oh I absolutely believe that....provided that they have plausible deniability.The most interesting thing is the creeping cynicism about the men responsible for the enormous wealth creation required to be an NFL owner or, on the other hand, the willingness of the players to undergo medical hardship and risk to play for dollars. It's sort of a telling indictment that people believe that they'll put everyone's health in jeopardy for money purposes.
That's just disheartening. It's like a different world than the one I inhabit, where the only things I have are the people close to me and my own physical well-being, really.oh I absolutely believe that....provided that they have plausible deniability.
This should be very simple. Should is the key word.Simple question and I'll likely do a few of these over the summer for different snapshots in time.
"What percent chance do you think it is that NFL will get at least 10 regular season games in?"
If you're brave, post your answer in a comment and why you think it.
Yeah but when it got bad where you are they shut down for weeks and it got better. That won't likely happen again.90 to 100% confident that all 16 games and a complete playoff schedule will happen
I really believe this will happen
I live in the northeast - I have seen what the rest of the country if going through now
I believe the numbers in a majority of the country will be down by the time the season starts.
I believe they can play safely during the game - the key is what happens off the field between games
The NFL is a huge business, I believe they will do everything possible to have a season. That doesn't mean that there won't be positive cases during the season but I think they are determined to have this season. I don't think there will be fans and the players and staff will need to significantly isolate when they are not playing / practicing
Most of the baseball and basketball players want to play. NFL careers are typically much short. I don't think most players will want to miss out on the season
This will obviously be a unique season unlike anything we have ever seen before, but at this point in time I a pretty confident there will be a season
So wait, did you just say heads or tails, Tom?I voted zero.
With record numbers of daily new cases spiking in the last 3-4 weeks in the US, and such wide variance in approaches without any strong central federal leadership, with wearing masks and other protective measures (even the rejection of science) becoming a political litmus test instead of being universally adopted to stem the tide, I think we're going to see continued elevated new cases for months.
For me, I don't see this changing meaningfully through the fall, where it will be too late.
As painful as it seems, I really don't think ANY sports should resume -- NFL, NHL, NBA, etc. I get that people want and need sports as a distraction. But that's all it is, where the focus should be on flattening the curve with combined and coordinated federal and state action.
As I witness what's going on all around me and all across the country, I'm really saddened by the lack of reality -- people seem to have their heads in the sand after 4 months of this crisis, which is unbelievable to me. And as the more I think about that reality, the more I think the NFL will try to force things to happen -- I believe that the league can easily survive a skip-year given the money that's involved, but I don't think the league's owners will have an appetite to forego a year. Too much money is involved to have them try to recoup some loss. Greed supersedes all.
Sorry if that wasn't clear.So wait, did you just say heads or tails, Tom?
Wasn't that already the case the past couple of seasons?San Diego is trending in the wrong direction. Restaurants are closing the dining areas again as of today by Gov. Newsom's order. Seems like the NFL could be the least of our worries.
Isn't this the definition of the NFL already? Players play for big sums of money at a huge risk to their health regardless of the virus situation. In their eyes (20 somethings at the peak of health) the virus is probably much less of a risk than just playing in general...……...and they already do thatThe most interesting thing is the creeping cynicism about the men responsible for the enormous wealth creation required to be an NFL owner or, on the other hand, the willingness of the players to undergo medical hardship and risk to play for dollars. It's sort of a telling indictment that people believe that they'll put everyone's health in jeopardy for money purposes.
It's a weird damned if you do, damned if you don't situation.Isn't this the definition of the NFL already? Players play for big sums of money at a huge risk to their health regardless of the virus situation. In their eyes (20 somethings at the peak of health) the virus is probably much less of a risk than just playing in general...……...and they already do that
I would think if you put 4000 people in a bubble after testing and confirming everyone was virus free it wouldn't matter if they were playing or working together - even with spit flying. All the risk would be removed - provided nobody ever left the bubble.It's a weird damned if you do, damned if you don't situation.
NFL careers are much shorter on average compared with all other pro sports. Players need to maximize earnings in the 3 or so years they will have in the league, and putting their bodies in harms way isn't just part of the sport, it's part of how they will prove -- and increase -- their worth.
At the same time, you have had amazing (and long overdue) progress on issues such as CTE and concussions and the long-lasting impact it has on players, with more focus on player safety.
You would think that given this angle of player safety, everyone in the league -- from owners down to players -- would see the dangers of running a season in the midst of this pandemic in one of the worst-hit countries, where they have arguably been the worst at addressing it, and choose to protect the players and league in the long run. Even putting players in a bubble and playing to empty stadiums doesn't remove all the risk of 4K people working and playing together with sweat and spit flying.
But the realist in me thinks that money is the more important issue to those concerned -- owners don't want to lose out on revenue even for a year, and players don't want to burn a third of their career not playing and not having the same chance to prove themselves to earn more.
I think that aspect -- players already putting health at risk and seeing this as no different and wanting to secure their livelihood, and owners only caring about their own bottom line and wanting to protect any loss -- wins out.
It shouldn't, in my mind, but it's not my choice to make.
The issue the NBA is finding is that even if you pack all the players in a bubble and intend to keep them there for months, there would be plenty of non-bubble people coming and going. From what I have seen, family members, workers at the hotel / restaurants / venues, security people, media, maintenance, service providers, IT folks, vendors, suppliers, etc. would be granted access to come and go. It would be difficult to force anyone that came in to have to stay for weeks at a time and enforce rules on people that were not employed by the league.I would think if you put 4000 people in a bubble after testing and confirming everyone was virus free it wouldn't matter if they were playing or working together - even with spit flying. All the risk would be removed - provided nobody ever left the bubble.
The issue in having no fans present is the huge loss of revenue . . . tickets, parking, concessions, memorabilia, fewer (or no) preseason games, etc. There were articles out months ago calculating the projected losses per team and IIRC the range was like $70-100M per team. Of course, the problem with that is that the salary cap is based on a percentage of revenue, and without changing the formula or renegotiating with the player's union, the salary cap next year would be slated to fall by that amount. That would put a huge strain on teams trying to field a team if their salary cap was cut by 25-50%. I expect at some point this will rear its ugly head and the same issues that plagued MLB getting started again (who gets paid and how much) may impact the NFL at some point.I said 80, but it's just a guess based on money driving it, and the death rate being so low......I don't see full stadiums though......so we're prolly going to move forward with empty stadiums, which seems really strange, but it's better than nothing.
Everyone is just going to have absorb the loss. Or just call it all off. Unless somehow this thing magically peters out, say in Novemberish......The issue in having no fans present is the huge loss of revenue . . . tickets, parking, concessions, memorabilia, fewer (or no) preseason games, etc. There were articles out months ago calculating the projected losses per team and IIRC the range was like $70-100M per team. Of course, the problem with that is that the salary cap is based on a percentage of revenue, and without changing the formula or renegotiating with the player's union, the salary cap next year would be slated to fall by that amount. That would put a huge strain on teams trying to field a team if their salary cap was cut by 25-50%. I expect at some point this will rear its ugly head and the same issues that plagued MLB getting started again (who gets paid and how much) may impact the NFL at some point.
But that is the rub. If you want access you cannot come and go. You must test clean and then stay for the duration (or once you leave you are gone for good). Kind of like going to a game now. There is no re-entry. You come in and are there for the duration. Once you leave you are gone for good.The issue the NBA is finding is that even if you pack all the players in a bubble and intend to keep them there for months, there would be plenty of non-bubble people coming and going. From what I have seen, family members, workers at the hotel / restaurants / venues, security people, media, maintenance, service providers, IT folks, vendors, suppliers, etc. would be granted access to come and go. It would be difficult to force anyone that came in to have to stay for weeks at a time and enforce rules on people that were not employed by the league.
The issue isn't sequestering all the players, coaches, and staff . . . it's everyone else that would be supporting a league in a bubble. Chefs, maids, front desk people, security, medical staff, suppliers, etc. How on earth could you possibly force them to stay in a bubble for 6+ months? They have their own lives outside of being trapped somewhere by a league. They would have to bribe them with 6 figure bonuses to get them to stay locked up. The costs in having a bubble would be astronomical (and the NFL has pretty much shot down the bubble strategy several times already).But that is the rub. If you want access you cannot come and go. You must test clean and then stay for the duration (or once you leave you are gone for good). Kind of like going to a game now. There is no re-entry. You come in and are there for the duration. Once you leave you are gone for good.
It is a very simple solution (especially for something like the NBA that can play on the same court for 5 or 6 games a day).
I would think you could find plenty of people in those industries willing to be "trapped" in a bubble with all of the NBA teams for 6 months while getting paid their usual wages. I am sure it would include room and board so that is kind of a bonus. They get to see all the games and I am sure there would be mingling time with the players because what else would they be doing.The issue isn't sequestering all the players, coaches, and staff . . . it's everyone else that would be supporting a league in a bubble. Chefs, maids, front desk people, security, medical staff, suppliers, etc. How on earth could you possibly force them to stay in a bubble for 6+ months? They have their own lives outside of being trapped somewhere by a league. They would have to bribe them with 6 figure bonuses to get them to stay locked up. The costs in having a bubble would be astronomical (and the NFL has pretty much shot down the bubble strategy several times already).
We're botching this, despite having months to prepare and knowing pretty exactly what we have to do to make it work. And a lot of the failures are fundamental, because we don't have a national response which supports the necessary actions. (I mean, really, you have to mail the tests to a lab in Utah, and wait two days? How can we possibly make that work?)Two days into the restart of Major League Baseball’s “season,” the system was already breaking down.
Teams had to cancel or postpone workouts. Confusion reigned. Players were angry. General managers’ and managers’ heads were about to explode.
The issue? Testing for the coronavirus. In other words, the most important issue.
...
Baseball’s testing isn’t working right from the opening bell. The tests for A’s position players from Friday were still sitting in Oakland on Sunday night, waiting to be shipped to Utah. That meant no results would be completed until Monday afternoon at the earliest. Which meant the A’s had yet to complete a full team workout. The A’s finally got results back and were able to take the field Monday evening.
A’s general manager David Forst had sent a text message to team employees detailing the breakdown and describing himself as “frustrated and pissed.”
...
After canceling a team workout, Nationals general manager Mike Rizzo also expressed frustration, saying, “We cannot have our players and staff work at risk. ... We will not sacrifice the health and safety of our players, staff and their family.”
The 113-page MLB Operations Manual calls for players and on-field personnel to be tested every other day. But players around the league were saying they hadn’t received results from the first tests, while undergoing second tests. Which means that the next batch also likely will be delayed.
How will this work when players are supposed to be on the road, in and out of hotels, getting tested and trying to be cleared in time for games? Will players who are potentially positive have to wait four or five days for results, while they are around their teammates? The intake tests should be the easiest part.
None of this is making anyone feel sure that this season is going to take place. If the most basic starting point — initial testing — is botched, how can anyone feel confident about taking the field?
A’s pitcher Jake Diekman, who has an autoimmune condition that puts him at-risk, excoriated the process in a conversation with The Chronicle’s Susan Slusser.
“I honestly feel like this is just going to get shut down in a week, or everyone is going to opt out,” Diekman said.
...
The Cubs’ Kris Bryant said Monday, “I wanted to play this year because I felt that it would be safe, and I would be comfortable. Honestly, I don’t really feel that way. ... If we can’t nail the easy part, which is right now and just our players, we’ve got a big hill to climb.”
...
“We haven’t done any of the things that other countries have done to bring sports back,” said Washington reliever Sean Doolittle, who spent parts of six seasons with the A’s. “Sports are like the reward of a functioning society.”
And we don’t appear ready for that reward.
I think you are greatly oversimplifying by assuming that just being in a bubble prevents infection. @Anarchy99's analogy of the NBA is apt. Regardless of whether they are using viral or antibody tests, we've seen false positives happen. And the test administration itself, depending on how it's administered, can be variable. Add that to the fact that it really is impossible to completely seal off players from any outside contact, there is always going to be some risk.But that is the rub. If you want access you cannot come and go. You must test clean and then stay for the duration (or once you leave you are gone for good). Kind of like going to a game now. There is no re-entry. You come in and are there for the duration. Once you leave you are gone for good.
It is a very simple solution (especially for something like the NBA that can play on the same court for 5 or 6 games a day).
False negatives, of course, are worse than false positives. And so far our tests, well, suck.I think you are greatly oversimplifying by assuming that just being in a bubble prevents infection. @Anarchy99's analogy of the NBA is apt. Regardless of whether they are using viral or antibody tests, we've seen false positives happen. And the test administration itself, depending on how it's administered, can be variable. Add that to the fact that it really is impossible to completely seal off players from any outside contact, there is always going to be some risk.
Even if it's greatly reduced, there is always a non-zero chance for infection to happen within the bubble, and once it does, it's likely to spread.
The researchers estimated that those tested with SARS-CoV-2 in the four days after infection were 67% more likely to test negative, even if they had the virus. When the average patient began displaying symptoms of the virus, the false-negative rate was 38%. The test performed best eight days after infection (on average, three days after symptom onset), but even then had a false negative rate of 20%, meaning one in five people who had the virus had a negative test result.
Thanks. Can you elaborate?100%. 10 games is a critical number to owners. They'll get at least this many games in, no matter what.
I agree. Finding workers who would be willing to sequester themselves for good pay / benefits is no big deal. I recently watched a documentary where these German tunnel builders went all the way to New Mexico for to work underground for months with little-to-no contact with the outside world. They completed the job with (almost) no issues!I would think you could find plenty of people in those industries willing to be "trapped" in a bubble with all of the NBA teams for 6 months while getting paid their usual wages. I am sure it would include room and board so that is kind of a bonus. They get to see all the games and I am sure there would be mingling time with the players because what else would they be doing.
It just seems like the best possible solution and I don't see that it would be that much more expensive than doing what they are trying to do now and it would be much safer.
I understand them (NBA) not wanting to do it that way and there would still be a ton of logistics that would need to happen but I don't think the salaries of the workers "stuck" in the bubble would be that big of deal in the grand scheme of things.
100%. 10 games is a critical number to owners. They'll get at least this many games in, no matter what.
I'm speculating for sure here but, if I'm not mistaken 10 games is the number of games played that is used to determine an accrued season (or loss of one if missed) with regards to player contracts and the players union. Getting that many games in, regardless if there's fans in the seats or not, is critical to owners. Add in broadcast revenue needed and to me it's a no brainer.Thanks. Can you elaborate?
Well I hope you're right. If you confirm anything there, please let us know and tag me. Thanks.I'm speculating for sure here but, if I'm not mistaken 10 games is the number of games played that is used to determine an accrued season (or loss of one if missed) with regards to player contracts and the players union. Getting that many games in, regardless if there's fans in the seats or not, is critical to owners. Add in broadcast revenue needed and to me it's a no brainer.
Of course, I could just be blathering along with no clue what I'm talking about. It's possible I'm misremembering something important.
Baseball also has some uncertainty around what players with pregnant wives will do.(Wheeler, Trout, not sure if Harper is considering opting out)Ann Killion is one of the best critical writers in sports. Here's her article on baseball's current status:
https://www.sfchronicle.com/sports/annkillion/article/If-MLB-can-t-handle-coronavirus-tests-how-are-15389365.php
We're botching this, despite having months to prepare and knowing pretty exactly what we have to do to make it work. And a lot of the failures are fundamental, because we don't have a national response which supports the necessary actions. (I mean, really, you have to mail the tests to a lab in Utah, and wait two days? How can we possibly make that work?)
And, football's problem is way worse than baseball's, because there are probably four times as many people involved per team, and far fewer ways to manage disabilities on the roster.
Football has the weakest player's union, and it's possible that the owners will just be able to bulldoze the opposition to get games on the field. But more and more players are likely to be taking positions like Diekman, Bryant and Doolittle. What happens if Mahomes says "yeah, no, I ain't going out there"?
I agree with your take on this, especially the part where i think the NFL probably thinks it is too big to not get its way and how easily the general public seems to have no regard for reality and common sense. I do not know what you mean by federal leadership, though. I think they have provided recommendations and they simply haven't been followed, in large part and I know a lot of people think the president can just say everyone has to do this starting now but that's not how that works. He really can't enforce a policy like that across states without several other political things happening and being agreed upon formally (which seems to be impossible in this climate).I voted zero.
With record numbers of daily new cases spiking in the last 3-4 weeks in the US, and such wide variance in approaches without any strong central federal leadership, with wearing masks and other protective measures (even the rejection of science) becoming a political litmus test instead of being universally adopted to stem the tide, I think we're going to see continued elevated new cases for months.
For me, I don't see this changing meaningfully through the fall, where it will be too late.
As painful as it seems, I really don't think ANY sports should resume -- NFL, NHL, NBA, etc. I get that people want and need sports as a distraction. But that's all it is, where the focus should be on flattening the curve with combined and coordinated federal and state action.
As I witness what's going on all around me and all across the country, I'm really saddened by the lack of reality -- people seem to have their heads in the sand after 4 months of this crisis, which is unbelievable to me. And as the more I think about that reality, the more I think the NFL will try to force things to happen -- I believe that the league can easily survive a skip-year given the money that's involved, but I don't think the league's owners will have an appetite to forego a year. Too much money is involved to have them try to recoup some loss. Greed supersedes all.
Thanks @barackdhouse My answer unfortunately depends on what time of day you ask me. . I want to think it's 90% we get 10 games in. But I truly don't know.@Joe Bryantwhat are your thoughts on all this? What is your % guess? Obviously if you'd prefer not to say that's cool.
But how do you maintain that? Let's say this was a true, physical bubble- city with 4-5,000 people in it and a bunch of fields and these people and their families are going to live in it for 6-7 months and do this. How do you absolutely curtail the risks of food coming in, trash going out, services that are needed, etc? If a player has to go seek medical treatment at a hospital, is he not allowed back all year for risk of contamination? Does an emergency dentist appointment for Andy Reid keep him away from his team for a month? I mean, its almost like something out of a book. you would need a futuristic self-contained city on Mars to isolate this amount of people properly and, if you DO that, then all that money we are talking about takes a huge hit (nobody at games, no food selling, no SB sponsors, activities, etc). So at that point, maybe it is NOT worth it.I would think if you put 4000 people in a bubble after testing and confirming everyone was virus free it wouldn't matter if they were playing or working together - even with spit flying. All the risk would be removed - provided nobody ever left the bubble.
Good points. I've been on a sort of slow and steady decrease in confidence. Voted 40% originally but that might be high for how I feel now.Thanks @barackdhouse My answer unfortunately depends on what time of day you ask me. . I want to think it's 90% we get 10 games in. But I truly don't know.
I do feel comforted by the fact there are tons of people (and companies and dollars) cheering the same outcome I want. It's not like political parties fighting or a normal "battle". Pretty much everyone wants a season so that's helpful.
A ton will depend on how NBA and MLB go as well.
But really, I'm just feeling my way along like you guys. Where it may be a little different is pretty much my entire annual income relies on it. :( We'll see.
Except that simplicity gets messy very quickly. Works for a vendor, I guess. Make a decision. But what happens when A starting QBs wife gets word her parents died in a car wreck? She leaves and takes the kids with her and we'll see you in 4 months? Does the QB go too? We know how its almost a badge of honor in the NFL to play through and say that's what so and so would have wanted but there are hundreds of things that could cause these types of decisions to be made for players coaches, admin, or families and some of them would literally run the risk of fracturing a family or tormenting a person forever A single player with nobody in the bubble with him loses his mother. He stays but carries the guilt. You know. things like that. Or a Coach or player has some general pain that needs a specialist. They know if they leave, they are done or at least done for a month. They choose to stay and drop dead of heart failure. How do you even begin to reconcile that emotionally or ethically?But that is the rub. If you want access you cannot come and go. You must test clean and then stay for the duration (or once you leave you are gone for good). Kind of like going to a game now. There is no re-entry. You come in and are there for the duration. Once you leave you are gone for good.
It is a very simple solution (especially for something like the NBA that can play on the same court for 5 or 6 games a day).
I agree with your questions. I think the answer, though, is money. The NBA, MLB, etc is like Dak Prescott. They are rich. The NFL is like Jerry Jones. They are wealthy. Its not meant to be a literal dollar for dollar comparison but the dynamics, the popularity of the sport, the timing, the length of careers, the weakness of the NFLPA, etc, etc, are all factors that I believe make some of us think that the NFL just has a way to get people's desires to see the product be somehow justified enough to actually play the game and chase that money.Just curious why we would expect the NFL to be able to keep to its regular schedule when basketball, hockey, and baseball have had 4 months and still haven't played anything yet. And 2 of those 3 are trying the bubble approach with no travel at all (and much smaller rosters). Other than batter / catcher / umpire, everyone on the field in baseball will be way farther apart than 6 feet. The line of scrimmage in football will have players breathing right on top of each other.
I guess what I am asking is what does the NFL know or can do differently (or better) than those other sports. In fact, IMO, football probably has communicated less of their master plan to players and teams than the other sports.
People keep bringing up that football is big business and they will go to extreme lengths to get a revenue stream flowing . . . do all the other sports not want to make money? Are they not multi-billion dollar industries themselves?
In many ways, I view the NFL as I do the United States in terms of the response to the virus. We are more advanced, more knowledgeable, and should be in prime position to take on the virus . . and we can just stomp it out because we want to. The government works in factors of trillions of dollars, yet here we are 4-6 months later and looking like we have made little to no progress. My concern for the NFL is that, sure, they have deep pockets . . . in the billions (not trillions). But the league members are not experts in Epidemiology, Virology, or Public Health.I agree with your questions. I think the answer, though, is money. The NBA, MLB, etc is like Dak Prescott. They are rich. The NFL is like Jerry Jones. They are wealthy. Its not meant to be a literal dollar for dollar comparison but the dynamics, the popularity of the sport, the timing, the length of careers, the weakness of the NFLPA, etc, etc, are all factors that I believe make some of us think that the NFL just has a way to get people's desires to see the product be somehow justified enough to actually play the game and chase that money.
I love sports and I watch the NFL more than the others but after seeing the country at-large unable to do a lot of common sense things to help protect one another, I am concerned for sports to try to do it where huge money and interests are involved. I honestly think they should all shut it down. It will likely never appear or only in much smaller numbers than it occurs but we are setting up some people to make some very poor decisions that they will have to live with. I mean, look at these coaches and their ages. Just by statistics and the nature of their jobs, they and their wives and their aging parents are some of the most at-risk people in this scenario but I can not fathom a scenario where Andy Reid or Mike Tomlin or John Harbaugh says "I can't be with my team". This is conjecture, of course, but I bet there are a LOT of players and coaches out there that are hoping this gets taken out of their hands and they don't play.
No. They aren't. And they are going to play anyway. That is the only way it works.but somehow all the collected people within the NFL community (and potentially fans) are going to suddenly do all the mandatory things that are required? That sounds a lot like wishful thinking.
Baseball has other issue that are hindering their start back up. Primarily the big #### show between the owners and players. That has been probably a bigger obstacle and the virus for baseball's problems in starting back up.Just curious why we would expect the NFL to be able to keep to its regular schedule when basketball, hockey, and baseball have had 4 months and still haven't played anything yet. And 2 of those 3 are trying the bubble approach with no travel at all (and much smaller rosters). Other than batter / catcher / umpire, everyone on the field in baseball will be way farther apart than 6 feet. The line of scrimmage in football will have players breathing right on top of each other.
I guess what I am asking is what does the NFL know or can do differently (or better) than those other sports. In fact, IMO, football probably has communicated less of their master plan to players and teams than the other sports.
People keep bringing up that football is big business and they will go to extreme lengths to get a revenue stream flowing . . . do all the other sports not want to make money? Are they not multi-billion dollar industries themselves?
The same decisions for the vendors are the same for the other's. You leave you cannot come back. As far as having specialists in the bubble for various health issues i have no doubt you would get volunteers lining up to be part of the process. They get to be in a virus free environment for six months while getting paid and hanging out with star athletes. I don't think you would have a problem finding takers to participate.Except that simplicity gets messy very quickly. Works for a vendor, I guess. Make a decision. But what happens when A starting QBs wife gets word her parents died in a car wreck? She leaves and takes the kids with her and we'll see you in 4 months? Does the QB go too? We know how its almost a badge of honor in the NFL to play through and say that's what so and so would have wanted but there are hundreds of things that could cause these types of decisions to be made for players coaches, admin, or families and some of them would literally run the risk of fracturing a family or tormenting a person forever A single player with nobody in the bubble with him loses his mother. He stays but carries the guilt. You know. things like that. Or a Coach or player has some general pain that needs a specialist. They know if they leave, they are done or at least done for a month. They choose to stay and drop dead of heart failure. How do you even begin to reconcile that emotionally or ethically?
I don't think this administration has provided the right recommendations and I don't think there has been much in the way of leadership from the top down to even acknowledging the dire nature of the issue, let alone attempt to act proactively, enforce any rational policy, etc.I do not know what you mean by federal leadership, though. I think they have provided recommendations and they simply haven't been followed, in large part and I know a lot of people think the president can just say everyone has to do this starting now but that's not how that works. He really can't enforce a policy like that across states without several other political things happening and being agreed upon formally (which seems to be impossible in this climate).
January 22: When asked if there are worries about a pandemic, Trump responded: "No. Not at all. And we have it totally under control. It’s one person coming in from China, and we have it under control. It’s going to be just fine." [ABC News]
January 24: "China has been working very hard to contain the Coronavirus. The United States greatly appreciates their efforts and transparency. It will all work out well." [via Twitter]
January 30: "We have it very well under control. We have very little problem in this country at this moment — five. And those people are all recuperating successfully." [Politico]
January 31: “We pretty much shut it down coming in from China.” [NYT]
February 10: "Looks like by April, you know, in theory, when it gets a little warmer, it miraculously goes away." [C-SPAN]
February 19: "I think the numbers are going to get progressively better as we go along." [NYT]
February 23: "We have it very much under control." [via Press Briefing]
February 24: "The Coronavirus is very much under control in the USA… Stock Market starting to look very good to me!" [via Twitter]
February 25: “CDC and my Administration are doing a GREAT job of handling Coronavirus.” [via Twitter]
February 26: “When you have 15 people, and the 15 within a couple of days is going to be down to close to zero, that’s a pretty good job we’ve done.” [via Press Briefing]
February 26: “We're going very substantially down, not up.” [via Press Briefing]
February 26: "We're at the low level. As they get better, we take them off the list so that we're going to be pretty soon at only five people. And we could be at just one or two people over the next short period of time." [via Press Briefing]
February 26: "You know in many cases when you catch this it is very light — you don’t even know there’s a problem. Sometimes they just get the sniffles, sometimes they just get something where they are not feeling quite right and sometimes they feel really bad but that’s a little bit like the flu. It’s a little like the regular flu that we have flu shots for and we will essentially have a flu shot for this in a fairly quick manner." [via Press Briefing]
February 26: "This is a flu. This is like a flu." [via Press Briefing]
February 27: "We're rapidly developing a vaccine. The vaccine is coming along well, and in speaking to the doctors we think this is something that we can develop fairly rapidly." [NBC News]
February 27: "It’s going to disappear. One day — it’s like a miracle — it will disappear." [ABC News]
February 27: "The flu in our country kills from 25,000 people to 69,000 people a year. That was shocking to me. And so far, if you look at what we have with the 15 people, and they're recovering, one is pretty sick but hopefully will recover. But the others are in great shape." [via Press Briefing]
February 28: “We're ordering a lot of supplies. We're ordering a lot of, uh, elements that frankly we wouldn't be ordering unless it was something like this. But we're ordering a lot of different elements of medical.” [via Press Briefing]
February 28: "The Democrats are politicizing the coronavirus. ... They tried the impeachment hoax. ... And this is their new hoax." [C-SPAN]
March 2: “You take a solid flu vaccine, you don't think that could have an impact, or much of an impact, on corona?” [C-SPAN]
March 2: "We had a great meeting today with a lot of the great companies and they’re going to have vaccines, I think relatively soon." [NYT]
March 4: "Because a lot of people will have this and it’s very mild. They’ll get better very rapidly. They don’t even see a doctor. They don’t even call a doctor." [Politico]
March 4: "If we have thousands or hundreds of thousands of people that get better just by, you know, sitting around and even going to work — some of them go to work, but they get better." [AP]
March 5: “I NEVER said people that are feeling sick should go to work." [via Twitter]
March 5: "The United States… has, as of now, only 129 cases… and 11 deaths. We are working very hard to keep these numbers as low as possible!" [via Twitter]
March 6: "I think we’re doing a really good job in this country at keeping it down… a tremendous job at keeping it down." [via Press Briefing]
March 6: "Anybody right now, and yesterday, anybody that needs a test gets a test. They’re there. And the tests are beautiful…. the tests are all perfect like the letter was perfect." [via Press Briefing]
March 6: “I like this stuff. I really get it. People are surprised that I understand it… Every one of these doctors said, ‘How do you know so much about this?’ Maybe I have a natural ability. Maybe I should have done that instead of running for president.” [via Press Briefing]
March 6: "I don't need to have the numbers double because of one ship that wasn't our fault." [NPR]
March 7: "I’m not concerned at all." [via Press Briefing]
March 8: "We have a perfectly coordinated and fine tuned plan at the White House for our attack on CoronaVirus." [via Twitter]
March 9: "The Fake News media & their partner, the Democrat Party, is doing everything within its semi-considerable power to inflame the Coronavirus situation." [via Twitter]
March 9: "This blindsided the world." [USA Today]
March 10: "It will go away. Just stay calm. It will go away." [MSNBC]
March 12: "But it'll be -- it'll go very quickly." [via Press Briefing]
March 12: "We'll be discussing some other moves that we're going to be making. And I think it's going to work out very well for everybody." [via Press Briefing]
March 13: [Declared state of emergency]
March 13: "I don't take responsibility at all" [C-SPAN]
March 17: "This is a pandemic. I felt it was a pandemic long before it was called a pandemic." [AP]