATS with a total lined less than 52)
So Calgary has been historically strong the L9 seasons if you look how they only being dogged 23 times (the least in the CFL by a large margin). The Roughriders haven't covered as the fave, especially when the total is low. And proof that I'm getting desperate for angles - Roughriders have sucked at home on Saturday the L6 seasons.

 
facook said:
Weather delay in Saskatoon killed that CFL Over.  Bummer.
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ChainsawU said:
that game was billed as "the two highest-paid QBs in the league" but it was the Stampeders' backup QB that came in after the half and f****d up that under for you (and dog ML)
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Stampeders' backup quarterback Nick Arbuckle went nine-for-nine for 93 yards and the game-winning touchdown pass in just over two minutes of work, adding two carries that resulted in a touchdown and successful two-point conversion.
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He's been their 2nd-string QB/short yardage specialist since 2018. Dude has completed 26 of his career 34 pass attempts for 237 yards and 2 TDs and no picks, and the Stampeders have won 14 of the 15 games he's appeared in. It's the other QB in this game, Fajardo, who has been getting player of the week every week. That's why everyone loves the home team right now I think. The perceived QB discrepancy. Maybe they got some tape on Fajardo now. So they can finally slow him down. I'm gonna fade him, just for fun, and back Arbuckle to hold it down just enough for the D to get it and bring it home.

Stampeders +6 -105
Roughriders Under 28½ -110
Stampeders -1 (to close the teaser) +600

 
@benyamen It's a little silly that with the performances Dom Davis and Fajardo have had so far this season, that Arbuckle is priced above them on DK with little track record of success. #CFL #CFLFantasy 12:03 PM - 3 Jul 2019
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If this is true and Arbuckle is valued more than Fajardo on DFS sites, it lines up with my theory about who wins tonight. I don't have any DFS sites to confirm if this is true or not tho.. they might be tipping their hand with this little tidbit ..?

 
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