2017 FBG Subscriber Contest is LIVE

[msudaisy26 5,902]

1 hour ago, -OZ- said:

I've really got to stop looking at the scores. Been playing jump rope with the line all day. 

Currently #248, .2 above the line. Lots of ball left to be played.

Same here, only good news is I have quite a few guys left.

Wilson minus 23.3

Agholor, Ertz, Graham minus 5.3, 5.4 for the 2 flex spots and minus 18.6 for the tight end spot if they get that much,

Walsh minus 17.6

Eagles D minus 15

Hoping I can gain about 20 to 30 points.

[Raback 283]

Well I am 60 points behind the cut right now lol.  I do have LeVeon replacing a 0, as well as Ajayi, P. Richardson, Ertz and Graham possibly replacing some very low flex and TE scores.  Also have Walsh going but I doubt he tops Zuerleins 17.7.  So there is a path to advancing even if it is highly unlikely at this point.  

[Tennessee_ATO 405]

130 have Bell. 43 have Brown. 85 have Wilson. 112 have Wentz. 24 have Ajayi. 

[Tennessee_ATO 405]

26 minutes ago, Tennessee_ATO said:

Done at 192. 

Got some late garbage. Now I'm done at 195.2. Surely that's good enough, right?

[gianmarco 27,956]

Ugh...cut line jumped a ton this afternoon.  Sitting at 156.3, only 8 above the cut.  My remaining guys:

Ertz -9
Big Ben - 18
Walsh -3
Martavis -9

Might not move at all, but hoping I can get another 15-20 pts (5-7 from Ben, 5-7 from Ertz, 5-7 from Walsh) and that might be enough.
 

[Tennessee_ATO 405]

5 minutes ago, Tennessee_ATO said:

130 have Bell. 43 have Brown. 85 have Wilson. 112 have Wentz. 24 have Ajayi. 

163 have Richardson. 

[-OZ- 7,820]

2 hours ago, -OZ- said:

I've really got to stop looking at the scores. Been playing jump rope with the line all day. 

Currently #248, .2 above the line. Lots of ball left to be played.

213, less than 4 points up. Graham or Ertz - 0, Richardson - 11.7

With the Steelers playing MNF, I'm guessing the line will move a lot.

[Tennessee_ATO 405]

1 hour ago, Tennessee_ATO said:

163 have Richardson. 

338 have Ertz. 133 have Graham 

[msudaisy26 5,902]

AGHOLOR!!!

About 22 up on the cutline, Graham is counting, Agholor is counting, Wilson is less than 4 points from counting.

[msudaisy26 5,902]

181.45 and I am done, hope I can hold on.

[gianmarco 27,956]

Cut went up about 9 points after this game.  Not looking good with Ertz getting knocked out.

Less than 4 points above cut so will need Big Ben to put up close to 30 or Martavis to put up 20 to have any shot.

Ugh....

[Tennessee_ATO 405]

2 minutes ago, gianmarco said:

Cut went up about 9 points after this game.  Not looking good with Ertz getting knocked out.

Less than 4 points above cut so will need Big Ben to put up close to 30 or Martavis to put up 20 to have any shot.

Ugh....

Other than Bell, I'm surprised how low the Steeler ownership numbers are. I'm sure it will move more than 4, but it may not be a huge jump. 

[-OZ- 7,820]

1 hour ago, Tennessee_ATO said:

Other than Bell, I'm surprised how low the Steeler ownership numbers are. I'm sure it will move more than 4, but it may not be a huge jump. 

8 points above the cut, rank 182. Nothing left. Not feeling good about this.

[Billy Bats 3,394]

I need Andy Dalton to have a game.  

Congrats on advancing everyone! 

[BassNBrew 10,512]

6 hours ago, -OZ- said:

8 points above the cut, rank 182. Nothing left. Not feeling good about this.

130 have Bell.  Suspect he'll count for most after 9.3 points.  

[-OZ- 7,820]

16 minutes ago, BassNBrew said:

130 have Bell.  Suspect he'll count for most after 9.3 points.  

Yeah, Bell is probably the key to the line. 

Antonio, green and mixon are on fewer than 70 teams, about 200 have the QBs. Even assuming some teams have those in some combo, and some are already in the top 150, if tonight is a high scoring game the line will move a lot. 

Here's hoping for a 3-0 Bengals win

Curious though, why 9.3?

Edited December 4, 2017 by -OZ-

[Jed 283]

18 minutes ago, -OZ- said:

Yeah, Bell is probably the key to the line. 

Antonio, green and mixon are on fewer than 70 teams, about 200 have the QBs. Even assuming some teams have those in some combo, and some are already in the top 150, if tonight is a high scoring game the line will move a lot. 

Here's hoping for a 3-0 Bengals win

Curious though, why 9.3?

Hunt's score.

[Rhythmdoctor 1,463]

Damn, hate getting knocked out the final week but unless Dalton has the game of his life, I’m dunzo. 10 points behind the cut with only Dalton remaining. 

[Tennessee_ATO 405]

31 minutes ago, Rhythmdoctor said:

Damn, hate getting knocked out the final week but unless Dalton has the game of his life, I’m dunzo. 10 points behind the cut with only Dalton remaining. 

When does he start counting for you?

[Aunt Jemima 297]

not feeling great, 6 points above cut line, have Pitt D counting anything above 2 points and Martavis only counting after 17.9

[Rhythmdoctor 1,463]

2 hours ago, Tennessee_ATO said:

When does he start counting for you?

Jared Goff @ 18.20 points

[OnTheReg 79]

Sitting at 53rd overall, 185.5 points. Good luck to everyone tonight. Also - for anyone that has made it to the final round, what does the winner usually have for a total score Weeks 14-16?

Edited December 4, 2017 by OnTheReg

[Jed 283]

Not sure how much to sweat tonight. I'm 2.55 below the cut with Bell (-3.60) and Ben (-19.80).

I would assume with a normal Bell game I would advance?

[gianmarco 27,956]

26 minutes ago, Jed said:

Not sure how much to sweat tonight. I'm 2.55 below the cut with Bell (-3.60) and Ben (-19.80).

I would assume with a normal Bell game I would advance?

Can't see how you aren't fine.  

[halebop78 25]

Just checking to root on the regulars with shot at 250!

[BassNBrew 10,512]

1 hour ago, OnTheReg said:

Sitting at 53rd overall, 185.5 points. Good luck to everyone tonight. Also - for anyone that has made it to the final round, what does the winner usually have for a total score Weeks 14-16?

1. Fragglerock 218.50 171.75 202.90 593.15 2. Entry 106883 204.00 174.00 210.45 588.45 3. point to shirt 197.60 183.90 199.00 580.50 4. jdw615 174.60 175.70 218.15 568.45 5. Entry 105969 188.25 193.95 179.60 561.80

1. KJrunfree 210.35 219.45 217.80 647.60 2. Ablauer 238.00 204.95 202.40 645.35 3. Road Rage 191.15 207.45 228.45 627.05 4. robmac24x 163.40 215.05 242.85 621.30 5. GrizzlyNorseman 187.75 196.45 236.05 620.25

1. Entry 103630 277.85 211.00 163.55 652.40 2. RaiderBones 253.45 208.20 179.80 641.45 <---- second place due to tiebreaker 3. McCain 212.65 205.25 223.55 641.45 4. Nightraiders 251.20 192.05 190.05 633.30 5. Entry 113708 228.75 207.25 196.50 632.50 6. graham crackers 242.45 192.00 192.75 627.20

Last year was a big down year.  Better plan on 200+  week to get a sniff at any really prize.

eta - 650 is what it usually takes to get there.

Edited December 4, 2017 by BassNBrew

[Tennessee_ATO 405]

7 hours ago, BassNBrew said:

1. Fragglerock 218.50 171.75 202.90 593.15 2. Entry 106883 204.00 174.00 210.45 588.45 3. point to shirt 197.60 183.90 199.00 580.50 4. jdw615 174.60 175.70 218.15 568.45 5. Entry 105969 188.25 193.95 179.60 561.80

1. KJrunfree 210.35 219.45 217.80 647.60 2. Ablauer 238.00 204.95 202.40 645.35 3. Road Rage 191.15 207.45 228.45 627.05 4. robmac24x 163.40 215.05 242.85 621.30 5. GrizzlyNorseman 187.75 196.45 236.05 620.25

1. Entry 103630 277.85 211.00 163.55 652.40 2. RaiderBones 253.45 208.20 179.80 641.45 <---- second place due to tiebreaker 3. McCain 212.65 205.25 223.55 641.45 4. Nightraiders 251.20 192.05 190.05 633.30 5. Entry 113708 228.75 207.25 196.50 632.50 6. graham crackers 242.45 192.00 192.75 627.20

Last year was a big down year.  Better plan on 200+  week to get a sniff at any really prize.

eta - 650 is what it usually takes to get there.

I've had a couple 3-week stretches in the 580's this year, but haven't been remotely close to 650.

[BassNBrew 10,512]

13 minutes ago, Tennessee_ATO said:

I've had a couple 3-week stretches in the 580's this year, but haven't been remotely close to 650.

Smart of you to hold some back in reserve

[Tennessee_ATO 405]

19 minutes ago, BassNBrew said:

Smart of you to hold some back in reserve

Exactly. That's how I planned it from the start. If I don't get some bodies back this week my master plan is in trouble tho. 

[gianmarco 27,956]

Line barely moved so far....

[Tennessee_ATO 405]

Ben is just horrible on the road. 

[gianmarco 27,956]

Oof, need a Martavis TD in the worst way.

[-OZ- 7,820]

Is it wrong that I'm cheering for flags and maybe a grimble td?

[gianmarco 27,956]

I'm #250 right now. Have to think someone with Boswell will pass me. Geez.

[gianmarco 27,956]

Holy cow... I'm the cutoff. 165 points, #249 (same as 250). That 3 yard pass just before the FG for Big Ben got me there.

Unreal.

Last 3 minutes of the game I kept going from 248 to 252.  Back and forth like 4-5 times.

Edited December 5, 2017 by gianmarco

[gianmarco 27,956]

Um, even crazier. One team with Boswell finished 0.45 points behind the cutoff. If the offsides penalty doesn't happen and the FG is 5 yards longer, he'd be in by 0.05 points and I'd be out. 

And I was initially pissed about the penalty since I figured he was definitely making it then.

Edited December 5, 2017 by gianmarco

[levinakl 0]

These late Steelers games give me way too much "excitement" as it stands for this contest, but once again the Antonio Brown/Le'Veon Bell combo bails me out again. So pumped to repeat in the top 250. Good luck to the remaining survivors.....

[levinakl 0]

23 minutes ago, gianmarco said:

Um, even crazier. One team with Boswell finished 0.45 points behind the cutoff. If the offsides penalty doesn't happen and the FG is 5 yards longer, he'd be in and I'd be out. 

That's just plain crazy. 

[-OZ- 7,820]

1 hour ago, gianmarco said:

Holy cow... I'm the cutoff. 165 points, #249 (same as 250). That 3 yard pass just before the FG for Big Ben got me there.

Unreal.

Last 3 minutes of the game I kept going from 248 to 252.  Back and forth like 4-5 times.

165.4, rank 246

[BassNBrew 10,512]

Congrats guys

[gianmarco 27,956]

6 hours ago, -OZ- said:

165.4, rank 246

Congrats, GB!

Unfortunately, 2 staff members made it, moving 2 guys up. 

I'm #251

Edited December 5, 2017 by gianmarco

[-OZ- 7,820]

7 hours ago, gianmarco said:

Holy cow... I'm the cutoff. 165 points, #249 (same as 250). That 3 yard pass just before the FG for Big Ben got me there.

Unreal.

Last 3 minutes of the game I kept going from 248 to 252.  Back and forth like 4-5 times.

Ruh roh. Contest page shows cut off at 165.10. Hope that's you!

[gianmarco 27,956]

11 minutes ago, -OZ- said:

Ruh roh. Contest page shows cut off at 165.10. Hope that's you!

Nope. 2 staff members made it, they don't count, so I'm now 251.

[BassNBrew 10,512]

35 minutes ago, gianmarco said:

Nope. 2 staff members made it, they don't count, so I'm now 251.

That should work in your favor

[msudaisy26 5,902]

Holy cow, I made the final 250!!!

[Jed 283]

Made it... with DJ sucking up a lot of cap. Wish I could use that money to make a real run.

[-OZ- 7,820]

58 minutes ago, gianmarco said:

Nope. 2 staff members made it, they don't count, so I'm now 251.

Ah, didn't realize the staff was included in rankings. Hadn't really looked at the rankings all year.

Really doubt my team makes much noise here, Stafford and Mariota just haven't done enough and the highest scoring position. I'm decent elsewhere but haven't had any huge weeks.

[gianmarco 27,956]

28 minutes ago, BassNBrew said:

That should work in your favor

Yeah, you're right.  Not sure why the discrepancy with the live scorer.  Either way, with the live scorer I'm in and with the official FBG, I'm out at #251. 

I'm THAT guy in the final week.

Edited December 5, 2017 by gianmarco

[mphtrilogy 2,850]

I'm out

 

good luck guys

[Tennessee_ATO 405]

Hunt, despite being a non-factor since early-season, is on 225 rosters. So he has to be the guy most likely to be on the winning roster just by simple probability.

What player(s), excluding Hunt, is (are) most likely to be on the winning roster and why?