18 for 62 at 3.4ypc and you’re asking where all the haters at?
Context is pretty crucial. He had five goal line carries for a total of four yards. So his stats outside of the goal line were 13 carries for 58 yards, a healthy 4.5 ypc.
And sure, all RBs get hurt by goal line carries, but the ratio was disproportionate. 28% of his carries last night were from the goal line. I recall discussing Melvin Gordon's ypc once and someone said it was low because of all his goal line carries so I looked into it. In that season, Melvin had 253 carries for 3.9 ypc. He had 20 goal line carries, or about 7.9% of his total carries. If you removed them, it bumped him up from 3.9 to 4.2.
So yes, goal line carries affect everyone, but not to the extent that we saw last night. It would be stupid to hold his 3.4 ypc against him and it would be overly optimistic to get excited about the 4.5 ypc. Just using Melvin Gordon's numbers to adjust Montgomery's, I'd view last night as a 4.2 ypc night, which is not bad against Denver.
Math:
13 carries x 7.9% = 1 carry
(13 x 4.5ypc + 1 x 0.8ypc)/14 = 4.24ypc
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This silly discussion aside, the real news here is that this RBBC died almost as quickly as it started. It seems Mike Davis got the week 1 start out of veteran respect. Montgomery got the start this week and got 18 carries, 3 targets to Davis' 3 carries, 0 targets.
Trubisky still looked awful, so that will impede Montgomery's upside, but it appears Montgomery will have a safe floor going forward. Given Chicago's defense, I don't expect to see them blown out of many games.