Keep 'em comingI think Cousins represents a great safety net. I'm not concerned at all about Jones not seeing the field for a while. I think hes the best QB on that roster by a lot. Jones fits best on rosters with late bye QB's. Well done. Common player - Cousins
Trying this one out. Going with 4, but I think Barkley represents a yuge advantage. Miller is very safe. With this quad, I would expect flex scores quite often. Common players - Barkley & Mixon
Not sure I want Samuel over Sutton. I may try to find $2 /to upgrade as Sutton is the wr1 and probably #1 option, Samuel is the #3 or 4 option I've had all but Davis at one point or another, including Sutton. You are making me dig deeper into his situation. I know he has the talent. I'm just worried about Henry vulturing targets
Engram is a stud, and Andrews/Dissly are undervalued by a lot I haven't considered Dissly yet - hmmm?
Kickers with a pulse Are you confident Joseph will keep the job?
Defenses with a pulse NYJ & CIN have been on every single one of my entries so far
QB - Drew Brees - NO/9 - $16
QB - Lamar Jackson - BAL/8 - $12
I expect a similar season for Brees. Somewhere around 4000/30. I think he is priced correctly. Every time I consider taking Lamar, I wonder if I should grab an extra QB in case he goes down. Good thing about Brees - he is an iron man. The last time he missed more than 1 game in a season was when Lamar was 6 years old!
RB - Kerryon Johnson - DET/5 - $23
RB - Josh Jacobs - OAK/6 - $20
RB - Austin Ekeler - LAC/12 - $16
RB - Jordan Howard - PHI/10 - $14
RB - Jaylen Samuels - PIT/7 - $11
RB - Duke Johnson - HOU/10 - $9
I will gladly take Kerryon at his ADP in redraft, but I have been avoiding him for this contest. His injuries date back to high school, and he only managed 150 touches before going on IR. Too many people in the PHI backfield for me to feel comfortable with Howard. You have to expect Sanders to eat into his stats more as the season goes on. I like the other 4 RB's alot.
WR - T.Y. Hilton - IND/6 - $25
WR - Julian Edelman - NE/10 - $23
WR - Larry Fitzgerald - ARI/12 - $12
WR - Trey Quinn - WAS/10 - $6
WR - Cole Beasley - BUF/6 - $6
WR - Danny Amendola - DET/5 - $5
My first thought when I saw your corps was, man, that list tailed off quickly. I'd be scared
TE - Evan Engram - NYG/11 - $18
TE - Mark Andrews - BAL/8 - $9
TE - Darren Waller - OAK/6 - $8
I like this group. On the right weeks, you may even get 2 flex scores.
PK - Adam Vinatieri - IND/6 - $5
PK - Brandon McManus - DEN/10 - $4
I've been saying it alot as you may have read, but if I spend enough to roster 3 kickers, I would prefer it.
TD - Green Bay Packers - GB/11 - $5
TD - Tampa Bay Buccaneers - TB/7 - $3
Matchups play a huge role for D's. Love the GB/OAK game for week 7; hate the TB/NO game for week 11
Dude, I like this Mark IX. You got max value at WR - it looks more like a $90 squad than an $80 squad.Mark IX
Catanzaro retired.tweak and edit, tweak and edit.
PK - Chandler Catanzaro - NYJ/4 - $4
I knew that too. lol. Thank you. Switched him to Chris Bowsell for the time being.Catanzaro retired.
Their byes mesh horribly. When BAL is off, CIN faces LAR. When CIN is off, BAL faces NE. Defenses just don't score alot vs the Pats or Rams.TD - Baltimore Ravens - BAL/8 - $7
TD - Cincinnati Bengals - CIN/9 - $3
I like the overall theme / targets, but yeah, your Bye week 8 will kill you quick.First go has a lot of late byes, not sure how much I like that:
QB - Jameis Winston - TB/7 - $13
QB - Lamar Jackson - BAL/8 - $12
QB - Josh Allen - BUF/6 - $11
RB - Josh Jacobs - OAK/6 - $20
RB - Miles Sanders - PHI/10 - $15
RB - Kalen Ballage - MIA/5 - $12
RB - Justice Hill - BAL/8 - $9
RB - Gus Edwards - BAL/8 - $7
RB - Darwin Thompson - KC/12 - $5
RB - Tony Pollard - DAL/8 - $4
WR - Corey Davis - TEN/11 - $15
WR - Curtis Samuel - CAR/7 - $12
WR - Michael Gallup - DAL/8 - $10
WR - Donte Moncrief - PIT/7 - $10
WR - Ted Ginn - NO/9 - $6
WR - Josh Gordon - NE/10 - $6
TE - George Kittle - SF/4 - $25
TE - Dallas Goedert - PHI/10 - $12
TE - Jack Doyle - IND/6 - $10
TE - Mark Andrews - BAL/8 - $9
PK - Adam Vinatieri - IND/6 - $5
PK - Brandon McManus - DEN/10 - $4
PK - Randy Bullock - CIN/9 - $3
TD - Dallas Cowboys - DAL/8 - $5
TD - Carolina Panthers - CAR/7 - $4
TD - San Francisco 49ers - SF/4 - $3
TD - New York Jets - NYJ/4 - $3
QB - Kirk Cousins - MIN/12 - $12
QB - Lamar Jackson - BAL/8 - $12
As you said, could be very boom-busty. Just hope when one busts, the other booms. Here is something to chew on - in Michael Vick's 13 seasons in the league, he only played in all 16 games once.
RB - Ezekiel Elliott - DAL/8 - $33
RB - Chris Carson - SEA/11 - $18
RB - Jaylen Samuels - PIT/7 - $11
RB - Duke Johnson - HOU/10 - $9
RB - Devin Singletary - BUF/6 - $8
RB - Darwin Thompson - KC/12 - $5
This team looks like it will get better as the season goes on. Zeke is pretty much guaranteed to be one of your RB scores every week. Carson will return great value if healthy. I expect him on alot of teams. I like that you didn't cuff Zeke with Pollard, because he is useless if Zeke plays.
WR - Julio Jones - ATL/9 - $32
WR - Dede Westbrook - JAX/10 - $13
WR - Tyrell Williams - OAK/6 - $13
WR - Curtis Samuel - CAR/7 - $12
WR - Marquez Valdes-Scantling - GB/11 - $11
WR - Zay Jones - BUF/6 - $8
WR - Cole Beasley - BUF/6 - $6
Could've done better with byes here. But hey, if you can get past week 6, you will have max options weekly. Tyrell looking like the top dog in OAK with AB heading to the looney bin. Did you get the memo that Josh Gordon costs the same as Cole Beasley, and would also minimize your bye week conflict?
TE - George Kittle - SF/4 - $25
TE - Gerald Everett - LAR/9 - $7
A stud with an early bye. Isn't that all what we want?
PK - Greg Joseph - CLE/7 - $3
PK - Steve Hauschka - BUF/6 - $3
PK - Zane Gonzalez - ARI/12 - $3
Only thing I can say here is monitor right up until contest closing. Joseph and Gonzalez could be at risk of getting replaced.
TD - Cincinnati Bengals - CIN/9 - $3
TD - New York Jets - NYJ/4 - $3
If I choose to spend only $6, these are the exact 2 D's I will pick. Just look at the Jets schedule from week 8 on and your mouth starts to water.
I think you have a contradiction in your thinking. As you said, you have to swing for the fences at RB/WR and hope they stay healthy, yet you dropped Gordon, who is the definition of swing for the fences. Also, you cuffed Cook, which is a safe move.Tweak and edit, tweak and edit. Got rid of Jones and gordon. As much as I get gordon, this guy is 6 years removed from a "great" season and Brady isn't the chucker he used to be at 42. I also understand the bargain at $6 if he is even remotely his old self. I just don't wanna deal with the headache of wondering if each week is his last week and added mattison to the roster to back up Cook incase of injury. I moved Herndon back up to Andrews. Switched to the Pitt D, who looks strong.
My questions now are, 3 qbs? 3 te? 3k? 3D? those are the safe moves, but I feel like you need to swing for the fences at RB and WR to win this thing and hope that 2 at those positions stand their ground for the season. Luck is a huge factor in any bestball format. You just can't predict injuries.
Though always gotta try and read tea leaves with Belichick.I think Josh Gordon might be a must own now with how cheap he is.
I get your point. There's gambling on upside and then there is false hope. Gordon for $6 seems like a must own and he's all the hype right now, but the more I think about it, I'm not sure that he is. This is a shell of his former self, with a 42 year old tom Brady(yes he's the GOAT, but Father Time is no joke). Gordon could be back out of the league at any point and we still don't actually know when he will be "allowed" to play and if he is, how good he will be. For only $6, I get it. History tends to repeat itself though, especially in Josh Gordons case. I fully hope I'm wrong here and that he got his life back on the path he was meant to be on. If signs point that way before this tourney goes live, he will probably make his way back on to my roster.I think you have a contradiction in your thinking. As you said, you have to swing for the fences at RB/WR and hope they stay healthy, yet you dropped Gordon, who is the definition of swing for the fences. Also, you cuffed Cook, which is a safe move.
I do not like that your WR2 & WR3 share a bye, but you will be at full strength at RB & TE this week.
Curious - why choose Chase Edmonds without David Johnson?RB - Christian McCaffrey - CAR/7 - $35
RB - Mark Ingram - BAL/8 - $20
RB - David Montgomery - CHI/6 - $18
RB - Duke Johnson - HOU/10 - $9
RB - Chase Edmonds - ARI/12 - $6
RB - Tony Pollard - DAL/8 - $4
Good point. I switched CMC for DJ and upgraded from Darnold to Goff, just to see, but I might switch it back.Curious - why choose Chase Edmonds without David Johnson?
IMO, TEs are way too valuable in this contest to go this route.2nd iteration. IDK:
TE - Mark Andrews - BAL/8 - $9
TE - Darren Waller - OAK/6 - $8
Jones will only count for you once at most. Might as well wipe your butt with those dollars and then flush them.Someone talk me out of a Mahomes/Jones paring.
How do you mean? The fact that I only took two TEs or the fact that I took those two? If you don't like those two (Andrews and Waller), I get it though I disagree. But if you are saying picking only two TEs is a bad way to go, I also get it but disagree. Haha. Respectfully, though. I think to win this thing you have to get lucky with injuries. So if one of my two TEs (or two QBs) go down then yes I may be in a sinking ship. I'm not trying to build a roster that can overcome such injuries, I am banking that they stay healthy. If they don't then I guess I lose.IMO, TEs are way too valuable in this contest to go this route.
I don't agree with going cheap at TE. The top TEs will outscore equivalently priced WRs and RBs by a lot (and will score more than WRs and RBs that cost far more). On a point per dollar value, you're better off going cheap at WR and splurging on TEs.How do you mean? The fact that I only took two TEs or the fact that I took those two? If you don't like those two (Andrews and Waller), I get it though I disagree. But if you are saying picking only two TEs is a bad way to go, I also get it but disagree. Haha. Respectfully, though. I think to win this thing you have to get lucky with injuries. So if one of my two TEs (or two QBs) go down then yes I may be in a sinking ship. I'm not trying to build a roster that can overcome such injuries, I am banking that they stay healthy. If they don't then I guess I lose.
That said I don't really see other good, cheap options at TE, and if I upgrade (in price) then it will cost me elsewhere, and I'm already not loving the depth at RB and WR, which would be sacrificed in order to take a 3rd TE, or an arguably better and more expensive one.
Why not? I’ve landed Edmonds in several drafts yet have no DJ.Curious - why choose Chase Edmonds without David Johnson?
While this is true, I thought I read somewhere that most rosters also had two $24+ WR's on their roster in recent years that succeeded. Seems like the way to go is to just spend little on a bunch of RB's and hope you get lucky on the injury train?I don't agree with going cheap at TE. The top TEs will outscore equivalently priced WRs and RBs by a lot (and will score more than WRs and RBs that cost far more). On a point per dollar value, you're better off going cheap at WR and splurging on TEs.
This was my theory... not going overboard on a big $ name, but take several good WR values ...like in the $17-23 Range... this allows depth and quantity without critical damage with a WR injury.While this is true, I thought I read somewhere that most rosters also had two $24+ WR's on their roster in recent years that succeeded. Seems like the way to go is to just spend little on a bunch of RB's and hope you get lucky on the injury train?
Thanx for answering. The only reason I asked was because it was the first time I had seen someone choose Edmonds on his own. FTR I also think handcuffing is not the way to go in this contest. My reasoning is simple - if your stud goes down, you are likely toast anyways. This contest is a battle of attrition.Good point. I switched CMC for DJ and upgraded from Darnold to Goff, just to see, but I might switch it back.
But my thinking was Edmonds has stand alone value. If AZ really runs as many plays as they are intending to, then the second RB on their team should have arguably significant fantasy value on their own, with a healthy DJ.
However, if DJ goes down, and I own DJ + Edmonds, then I lose a premier spot in my lineup while gaining some value as Edmonds presumably ascends. If DJ goes down and I drafted CMC instead, then I have the double upside of Edmonds ascending and a healthy CMC in my lineup. The downside to owning CMC + Edmonds and not DJ+ is that I will have one premier stud and one high producing flexy type of RB that isn't bad for $6. The downside of DJ + Edmonds is worse. Under the assumption that CMC also stays healthy.
IDK I don't like handcuffing in these types of tourneys generally. I'd rather have the possibility of two studs in an injury scenario than just one.
I see what you're saying. I don't like the cheaper options at WR and RB as much this year. This is about as top heavy as I have ever gone at WR and RB. I'll experiment with what you are advocating, though. I think Andrews explodes this year. And Waller could do well. But I'm not in love with the combo.I don't agree with going cheap at TE. The top TEs will outscore equivalently priced WRs and RBs by a lot (and will score more than WRs and RBs that cost far more). On a point per dollar value, you're better off going cheap at WR and splurging on TEs.
Yeah I'm actually kind of skeptical that this will work out. Somebody made a compelling argument the other day that opposing offenses will be able to play keep away in a time of possession style game. I'm pretty sure that is not what Kingsbury wants. I absolutely subscribe (no pun intended) to the idea that playing from behind will be good for fantasy for AZ players, but I can also see a Chip Kelly level failure if other teams just hog the ball and AZ never gets into any rhythm. They may be much better for best ball stuff than H2H. Best ball stuff like this contest??Thanx for answering. The only reason I asked was because it was the first time I had seen someone choose Edmonds on his own. FTR I also think handcuffing is not the way to go in this contest. My reasoning is simple - if your stud goes down, you are likely toast anyways. This contest is a battle of attrition.
As for Edmonds holding stand alone value, that only happens if ARI can finish near the top of the league in total plays. The only way to do that is to sustain long drives behind a decent offensive line. I think this is where Kingsbury's plan goes awry. Time will tell, but I do think ARI will have way more success than last year.
Time of possession is highly contingent on having a good offensive line and a good defense. A good OL can help dominate ToP even with a mediocre running game. A perfect example last year were the Eagles. Their hodge podge corps combined for 349 carries and 4.1 YPC, yet they finished 2nd in ToP. On the flip side, a stout defense can also dominate ToP without a great offense. CHI was nothing special on O, but their D was arguably the best in the league, and they finished 3rd in ToP. And if you have a strong running game and a stout D, it's a surefire way to dominate ToP. Case in point from last year - BAL led the league in both ToP and total plays.barackdhouse said:Yeah I'm actually kind of skeptical that this will work out. Somebody made a compelling argument the other day that opposing offenses will be able to play keep away in a time of possession style game. I'm pretty sure that is not what Kingsbury wants. I absolutely subscribe (no pun intended) to the idea that playing from behind will be good for fantasy for AZ players, but I can also see a Chip Kelly level failure if other teams just hog the ball and AZ never gets into any rhythm. They may be much better for best ball stuff than H2H. Best ball stuff like this contest??
I wasn't referring to the AZ time of possession I was talking about their opponents. I get they are derived from each other. It's because of how bad the AZ defense is that opponents may be able to use *their* OL to enforce a time of possession gameplan upon AZ. Rendering the AZ offense potentially less potent if they are given less time. Hard to run record numbers of plays when your offense is on the bench. Doesn't matter how good your OL is if they don't get on the field. But to your point it looks like they aren't very good. If Kingsbury can call good counterpunch plays it can work. I'm rooting for them but not super hopeful. There's a good chance I'm taking DJ at 1.04 in a high stakes redraft coming up, so I'm trying to weigh the situation there.Time of possession is highly contingent on having a good offensive line and a good defense. A good OL can help dominate ToP even with a mediocre running game. A perfect example last year were the Eagles. Their hodge podge corps combined for 349 carries and 4.1 YPC, yet they finished 2nd in ToP. On the flip side, a stout defense can also dominate ToP without a great offense. CHI was nothing special on O, but their D was arguably the best in the league, and they finished 3rd in ToP. And if you have a strong running game and a stout D, it's a surefire way to dominate ToP. Case in point from last year - BAL led the league in both ToP and total plays.
So, for 2019, will ARI have a good OL or a good D? Both or neither? If you believe at all in PFF OL rankings for 2019, they are ranked 30th. Now, I don't put all my stock in their rankings, but I do find it hard to think they are that far off. Here is PFF's write-up:
Very good discussion, and to think it all started over Chase Edmonds.I wasn't referring to the AZ time of possession I was talking about their opponents. I get they are derived from each other. It's because of how bad the AZ defense is that opponents may be able to use *their* OL to enforce a time of possession gameplan upon AZ. Rendering the AZ offense potentially less potent if they are given less time. Hard to run record numbers of plays when your offense is on the bench. Doesn't matter how good your OL is if they don't get on the field. But to your point it looks like they aren't very good. If Kingsbury can call good counterpunch plays it can work. I'm rooting for them but not super hopeful. There's a good chance I'm taking DJ at 1.04 in a high stakes redraft coming up, so I'm trying to weigh the situation there.
Playing from behind = good for FF
Not getting the ball = bad for FF
Maybe these ideas simply cancel each other out? All the same I'd rather Zeke gets signed and Kamara slides to 1.04 for me.
QB - Jameis Winston - TB/7 - $13
QB - Tom Brady - NE/10 - $11
QB - Daniel Jones - NYG/11 - $4
Nice trio. A mixture of boom/bust and consistency
RB - Saquon Barkley - NYG/11 - $36
RB - Christian McCaffrey - CAR/7 - $35
RB - Ito Smith - ATL/9 - $11
RB - Justin Jackson - LAC/12 - $9
Very shaky after the top 2. Suggest either more depth or adding another quality guy
WR - Stefon Diggs - MIN/12 - $23
WR - Chris Godwin - TB/7 - $22
WR - Deebo Samuel - SF/4 - $9
WR - Cole Beasley - BUF/6 - $6
WR - Josh Gordon - NE/10 - $6
See above
TE - Hunter Henry - LAC/12 - $17
TE - David Njoku - CLE/7 - $15
TE - Mike Gesicki - MIA/5 - $8
TE - Tyler Kroft - BUF/6 - $4
Personal preference, but I will only choose 3 max. A guaranteed goose egg each week at TE is not what I want.
PK - Dan Bailey - MIN/12 - $4
PK - Randy Bullock - CIN/9 - $3
PK - Greg Joseph - CLE/7 - $3
Money well spent
TD - Detroit Lions - DET/5 - $4
TD - Carolina Panthers - CAR/7 - $4
TD - Cincinnati Bengals - CIN/9 - $3
See above
That's kind of the point, surviving Mahomes bye week.Jones will only count for you once at most. Might as well wipe your butt with those dollars and then flush them.