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***2020 Democrat Primary/Caucus Thread*** Biden Is Your Demoractic Nominee (3 Viewers)

At this point, if you're rooting for The Centrist Lane, I'm not sure what result you should be pulling for.  Probably either 1) Biden gets KO'ed quickly so somebody else can take over that lane or 2) Biden rebounds bigly and regains his former front-runner status.  I'm pretty sure "Biden limps along with Buttigieg performing okay and Bloomberg waiting in the wings" is the worst possible scenario.  Great scenario for Sanders though.
The problem is that Bloomberg isn’t on the ballot in South Carolina which is 60% black vote. Which makes “Biden limps along” seem very likely. 

 
Solely because they're black, right?
That seems to be the extent of it.  Not a very nuanced portrait he paints.

Blacks vote for blacks.

Blacks vote for someone associated with a black president and a history of handouts in spite of the rest of his legislative record.

Blacks will not vote for a homosexual.

Is he correct?

 
62,000 less Democrats caucused in 2020 than 2008. 

DES MOINES, Iowa (AP) — Iowa Democrats are recovering from a number of disappointments after Monday’s Iowa caucuses, though one has received less attention than the others.

About 176,000 Iowans attended their precinct caucuses, a slight uptick from 2016 but fewer than expected.

The number is certain to rattle Democrats who are banking on high turnout in battlegrounds across the country to win in November. And it raises doubts about whether Iowa is winnable by Democrats, after a recent shift toward Republicans.

But Monday came nowhere near the 2008 caucuses, when roughly 238,000 Iowans participated in the kickoff clash among Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama, onetime Iowa favorite John Edwards and a handful of others. The 2020 caucuses did draw 5,000 more than 2016, when Clinton very narrowly beat Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders, but went on to lose to Donald Trump.

“It was lower than I expected,” said former Iowa Democratic Party executive director Norm Sterzenbach, who has been advising Minnesota Sen. Amy Klobuchar’s campaign. “It was definitely lower than what the conventional wisdom was.”
http://whotv.com/2020/02/08/iowa-caucus-turnout-fewer-than-expected/

 
South Carolina is going to be interesting for a lot of reasons.  There hasn’t been a lot of quality polls recently but Biden’s lead appears to be shrinking and he won’t be helped by poor performances in New Hampshire and Nevada.

Steyer has a role in this too. He was polling around 15% with both whites and African-Americans.  How many will switch for him after doing poorly in the earlier states?  
 

I think this all plays well for Bernie but there are other routes it could take too. Who knows?

 
Will be interesting to see if turnout is as low in NH and other upcoming states.

Trump may win this before it gets started.

 
Yeah, watching him in the debate was painful.  He isn’t winning this thing even with southern minority support.  Amy was awesome, and Pete spoke the part.

 
Tulsi calling on the DNC Chair to step down

LINK

“Under the leadership of Tom Perez, the DNC has kowtowed to billionaires, caused a debacle in Iowa, and undermined the voter’s trust in our elections,” she added
Here here, why not pick someone not in donor pockets?

 
The final NH tracking polls are out! Here’s Suffolk:

Sanders 27% (+3 since yesterday)
Buttigieg 19% (-3)
Klobuchar 14% (+5)
Biden 12% (+2)
Warren 12% (-1)

And Emerson:

Sanders 30% (-)
Buttigieg 23% (+3)
Klobuchar 14% (+1)
Warren 11% (-1)
Biden 10% (-1)

KLOBMENTUM seems to be for real.

 
The final NH tracking polls are out! Here’s Suffolk:

Sanders 27% (+3 since yesterday)
Buttigieg 19% (-3)
Klobuchar 14% (+5)
Biden 12% (+2)
Warren 12% (-1)

And Emerson:

Sanders 30% (-)
Buttigieg 23% (+3)
Klobuchar 14% (+1)
Warren 11% (-1)
Biden 10% (-1)

KLOBMENTUM seems to be for real.
Biden - ufda!

 
Here’s how the tracking polls have moved over the last week. 

Suffolk:

Sanders +3%
Buttigieg +8%
Klobuchar +8%
Biden -6%
Warren -2%

Emerson:

Sanders +1%
Buttigieg +10%
Klobuchar +6%
Warren -1%
Biden -4%

 
Soooo, DNC and Perez has already given up on that whole "recanvass" BS.

So keep in mind while they acknowledge mistakes and incorrect numbers all over the state, they also will now claim that it would be illegal to try and collect accurate results after a review. Definitely sounds like a party with fairness in mind and doing all it can to foster good faith and trust in the American public.

 
Soooo, DNC and Perez has already given up on that whole "recanvass" BS.

So keep in mind while they acknowledge mistakes and incorrect numbers all over the state, they also will now claim that it would be illegal to try and collect accurate results after a review. Definitely sounds like a party with fairness in mind and doing all it can to foster good faith and trust in the American public.
This is the craziest part to me... they totally mess everything up (most of it in one direction) and it's "illegal" to fix the errors?  So the people that voted for a candidate lose their choice because Iowa needed to use an app to count to 100?

 
Is there actually any good reason to do a recanvass in Iowa?  We know that Sanders and Buttigieg finished more or less tied in the kind-of-made-up-but-official state delegate equivalents count.  That isn't going to change, and nothing is going to significantly alter how Iowa's delegates are apportioned. 

 

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