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Wagers on Trump's Speech Last Night (Click here, you won't believe what happened!$!@##@$!$#)


fantasycurse42

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https://www.marketwatch.com/story/president-trumps-truthiness-makes-history-as-betting-site-pays-out-bigly-2019-01-09

Seriously, this is pretty hysterical :lmao:

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Before the president’s address on border security Tuesday night, Bookmaker.eu put the over/under on the number of lies he’d spew at 3.5. For bettors, it was a no-brainer, as hundreds of thousands of dollars loaded up on the over.

Quote

“Never in our 30-year history have we been this one-sided (9 to 1) on a wager,” he said. “You would have to go back to the early Mike Tyson fights (pre-Buster Douglas) to find a wager with comparable one-sided demand.”

Quote

Lester explained that no matter how much he adjusted the odds, hardly anybody seemed interested in taking the under. 

 

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“We knew the President would be prone to exaggeration to support his need for Democratic support to fund his wall,” Lester said. “However, we hoped the 8-minute time constraint coupled with the unlikelihood of the President going off-script would keep the total number of false statements low.”

Nope.

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:lol:

I wonder what they used to define a lie? The WaPo fact checker only had 3 provable lies:

- every day Border Patrol agents encounter thousands of illegals (actual number is closer to 986 per day, and not all of them are illegals).
- every week, 300 citizens are killed by heroin (actual number closer to 288).
- Democrats requested that Trump change the wall from concrete to steel (no Democrat is on record saying that).

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13 minutes ago, [scooter] said:

:lol:

I wonder what they used to define a lie? The WaPo fact checker only had 3 provable lies:

- every day Border Patrol agents encounter thousands of illegals (actual number is closer to 986 per day, and not all of them are illegals).
- every week, 300 citizens are killed by heroin (actual number closer to 288).
- Democrats requested that Trump change the wall from concrete to steel (no Democrat is on record saying that).

I wondered the same thing.  I'd be wary of this wager simply because it may not be 100% quantifiable. 

I did hear about a fascinating Super Bowl prop: Will the chick-fil-a in the stadium be open for the Super Bowl? It's like -5000 on the "no" but I still found it interesting and made me wonder the number the business ran before deciding to put a franchise there. 

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