tombonneau
Footballguy
That's great that you already know all your WRs are going to stay healthy this year and Toney will languish as your WR7.My mindset is trying to hit home runs rounds 2 through 5 (at least in this year's mid/late round 2). If you view Toney as a WR3 or WR4 on your team, then he's a fine option at 2.4. Adds a dynamic talent that will build your depth. If WR depth was a need, I would also be considering St. Brown as an option with less sizzle, but a better chance of seeing high volume right out of the gate. I have a logjam of AJB, Godwin, Sutton, Julio, Higgins, OBJ at WR. So with Toney, I'm getting a WR7 for my roster as a best case that has no chance of cracking my lineup. Part of the reason for that logjam is that every team in a 12-team has a collection of low WR2s, WR3s, and WR4s that they can tell a story of how great they're going to be. This is where I see Toney slotting in if he hits. The trade offers to send out WRs in this range tend to be underwhelming.
On the flipside, Gainwell has a chance at a Nyheim Hines type role even with a healthy Sanders. There's value in that. As an upside play, let's throw a Golladay and Miles Sanders injury into the equation. Toney gets an uptick, but I don't think his role changes all that much. For Gainwell, he certainly doesn't become a workhorse RB, but he becomes very interesting in any PPR format.
Maybe Toney has it to be something more, but I think it would take some training camp buzz to get me interested. Certainly, the same can be said about entertaining an early 5th round RB at that spot. Lacking that, I probably look to Fields and move on.
Seriously though, drafting a day 3 backup RB over a first round WR is just bad roster management regardless of your current team makeup. Probability is the first rounder will be a better player. Period.
I like to play the odds and draft BPA. It's why I took Trey Lance and Toney in another. I try never to draft on need. Things change quickly. Forget your current depth. It can change in the blink of an eye. I always just want a valuable asset.
If this were last year and you were debating taking an AJ Dillon or Antonio Gibson over a guy like Toney, that's different. But Gainwell? Just another RB reach IMO. I know you said he has an ADP around Toney but that doesn't make it right.