Just finished my one and only dev draft of the year. 2020-eligible players only. This is a TE-premium league, but none were taken.
Bryan Edwards was out of the pool due to being taken last year.
1.01 - RB D'ANDRE SWIFT, GEORGIA
1.02 - WR JERRY JEUDY, ALABAMA
1.03 - RB TRAVIS ETIENNE, CLEMSON
1.04 - WR CEEDEE LAMB, OKLAHOMA
1.05 - WR LAVISKA SHENAULT, COLORADO
1.06 - RB JONATHAN TAYLOR, WISCONSIN
1.07 - RB CAM AKERS, FLORIDA STATE
1.08 - WR TEE HIGGINS, CLEMSON
1.09 - RB ENO BENJAMIN, ARIZONA STATE
1.10 - WR JALEN REAGOR, TCU
1.11 - RB JK DOBBINS, OHIO STATE
1.12 - WR TYLER JOHNSON, MINNESOTA
1.13 - RB KE'SHAWN VAUGHN, VANDERBILT
1.14 - WR HENRY RUGGS, ALABAMA (MY PICK)
Last year I had a middling pick and whittled down my options to a four man short list of Jalin Moore, Darrell Henderson, Damarea Crockett, and Noah Fant. I ended up taking Crockett. Woops. That's the nature of these dev drafts. Even if you do your homework, they are very much a coin flip. In this particular league I've drafted Doug Martin, Andrew Luck, Saquon Barkley, Justin Blackmon, and Mark Andrews in previous years, along with Mardy Gilyard, Stafon Johnson, Cameron Marshall, Bucky Hodges, and Jarret Dillard. Yeah...dev drafts are a crapshoot.
I don't follow CFB much at all anymore, so I had to do a lot of catching up in a short amount of time for this year's draft. I went through and sorted draft-eligible RBs and WRs by production, and took a look at the notables. Then I looked at early 2020 rankings and added anyone to the evaluation list that I missed on first pass. The rankings that I put together from watching clips largely mirrored the early consensus. I have two loose RB buckets as follows.
RB Cam Akers, Florida State
RB Travis Etienne, Clemson
RB D'Andre Swift, Georgia
RB Jonathan Taylor, Wisconsin
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RB JK Dobbins, Ohio State
RB Ke'Shawn Vaughn, Vanderbilt
RB Zack Moss, Utah
RB Benny LeMay, Charlotte
RB Trey Sermon, Oklahoma
RB Najee Harris, Alabama
RB Larry Roundtree, Missouri
RB AJ Dillon, Boston College
RB Anthony McFarland, Maryland
I don't see a Saquon this year, and while I like the top 4, I wouldn't trade an elite asset for any of them. Akers reminds me a bit of Devonta Freeman, another Florida State RB. Good all-around game that lacks a monster frame or elite wheels. Etienne reminds me a bit of Darren McFadden, but bigger. A FAST one-cut sprinter/slasher type. Not the shiftiest or the most powerful, but he can really hit the crease at 100 mph. Swift looks pretty good all-around. Not a jaw-dropper in any particular way. Taylor was a little hard to assess from highlights because a lot of what he did was just sprinting around the edge without having to actually shed tackles or make any cuts.
Of the next tier, Vaughn has some interesting production and looked like he might have a chance. LeMay has the classic stocky RB frame and good feet/hips, but lacks a second gear. A Rudi Johnson type perhaps. McFarland reminds me a lot of Alex Collins. I'm not sure if that's a good thing or a bad thing. I got a TJ Yeldon vibe from Sermon. Biggish frame and decent explosiveness, but a bit awkward in his movement. Dillon is a big, strong, deliberate runner. Those aren't the rage in today's NFL. I see parallels with Greg Jones and Andre Williams, who didn't exactly set the league on fire. If you want to think optimistically, you can maybe make a James Conner comparison. Dobbins has some McCaffrey-like traits, but his production showed a shocking lack of big plays last season and I wasn't awed by his highlights.
Not trying to bash anyone's pick, but one player who looked a little overrated to me was Eno Benjamin. My notes on him are that he has a good jump cut, but is small without elite game speed. Jahvid Best without the wheels.
As for the WRs, I knew I wasn't going to be in position to get Jeudy and I wasn't interested in trading up this year. When I was going through the lists and watching highlights, I did find a couple lower-rated players who caught my eye. The first one was
Houston WR Marquez Stevenson. Decent height, explosive, and athletic in the open field. Over 1k receiving yards last season and a sub 22s 200m guy in high school, so he has stats and a likely 4.4x 40 time. Not the strongest guy, tends to cradle catch, and his highlights don't show him running any complex routes, but from a raw athletic standpoint he's an NFL prospect. Emmanuel Sanders is a possible comp. I see that he's nowhere to be found on most 2020 WR lists, but I think that's a mistake. I think he's better than quite a few guys ranked above him. File him away as one to watch over the next 8-9 months.
While I liked Stevenson's clips, I decided that
Alabama WR Henry Ruggs was going to be my pick if he was available. His highlights caught my eye and when I dug into his background more I was encouraged to see that he's a 10.5x guy in the 100m. The speed shows on the field. He's very fast, but also shows fluid lateral movement and some natural plucking ability with his hands. TY Hilton is probably the most realistic best-case scenario for his ceiling. Interestingly, when I looked at some other devy resources like the DLF lists and
these rankings, he was not among the top 10-15 prospects in this class. I was happy to see that because I thought I'd be able to easily snag him at 1.14, but then I saw him go #11 in two of our sister leagues and started getting nervous. Luckily he still fell to me. He lacks ideal size and there will be questions about his ability to be more than a complementary target in the NFL, but everyone is looking for the next Tyreek Hill or TY Hilton these days and if prospects like Marquise Brown, Mecole Hardman, Will Fuller, Calvin Ridley, Parris Campbell, John Ross, and DJ Chark can be top 65 picks in today's NFL then I think Ruggs will be a high choice when all is said and done, likely somewhere between 20-60. If I don't like him come April, I can probably cash out and recoup what I gave up to get him.