What's new
Fantasy Football - Footballguys Forums

Welcome to Our Forums. Once you've registered and logged in, you're primed to talk football, among other topics, with the sharpest and most experienced fantasy players on the internet.

Georgia: the Battle for the Senate (1 Viewer)

Wasn’t meant to be an exhaustive list but if we are ranking them then I’d still go with Climate Change first but there’s no reason they can’t get all four of these done.
Agreed.  Since the concept of bipartisanship is dead, just ram through as many as they can considering they align with what the majority of Americans support.    

 
Agreed.  Since the concept of bipartisanship is dead, just ram through as many as they can considering they align with what the majority of Americans support.    
Just read today, something I hadn't seen before, this quote from Adam Jentleson (author of Kill Switch): "Counterintuitively, narrow majorities are bad for bipartisanship, because when control of the majority is constantly within reach in the next election it gives the side that is out of power less incentive to cooperate and more incentive to obstruct, to make the party that is in power look bad."

Seems reasonable.

 
It's too bad that the phone call didn't happen a month ago, because the part where Trump asks why anyone would want to move to Georgia would have been good fodder for the Democrats. Oh well.

 
Just read today, something I hadn't seen before, this quote from Adam Jentleson (author of Kill Switch): "Counterintuitively, narrow majorities are bad for bipartisanship, because when control of the majority is constantly within reach in the next election it gives the side that is out of power less incentive to cooperate and more incentive to obstruct, to make the party that is in power look bad."

Seems reasonable.
Look at the ACA hearings before and then after Kennedy dies.  Prior to Kennedy's death the GOP was most certainly opposed but they were also participating in shaping the legislation as much they could since with a 60-40 Senate they could ultimately not stop anything.  But once it was 59-40 and the filibuster proof majority was gone they disappeared.  So I think this is pretty evident.   Or from the other side look at how Sanders traded a vote for some pretty horrible legislation that he could not have stopped anyway in exchange for some crumbs in one his amendments.  

 
Just read today, something I hadn't seen before, this quote from Adam Jentleson (author of Kill Switch): "Counterintuitively, narrow majorities are bad for bipartisanship, because when control of the majority is constantly within reach in the next election it gives the side that is out of power less incentive to cooperate and more incentive to obstruct, to make the party that is in power look bad."

Seems reasonable.
I don't really believe that. I think it is true of McConnell, but not broadly true. 

 
Just read today, something I hadn't seen before, this quote from Adam Jentleson (author of Kill Switch): "Counterintuitively, narrow majorities are bad for bipartisanship, because when control of the majority is constantly within reach in the next election it gives the side that is out of power less incentive to cooperate and more incentive to obstruct, to make the party that is in power look bad."

Seems reasonable.
Ezra Klein goes into this a bit in his book "Why We're Polarized".  It's being exacerbated by the different realities the internet and social media have created, so I don't expect things to get better anytime soon.   

 
Yes, previous generations racked up government debt, so our generation is paying interest on it. But who are we paying that interest to? Current bondholders. And what generation do they belong to? Ours. So our generation is paying interest to our generation. Deficits have consequences, but they don't really pit different generations against each other so much as they help and hurt different people within each generation.
About 1/3 of the debt is owned by foreign governments, the largest being China and Japan.

 
Looking like the R's really fumbled this election in GA.  Collins is going to be to Loeffler what Nader was to Gore in some ways.  From what it appears, I'd be surprised if either holds onto their seat.  Then the heat will get turned up on Joe Manchin.

 
Then the heat will get turned up on Joe Manchin.
I don't think there will be much heat on Manchin.  Manchin won't switch parties - because he knows as a Dem (if the Dems actually win GA), then congress can get things done.  Not what progressives want, but not gridlock either. 

A GOP controlled senate assures gridlock and nothing accomplished.  And none of the centrist Senators really want that - they just don't want a progressive agenda.

The results already assure that there won't be a radical agenda in congress on any issue.  (if the Dems win GA - it would presumably put Harris into more of a domestic role, than any foreign policy role, given that she would have to be in DC constantly.)

 
Last edited by a moderator:
Looking like the R's really fumbled this election in GA.  Collins is going to be to Loeffler what Nader was to Gore in some ways.  From what it appears, I'd be surprised if either holds onto their seat.  Then the heat will get turned up on Joe Manchin.
Yeah I’m worried they royally blew it. 

 
It seems almost inconceivable to me that the GOP could lose one of those races, much less both, given the outcome of the November election for those seats.
Given this much time for the liberals to pump money into the election and giving old Joe the timely carrot of “vote for them and I’ll send your $2k next week 😉 “ I think is the perfect storm. I think they could take both. 

 
It seems almost inconceivable to me that the GOP could lose one of those races, much less both, given the outcome of the November election for those seats.
It really isn't that surprising given that the entire message from the GOP is the election is rigged. This is clearly going to keep some people home.

 
It seems almost inconceivable to me that the GOP could lose one of those races, much less both, given the outcome of the November election for those seats.
Living here I have no sense of how things will go.  I will say many people, including myself, are disgusted by how much money was spent on these run-offs.  Use the money to actually do some good - feed the homeless, help those who have been laid off - anything other than spending tens of millions on stupid political ads.

 
Last edited by a moderator:
I don't think there will be much heat on Manchin.  Manchin won't switch parties - because he knows as a Dem (if the Dems actually win GA), then congress can get things done.  Not what progressives want, but not gridlock either. 

A GOP controlled senate assures gridlock and nothing accomplished.  And none of the centrist Senators really want that - they just don't want a progressive agenda.

The results already assure that there won't be a radical agenda in congress on any issue.  (if the Dems win GA - it would presumably put Harris into more of a domestic role, than any foreign policy role, given that she would have to be in DC constantly.)
I didn't so much mean from a party flip standpoint as I did from being tugged between his constituents and his party.  He's a Democrat from a very deep red state.  He's probably not going to lose re-election though given his popularity unless he did allow lurches to the left so I don't see that happening.  He's going to face heat from either though for going too far or not far enough.

 
What would they be keying on? Does "the market" really "know things" in a predictive manner?
I don't know but one is a heavy favorite and the other 50/50.  My guess is they are hoping for tons of "stimulus" aka,  federal checks to millions of Americans who desperately need it, should the democrats win the senate.   :shrug:

 
Last edited by a moderator:
It really isn't that surprising given that the entire message from the GOP is the election is rigged. This is clearly going to keep some people home.
Attempts at voting suppression in the south didn't help matters and while it isn't getting too much attention, Loeffler REALLY f'd herself badly by telling her WNBA team NOT to support BLM.  Completely and utterly tone deaf and that woke up a lot of people who probably weren't paying much attention.  

Loeffler posing with leaders of white supremacist groups also didn't help her much, but I'm sure she'll be fine resting on her illegally captured stock gains.  Hopefully Insider Trading Specialist Perdue joins her.

 
I don't know but one is a heavy favorite and the other 50/50.  My guess is they are hoping for tons of "stimulus" aka, help for millions of Americans who desperately need it, should the democrats win the senate.   :shrug:
Scuttlebutt here was that WS wanted the republicans to win these seats to keep DC in a state of gridlock, which would be better for markets.  I think yesterday's selloff was tied to the unease of the republicans being able to pull it off.  I'm not sure which way this breaks, but I do think most finance guys would prefer a republican controlled senate.  

my 2 pennies that are worth more thrown on the floor of Best Buy than they are my opinion.....

 
Scuttlebutt here was that WS wanted the republicans to win these seats to keep DC in a state of gridlock, which would be better for markets.  I think yesterday's selloff was tied to the unease of the republicans being able to pull it off.  I'm not sure which way this breaks, but I do think most finance guys would prefer a republican controlled senate.  

my 2 pennies that are worth more thrown on the floor of Best Buy than they are my opinion.....
Dems have spent more than 110 million dollars more on this race than Repubs. That usually means a win.

 
 I will say many people, including myself, are disgusted by how much money was spent on these run-offs.  Use the money to actual do some good - feed the homeless, help those who have been laid off - anything other than spending tens of millions on stupid political ads.
I've actually been wondering about this recently.

On one hand - its an obscene amount of money spent by both parties.  But, in theory, that money is going into the GA economy (or at least some of it is).  That pays bills, keeps people employed, which in turn keeps them sending money, etc.

On the other hand - I am not certain that radio stations and TV stations are seeing too much of an increase in ad revenue - because I assume many ads simply are in place of local business ads that would have been sold in those spots otherwise.

The other thing I worry about - how many people donated to various election fundraisers - when they could have put that money to better use in their own communities.  And, the only people who probably really made money here were the political consultants, and some of the shadier fund-raising efforts who pocketed more than they spent.

 
Scuttlebutt here was that WS wanted the republicans to win these seats to keep DC in a state of gridlock, which would be better for markets.  I think yesterday's selloff was tied to the unease of the republicans being able to pull it off.  I'm not sure which way this breaks, but I do think most finance guys would prefer a republican controlled senate.  

my 2 pennies that are worth more thrown on the floor of Best Buy than they are my opinion.....
That's what I understand fueled the rally since the election and I agree that's probably the reason for the sell off.  Well that and the new strain of Covid with stocks seemed to be priced for perfection in a time of great uncertainty. 

However I'm with you on the pennies.  Heard a story the other day about a guy that was a waiter 20 years ago and was left a .75 tip.  He chased them out to the parking lot and threw it at them.  I can't believe the manager fired him.  Should have been promoted IMO.

 
Scuttlebutt here was that WS wanted the republicans to win these seats to keep DC in a state of gridlock, which would be better for markets.  I think yesterday's selloff was tied to the unease of the republicans being able to pull it off.  I'm not sure which way this breaks, but I do think most finance guys would prefer a republican controlled senate.  

my 2 pennies that are worth more thrown on the floor of Best Buy than they are my opinion.....
Yep. 

 
I've actually been wondering about this recently.

On one hand - its an obscene amount of money spent by both parties.  But, in theory, that money is going into the GA economy (or at least some of it is).  That pays bills, keeps people employed, which in turn keeps them sending money, etc.

On the other hand - I am not certain that radio stations and TV stations are seeing too much of an increase in ad revenue - because I assume many ads simply are in place of local business ads that would have been sold in those spots otherwise.

The other thing I worry about - how many people donated to various election fundraisers - when they could have put that money to better use in their own communities.  And, the only people who probably really made money here were the political consultants, and some of the shadier fund-raising efforts who pocketed more than they spent.
These ads are worse than AIDS, Hitler and José’s coaching combined.  

 
I've actually been wondering about this recently.

On one hand - its an obscene amount of money spent by both parties.  But, in theory, that money is going into the GA economy (or at least some of it is).  That pays bills, keeps people employed, which in turn keeps them sending money, etc.

On the other hand - I am not certain that radio stations and TV stations are seeing too much of an increase in ad revenue - because I assume many ads simply are in place of local business ads that would have been sold in those spots otherwise.

The other thing I worry about - how many people donated to various election fundraisers - when they could have put that money to better use in their own communities.  And, the only people who probably really made money here were the political consultants, and some of the shadier fund-raising efforts who pocketed more than they spent.
When all is said and done there will be over 1 billion spent on this race.  That probably could have done some good for the people of Georgia i would think.  When you look at the money involved in all of these elections on both sides you realize it is not about us anymore.

 
Last edited by a moderator:
GB not watching anything on regular TV this year.
It’s amazing these ads - they are showing up everywhere.  I have four kids - they all complain about these ads, asking when they will stop.  Anything that has ads is showing these to the folks in GA - TV, radio, websites, yard signs - it’s awful.

 
Up 167 is through the roof?

In a few weeks we will see how the markets actually fare. That will tell the tale.  Hopefully they keep a steady growth.
Good point.  The Dow was down 600 at one point yesterday and was down 150 this morning.  % wise doesn't mean squat but it seems to me that investors have warmed up to the idea of a democrat senate instead of "SOCIALISM!!!! THEY WILL TAKE EVERYTHING YOU OWN!!!!"

In the beforetimes I would 100% agree with you on the bolded but what's going on with this new strain of Covid, more lock downs, not to mention in LA, who know what happens.  Personally, I think it's a poor time to be not be more precise on the equities you own in this environment.  Too many are overpriced IMHO.

 
It’s amazing these ads - they are showing up everywhere.  I have four kids - they all complain about these ads, asking when they will stop.  Anything that has ads is showing these to the folks in GA - TV, radio, websites, yard signs - it’s awful.
I switched to YouTube TV about a year ago.  The good part is no political commercials, the bad is you get THE SAME 20 COMMERICIALS OVER  AND OVER AGAIN.

 
I didn't so much mean from a party flip standpoint as I did from being tugged between his constituents and his party.  He's a Democrat from a very deep red state.  He's probably not going to lose re-election though given his popularity unless he did allow lurches to the left so I don't see that happening.  He's going to face heat from either though for going too far or not far enough.
As I see it: Manchin is 73 years old with many years of public service.  At this point in his life, he could hide in the corner and hope that the R's in his state don't take much notice ...or he could proudly take a stand and openly do the job he was elected to do.  Given his age, why be timid with the former?  Better to stand like a man and be the leader he was elected to be.  What's the worst that could happen?  They vote him out in four years?  Maybe he's planning to retire anyway.  If not, he goes down with his dignity intact, and that's something I'm sure he can live with.

 
I switched to YouTube TV about a year ago.  The good part is no political commercials, the bad is you get THE SAME 20 COMMERICIALS OVER  AND OVER AGAIN.
We are still getting the political ads with YouTubeTV- maybe it depends on the channel but local stations have them on constantly 

 
As I see it: Manchin is 73 years old with many years of public service.  At this point in his life, he could hide in the corner and hope that the R's in his state don't take much notice ...or he could proudly take a stand and openly do the job he was elected to do.  Given his age, why be timid with the former?  Better to stand like a man and be the leader he was elected to be.  What's the worst that could happen?  They vote him out in four years?  Maybe he's planning to retire anyway.  If not, he goes down with his dignity intact, and that's something I'm sure he can live with.
I don't disagree, but taking a stand for a man like Manchin might be for moderation and not what many in his party want.  He's pretty in tune with the folks in WV.

 
Good point.  The Dow was down 600 at one point yesterday and was down 150 this morning.  % wise doesn't mean squat but it seems to me that investors have warmed up to the idea of a democrat senate instead of "SOCIALISM!!!! THEY WILL TAKE EVERYTHING YOU OWN!!!!"

In the beforetimes I would 100% agree with you on the bolded but what's going on with this new strain of Covid, more lock downs, not to mention in LA, who know what happens.  Personally, I think it's a poor time to be not be more precise on the equities you own in this environment.  Too many are overpriced IMHO.
I'm thinking the market is reacting to more stimulus money if the D's win.  

 
As I see it: Manchin is 73 years old with many years of public service.  At this point in his life, he could hide in the corner and hope that the R's in his state don't take much notice ...or he could proudly take a stand and openly do the job he was elected to do.  Given his age, why be timid with the former?  Better to stand like a man and be the leader he was elected to be.  What's the worst that could happen?  They vote him out in four years?  Maybe he's planning to retire anyway.  If not, he goes down with his dignity intact, and that's something I'm sure he can live with.
If the D's win in GA....I predict a naval base, a new airport, another Disney Amusement Park, a dozen Amazon facilities, a baseball team, an IN and Out Burger and a number of other special "projects" will be coming to the mountains of West Virginia.  

 
DeKalb and Forsyth Counties in Georgia have both surpassed in-person Election Day voting totals from November 2020 before polls closed.

 
Big turnout today - or throughout the voting process?
Both really but just anecdotal - I waited over an hour on 12/29.  Long lines the few times I saw it.  Anybody who claims to know how this will go is most likely making things up.  And I think we won’t know for a day or two. 

 
Last edited by a moderator:

Users who are viewing this thread

Top