***2020 Democrat Primary/Caucus Thread*** Biden Is Your Demoractic Nominee

[Jefferson the Caregiver 928]

Warren is done as well.  When does she bow out?  This gives Sanders many more votes in upcoming primaries when she does.  

[hagmania 8,792]

Just now, cap'n grunge said:

I'm far from young, but a plurality is not a majority. I was a Sanders supporter in 2016. Love the guy's heart and genuine demeanor. Alot of his policies are too liberal for me though. He was my guy though over Hillary who I couldn't stand. Still, come November I held my nose and voted for her. The alternative was no alternative. In 2020 after seeing what he's capable of, that message should be even more clear. He must go no matter what.

You're barking up the wrong tree.

[Henry Ford 60,520]

22 minutes ago, BassNBrew said:

Probably points to the stock market, unemployment rate, and the Chefs winning the Super Bowl.

Well, sure, that’ll play well in Kansas. 

[Henry Ford 60,520]

1 minute ago, Jefferson the Caregiver said:

Warren is done as well.  When does she bow out?  This gives Sanders many more votes in upcoming primaries when she does.  

Maybe. I know an awful lot of Warren voters who don’t like Bernie. 

[Jefferson the Caregiver 928]

58 minutes ago, Daywalker said:

When is the big day for bloomberg?  I expect him to not quite make it.  But then he will basically push pete or klobacher to victory.

He takes votes away from Pete and Klobuchar so that's not really good for them.

I don't like this but I think Sanders is in the driver's seat.

[NutterButter 6,092]

So many questions.  I love presidential election year.  

[Getzlaf15 10,809]

38 minutes ago, Daywalker said:

Democrats would greatly increase their chances of beating Trump if they brought up that he cheated with a pornstar while his wife was giving birth.

It should me mentioned in every interview.  A top 3 talking point.

It is a layup.  Puts Trump on his heels.  How does he even respond?  “Well she wasnt giving birth you liar.  She was home with my son.”

The more they talk about Trump, the greater chance that he will win.

[hagmania 8,792]

High turnout in NH speaks to what an ill-fitting process a caucus is for electing officials.

[TripItUp 3,945]

1 minute ago, hagmania said:

High turnout in NH speaks to what an ill-fitting process a caucus is for electing officials.

Or it could mean a huge surge to Trump(in Iowa)

Edited February 12, 2020 by TripItUp

[Man of Constant Sorrow 5,884]

2 minutes ago, Henry Ford said:

Well, sure, that’ll play well in Kansas. 

Buddy, I've a feeling we're not in Kansas anymore. 

🐶

 

On topic: As a Pete guy, congrats to Bernie. I will definitely show up to vote for him (or any D) in the general...even if Pete lost a brokered convention while holding the most delegates. 

#unity 

[hagmania 8,792]

1 minute ago, TripItUp said:

Or it could mean a huge surge to Trump(in Iowa)

Very true; was editing my post but you caught me first so I'll let it stand. Could be an issue of geography instead of process.

[Daywalker 3,034]

1 minute ago, Getzlaf15 said:

The more they talk about Trump, the greater chance that he will win.

No.  All they do is talk about Trump.  Might as well talk about him cheating on his pregnant wife.

Hillary got cheated on and the Republicans made her the bad guy.

This is not hard once you realize the game.

[Ditkaless Wonders 16,250]

Would a Sander/Trump race represent the two candidates with the most questionable health facing off ever?  What are the actuarials on either completing the term?  Does that make V.P. choices unusually important or do they pick V.P.'s based on electoral college demographics/balancing their ticket? 

Edited February 12, 2020 by Ditkaless Wonders

[hagmania 8,792]

1 minute ago, Man of Constant Sorrow said:

Buddy, I've a feeling we're not in Kansas anymore. 

🐶

 

On topic: As a Pete guy, congrats to Bernie. I will definitely show up to vote for him (or any D) in the general...even if Pete lost a brokered convention while holding the most delegates. 

#unity 

Cool. Have fun convincing the rest.

[Jefferson the Caregiver 928]

50 minutes ago, Maurile Tremblay said:

The fact that Warren lost a bunch of votes and Bernie didn't pick them up is not a positive for Bernie.

One way to look at it but he doesn't need all of them.  I think he gets enough of her votes to put him over the top.

[Encyclopedia Brown 2,618]

22 minutes ago, Daywalker said:

It will throw him off.  You need to get him on the defensive.

The thing I hear from grudging Bloomberg supporters is that they know he will take it right at Trump, about anything and everything. 

That might be the only thing they like about Bloomberg, but it is the main thing. 

Edited February 12, 2020 by Encyclopedia Brown

[Getzlaf15 10,809]

Just now, Daywalker said:

No.  All they do is talk about Trump.  Might as well talk about him cheating on his pregnant wife.

Hillary got cheated on and the Republicans made her the bad guy.

This is not hard once you realize the game.

you're playing the wrong game.  A game you've already lost before.   GL with that failed strategy.

[Man of Constant Sorrow 5,884]

Just now, hagmania said:

Cool. Have fun convincing the rest.

Thnx. 

If I understand Pete's guiding philosophy correctly, I believe he will encourage his supporters to stick with the principles that attracted us to him in the 1st place - which is coming together for the greater good. 

I honestly believe that we are not a cult of his personality or polices and would step up. 

[Jefferson the Caregiver 928]

This Klobuchar rise scares me.  The middle is getting too split and once Bloomberg is in the mix, slice some more from it.

Good for Bernie but I'm not a believer that Bernie can beat Trump.

[Daywalker 3,034]

5 minutes ago, Getzlaf15 said:

you're playing the wrong game.  A game you've already lost before.   GL with that failed strategy.

So how does Trump answer these questions during a debate?  Look up his Letterman interview where Dave made him look like a worm and Trump just shrunk.  U need to get in the mud with Trump.  All his weaknesses.

[mcintyre1 3,294]

1 minute ago, Jefferson the Caregiver said:

This Klobuchar rise scares me.  The middle is getting too split and once Bloomberg is in the mix, slice some more from it.

Good for Bernie but I'm not a believer that Bernie can beat Trump.

Polling both in 2016 and for 2020 disagree with you pretty heavily. I think Bernie beat Trump in head to head polling by 9 points in 2016 (Clinton did by about 4), and he beats Trump by about 7 points in polling for the 2020 cycle (which, I believe, is higher than anyone except Bloomberg, who beats Trump by 8).

[NutterButter 6,092]

Just now, Jefferson the Caregiver said:

This Klobuchar rise scares me.  The middle is getting too split and once Bloomberg is in the mix, slice some more from it.

Good for Bernie but I'm not a believer that Bernie can beat Trump.

Would love if Bloomie reconsiders now that its not just Bernie, Warren and Stumbling Bumbling Joe at the top.    There's two moderates already there that have a viable shot of beating Trump.   He of course thinks he's even better then these two but it does have to cross his mind that he might win the battle between the moderates but cost the dems the war.   

[Shula-holic 2,216]

Amanda Carpenter sighting on CNN. This will be the longest my tv has sat on CNN in quite awhile. 

[Jefferson the Caregiver 928]

3 minutes ago, NutterButter said:

Would love if Bloomie reconsiders now that its not just Bernie, Warren and Stumbling Bumbling Joe at the top.    There's two moderates already there that have a viable shot of beating Trump.   He of course thinks he's even better then these two but it does have to cross his mind that he might win the battle between the moderates but cost the dems the war.   

Agreed and I like Bloomberg.

[Getzlaf15 10,809]

11 minutes ago, Daywalker said:

So how does Trump answer these questions during a debate?  Look up his Letterman interview where Dave made him look like a worm and Trump just shrunk.  U need to get in the mud with Trump.  All his weaknesses.

He'd deny them and make some #### up, that would energize his base. 

 I could see Bloomberg doing well in a debate if he attacked him on issues and the strengths he has from running NYC.  You aren't getting more DEM votes by raising up this type of dirt. It WILL get his base more energized because they rally around him when he's attacked.

You're going to get more votes by appealing to all those that voted for Trump that also voted for Obama.   Doubt your strategy does that.  Whining about his personal life does nothing for a voter.  Doesn't create more jobs, lower healthcare, etc...  Focus on the wrong things and you'll lose again. One of the main reasons Trump won was because he talked about jobs, jobs, jobs.  Something that Bloomberg is hitting hard on in his ads.

Edited February 12, 2020 by Getzlaf15

[TripItUp 3,945]

And CNN spending time on the Stone case the night of the NH primary.

 

Theyll never learn.

Edited February 12, 2020 by TripItUp

[ShamrockPride 5,293]

Political Polls @ppollingnumbers

#NewHampshire CNN Exit Polls:

White voters:
Sanders 26%
Buttigieg 25%
Klobuchar 21%

Nonwhite voters:
Sandrers 32%
Biden 16%
Buttigieg 15%

[cap'n grunge 7,632]

50 minutes ago, TripItUp said:

Or it could mean a huge surge to Trump(in Iowa)

Not sure Trump has made many friends with Iowa farmers with his dumb trade war.

[cap'n grunge 7,632]

39 minutes ago, Daywalker said:

So how does Trump answer these questions during a debate?  Look up his Letterman interview where Dave made him look like a worm and Trump just shrunk.  U need to get in the mud with Trump.  All his weaknesses.

Didn't work well for Little Marco.

[Daywalker 3,034]

36 minutes ago, Getzlaf15 said:

He'd deny them and make some #### up, that would energize his base. 

 I could see Bloomberg doing well in a debate if he attacked him on issues and the strengths he has from running NYC.  You aren't getting more DEM votes by raising up this type of dirt. It WILL get his base more energized because they rally around him when he's attacked.

You're going to get more votes by appealing to all those that voted for Trump that also voted for Obama.   Doubt your strategy does that.  Whining about his personal life does nothing for a voter.  Doesn't create more jobs, lower healthcare, etc...  Focus on the wrong things and you'll lose again. One of the main reasons Trump won was because he talked about jobs, jobs, jobs.  Something that Bloomberg is hitting hard on in his ads.

No.  Trump not allowed to run a charity in New York.  Explain that and your Trump University settlement.

Trump explains stuff on twitter.  Ask him on the debate stage.  He will fold.  

[Daywalker 3,034]

Trump is awful in the moment with an adversary.

[SaintsInDome2006 47,463]

6 minutes ago, Daywalker said:

No.  Trump not allowed to run a charity in New York.  Explain that and your Trump University settlement.

Trump explains stuff on twitter.  Ask him on the debate stage.  He will fold.  

I really think out of the group that’s left Klobuchar is best suited for this work.

[SaintsInDome2006 47,463]

Some good notes.

- How Warren exits will be significant I think.

Edited February 12, 2020 by SaintsInDome2006

[SaintsInDome2006 47,463]

Bennet was a worthy candidate.

[Daywalker 3,034]

12 minutes ago, SaintsInDome2006 said:

I really think out of the group that’s left Klobuchar is best suited for this work.

People will say it is meaningless.  Then Trump will say “Sleepy” Joe or mimic a handicap person and win.

Doesnt anyone realize the material they have?  This guy is truly an awful person.  And its all in black and white and on tape.

[Daywalker 3,034]

Dont be embarrassed to ask why you cheated on your pregnant wife with a pornstar.  You didn't do it.

You are asking because it is depraved.

A sick person.

[Getzlaf15 10,809]

1 minute ago, Daywalker said:

People will say it is meaningless.  Then Trump will say “Sleepy” Joe or mimic a handicap person and win.

Doesnt anyone realize the material they have?  This guy is truly an awful person.  And its all in black and white and on tape.

and so what.  None of it translates into more votes.  Those people are already voting against him.   Dems have to find more votes for their candidate than last time by about 5%.

Agree with Saints that Amy is by far the best to matchup against Trump in a debate.  She has the demeanor to handle him, which everyone will respect. And if Trump attacks her or worse, belittles her in any way, that will piss off a lot of women that voted for Trump last time.   Amy is rising quickly because she talks 95% about her accomplishments and what she can do for people and 5% about Trump.  THE MESSAGE IS ABOUT HER AND IT'S WORKING.

And please watch YOUR words.  I didn't vote for Trump last time nor will I this time.

[Navin Johnson 360]

On 2/10/2020 at 3:57 PM, ren hoek said:

The McCarthyite redbaiting stuff hasn't gotten stale yet, good material.  

When all you have is a hammer...

[ren hoek 4,995]

27 minutes ago, Daywalker said:

If they dont come out they deserve it.  Like 2016.

Nobody owed Clinton their votes.  Says a lot about how little they think of voters that they can just be jerked around and fall inline behind Clinton because Trump sucks.  Rather have a bunch of nonvoters than people who 'held their nose' to vote for a bad candidate. 

A surprisingly large voting bloc of Trump's was people who disapproved of him.  Need to evolve past bigbrain 'lesser of 2 evil' logic.  

[Daywalker 3,034]

21 minutes ago, Getzlaf15 said:

and so what.  None of it translates into more votes.  Those people are already voting against him.   Dems have to find more votes for their candidate than last time by about 5%.

Agree with Saints that Amy is by far the best to matchup against Trump in a debate.  She has the demeanor to handle him, which everyone will respect. And if Trump attacks her or worse, belittles her in any way, that will piss off a lot of women that voted for Trump last time.   Amy is rising quickly because she talks 95% about her accomplishments and what she can do for people and 5% about Trump.  THE MESSAGE IS ABOUT HER AND IT'S WORKING.

And please watch YOUR words.  I didn't vote for Trump last time nor will I this time.

White suburban woman.  You think cheating on a preggo woman doesnt matter?

If you blast it.  It matters.  Like emails that went nowhere.

So are you saying emails that go nowhere are more impactful than cheating on your wife and newborn son with a pornstar.

Yes, its crazy.  Thats the whole point.

[Daywalker 3,034]

6 minutes ago, ren hoek said:

Nobody owed Clinton their votes.  Says a lot about how little they think of voters that they can just be jerked around and fall inline behind Clinton because Trump sucks.  Rather have a bunch of nonvoters than people who 'held their nose' to vote for a bad candidate. 

A surprisingly large voting bloc of Trump's was people who disapproved of him.  Need to evolve past bigbrain 'lesser of 2 evil' logic.  

They owed the democratic party their vote.  They didnt come out.  If they dont come out this time?  Oh well.

Most people voted against Trump.  Millions.

[Getzlaf15 10,809]

Numbers from tonight that surprised me:

Warren at 9.3%.  Three days ago she polled at 17% in a CBS poll
Biden at 8.4%.   Just a massive free fall.  Adios
Tulsi at 3.3% and Yang at 2.8%.   Amazed that Yang did this bad.  Did he not have a ground game in NH?  

[ren hoek 4,995]

https://twitter.com/adamjohnsonNYC/status/1227476376602783746?s=20

Lizzary taking veiled shots at Sanders while calling him divisive, saying he thinks 'only you have the answers' and 'only you are solution to all our problems,' how he's 'burning down the party' to be the 'last man standing.'  Really passive aggressive and petty.  

[msommer 8,981]

4 hours ago, Henry Ford said:

Maybe. I know an awful lot of Warren voters who don’t like Bernie. 

Is Betty having the last laugh with the "A woman can't win" controversy?
She sure sounded like she was closer to supporting Amy than Bernie in her post election comments
WIll her voters follow?

[msommer 8,981]

3 hours ago, ShamrockPride said:

Political Polls @ppollingnumbers

Nonwhite voters:
Sandrers 32%
Biden 16%
Buttigieg 15%

So, Buttigieg on level with Biden and Klob not mentioned...
Who's not appealing to non-white voters now?

[msommer 8,981]

3 hours ago, Daywalker said:

No.  Trump not allowed to run a charity in New York.  Explain that and your Trump University settlement.

Trump explains stuff on twitter.  Ask him on the debate stage.  He will fold.  

IIRC he was allowed to run a charity at/after sentencing

[Daywalker 3,034]

We know “emails” that went nowhere.

That we dont know everything about  Trump/charity and Trump/University is completely on the brain trusts running all the campaigns.  Weak.

 

[MAC_32 12,079]

8 hours ago, AAABatteries said:

They know a lot more about it than me but I don't see how all 3 of the leading centrist candidates (if you like Bloomberg over Biden) get a bump but Sanders doesn't.  Maybe the expectation was Sanders would win big or maybe the assumption is there's no way Bernie wins a contested convention.  Either way, to me, winning the first 3 states - which seems likely - will snowball his support.

Bernie people are Bernie people. When supporters migrate from elsewhere, whether it's due to white flagging (Yang) or face planting (Biden) they are looking for something they are not familiar with. They opted against that known option before. Either a new one gets their attention or nothing at all.

[MAC_32 12,079]

7 hours ago, Daywalker said:

You cant let Trump mock you and not put his baggage front and center.

Trolls want you to come down to their level. That's where they pummel you into submission with experience. 

[Navin Johnson 360]

8 hours ago, cap'n grunge said:

Vote blue no matter who.