That's known in most circles as "wishful thinking."Lol. Brietbart map has WI and MI as uncalled.
That's known in most circles as "wishful thinking."Lol. Brietbart map has WI and MI as uncalled.
For PA I guess. But the odds of Trump clearing 3 out of PA, AZ, GA and NV at this point almost has to be a mathematical impossibility.I think it's because there is no concept of exit polls for the mail in ballots which is pretty much all that is left. The projections are usually largely based on exit polling in previous years. Using logic, yes Biden easily has this and the remaining votes are going to skew heavily D putting his margin way above the .5% threshold. But there is no data to support that so they actually want to wait until the counts are reported and it is mathematically impossible for it to flip.
Not so sure but hope so. Also these are ballots that were dropped off in person on Monday.and Tuesday which supposedly typically skew Republican. He has been gaining steady ground. How many of the other remaining votes are rural AZ vs liberal Tucson could also come into play.Trump isn’t getting enough votes. This last drop was good for Biden. Think it ends up close but Biden’s favor.
This isn’t as inconsistent as it sounds. Remember that many of these people distrust the Republican establishment as much or perhaps more than they distrust Democrats. They’re all part of the Deep State that Trump has been rebelling against.So, Georgia and Arizona have both a Republican Governor and State Legislature. Pennsylvania has a Republican State Legislature.
Yet, right now, 40 percent of our country is convinced that these states (along with other states with Republican leadership) have all conspired to prevent a Republican incumbent from getting re-elected.
I don’t see odds on Bovada, can you bet against him anywhere?For PA I guess. But the odds of Trump clearing 3 out of PA, AZ, GA and NV at this point almost has to be a mathematical impossibility.
They don't calc outs, they call individual states.For PA I guess. But the odds of Trump clearing 3 out of PA, AZ, GA and NV at this point almost has to be a mathematical impossibility.
If he is as smart as you read, he would have told Trump to accept the loss. There’s no play here. This, in chess, is when you push your king down and offer your hand.Does anyone recall why Don McGahn got the heave-ho?
I ask because I read now what I read then about him being the sharpest, most astute, strategic and tough lawyer in the Trump administration. They say he wasn't just book-smart, but he was a "street fighter", and knew how to play all the angles.
I keep reading that he is exactly the guy Trump needs right now, (not Rudy) that he would have a unified plan and a prep for battle.
Battle? What battle? This war is over, all that is left is to negotiate the terms of surrender. And by that I mean within the GOP they are fighting with Trump to determine how to concede without inciting agitators AND hw to concede while not admitting that Trump lost. Those may SEEM like entirely incompatible positions, but I suspect there is a needle to thread there and it basically is:Does anyone recall why Don McGahn got the heave-ho?
I ask because I read now what I read then about him being the sharpest, most astute, strategic and tough lawyer in the Trump administration. They say he wasn't just book-smart, but he was a "street fighter", and knew how to play all the angles.
I keep reading that he is exactly the guy Trump needs right now, (not Rudy) that he would have a unified plan and a prep for battle.
Quiet! Do you want 2020 to hear you?Imagine if there was actually a national security threat right now
I know you've gotten some responses on this but I think the biggest part of this difference is still being overlooked.Are all the votes in NV and AZ that are being counted mail in ballots?
If the answer to the above question is yes what is reason given that mail in ballots being mainly Dems are boosting Biden in PA and GA but not in AZ?
TIA
Dershowitz is up to the challenge. He'll make a similar argument as he did before. Trump must be named the winner because he himself believes he is the best hope for America's future.Does anyone recall why Don McGahn got the heave-ho?
I ask because I read now what I read then about him being the sharpest, most astute, strategic and tough lawyer in the Trump administration. They say he wasn't just book-smart, but he was a "street fighter", and knew how to play all the angles.
I keep reading that he is exactly the guy Trump needs right now, (not Rudy) that he would have a unified plan and a prep for battle.
I don't need your reasons.Don't speak. I know what you're thinking.I have no doubt
You mean like Covid 19?Imagine if there was actually a national security threat right now
The call is coming from inside the houseImagine if there was actually a national security threat right now
It's not a lie if you believe it.Dershowitz is up to the challenge. He'll make a similar argument as he did before. Trump must be named the winner because he himself believes he is the best hope for America's future.
I also think that AZ, like FL has a long history with mail-in votes due to the state being a retirement center. As such, these folks who have been voting by mail for years were not turned off by Trump's rhetoric about the illegitimacy of voting by mail the way Rs in other states who had no experience with the process were. FWIW, am just spit-balling here but your question is a good one.I know you've gotten some responses on this but I think the biggest part of this difference is still being overlooked.
I believe all the Maricopa EARLY votes have been counted. What they've been counting the last day or so are none in-person votes that came in on election day. That means mail in ballots that happened to arrive on election day, but also votes that were dropped at the dropbox on election day.
When AZ looked dead and done the Trump campaign was still saying they had a chance there because they suspected that dropping the ballot off in the drop-box on election day was more similar to an in-person vote than to a true mail in vote, and hence they thought the remaining votes would trend closer to in-person numbers. It seems they might have been correct about that. Our system in Utah is similar to AZ and I know many people here that go drop off their already filled out ballot on election day and if you asked them how they voted they would say "in person".
Joe knocking it out of the ballpark.Joe finally speaking.
"Numbers are clear...were going to win this race"
Probably not.Mark Meadows, trump chief of staff, tested positive for corona virus.
Does he quarantine while needed most?
https://youtu.be/EQ2bZu07QN8Mark Meadows has Covid, which is weird because I was told Covid was going to end on November 4.
Christ, Tim. You swoon like only Peggy Noonan can swoon.Biden is rising to the moment. The last few speeches he’s given are the best speeches he’s ever given, IMO. The level of optimism has echoes of some of our greatest Presidents: FDR, Reagan come to mind. No I am not predicting that Joe Biden will someday be compared to those guys, but he is sounding the right notes. He’s been excellent.
That’s a compliment. Peggy could have written that speech.Christ, Tim. You swoon like only Peggy Noonan can swoon.
He's got a point though. Joe"s tone is pretty rare in today's environment.Christ, Tim. You swoon like only Peggy Noonan can swoon.
I can’t defend Meadows’ political actions at all. But apparently he was good friends with Elijah Cummings, who considered him a pretty good guy. So I wish him well (I wish everyone who gets Covid well.)fred_1_15301 said:I’m not a vindictive person. I’m pretty much the opposite. But in this case, karma is quite amazing.
Trump actually increased his support by women. Stunning.Those of us who desired to defeat Donald Trump: we need to recognize where our gratitude should primarily lay: with black voters, especially black women.
It was black women who decided that Joe Biden had the best chance of beating Trump. The rest of us couldn’t make up our minds. It was black women who organized and voted in mass numbers in Georgia, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin. Suburban white women made a huge difference too but without black women it wouldn’t have happened.
I think he increased his support among every group.Trump actually increased his support by women. Stunning.
I mean share-wise, not total votes.this is according to the BBC coverage I watched.I think he increased his support among every group.