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Official 2019 FBG Subscriber Contest (2 Viewers)

Love the subscriber contest... here's my team so far

QB - Josh Allen - BUF/6 - $11
QB - Tom Brady - NE/10 - $11
QB - Sam Darnold - NYJ/4 - $9

Brady should be the steady one w/ the occasional outburst from the 2 youngsters

RB - Kerryon Johnson - DET/5 - $23
RB - Derrick Henry - TEN/11 - $21
RB - Tarik Cohen - CHI/6 - $18
RB - Chris Carson - SEA/11 - $18
RB - Tony Pollard - DAL/8 - $4

3 solid "bellcowish" guys w/ the occasional Cohen bustout, Pollard just a lottery ticket

WR - Tyler Lockett - SEA/11 - $19
WR - Mike Williams - LAC/12 - $16
WR - Curtis Samuel - CAR/7 - $12
WR - Anthony Miller - CHI/6 - $12
WR - John Brown - BUF/6 - $9
WR - Cole Beasley - BUF/6 - $6
WR - Josh Gordon - NE/10 - $6

Gordon is a must-own for everyone now. Lockett is now #1, Very high on Samuel and big Mike. Brown and Beasley are just too cheap, Bills are going to throw the ball a lot more than people think this year. 

TE - O.J. Howard - TB/7 - $18
TE - Dallas Goedert - PHI/10 - $12
TE - Tyler Kroft - BUF/6 - $4

Toughest position for me was TE, hoping this is the year that OJ becomes a stud

PK - Justin Tucker - BAL/8 - $7
PK - Steve Hauschka - BUF/6 - $3

Tucker b/c he's the best

TD - Buffalo Bills - BUF/6 - $6
TD - Tennessee Titans - TEN/11 - $5

Bills and Titans D should both be quite good this year

My biggest concern is that I have 0 shares of Chiefs, Rams and Saints... but I just couldn't fit them in at the high prices

 
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I think Cousins represents a great safety net. I'm not concerned at all about Jones not seeing the field for a while. I think hes the best QB on that roster by a lot.  Jones fits best on rosters with late bye QB's.  Well done.  Common player - Cousins

Trying this one out. Going with 4, but I think Barkley represents a yuge advantage. Miller is very safe.  With this quad, I would expect flex scores quite often.  Common players - Barkley & Mixon

Not sure I want Samuel over Sutton. I may try to find $2 /to upgrade as Sutton is the wr1 and probably #1 option, Samuel is the #3 or 4 option  I've had all but Davis at one point or another, including Sutton.  You are making me dig deeper into his situation.  I know he has the talent.  I'm just worried about Henry vulturing targets   :D

Engram is a stud, and Andrews/Dissly are undervalued by a lot  I haven't considered Dissly yet - hmmm?

Kickers with a pulse  Are you confident Joseph will keep the job?

Defenses with a pulse  NYJ & CIN have been on every single one of my entries so far
Keep 'em coming

 
QB - Drew Brees - NO/9 - $16
QB - Lamar Jackson - BAL/8 - $12

I expect a similar season for Brees.  Somewhere around 4000/30.  I think he is priced correctly.  Every time I consider taking Lamar, I wonder if I should grab an extra QB in case he goes down.  Good thing about Brees - he is an iron man.  The last time he missed more than 1 game in a season was when Lamar was 6 years old!

RB - Kerryon Johnson - DET/5 - $23
RB - Josh Jacobs - OAK/6 - $20
RB - Austin Ekeler - LAC/12 - $16
RB - Jordan Howard - PHI/10 - $14
RB - Jaylen Samuels - PIT/7 - $11
RB - Duke Johnson - HOU/10 - $9

I will gladly take Kerryon at his ADP in redraft, but I have been avoiding him for this contest.  His injuries date back to high school, and he only managed 150 touches before going on IR.  Too many people in the PHI backfield for me to feel comfortable with Howard.  You have to expect Sanders to eat into his stats more as the season goes on.  I like the other 4 RB's alot.

WR - T.Y. Hilton - IND/6 - $25
WR - Julian Edelman - NE/10 - $23
WR - Larry Fitzgerald - ARI/12 - $12
WR - Trey Quinn - WAS/10 - $6
WR - Cole Beasley - BUF/6 - $6
WR - Danny Amendola - DET/5 - $5

My first thought when I saw your corps was, man, that list tailed off quickly.  I'd be scared

TE - Evan Engram - NYG/11 - $18
TE - Mark Andrews - BAL/8 - $9
TE - Darren Waller - OAK/6 - $8

I like this group.  On the right weeks, you may even get 2 flex scores.

PK - Adam Vinatieri - IND/6 - $5
PK - Brandon McManus - DEN/10 - $4

I've been saying it alot as you may have read, but if I spend enough to roster 3 kickers, I would prefer it.

TD - Green Bay Packers - GB/11 - $5
TD - Tampa Bay Buccaneers - TB/7 - $3

Matchups play a huge role for D's.  Love the GB/OAK game for week 7; hate the TB/NO game for week 11

 
I like fooling around with different lineups before settling on something I like.  Here is a 30 man roster.

QB - Jameis Winston - TB/7 - $13
QB - Nick Foles - JAX/10 - $8
QB - Daniel Jones - NYG/11 - $4

J. Winston is probably going to be on my final roster - many weapons, B. Arians, contract year, etc.  With 30 players it makes sense to have 3 QBs and Foles is reunited with his OC from Philly.  D. Jones looks good and should see time at some point this year.

RB - Kerryon Johnson - DET/5 - $23
RB - Royce Freeman - DEN/10 - $14
RB - Jaylen Samuels - PIT/7 - $11
RB - Dion Lewis - TEN/11 - $11
RB - Gus Edwards - BAL/8 - $7
RB - Alfred Blue - JAX/10 - $6
RB - Darwin Thompson - KC/12 - $5

K. Johnson should take a big step in year 2.  Freeman, Samuels, Lewis, Blue are 2nd in their committees but should have some weekly viability.  Edwards is the cheapest of the BAL RBs so he makes the cut.  D. Thompson is a complete dart-throw with huge upside.

WR - Chris Godwin - TB/7 - $22
WR - Mike Williams - LAC/12 - $16
WR - Dede Westbrook - JAX/10 - $13
WR - Zay Jones - BUF/6 - $8
WR - Josh Gordon - NE/10 - $6
WR - Willie Snead - BAL/8 - $5
WR - Taylor Gabriel - CHI/6 - $5

Godwin, Williams, Westbrook, Gordon need no explanation.  Z. Jones is the #1 in BUF.  Snead and Gabriel are good/cheap Best Ball WRs

TE - Evan Engram - NYG/11 - $18
TE - Jack Doyle - IND/6 - $10
TE - Chris Herndon - NYJ/4 - $8
TE - Gerald Everett - LAR/9 - $7
TE - Ian Thomas - CAR/7 - $6

Engram ended the season well without OBJ.  Doyle was ahead of Ebron last year until he got hurt.  Herndon is talented and would probably be more expensive without the suspension.  Everett in 3rd year and could be used more.  I. Thomas finished the year well last year as well

PK - Randy Bullock - CIN/9 - $3
PK - Jason Sanders - MIA/5 - $3
PK - Steve Hauschka - BUF/6 - $3
PK - Zane Gonzalez - ARI/12 - $3

TD - San Francisco 49ers - SF/4 - $3
TD - Cincinnati Bengals - CIN/9 - $3
TD - New York Jets - NYJ/4 - $3
TD - Tampa Bay Buccaneers - TB/7 - $3

4 cheap PK and 4 cheap TD all with different bye weeks - that's as good as you can hope for with the $3 guys.

 
tweak and edit, tweak and edit. 

QB - Carson Wentz - PHI/10 - $19
QB - Sam Darnold - NYJ/4 - $9
QB - Daniel Jones - NYG/11 - $4
RB - Dalvin Cook - MIN/12 - $24
RB - Josh Jacobs - OAK/6 - $20
RB - Chris Carson - SEA/11 - $18
RB - Miles Sanders - PHI/10 - $15
RB - Darwin Thompson - KC/12 - $5
WR - Julio Jones - ATL/9 - $32
WR - Chris Godwin - TB/7 - $22
WR - Curtis Samuel - CAR/7 - $12
WR - John Brown - BUF/6 - $9
WR - TreQuan Smith - NO/9 - $8
WR - Trey Quinn - WAS/10 - $6
WR - Josh Gordon - NE/10 - $6
TE - Evan Engram - NYG/11 - $18
TE - Chris Herndon - NYJ/4 - $8
PK - Chandler Catanzaro - NYJ/4 - $4
PK - Matt Prater - DET/5 - $4
TD - Detroit Lions - DET/5 - $4
TD - San Francisco 49ers - SF/4 - $3

Added Daniel Jones, late season potential only. I am very comfortable with Wentz and Darnold. Twisted the WR's a bit to include Josh Gordon as a 7th WR, still happy there. Moved Andrews down to Herndon(way want a 3rd TE). That pairs with Darnold and Engram should be viable for the first 4 weeks, Herndon will been the field a lot once back. I like engram to be a top 3-5 TE based on volume and talent. Pairs with Jones (who will lean on his TE when he becomes the starter, I'm guessing that happens by midseason). Switched Ravens D to Lions D, giving me the points I needed to add jones. 

Still just tweaking and moving some things around, which will continue to happen until this blasted tourney locks 😂

 
Only need to change my team 847 more times. 

Not sure I trust IND at TE  will Luck play? Really struggling with my RB picks. I was real high on Ingram but seem to be the only one looking his way. May drop McCaffrey and change him into two RB. 

Thinking of dropping the Ravens and trying to get 3 DEF. 

it feels like the stud team who survives wins. 

QB - Jared Goff - LAR/9 - $14
QB - Tom Brady - NE/10 - $11
RB - Christian McCaffrey - CAR/7 - $35
RB - Chris Carson - SEA/11 - $18
RB - Latavius Murray - NO/9 - $16
RB - Kalen Ballage - MIA/5 - $12
RB - Darwin Thompson - KC/12 - $5
RB - Tony Pollard - DAL/8 - $4
WR - JuJu Smith-Schuster - PIT/7 - $30
WR - Adam Thielen - MIN/12 - $24
WR - Michael Gallup - DAL/8 - $10
WR - Mohamed Sanu - ATL/9 - $10
WR - Josh Gordon - NE/10 - $6
TE - Eric Ebron - IND/6 - $16
TE - T.J. Hockenson - DET/5 - $10
TE - Mark Andrews - BAL/8 - $9
PK - Mason Crosby - GB/11 - $5
PK - Giorgio Tavecchio - ATL/9 - $5
TD - Baltimore Ravens - BAL/8 - $7
TD - Cincinnati Bengals - CIN/9 - $3

 
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I have been all over the place in my last 42 iterations....  High $$ QB to budget moves,  Kamara & CMC with frugal WR, I cannot pick a single theory that I like more than others.... each has value but a "balance" might be foolish as it could miss the golden egg player.... 

Here is my latest...  pick it apart ...

QB - Jameis Winston - TB/7 - $13
QB - Kirk Cousins - MIN/12 - $12
RB - Nick Chubb - CLE/7 - $25
RB - Mark Ingram - BAL/8 - $20
RB - Chris Carson - SEA/11 - $18
RB - Latavius Murray - NO/9 - $16
RB - Alexander Mattison - MIN/12 - $6
WR - Julian Edelman - NE/10 - $23
WR - Calvin Ridley - ATL/9 - $20
WR - Robby Anderson - NYJ/4 - $17
WR - Mike Williams - LAC/12 - $16
WR - Trey Quinn - WAS/10 - $6
TE - Jared Cook - NO/9 - $17
TE - Vance McDonald - PIT/7 - $16
TE - T.J. Hockenson - DET/5 - $10
PK - Chris Boswell - PIT/7 - $4
PK - Steve Hauschka - BUF/6 - $3
TD - Dallas Cowboys - DAL/8 - $5
TD - New York Jets - NYJ/4 - $3

 
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Thoughts?

Pro’s – Really like the RB’s and how they all have different byes,  I like how each group is headed by a stud (RB,WR,TE), All kicker and DST different bye’s, DST early byes, Kittle early bye.

Cons – QB’s boom/bust weeks, DST are bad and only have two. TE2, WR2 and flex scoring are likely going to have to come from a giant handbag.

QB - Kirk Cousins - MIN/12 - $12
QB - Lamar Jackson - BAL/8 - $12

RB - Ezekiel Elliott - DAL/8 - $33
RB - Chris Carson - SEA/11 - $18
RB - Jaylen Samuels - PIT/7 - $11
RB - Duke Johnson - HOU/10 - $9
RB - Devin Singletary - BUF/6 - $8
RB - Darwin Thompson - KC/12 - $5

WR - Julio Jones - ATL/9 - $32
WR - Dede Westbrook - JAX/10 - $13
WR - Tyrell Williams - OAK/6 - $13
WR - Curtis Samuel - CAR/7 - $12
WR - Marquez Valdes-Scantling - GB/11 - $11
WR - Zay Jones - BUF/6 - $8
WR - Cole Beasley - BUF/6 - $6

TE - George Kittle - SF/4 - $25
TE - Gerald Everett - LAR/9 - $7

PK - Greg Joseph - CLE/7 - $3
PK - Steve Hauschka - BUF/6 - $3
PK - Zane Gonzalez - ARI/12 - $3

TD - Cincinnati Bengals - CIN/9 - $3
TD - New York Jets - NYJ/4 - $3

 
First go has a lot of late byes, not sure how much I like that:

QB - Jameis Winston - TB/7 - $13
QB - Lamar Jackson - BAL/8 - $12
QB - Josh Allen - BUF/6 - $11
RB - Josh Jacobs - OAK/6 - $20
RB - Miles Sanders - PHI/10 - $15
RB - Kalen Ballage - MIA/5 - $12
RB - Justice Hill - BAL/8 - $9
RB - Gus Edwards - BAL/8 - $7
RB - Darwin Thompson - KC/12 - $5
RB - Tony Pollard - DAL/8 - $4
WR - Corey Davis - TEN/11 - $15
WR - Curtis Samuel - CAR/7 - $12
WR - Michael Gallup - DAL/8 - $10
WR - Donte Moncrief - PIT/7 - $10
WR - Ted Ginn - NO/9 - $6
WR - Josh Gordon - NE/10 - $6
TE - George Kittle - SF/4 - $25
TE - Dallas Goedert - PHI/10 - $12
TE - Jack Doyle - IND/6 - $10
TE - Mark Andrews - BAL/8 - $9
PK - Adam Vinatieri - IND/6 - $5
PK - Brandon McManus - DEN/10 - $4
PK - Randy Bullock - CIN/9 - $3
TD - Dallas Cowboys - DAL/8 - $5
TD - Carolina Panthers - CAR/7 - $4
TD - San Francisco 49ers - SF/4 - $3
TD - New York Jets - NYJ/4 - $3

 
First go has a lot of late byes, not sure how much I like that:

QB - Jameis Winston - TB/7 - $13
QB - Lamar Jackson - BAL/8 - $12
QB - Josh Allen - BUF/6 - $11
RB - Josh Jacobs - OAK/6 - $20
RB - Miles Sanders - PHI/10 - $15
RB - Kalen Ballage - MIA/5 - $12
RB - Justice Hill - BAL/8 - $9
RB - Gus Edwards - BAL/8 - $7
RB - Darwin Thompson - KC/12 - $5
RB - Tony Pollard - DAL/8 - $4
WR - Corey Davis - TEN/11 - $15
WR - Curtis Samuel - CAR/7 - $12
WR - Michael Gallup - DAL/8 - $10
WR - Donte Moncrief - PIT/7 - $10
WR - Ted Ginn - NO/9 - $6
WR - Josh Gordon - NE/10 - $6
TE - George Kittle - SF/4 - $25
TE - Dallas Goedert - PHI/10 - $12
TE - Jack Doyle - IND/6 - $10
TE - Mark Andrews - BAL/8 - $9
PK - Adam Vinatieri - IND/6 - $5
PK - Brandon McManus - DEN/10 - $4
PK - Randy Bullock - CIN/9 - $3
TD - Dallas Cowboys - DAL/8 - $5
TD - Carolina Panthers - CAR/7 - $4
TD - San Francisco 49ers - SF/4 - $3
TD - New York Jets - NYJ/4 - $3
I like the overall theme / targets, but yeah, your Bye week 8 will kill you quick. 

 
QB - Kirk Cousins - MIN/12 - $12
QB - Lamar Jackson - BAL/8 - $12

As you said, could be very boom-busty.  Just hope when one busts, the other booms.  Here is something to chew on - in Michael Vick's 13 seasons in the league, he only played in all 16 games once.

RB - Ezekiel Elliott - DAL/8 - $33
RB - Chris Carson - SEA/11 - $18
RB - Jaylen Samuels - PIT/7 - $11
RB - Duke Johnson - HOU/10 - $9
RB - Devin Singletary - BUF/6 - $8
RB - Darwin Thompson - KC/12 - $5

This team looks like it will get better as the season goes on.  Zeke is pretty much guaranteed to be one of your RB scores every week.  Carson will return great value if healthy.  I expect him on alot of teams.  I like that you didn't cuff Zeke with Pollard, because he is useless if Zeke plays.

WR - Julio Jones - ATL/9 - $32
WR - Dede Westbrook - JAX/10 - $13
WR - Tyrell Williams - OAK/6 - $13
WR - Curtis Samuel - CAR/7 - $12
WR - Marquez Valdes-Scantling - GB/11 - $11
WR - Zay Jones - BUF/6 - $8
WR - Cole Beasley - BUF/6 - $6

Could've done better with byes here.  But hey, if you can get past week 6, you will have max options weekly.  Tyrell looking like the top dog in OAK with AB heading to the looney bin.  Did you get the memo that Josh Gordon costs the same as Cole Beasley, and would also minimize your bye week conflict?

TE - George Kittle - SF/4 - $25
TE - Gerald Everett - LAR/9 - $7

A stud with an early bye.  Isn't that all what we want?

PK - Greg Joseph - CLE/7 - $3
PK - Steve Hauschka - BUF/6 - $3
PK - Zane Gonzalez - ARI/12 - $3

Only thing I can say here is monitor right up until contest closing.  Joseph and Gonzalez could be at risk of getting replaced.

TD - Cincinnati Bengals - CIN/9 - $3
TD - New York Jets - NYJ/4 - $3

If I choose to spend only $6, these are the exact 2 D's I will pick.  Just look at the Jets schedule from week 8 on and your mouth starts to water.

 
QB - Carson Wentz - PHI/10 - $19
QB - Sam Darnold - NYJ/4 - $9
RB - Dalvin Cook - MIN/12 - $24
RB - Josh Jacobs - OAK/6 - $20
RB - Chris Carson - SEA/11 - $18
RB - Miles Sanders - PHI/10 - $15
RB - Alexander Mattison - MIN/12 - $6
RB - Darwin Thompson - KC/12 - $5
WR - Davante Adams - GB/11 - $33
WR - Chris Godwin - TB/7 - $22
WR - Curtis Samuel - CAR/7 - $12
WR - John Brown - BUF/6 - $9
WR - TreQuan Smith - NO/9 - $8
WR - Trey Quinn - WAS/10 - $6
TE - Evan Engram - NYG/11 - $18
TE - Mark Andrews - BAL/8 - $9
PK - Matt Prater - DET/5 - $4
PK - Chris Boswell - PIT/7 - $4
TD - Pittsburgh Steelers - PIT/7 - $6
TD - San Francisco 49ers - SF/4 - $3

Tweak and edit, tweak and edit. Got rid of Jones and gordon. As much as I get gordon, this guy is 6 years removed from a "great" season and Brady isn't the chucker he used to be at 42. I also understand the bargain at $6 if he is even remotely his old self. I just don't wanna deal with the headache of wondering if each week is his last week and added mattison to the roster to back up Cook incase of injury. I moved Herndon back up to Andrews. Switched to the Pitt D, who looks strong. 

My questions now are, 3 qbs? 3 te? 3k? 3D? those are the safe moves, but I feel like you need to swing for the fences at RB and WR to win this thing and hope that 2 at those positions stand their ground for the season. Luck is a huge factor in any bestball format. You just can't predict injuries. 🤷‍♂️

 
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QB - Ben Roethlisberger - PIT/7 - $14
QB - Dak Prescott - DAL/8 - $12
QB - Joe Flacco - DEN/10 - $7
RB - Alvin Kamara - NO/9 - $33
RB - Nick Chubb - CLE/7 - $25
RB - Mark Ingram - BAL/8 - $20
RB - Chris Carson - SEA/11 - $18
RB - Devin Singletary - BUF/6 - $8
WR - Adam Thielen - MIN/12 - $24
WR - Julian Edelman - NE/10 - $23
WR - James Washington - PIT/7 - $13
WR - Michael Gallup - DAL/8 - $10
TE - Hunter Henry - LAC/12 - $17
TE - Mark Andrews - BAL/8 - $9
PK - Mike Badgley - LAC/12 - $5
PK - Matt Prater - DET/5 - $4
TD - Kansas City Chiefs - KC/12 - $5
TD - New York Jets - NYJ/4 - $3

It will change 10 times by the opener.

 
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Tweak and edit, tweak and edit. Got rid of Jones and gordon. As much as I get gordon, this guy is 6 years removed from a "great" season and Brady isn't the chucker he used to be at 42. I also understand the bargain at $6 if he is even remotely his old self. I just don't wanna deal with the headache of wondering if each week is his last week and added mattison to the roster to back up Cook incase of injury. I moved Herndon back up to Andrews. Switched to the Pitt D, who looks strong. 

My questions now are, 3 qbs? 3 te? 3k? 3D? those are the safe moves, but I feel like you need to swing for the fences at RB and WR to win this thing and hope that 2 at those positions stand their ground for the season. Luck is a huge factor in any bestball format. You just can't predict injuries. 🤷‍♂️
I think you have a contradiction in your thinking.  As you said, you have to swing for the fences at RB/WR and hope they stay healthy, yet you dropped Gordon, who is the definition of swing for the fences.  Also, you cuffed Cook, which is a safe move.

I do not like that your WR2 & WR3 share a bye, but you will be at full strength at RB & TE this week.

 
I think you have a contradiction in your thinking.  As you said, you have to swing for the fences at RB/WR and hope they stay healthy, yet you dropped Gordon, who is the definition of swing for the fences.  Also, you cuffed Cook, which is a safe move.

I do not like that your WR2 & WR3 share a bye, but you will be at full strength at RB & TE this week.
I get your point. There's gambling on upside and then there is false hope. Gordon for $6 seems like a must own and he's all the hype right now, but the more I think about it, I'm not sure that he is. This is a shell of his former self, with a 42 year old tom Brady(yes he's the GOAT, but Father Time is no joke). Gordon could be back out of the league at any point and we still don't actually know when he will be "allowed" to play and if he is, how good he will be. For only $6, I get it. History tends to repeat itself though, especially in Josh Gordons case. I fully hope I'm wrong here and that he got his life back on the path he was meant to be on. If signs point that way before this tourney goes live, he will probably make his way back on to my roster. 

The $6 to back up my top RB who has injury issues seems more prevalent than a 7th receiver who may or may not play. "EVERYONE" (not everyone, but a lot) are adding Gordon to their team. If he never takes a snap or only takes limited snaps over the season, it was purely a waste of $6.  I currently think that $6 is more important to me at the RB spot to back up my lead back. I know I am currently in the minority here, but until I get a little more info about the situation, that $6 is better spent elsewhere. 

Solid point on the 2 WR's with week 7 byes. Not a fan myself, but I love both players to their current cost. I'm hoping its too early in the season for an early knockout based on the rest of my lineup. 

Again, take it all with a grain of salt, because this is my 395th version so far. 🤣

 
2nd iteration. IDK:

QB - Jameis Winston - TB/7 - $13
QB - Sam Darnold - NYJ/4 - $9
RB - Christian McCaffrey - CAR/7 - $35
RB - Mark Ingram - BAL/8 - $20
RB - David Montgomery - CHI/6 - $18
RB - Duke Johnson - HOU/10 - $9
RB - Chase Edmonds - ARI/12 - $6
RB - Tony Pollard - DAL/8 - $4
WR - Michael Thomas - NO/9 - $32
WR - Odell Beckham - CLE/7 - $31
WR - Marquez Valdes-Scantling - GB/11 - $11
WR - Jamison Crowder - NYJ/4 - $11
WR - Donte Moncrief - PIT/7 - $10
WR - TreQuan Smith - NO/9 - $8
WR - Terry McLaurin - WAS/10 - $4
TE - Mark Andrews - BAL/8 - $9
TE - Darren Waller - OAK/6 - $8
PK - Greg Joseph - CLE/7 - $3
PK - Daniel Carlson - OAK/6 - $3
TD - San Francisco 49ers - SF/4 - $3
TD - New York Jets - NYJ/4 - $3

 
RB - Christian McCaffrey - CAR/7 - $35
RB - Mark Ingram - BAL/8 - $20
RB - David Montgomery - CHI/6 - $18
RB - Duke Johnson - HOU/10 - $9
RB - Chase Edmonds - ARI/12 - $6
RB - Tony Pollard - DAL/8 - $4
Curious - why choose Chase Edmonds without David Johnson?

 
Curious - why choose Chase Edmonds without David Johnson?
Good point. I switched CMC for DJ and upgraded from Darnold to Goff, just to see, but I might switch it back.   

But my thinking was Edmonds has stand alone value. If AZ really runs as many plays as they are intending to, then the second RB on their team should have arguably significant fantasy value on their own, with a healthy DJ. 

However, if DJ goes down, and I own DJ + Edmonds, then I lose a premier spot in my lineup while gaining some value as Edmonds presumably ascends. If DJ goes down and I drafted CMC instead, then I have the double upside of Edmonds ascending and a healthy CMC in my lineup. The downside to owning CMC + Edmonds and not DJ+ is that I will have one premier stud and one high producing flexy type of RB that isn't bad for $6. The downside of DJ + Edmonds is worse. Under the assumption that CMC also stays healthy. 

IDK I don't like handcuffing in these types of tourneys generally. I'd rather have the possibility of two studs in an injury scenario than just one.

 
Your team has been successfully entered.

QB - Kirk Cousins - MIN/12 - $12
QB - Tom Brady - NE/10 - $11
QB - Matthew Stafford - DET/5 - $10

One of my bigger debates was 2 or 3 QBs but ultimately going with 3 solid QBs

RB - Leonard Fournette - JAX/10 - $24
RB - Marlon Mack - IND/6 - $23
RB - Chris Carson - SEA/11 - $18
RB - Latavius Murray - NO/9 - $16
RB - Gus Edwards - BAL/8 - $7

Think top 4 will produce and took a flyer on Edwards as Ingram has never played FT.  Big gamble is Fournette and can he stay healthly
WR - Julian Edelman - NE/10 - $23
WR - Cooper Kupp - LAR/9 - $20
WR - Marvin Jones - DET/5 - $16
WR - Sterling Shepard - NYG/11 - $14
WR - Curtis Samuel - CAR/7 - $12

Went with solid WR vs stud route
TE - Evan Engram - NYG/11 - $18
TE - Greg Olsen - CAR/7 - $10

Another gamble here with only 2 TE, still thinking maybe dropping one QB and adding another TE
PK - Matt Prater - DET/5 - $4
PK - Greg Joseph - CLE/7 - $3
TD - Kansas City Chiefs - KC/12 - $5
TD - San Francisco 49ers - SF/4 - $3

Generally went with non-stud roster that has depth thinking I would get consistent weekly scoring vs big swings.  Let me know what I've missed.

Total value: 249

 
All or nothing. Injuries could end my season early. But you’re gonna need some luck on your side to win this thing. 

QB - Cam Newton - CAR/7 - $19
QB - Jared Goff - LAR/9 - $14
RB - Nick Chubb - CLE/7 - $25
RB - Leonard Fournette - JAX/10 - $24
RB - Chris Carson - SEA/11 - $18
RB - Duke Johnson - HOU/10 - $9
RB - Justice Hill - BAL/8 - $9
WR - DeAndre Hopkins - HOU/10 - $34
WR - Tyler Boyd - CIN/9 - $20
WR - Allen Robinson - CHI/6 - $17
WR - David Moore - SEA/11 - $6
WR - Josh Gordon - NE/10 - $6
TE - O.J. Howard - TB/7 - $18
TE - Darren Waller - OAK/6 - $8
PK - Aldrick Rosas - NYG/11 - $4
PK - Matt Prater - DET/5 - $4
PK - Zane Gonzalez - ARI/12 - $3
TD - Buffalo Bills - BUF/6 - $6
TD - Cincinnati Bengals - CIN/9 - $3
TD - New York Jets - NYJ/4 - $3

I really want Hopkins and Gordon is obviously a must have so not sure what to do about the bye conflict there. I may have to substitute Hopkins and for a few points to add another TE. Scariest position for me is TE with this lineup. 

 
Here's my latest iteration, and my favorite so far - with explanations:

QB - Tom Brady - NE/10 - $11
QB - Matthew Stafford - DET/5 - $10
QB - Daniel Jones - NYG/11 - $4

I had Brady before, but with the Josh Gordon reinstatement, he's almost a must-have.  Watching Jones, he'll be the starter sooner than later, so I loved that.  I think Stafford is continually underrated year after year, and one of the reasons that people don't need to take a QB until everyone else already has one.

RB - David Johnson - ARI/12 - $30
RB - Kerryon Johnson - DET/5 - $23
RB - Latavius Murray - NO/9 - $16
RB - Peyton Barber - TB/7 - $13

I'm admittedly thin here, but I think I have four guys who will produce.  With this year's pricing, I'm afraid that more luck will factor into winning this year's contest than previous years.  I just don't see a lot of 23+ rosters.  Injuries may still change that and provide us with a bargain or two, but it's draft-and-hope at this point.

WR - Julio Jones - ATL/9 - $32
WR - Adam Thielen - MIN/12 - $24
WR - Curtis Samuel - CAR/7 - $12
WR - Marquez Valdes-Scantling - GB/11 - $11
WR - Josh Gordon - NE/10 - $6

5 WRs is still a low number.  But I upgraded several of my fliers to get... uh... more sure fliers?  I mean, Gordon will be on every roster except for his dealer's.  I think Jones and Thielen can carry me and Samuel/MVS have tremendous upside.

TE - Travis Kelce - KC/12 - $29
TE - Darren Waller - OAK/6 - $8

IMO, the talent differential is greater between Kelce and Ertz (Kittle isn't even on that tier for me) than that of any other position, and at 1.5 PPR, the price is well worth it.   Waller has been around awhile, but if Jared Cook can get 900 yards and 6 TDs, it seems to me that Waller should easily reach that.  Eight bucks on him seems like one of the few true bargains on the list.

PK - Matt Gay - TB/7 - $3
PK - Daniel Carlson - OAK/6 - $3
PK - Zane Gonzalez - ARI/12 - $3

I believe that these are the three $3 kickers with the best shot at keeping their jobs for the season.

TD - Cleveland Browns - CLE/7 - $6
TD - Houston Texans - HOU/10 - $6

If this lineup holds, this will be the first year that I've spent more than the minimum on a D, and the first year I didn't draft 3 or 4 of them. But I have both of these units in the (lower end of the) top 10 D/ST and think that they're probably worth passing a third.  

 

 
IMO, TEs are way too valuable in this contest to go this route.
How do you mean? The fact that I only took two TEs or the fact that I took those two? If you don't like those two (Andrews and Waller), I get it though I disagree. But if you are saying picking only two TEs is a bad way to go, I also get it but disagree. Haha. Respectfully, though. I think to win this thing you have to get lucky with injuries. So if one of my two TEs (or two QBs) go down then yes I may be in a sinking ship. I'm not trying to build a roster that can overcome such injuries, I am banking that they stay healthy. If they don't then I guess I lose. 

That said I don't really see other good, cheap options at TE, and if I upgrade (in price) then it will cost me elsewhere, and I'm already not loving the depth at RB and WR, which would be sacrificed in order to take a 3rd TE, or an arguably better and more expensive one.

 
How do you mean? The fact that I only took two TEs or the fact that I took those two? If you don't like those two (Andrews and Waller), I get it though I disagree. But if you are saying picking only two TEs is a bad way to go, I also get it but disagree. Haha. Respectfully, though. I think to win this thing you have to get lucky with injuries. So if one of my two TEs (or two QBs) go down then yes I may be in a sinking ship. I'm not trying to build a roster that can overcome such injuries, I am banking that they stay healthy. If they don't then I guess I lose. 

That said I don't really see other good, cheap options at TE, and if I upgrade (in price) then it will cost me elsewhere, and I'm already not loving the depth at RB and WR, which would be sacrificed in order to take a 3rd TE, or an arguably better and more expensive one.
I don't agree with going cheap at TE.  The top TEs will outscore equivalently priced WRs and RBs by a lot (and will score more than WRs and RBs that cost far more). On a point per dollar value, you're better off going cheap at WR and splurging on TEs.

 
I don't agree with going cheap at TE.  The top TEs will outscore equivalently priced WRs and RBs by a lot (and will score more than WRs and RBs that cost far more). On a point per dollar value, you're better off going cheap at WR and splurging on TEs.
While this is true, I thought I read somewhere that most rosters also had two $24+ WR's on their roster in recent years that succeeded. Seems like the way to go is to just spend little on a bunch of RB's and hope you get lucky on the injury train?

 
While this is true, I thought I read somewhere that most rosters also had two $24+ WR's on their roster in recent years that succeeded. Seems like the way to go is to just spend little on a bunch of RB's and hope you get lucky on the injury train?
This was my theory...  not going overboard on a big $ name, but take several good WR values ...like in the $17-23 Range...  this allows depth and quantity without critical damage with a WR injury.  

My current WR Core: 

WR - Calvin Ridley - ATL/9 - $20
WR - Tyler Lockett - SEA/11 - $19
WR - Mike Williams - LAC/12 - $16

 
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Good point. I switched CMC for DJ and upgraded from Darnold to Goff, just to see, but I might switch it back.   

But my thinking was Edmonds has stand alone value. If AZ really runs as many plays as they are intending to, then the second RB on their team should have arguably significant fantasy value on their own, with a healthy DJ. 

However, if DJ goes down, and I own DJ + Edmonds, then I lose a premier spot in my lineup while gaining some value as Edmonds presumably ascends. If DJ goes down and I drafted CMC instead, then I have the double upside of Edmonds ascending and a healthy CMC in my lineup. The downside to owning CMC + Edmonds and not DJ+ is that I will have one premier stud and one high producing flexy type of RB that isn't bad for $6. The downside of DJ + Edmonds is worse. Under the assumption that CMC also stays healthy. 

IDK I don't like handcuffing in these types of tourneys generally. I'd rather have the possibility of two studs in an injury scenario than just one.
Thanx for answering.  The only reason I asked was because it was the first time I had seen someone choose Edmonds on his own.  FTR I also think handcuffing is not the way to go in this contest.  My reasoning is simple - if your stud goes down, you are likely toast anyways.  This contest is a battle of attrition.

As for Edmonds holding stand alone value, that only happens if ARI can finish near the top of the league in total plays.  The only way to do that is to sustain long drives behind a decent offensive line.  I think this is where Kingsbury's plan goes awry.  Time will tell, but I do think ARI will have way more success than last year.

 
I don't agree with going cheap at TE.  The top TEs will outscore equivalently priced WRs and RBs by a lot (and will score more than WRs and RBs that cost far more). On a point per dollar value, you're better off going cheap at WR and splurging on TEs.
I see what you're saying. I don't like the cheaper options at WR and RB as much this year. This is about as top heavy as I have ever gone at WR and RB. I'll experiment with what you are advocating, though. I think Andrews explodes this year. And Waller could do well. But I'm not in love with the combo.

 
Thanx for answering.  The only reason I asked was because it was the first time I had seen someone choose Edmonds on his own.  FTR I also think handcuffing is not the way to go in this contest.  My reasoning is simple - if your stud goes down, you are likely toast anyways.  This contest is a battle of attrition.

As for Edmonds holding stand alone value, that only happens if ARI can finish near the top of the league in total plays.  The only way to do that is to sustain long drives behind a decent offensive line.  I think this is where Kingsbury's plan goes awry.  Time will tell, but I do think ARI will have way more success than last year.
Yeah I'm actually kind of skeptical that this will work out. Somebody made a compelling argument the other day that opposing offenses will be able to play keep away in a time of possession style game. I'm pretty sure that is not what Kingsbury wants. I absolutely subscribe (no pun intended) to the idea that playing from behind will be good for fantasy for AZ players, but I can also see a Chip Kelly level failure if other teams just hog the ball and AZ never gets into any rhythm. They may be much better for best ball stuff than H2H. Best ball stuff like this contest??

 
barackdhouse said:
Yeah I'm actually kind of skeptical that this will work out. Somebody made a compelling argument the other day that opposing offenses will be able to play keep away in a time of possession style game. I'm pretty sure that is not what Kingsbury wants. I absolutely subscribe (no pun intended) to the idea that playing from behind will be good for fantasy for AZ players, but I can also see a Chip Kelly level failure if other teams just hog the ball and AZ never gets into any rhythm. They may be much better for best ball stuff than H2H. Best ball stuff like this contest??
Time of possession is highly contingent on having a good offensive line and a good defense.  A good OL can help dominate ToP even with a mediocre running game.  A perfect example last year were the Eagles.  Their hodge podge corps combined for 349 carries and 4.1 YPC, yet they finished 2nd in ToP.  On the flip side, a stout defense can also dominate ToP without a great offense.  CHI was nothing special on O, but their D was arguably the best in the league, and they finished 3rd in ToP.  And if you have a strong running game and a stout D, it's a surefire way to dominate ToP.  Case in point from last year - BAL led the league in both ToP and total plays.

So, for 2019, will ARI have a good OL or a good D?  Both or neither?  If you believe at all in PFF OL rankings for 2019, they are ranked 30th.  Now, I don't put all my stock in their rankings, but I do find it hard to think they are that far off.  Here is PFF's write-up:

PROJECTED STARTING LINEUP:

Left Tackle: D.J. Humphries
Left Guard: J.R. Sweezy
Center: Mason Cole
Right Guard: Justin Pugh
Right Tackle: Marcus Gilbert

The Cardinals’ offensive line was a shambles last year. They allowed the league’s second-most total pressures (218), the fourth-most hurries (142), the second-most hits (42) and the second-most sacks (34), all while they ranked dead last among teams in snaps played per pressure (2.6). And even though they added J.R. Sweezy and Marcus Gilbert over the offseason, you shouldn’t be surprised to hear that they’re still pretty thin upfront. Center Mason Cole allowed the second-most pressures among centers as a rookie, while J.R. Sweezy has allowed pressure on 5.7% of his snaps since 2016, which is tied for 60th among the 98 guards who have played at least 500 pass-blocking snaps in that three-year period.

As for their defense last year, ARI couldn't seem to get off the field, giving up 1065 plays (4th most).  While they were on the field, their pass D was very good.  They were 6th in pass yards per attempt, and tied for 3rd in TD's given up.  Now, the TD's have to be taken with a grain of salt, because only 5 teams were passed on less, but giving up only 21 over 16 games is pretty damn good.  Their run D didn't fare so well.  They were tied for 30th in YPC (4.9), and gave up 5 more TD's than any other team.  Teams obviously weren't afraid of their offense and just ran and ran on them.  In fact, they were the only team last year to be run on more than passed.  For 2019, what has worsened from last season?  Their star CB, Patrick Peterson, who hasn't missed a game in 8 years, is suspended for the first 6 games.  Their other starting CB was projected to be Robert Alford, and he just fractured his tibia and will likely miss the first half of the season.  That's a huge hit to their pass D.

As much as Kingsbury wants to incorporate the air raid, I just don't think it will be very successful this year.  That still isn't swaying me away from David Johnson or Larry Fitzgerald for this contest.

 
Time of possession is highly contingent on having a good offensive line and a good defense.  A good OL can help dominate ToP even with a mediocre running game.  A perfect example last year were the Eagles.  Their hodge podge corps combined for 349 carries and 4.1 YPC, yet they finished 2nd in ToP.  On the flip side, a stout defense can also dominate ToP without a great offense.  CHI was nothing special on O, but their D was arguably the best in the league, and they finished 3rd in ToP.  And if you have a strong running game and a stout D, it's a surefire way to dominate ToP.  Case in point from last year - BAL led the league in both ToP and total plays.

So, for 2019, will ARI have a good OL or a good D?  Both or neither?  If you believe at all in PFF OL rankings for 2019, they are ranked 30th.  Now, I don't put all my stock in their rankings, but I do find it hard to think they are that far off.  Here is PFF's write-up:
I wasn't referring to the AZ time of possession I was talking about their opponents. I get they are derived from each other. It's because of how bad the AZ defense is that opponents may be able to use *their* OL to enforce a time of possession gameplan upon AZ. Rendering the AZ offense potentially less potent if they are given less time. Hard to run record numbers of plays when your offense is on the bench. Doesn't matter how good your OL is if they don't get on the field. But to your point it looks like they aren't very good. If Kingsbury can call good counterpunch plays it can work. I'm rooting for them but not super hopeful. There's a good chance I'm taking DJ at 1.04 in a high stakes redraft coming up, so I'm trying to weigh the situation there. 

Playing from behind = good for FF

Not getting the ball = bad for FF

Maybe these ideas simply cancel each other out? All the same I'd rather Zeke gets signed and Kamara slides to 1.04 for me. 

 
I wasn't referring to the AZ time of possession I was talking about their opponents. I get they are derived from each other. It's because of how bad the AZ defense is that opponents may be able to use *their* OL to enforce a time of possession gameplan upon AZ. Rendering the AZ offense potentially less potent if they are given less time. Hard to run record numbers of plays when your offense is on the bench. Doesn't matter how good your OL is if they don't get on the field. But to your point it looks like they aren't very good. If Kingsbury can call good counterpunch plays it can work. I'm rooting for them but not super hopeful. There's a good chance I'm taking DJ at 1.04 in a high stakes redraft coming up, so I'm trying to weigh the situation there. 

Playing from behind = good for FF

Not getting the ball = bad for FF

Maybe these ideas simply cancel each other out? All the same I'd rather Zeke gets signed and Kamara slides to 1.04 for me. 
Very good discussion, and to think it all started over Chase Edmonds.   :)

As I said, I think even if the offense doesn't perform up to Kingsbury's lofty expectations, DJ can have himself a wonderful FF season.  But I just don't think they will be on the field enough to allow Chase to amass his own stats.  And as to your statement about playing from behind being good for FF, I think playing from ahead is also good for DJ, so it's a win-win.  You can't play from ahead without putting up points, and DJ is a large part of that offense.

My dilemma with taking DJ in this contest is that I want Kelce too, but I just can't justify having $59 on my bench in week 12.  It has to be one or the other, but not both.  Perhaps I can warm up to the Austin Hooper/Mark Andrews/Ian Thomas trio I have been playing around with.

 
QB - Jameis Winston - TB/7 - $13
QB - Tom Brady - NE/10 - $11
QB - Daniel Jones - NYG/11 - $4
RB - Saquon Barkley - NYG/11 - $36
RB - Christian McCaffrey - CAR/7 - $35
RB - Ito Smith - ATL/9 - $11
RB - Justin Jackson - LAC/12 - $9
WR - Stefon Diggs - MIN/12 - $23
WR - Chris Godwin - TB/7 - $22
WR - Deebo Samuel - SF/4 - $9
WR - Cole Beasley - BUF/6 - $6
WR - Josh Gordon - NE/10 - $6
TE - Hunter Henry - LAC/12 - $17
TE - David Njoku - CLE/7 - $15
TE - Mike Gesicki - MIA/5 - $8
TE - Tyler Kroft - BUF/6 - $4
PK - Dan Bailey - MIN/12 - $4
PK - Randy Bullock - CIN/9 - $3
PK - Greg Joseph - CLE/7 - $3
TD - Detroit Lions - DET/5 - $4
TD - Carolina Panthers - CAR/7 - $4
TD - Cincinnati Bengals - CIN/9 - $3

 
QB - Jameis Winston - TB/7 - $13
QB - Tom Brady - NE/10 - $11
QB - Daniel Jones - NYG/11 - $4

Nice trio.  A mixture of boom/bust and consistency

RB - Saquon Barkley - NYG/11 - $36
RB - Christian McCaffrey - CAR/7 - $35
RB - Ito Smith - ATL/9 - $11
RB - Justin Jackson - LAC/12 - $9

Very shaky after the top 2.  Suggest either more depth or adding another quality guy

WR - Stefon Diggs - MIN/12 - $23
WR - Chris Godwin - TB/7 - $22
WR - Deebo Samuel - SF/4 - $9
WR - Cole Beasley - BUF/6 - $6
WR - Josh Gordon - NE/10 - $6

See above

TE - Hunter Henry - LAC/12 - $17
TE - David Njoku - CLE/7 - $15
TE - Mike Gesicki - MIA/5 - $8
TE - Tyler Kroft - BUF/6 - $4

Personal preference, but I will only choose 3 max.  A guaranteed goose egg each week at TE is not what I want.

PK - Dan Bailey - MIN/12 - $4
PK - Randy Bullock - CIN/9 - $3
PK - Greg Joseph - CLE/7 - $3

Money well spent

TD - Detroit Lions - DET/5 - $4
TD - Carolina Panthers - CAR/7 - $4
TD - Cincinnati Bengals - CIN/9 - $3

See above

 
okay...  After numerous iterations, and some excellent feedback (TY WINZ), I have come around to a group I am very happy with... 

My only concerns are the 2 QB risk & Week 12 bye factor (5)

QB - Drew Brees - NO/9 - $16
QB - Kirk Cousins - MIN/12 - $12
RB - Nick Chubb - CLE/7 - $25
RB - Dalvin Cook - MIN/12 - $24
RB - Chris Carson - SEA/11 - $18
RB - Darwin Thompson - KC/12 - $5
WR - Calvin Ridley - ATL/9 - $20
WR - Tyler Lockett - SEA/11 - $19
WR - Robby Anderson - NYJ/4 - $17
WR - Mike Williams - LAC/12 - $16
WR - Marquez Valdes-Scantling - GB/11 - $11
WR - Deebo Samuel - SF/4 - $9
TE - Jared Cook - NO/9 - $17
TE - Dallas Goedert - PHI/10 - $12
TE - Darren Waller - OAK/6 - $8
PK - Dan Bailey - MIN/12 - $4
PK - Greg Joseph - CLE/7 - $3
PK - Steve Hauschka - BUF/6 - $3
TD - Dallas Cowboys - DAL/8 - $5
TD - San Francisco 49ers - SF/4 - $3
TD - New York Jets - NYJ/4 - $3

 
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Thanks for the thoughts. 

Just to add: Don't really play fantasy anymore or watch as much NFL. Friend asked me to do a draft for him next week and he'll manage the team. I told him I needed $40 for draft prep. He doesn't need to know about this contest, so....

Basically picking players I want to watch: Penn State alum, Bills, Panthers and Giants. 

Current rooster. Good luck to all. 

QB - Jameis Winston - TB/7 - $13
QB - Tom Brady - NE/10 - $11
QB - Daniel Jones - NYG/11 - $4
RB - Saquon Barkley - NYG/11 - $36
RB - Christian McCaffrey - CAR/7 - $35
RB - Miles Sanders - PHI/10 - $15
RB - T.J. Yeldon - BUF/6 - $7
WR - Stefon Diggs - MIN/12 - $23
WR - Chris Godwin - TB/7 - $22
WR - Golden Tate - NYG/11 - $13
WR - Cole Beasley - BUF/6 - $6
WR - Josh Gordon - NE/10 - $6
TE - Hunter Henry - LAC/12 - $17
TE - Mark Andrews - BAL/8 - $9
TE - Mike Gesicki - MIA/5 - $8
TE - Tyler Kroft - BUF/6 - $4
PK - Eddy Pineiro - CHI/6 - $4
PK - Randy Bullock - CIN/9 - $3
PK - Greg Joseph - CLE/7 - $3
TD - Detroit Lions - DET/5 - $4
TD - Carolina Panthers - CAR/7 - $4
TD - Cincinnati Bengals - CIN/9 - $3

 
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