GroveDiesel said:
The Vikings have fired coach Rick Dennison because he refused to get vaccinated.
Link
In terms of NFL wins and losses, which then dovetails into how it impacts fantasy, in the past, Bob LaMonte tried very hard for a long time to form an effective and functional union for coaches in the NFL.
Lower level coaches in the system are treated like cannon fodder.
While other coaches might agree or disagree on the vaccination issue, this can become a critical juncture where coaches will united and demand collective bargaining.
When you have more coaches making more money and have more benefits, then that changes the calibration in firing them. So some owners might keep a mediocre offensive coordinator or line coach because of bottom line cost issues versus in a different system would have fired them immediately.
The NFL needs fans in the stands to make the most money. They won't get them unless they can say "100 Percent Vaccinated" even though that doesn't actually guarantee true safety ( You could be vaccinated and still get COVID19 in some fashion) No one knows where the issue with the variants will go as well (i.e. needing a booster) There is also the liability angle, if the NFL lets a coach without the shot to keep coaching and then people get COVID19 and lose their careers or die, where will that end up liability wise? You can sign all the waivers you want, something like this will operate very closely to strict liability as it will lean into a complicated public opinion situation.
The NFL will lose lots of fans over this.
OK, putting on my media optics hat, how would I handle it differently? Any coach who didn't want to be vaccinated would have his contracted honored by the NFL. They would be put into a special program where they would get guaranteed three year minimum contracts AFTER their team contract ended, and would work with player development and player mentoring, helping young players remotely on how to better handle preparation for an NFL career. It's a feel good story that sells. A coach and some player are interviewed. The player says he grew up without a father but this coach is like a surrogate dad to him, and cares about him and is teaching him good life skills, not just practical skills to survive the NFL. It also forestalls collective bargaining by the coaches overall. It defuses the large segment of fans who will leave over the issue.
Then rapidly expand the practice squad size. Announce there will be no fans in the stands for three years. Anyone who wants to keep their season tickets can do so at a reduced rate, which grants them a 10 minute meet and greet with a player on Zoom ( lottery system for the top players and most of the bulk goes to the extra practice squad guys), and then a dedicated online exclusive system for season ticket holders. They get to watch some practices. See some structured film sessions with coaches. Watch how a front office management position operates. Then imply NFL Red Zone as gratis into the package. Every franchise has 20 additional "practice squad" players on payroll but their real job besides light workouts and practice is pure fan engagement. Every year, the team sends loyal season ticket holders some kind of swag bag.
The NFL's greed philosophy is pretty dumb sometimes. Buying silence is always a good investment. This constant need to just run anyone over because they can is actually bad business.
Just take the financial hit upfront. If you let people back into the stadiums and a new variant runs wild and people start dying off, then you will lose fans for good. All it takes is one fan going to game and catching something and dying to turn the issue into a local political one. Wanting to be reelected, someone somewhere will shut the league down again after enough attrition. Three years announced sets an expectation, it mitigates how to structure the losses upfront and it gives the NFL time to keep working on a long term plan as well as let the pandemic run it's course.
It's evident at this point that the NFL league office is just a tone deaf internal echo chamber that has swallowed group think whole and will refuse to look at the practical implications of inciting your base of coaches and possibly half or more of your fanbase.
I wouldn't say this decision by the league is as stupid as getting married, but it's actually pretty close, which is a feat in itself.