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Trump and the 16 women


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4 minutes ago, Joe Bryant said:

I thought I'd seen cut but I'm sure you're right. Cutting them could be a liability before an investigation. Should have said, "All the NFL Network guys are suspended pending investigation. Even if the investigation comes back ok, I'd say none of these guys is getting a job anytime soon in a public position. Again, I could be totally wrong - it's just how it feels to me."

One also has to wonder how the "investigation" is conducted in these crazy times.   If nfl/espn did an investigation and they came back and found nothing wrong and reinstated these guys then can you imagine the hell they would face?  Like I have been saying the pendulum has swung hard and heavy in one direction too quickly.  

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5 minutes ago, Henry Ford said:

What I said was "If anyone's still convinced that the accusers are lying about all of this, I know Stacia Robitaille personally. If it makes any difference, I don't believe for an instant she would lie about this."  It is similar behavior to that discussed by other accusers, albeit on a tamer scale.  If that's irrelevant to you, cool.  That's why I included "if it makes any difference."  

I hear what you're saying, but, you know it sounded like, "I personally know someone Trump hit on so all the sexual assault accusers are telling the truth".

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1 minute ago, tonydead said:

And hitting on someone isn't similar behavior as sexual assault.  Stop that.

Trying to get a woman you don't know to bail on her husband and sleep with you and being aggressive about it is very similar behavior to what has been described by several accusers.  It's also in keeping with his interview with Billy Bush.  I understand if it doesn't make a difference to you.  But I'm afraid you don't get to be the arbiter of what I do and don't say.

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And we also have to accept these companies are in the business of perception. They might come back and find Heath Evans didn't do much of anything. But weighing out the cost of what it looks like bringing him back compared to the supply of people out there who can do his job as a replacement and they may just move on. Perception is important. 

Would that be unfair to Evans if he truly didn't do anything? Sure. Is that the kind of "collateral damage" people will accept? That remains to be seen. My guess, and again it's purely a guess, is yes.

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3 minutes ago, Joe Bryant said:

And we also have to accept these companies are in the business of perception. They might come back and find Heath Evans didn't do much of anything. But weighing out the cost of what it looks like bringing him back compared to the supply of people out there who can do his job as a replacement and they may just move on. Perception is important. 

Would that be unfair to Evans if he truly didn't do anything? Sure. Is that the kind of "collateral damage" people will accept? That remains to be seen. My guess, and again it's purely a guess, is yes.

Well, she's claiming he sent her nude pictures of himself.  I'd say that if she has nude pictures of Heath Evans, it's pretty likely he'll never work in broadcasting on a national scale again.

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4 minutes ago, Joe Bryant said:

And we also have to accept these companies are in the business of perception. They might come back and find Heath Evans didn't do much of anything. But weighing out the cost of what it looks like bringing him back compared to the supply of people out there who can do his job as a replacement and they may just move on. Perception is important. 

Would that be unfair to Evans if he truly didn't do anything? Sure. Is that the kind of "collateral damage" people will accept? That remains to be seen. My guess, and again it's purely a guess, is yes.

Exactly 

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1 minute ago, Henry Ford said:

Trying to get a woman you don't know to bail on her husband and sleep with you and being aggressive about it is very similar behavior to what has been described by several accusers.  It's also in keeping with his interview with Billy Bush.  I understand if it doesn't make a difference to you.  But I'm afraid you don't get to be the arbiter of what I do and don't say.

It's legal behavior that happens in bars and night clubs all around the world everyday.  As long as he stopped when she said no.  Was that part of her story she told you?

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Just now, tonydead said:

It's legal behavior that happens in bars and night clubs all around the world everyday.  As long as he stopped when she said no.  Was that part of her story she told you?

If you'll read my posts, she didn't tell me any story.  But if you didn't read my posts, your responses are making a lot more sense.

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Just now, Henry Ford said:

Well, she's claiming he sent her nude pictures of himself.  I'd say that if she has nude pictures of Heath Evans, it's pretty likely he'll never work in broadcasting on a national scale again.

Sure. I'm talking more in hypothetical terms. Even if it turns out Evans never did any of the stuff that's claimed, my guess is he doesn't have any sort of similar type job for quite a while. Maybe ever. 

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@Henry Ford   am I remembering right that you're an attorney? I'm just a Footballguy. You're way more learned in this type of thing than I am. I'm assuming there are legal principles and such that deal with this kind of thing, right? Like where a crime is serious enough that things aren't exactly "fair" in how guilt or innocence is presumed? Granted, lots of this is more in the court of public perception than a real court of law, but are there principles that cross over? 

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2 minutes ago, Joe Bryant said:

Sure. I'm talking more in hypothetical terms. Even if it turns out Evans never did any of the stuff that's claimed, my guess is he doesn't have any sort of similar type job for quite a while. Maybe ever. 

Is that what happened to Peyton Manning? Jameis Winston? Casey Affleck? Shaun White? Marv Albert?  Some of those even probably did what they were accused of.  Albert was arrested and pled guilty and he came back, albeit in a very different time.

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2 minutes ago, Joe Bryant said:

@Henry Ford   am I remembering right that you're an attorney? I'm just a Footballguy. You're way more learned in this type of thing than I am. I'm assuming there are legal principles and such that deal with this kind of thing, right? Like where a crime is serious enough that things aren't exactly "fair" in how guilt or innocence is presumed? Granted, lots of this is more in the court of public perception than a real court of law, but are there principles that cross over? 

I'm not sure I understand the question. Can you put it differently for me?

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As far as burden of proof...

In a criminal case, the thumb is heavily on the scale for the defendant.  Beyond a reasonable doubt is a high burden.

In a civil case (asking for damages) the burden is on the plaintiff to prove his or her case by a preponderance of the evidence - it has to be more likely than not that the plaintiff is correct.  If it's 50.00000000000000000001% in favor of the plaintiff, it's supposed to be a win for the plaintiff.  In practice, that's not generally how it works with a jury, but it's supposed to be the burden.

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24 minutes ago, Henry Ford said:

I'm not sure I understand the question. Can you put it differently for me?

You answered it in your next post. I mean more like who has the burden of proof.

For what we're talking here with people like Sapp or Evans, it's more like a civil case, right?

 

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26 minutes ago, Henry Ford said:

Is that what happened to Peyton Manning? Jameis Winston? Casey Affleck? Shaun White? Marv Albert?  Some of those even probably did what they were accused of.  Albert was arrested and pled guilty and he came back, albeit in a very different time.

There's always nuance to it. When someone as beloved as Manning is accused, there's so much goodwill on his side there has to be damning evidence. I don't think there was enough for him. Not sure on Winston. There's a petition with 16,000 signatures asking the Academy not invite Affleck to the Oscars.  Shaun White didn't seem to suffer much. Marv Albert was fired after being there 20 years and then was brought a couple of years later. 

But all of those cases were in the past. This is a very different time now. 

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8 minutes ago, Joe Bryant said:

There's always nuance to it. When someone as beloved as Manning is accused, there's so much goodwill on his side there has to be damning evidence. I don't think there was enough for him. Not sure on Winston. There's a petition with 16,000 signatures asking the Academy not invite Affleck to the Oscars.  Shaun White didn't seem to suffer much. Marv Albert was fired after being there 20 years and then was brought a couple of years later. 

But all of those cases were in the past. This is a very different time now. 

Affleck won an Oscar in February after his story had already come out.  That's less than ten months ago.  That's six months after Ailes resigned.  Two months before O'Reilly was forced to resign. 

As for 16,000 signatures... there were that many signatures on a petition to get the Cincinnati Bengals to change their name to the Cincinnati Harambes.  I can't say I take that all that seriously as a number of people who are upset.

I guess what I'm saying is, yes, I understand that a lot of people feel scared about what might happen as a result of backlash, but I think it's pretty much akin to people feeling scared about a lot of other checks on white, male privilege.  I think that fear is more from our collective belief that if it were us and we suddenly had some kind of voice and power after years of being treated like something on the bottom of the country's collective shoe, we'd like to think we'd burn this country to the ground and dance on its ashes.  But I think it's fear itself, and not fear of a thing that's actually happening.

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17 minutes ago, Henry Ford said:

Affleck won an Oscar in February after his story had already come out.  That's less than ten months ago.  That's six months after Ailes resigned.  Two months before O'Reilly was forced to resign. 

As for 16,000 signatures... there were that many signatures on a petition to get the Cincinnati Bengals to change their name to the Cincinnati Harambes.  I can't say I take that all that seriously as a number of people who are upset.

I guess what I'm saying is, yes, I understand that a lot of people feel scared about what might happen as a result of backlash, but I think it's pretty much akin to people feeling scared about a lot of other checks on white, male privilege.  I think that fear is more from our collective belief that if it were us and we suddenly had some kind of voice and power after years of being treated like something on the bottom of the country's collective shoe, we'd like to think we'd burn this country to the ground and dance on its ashes.  But I think it's fear itself, and not fear of a thing that's actually happening.

Thanks. We'll just disagree there on what people think. As I said, I've just experienced too many people instantly writing off the NFL Network guys to think otherwise. I know I have. I don't think it has anything to do with checks on white male privilege. Certainly not with Faulk or Sapp. And I don't think it's fear. I don't know any of the women personally who've come out with accusations but I don't sense any joy in dancing in the ashes at all. Most seem to be sincere and reluctant and restrained. I think if I were in their position, I'd feel similarly. 

I think if Affleck's situation were to happen today, we'd have a different reaction. I think it's a new reality of where we are in society. 

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48 minutes ago, Joe Bryant said:

You answered it in your next post. I mean more like who has the burden of proof.

For what we're talking here with people like Sapp or Evans, it's more like a civil case, right?

 

I dunno, in the past the civil cases were paid off, kept quiet and people kept their jobs.  Seem like that's the opposite of what everyone wants now.

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Just now, timschochet said:

You're right. I should have just written that he is an abuser of women. Period. I have no doubts whatsoever.

Should he see his day in court or should we just lock him up now?  Because that's what you really meant by "almost for sure"; it's not fair to say otherwise if you believe in our justice system.  

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Just now, tonydead said:

Should he see his day in court or should we just lock him up now?  Because that's what you really meant by "almost for sure"; it's not fair to say otherwise if you believe in our justice system.  

Oh I don't want to lock him up. Most of his actions weren't crimes (although rape is and if there is evidence of that he should be prosecuted and tried after his time in office is over.)

If I had my way, he would be impeached and removed from office. It's disgraceful that this man is our President.

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10 minutes ago, timschochet said:

Oh I don't want to lock him up. Most of his actions weren't crimes (although rape is and if there is evidence of that he should be prosecuted and tried after his time in office is over.)

If I had my way, he would be impeached and removed from office. It's disgraceful that this man is our President.

lollers you and commish are exactly the same.

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23 minutes ago, timschochet said:

Oh I don't want to lock him up. Most of his actions weren't crimes (although rape is and if there is evidence of that he should be prosecuted and tried after his time in office is over.)

If I had my way, he would be impeached and removed from office. It's disgraceful that this man is our President.

So you're judging him against your own morality, not what is legal or illegal?   We had our chance to speak up based on morality when we voted and that didn't work, even after the locker room talk.  That ship has sailed.

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38 minutes ago, tonydead said:

So you're judging him against your own morality, not what is legal or illegal?   We had our chance to speak up based on morality when we voted and that didn't work, even after the locker room talk.  That ship has sailed.

It really hasn't.  We can learn from our mistakes.  The larger challenge right now is getting willfully ignorant people to acknowledge they made a mistake.  Not sure that is doable and that ship might have indeed sailed.  

It's funny that the "legal vs illegal" line is starting to rear it's head in these threads...reminiscent of all the Hillary lovers trotting out the same tired position.

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2 minutes ago, The Commish said:

absolutely brilliant analysis...well done :thumbup: 

Yeah you both want him to resign based on his policies and you both are reaching for anything and now it appears you guys are using this white knight issue as the latest reason.  It actually all makes perfect sense now.  You hate Trump so you are feigning this outrage. 

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The idea that the ship has sailed on past controversies or shortcomings once someone is elected is absurd.  It's never worked that way in politics and it never will. Did conservatives stop bringing up "if you like your plan you can keep it" after Obama won a second term?

And in any event, Trump denied the allegations and promised exculpatory evidence and lawsuits against his accusers, which gave his supporters cover to dismiss those accusations, which many did according to polling. He hasn't provided that evidence or brought those lawsuits and the White House continues to say that these women are all lying, so these issues are ongoing. And if the Zervos lawsuit isn't dismissed or delayed by the judge in the next couple weeks they're going to become a dominant story of his presidency.

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3 minutes ago, TobiasFunke said:

The idea that the ship has sailed on past controversies or shortcomings once someone is elected is absurd.  It's never worked that way in politics and it never will. Did conservatives stop bringing up "if you like your plan you can keep it" after Obama won a second term?

And in any event, Trump denied the allegations and promised exculpatory evidence and lawsuits against his accusers, which gave his supporters cover to dismiss those accusations, which many did according to polling. He hasn't provided that evidence or brought those lawsuits and the White House continues to say that these women are all lying, so these issues are ongoing. And if the Zervos lawsuit isn't dismissed or delayed by the judge in the next couple weeks they're going to become a dominant story of his presidency.

Fun experiment: tell a conservative that the ship has sailed on prosecuting HRC.  

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16 minutes ago, The Commish said:

It really hasn't.  We can learn from our mistakes.  The larger challenge right now is getting willfully ignorant people to acknowledge they made a mistake.  Not sure that is doable and that ship might have indeed sailed.  

It's funny that the "legal vs illegal" line is starting to rear it's head in these threads...reminiscent of all the Hillary lovers trotting out the same tired position.

It really hasn't.....blah blah.....it might have indeed.   Yeah, nothing confusing with your posts.  

You (and Tim) think it's possible to impeach Trump without charging him with something illegal.   That's nuts.

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10 minutes ago, TobiasFunke said:

The idea that the ship has sailed on past controversies or shortcomings

Nobody said that. 

These two think they can get Trump out of office based on their moral view of the world.  You're only chance to do that was during the election.  

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1 minute ago, tonydead said:

It really hasn't.....blah blah.....it might have indeed.   Yeah, nothing confusing with your posts.  

You (and Tim) think it's possible to impeach Trump without charging him with something illegal.   That's nuts.

It would be helpful to the discussion if you would try reading what people write a little more charitably.

"We had our chance to speak up based on morality when we voted and that didn't work, even after the locker room talk.  That ship has sailed." It really hasn't

But there's an even bigger challenge of getting the willfully ignorant to acknowledge they made a mistake. That ship may have sailed.

Those are two different propositions he spoke on. 

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13 minutes ago, Henry Ford said:

It would be helpful to the discussion if you would try reading what people write a little more charitably.

"We had our chance to speak up based on morality when we voted and that didn't work, even after the locker room talk.  That ship has sailed." It really hasn't

But there's an even bigger challenge of getting the willfully ignorant to acknowledge they made a mistake. That ship may have sailed.

Those are two different propositions he spoke on. 

What's your objective for getting people to acknowledge they made a mistake?  Because context matters and we were talking about removing Trump from office based on morality.  

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8 minutes ago, tonydead said:

What's your objective for getting people to acknowledge they make a mistake?  Because context matters and we were talking about removing Trump from office based on morality.  

People, or the willfully ignorant?  The overwhelming majority of people in this country disapprove of the President right now. But a number of willfully ignorant people would be a problem even if he's removed from office, for a number of reasons.  

He can be removed without "the willfully ignorant" coming to Jesus, as it were.  But that doesn't solve the problems that put him there in the first place, nor does it help this country come back together.

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That's what I mean by reading things charitably.  We all need to be better about it - everyone on the internet.  But when there are multiple possible interpretations of what someone wrote, it can be helpful to (1) ask "did you mean X, or Y, or Z?" or just "can you explain that more so I understand what you mean?"; or (2) assume the person means the one that is reasonable.  Of course, all that goes out the window with history, and long-standing arguments and such.  Just saying it can be helpful to discussion.

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1 hour ago, pantherclub said:

Yeah you both want him to resign based on his policies and you both are reaching for anything and now it appears you guys are using this white knight issue as the latest reason.  It actually all makes perfect sense now.  You hate Trump so you are feigning this outrage. 

Link?

I blatantly said I think he should be removed because he has the mental capacity of a child.  You don't need to make #### up :lol:   And it gets better when in my posts I say you can throw out this sexism, allegations of sexual assault and/or sexual harassment and there's still plenty to throw him out on.  Can't make this #### up :lmao: 

I don't need this particular set of allegations to be outraged with Trump :shrug: 

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