Sorry, it’s not just one link but from a few different place that I compiled together. Some of it is premium but I will PM you some food for thought when I can go back through everything. He and Miles landed in great spots! Man, this is a good draft!You got a link for the correlation?
Context is always important when dealing with stats as a predictive tool. For instance, when dealing with a 1 year starter.
things change fast, while Cohen will have a role no doubt, he strikes me more as a lightning COP 3rd down guy.Sanders and Montgomery are both going to be sharing the backfield. Great picks for their teams but bad for fantasy.
Nagy never liked Cohen and Howard. Montgomery is his guy and it's a perfect landing spot with what Montgomery can doSanders and Montgomery are both going to be sharing the backfield. Great picks for their teams but bad for fantasy.
I'm sitting 1.3 too and I'd rather take a wr, but I may go best rb available, which I will agree is one of these two.in one league I think my 1.03 will come down to him vs miles sanders....
for top 3-5 picks it's awful. that's basically proven by where these guys were drafted. Most classed you get WR's picked in the top 15 or RB's drafted in the top 50 picks.Sorry, it’s not just one link but from a few different place that I compiled together. Some of it is premium but I will PM you some food for thought when I can go back through everything. He and Miles landed in great spots! Man, this is a good draft!
Who said 2019 was not a good class?
Love it!
Tex
Tampa Bay, Buffalo or Oakland would have been better, but I'm happy with it. It's better than the Los Angeles Rams lol. Montgomery and Sanders have clear paths to parts of productive committees; Sanders has a chance for more in another year when Howard's contract expires.Sanders and Montgomery are both going to be sharing the backfield. Great picks for their teams but bad for fantasy.
Bears coach Matt Nagy said he "sees" the Kareem Hunt comparisons for third-round RB David Montgomery.
Nagy noted the fact Montgomery "makes defenders miss inside the tackle box" before going on to talk up his hands. He said he "definitely" understands the Hunt comparison. Nagy coached Hunt with the Chiefs. The Bears, who were starved for draft ammo to begin with, surrendered two picks and a 2020 fourth-rounder to move up 14 spots for Montgomery. It is safe to assume they are hoping Montgomery earns a big rookie role.
SOURCE: Jeff Dickerson on Twitter
Apr 27, 2019, 5:44 PM
We’re going to disagree. I have picks 1-3 and I’m on cloud 9ine!!!! I’ve contemplated trading for that 4th spot. Things will clear up even more during training camp but this is a great draft class.ILUVBEER99 said:for top 3-5 picks it's awful. that's basically proven by where these guys were drafted. Most classed you get WR's picked in the top 15 or RB's drafted in the top 50 picks.
it's a solid class for mid/late 1st round rookie picks though. i'd be very happy with a rookie pick in the 6-12 range. i'd be livid with a pick in the 2-5 range.
I wouldn't say it is bad for fantasy at all. There are only 9-10 true three down backs and those guys are going in rounds 1/2 in fantasy drafts. If Montgomery is who the Bears think he is, all those touches are going to him and Cohen, and Montgomery is definitely going to steal some of those targets. IMO Davis won't be too heavily involved.Sanders and Montgomery are both going to be sharing the backfield. Great picks for their teams but bad for fantasy.
But there were landing spots where three down workloads were available. Oakland (Jacobs), Tampa, and possibly Buffalo and Houston.I wouldn't say it is bad for fantasy at all. There are only 9-10 true three down backs and those guys are going in rounds 1/2 in fantasy drafts. If Montgomery is who the Bears think he is, all those touches are going to him and Cohen, and Montgomery is definitely going to steal some of those targets. IMO Davis won't be too heavily involved.
I am a Bears fan and it clouds my vision with their guys for fantasy sometimes. The truth is I don't know what Nagy thinks about Cohen. He may be the one left out to dry here. I thought 4 touches for Cohen in the playoff loss was an unforgiveable bush league sin of stupidity that makes me question Nagy forever. Maybe he simply doesn't like Cohen. I was thinking something like a 50/30/20 split between Monty/Cohen/Davis. Which is good but not great. But if he doesn't like Cohen then maybe you are right maybe Monty will be a bellcow. I also could see Davis being the guy week 1 as Monty eventually takes over. My first gut reaction is that it's bad for fantasy. I know if he is there at 1.04 it will be hard to pass.I wouldn't say it is bad for fantasy at all. There are only 9-10 true three down backs and those guys are going in rounds 1/2 in fantasy drafts. If Montgomery is who the Bears think he is, all those touches are going to him and Cohen, and Montgomery is definitely going to steal some of those targets. IMO Davis won't be too heavily involved.
While Davis is an ok back I don’t think it will be much of a timeshare. Cohen will get his work, and Monty seems like the guy they wanted since they had no picks and then traded them all to move up and get him. People were speculating Monty to KC pre draft and what a wonderful landing spot that would be....so he lands with Nagy instead, also a good landing spot imo.I am a Bears fan and it clouds my vision with their guys for fantasy sometimes. The truth is I don't know what Nagy thinks about Cohen. He may be the one left out to dry here. I thought 4 touches for Cohen in the playoff loss was an unforgiveable bush league sin of stupidity that makes me question Nagy forever. Maybe he simply doesn't like Cohen. I was thinking something like a 50/30/20 split between Monty/Cohen/Davis. Which is good but not great. But if he doesn't like Cohen then maybe you are right maybe Monty will be a bellcow. I also could see Davis being the guy week 1 as Monty eventually takes over. My first gut reaction is that it's bad for fantasy. I know if he is there at 1.04 it will be hard to pass.
ETA I should probably say not great for fantasy instead of *bad*. If I'm right about it being a shared backfield. If he is a bellcow then it's a clear homerun landing spot.
you're over thinking itThe only problem with him that I see, is that he makes Chicago's backfield a 3-pronged attack. He's not going to be the goalline back or the short yardage back. That's all Mike Davis. He's also not going to be the 3rd down back, that's all Tarik Cohen. He's probably not going to see many designed pass plays, that's Tarik Cohen.
So that leaves 1st and 2nd down to this guy. I guess it's an audition to a larger role down the road. It's just a negative to me that two other guys have a death grip over:
1.) Redzone touches.
2.) Catches
Now I'm looking at a guy who might get 13 carries for 65 yards, 1 catch for 17 yards. Meanwhile, Mike Davis outscores him on 8 / 30 yards / 1 touchdown for half the cost.
cool story. It's my opinion you're dead wrong about Montgomery. And that's okay that we disagreeI'm winning championships.
That's totally fine. I'm from Chicago and watched every Bears game last year for what it's worth. Of course, if you've already drafted this guy I'm probably not going to change your mind. I just see a very crowded backfield. Mike Davis averaged 4.6 YPC and caught 34 receptions for 214 yards last season. Tarik Cohen averaged 4.5 YPC and caught 71 passes for 725 yards last season.cool story. It's my opinion you're dead wrong about Montgomery. And that's okay that we disagree
David Montgomery, RB — Chicago Bears (No. 73 overall)
2018 stats at Iowa State: 257 carries, 1,216 rushing yards, 13 rushing touchdowns
Josh Jacobs, a first-round pick by the Raiders out of Alabama, will likely be considered the top rookie RB in 2019. I think it’s a close call, but I like the spot for Montgomery more. Mitchell Trubisky is still growing at the QB position, which keeps Chicago as a defensive team that prefers to run the ball.
Tarik Cohen is a spectacular talent, but his size keeps him in primarily a third-down/pass-catching role. With Jordan Howard on the Eagles, this feature RB1 role could easily belong to Montgomery. Howard posted a 250-935-9 line in 2018, which made him fantasy relevant, but the 3.7 yards per carry weren’t effective. Some fresh legs in the backfield could make all the difference, just look at what Montgomery was able to do last season in college with nearly an identical number of carries.
You're looking at this year's Royce Freeman. Let the hype train commence, fellas.
I don't think his take is far fetched at all. I've been going back and forth on this and I appreciate that they moved up to draft him after shipping Howard. And I don't know that they like Cohen all that much. I am a big Davis fan, though. I would prefer to see how camp shakes out, but my rookie drafts are in a couple weeks.you're over thinking it
I think Davis has a role but it's not much in my eyes. Nagy has wanted his guy since he got there and I think he has it in Montgomery.I don't think his take is far fetched at all. I've been going back and forth on this and I appreciate that they moved up to draft him after shipping Howard. And I don't know that they like Cohen all that much. I am a big Davis fan, though. I would prefer to see how camp shakes out, but my rookie drafts are in a couple weeks.
Agreed... The fact that Bears traded up to select Montgomery as their first draft pick explains it. Nagy wants a RB with similar calibers in Kareem Hunt and he did it by repeating Chiefs' draft move two years ago on trading up to select Hunt.I think Davis has a role but it's not much in my eyes. Nagy has wanted his guy since he got there and I think he has it in Montgomery.
I wont be in a position to draft him I dont think, but who ever gets him is getting probably the early rb1 from this class
What makes you think Davis gets GL and short yardage work over Montgomery. Davis is 5’9” 217 and Montgomery is 5’10” 222.The only problem with him that I see, is that he makes Chicago's backfield a 3-pronged attack. He's not going to be the goalline back or the short yardage back. That's all Mike Davis.
My rookie draft is in two weeks.If you’ve weaseled an extra 1st rounder in dynasty, nothing wrong with Monty as a dice roll. It was clear Nagy didn’t trust Howard unless the game situation dictated a smashmouth approach.
If you’re drafting near the top in dynasty because your team and/or RBs are trash, you’ll probably not want to risk it and try to buy low if Monty starts out slowly.
Once the preseason starts, we should get a much better idea of how Monty’s role will shape up, based on how little he plays in first halves. Can’t even think about redraft value until then.
LOL love this hot take.NFL DRAFT: BEST, WORST FANTASY LANDING SPOTS
Excerpt:
David Montgomery, RB — Chicago Bears (No. 73 overall)
2018 stats at Iowa State: 257 carries, 1,216 rushing yards, 13 rushing touchdowns
Josh Jacobs, a first-round pick by the Raiders out of Alabama, will likely be considered the top rookie RB in 2019. I think it’s a close call, but I like the spot for Montgomery more. Mitchell Trubisky is still growing at the QB position, which keeps Chicago as a defensive team that prefers to run the ball.
Tarik Cohen is a spectacular talent, but his size keeps him in primarily a third-down/pass-catching role. With Jordan Howard on the Eagles, this feature RB1 role could easily belong to Montgomery. Howard posted a 250-935-9 line in 2018, which made him fantasy relevant, but the 3.7 yards per carry weren’t effective. Some fresh legs in the backfield could make all the difference, just look at what Montgomery was able to do last season in college with nearly an identical number of carries.
He doesn't catch passes and isn't much more than a JAG as a runner. Bears fan here. Don't get me wrong he is good just not anything special. I was pretty surprised the Eagles signed him to be honest.With 1.02, and badly needing a RB, I'm also torn between Sanders and Montgomery. The irony is that I need to look more at Jordan Howard than either of these two. Why did the Bears use him as they did last year and cut him loose and what have the Eagles signed him for.
I think a lot of us are torn on who would be the better back between the 2. I like what both coaches are saying about each player, but then again rarely will a 1st or 2nd day pick have their coach come out and say "this guys sucks"With 1.02, and badly needing a RB, I'm also torn between Sanders and Montgomery. The irony is that I need to look more at Jordan Howard than either of these two. Why did the Bears use him as they did last year and cut him loose and what have the Eagles signed him for.
They have similar physical and athletic profiles.How do his athletic testing numbers compare to Hunt's?
I disagree with that assertion that Montgomery is a JaG runner.He doesn't catch passes and isn't much more than a JAG as a runner. Bears fan here. Don't get me wrong he is good just not anything special. I was pretty surprised the Eagles signed him to be honest.
Howard. Montgomery catches passesI disagree with that assertion that Montgomery is a JaG runner.
Was talking about Jordan Howard.I disagree with that assertion that Montgomery is a JaG runner.