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It's All About Spa-Mar (DelaToga?) Now Featuring Degen Bullrings For Your Disposable Income & Derision 🐎 (Missing GB MoCS) (3 Viewers)
- Thread starter otb_lifer
- Start date
Leroy Hoard
Footballguy
As far as Baffert goes, having all the attention on 2 of the favorites isn't a a bad thing for the rest of the field.
otb_lifer
Footballguy
his ml 9/5, pt 2/1 fave just bombed the #### OUT in the Suze - don't even think she hit the super.
ETA: finished 7th
he's not there in person at all this weekend.
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Leroy Hoard
Footballguy
As of 5.14.21 @6:15 p.m.
Ram12-1
Keepmeinmind10-1
Medina Spirit3-1
Crowded Trade7-1
Midnight Bourbon5-2
Rombauer11-1
France Go de Ina18-1
Unbridled Honor13-1
Risk Taking16-1
Concert Tour4-1
Ram12-1
Keepmeinmind10-1
Medina Spirit3-1
Crowded Trade7-1
Midnight Bourbon5-2
Rombauer11-1
France Go de Ina18-1
Unbridled Honor13-1
Risk Taking16-1
Concert Tour4-1
Dan Lambskin
Footballguy
otb_lifer
Footballguy
it's about all they have
will pays for the Suze/Preak have MB at $23, CT at $30, MS at $33
mirrors the above - can it be that MS actually winds up as ... value?
otb_lifer
Footballguy
first of the card is roughly 90 minutes away ... Hozier is ml 2/5 favorite for that one - this cat was a strong 2nd to CT in the Rebel, but then finished last of 6 at the Arky.
Joel up, this is the clear class of the field - the Baffert barn needs this one in a big way after the spectacular filly flop in the Suze yesterday to quell the "SEE?!? HE CAN'T WIN WITHOUT CHEATING!!1!" cabal.
if Hozier somehow (inexplicably) blows a bag of Richards in the opener, they just may be on to something, and it could sway punters away form the Bafferts in a very big way - he has no other entries on the (kinda ####ty) card other than the Preakness.
Joel up, this is the clear class of the field - the Baffert barn needs this one in a big way after the spectacular filly flop in the Suze yesterday to quell the "SEE?!? HE CAN'T WIN WITHOUT CHEATING!!1!" cabal.
if Hozier somehow (inexplicably) blows a bag of Richards in the opener, they just may be on to something, and it could sway punters away form the Bafferts in a very big way - he has no other entries on the (kinda ####ty) card other than the Preakness.
Leroy Hoard
Footballguy
Yes, when linking the Baffart races, I noticed only R1 and R13. That's a long break.
otb_lifer
Footballguy
the card is ... lacking, to put it mildly.
the Belmont undercard is gonna be so much better.
i will sit the warmups out today - only interested in seeing how the track bias is trending - inside was the place to be yesterday, well trodden winners path.
otb_lifer
Footballguy
... aaand Hozier goes down in a foto finish.
the lone speed of the race, the #3, threw his jock out the gate, relegating this to a robust 4 horse affair - that's how we start Preakness Day!
the #1, King Cheek, took control - Hozier seemingly put him away top of the stretch, but - WAIT - here comes ol' King Cheek right back, took the fave's measure by a head.
and away we go.
wikkidpissah
Footballguy
wtf is the dealio w a 10am 1st post?! 33-race card?
Cowboysfan8
Footballguy
Cowboysfan8
Footballguy
Judge Smails
Footballguy
Hit a nice exacta with a 25-1 shot on top at Santa Anita yesterday so have some extra play money to take some shots today. Hadn't thought of track bias too much but would love to toss Concert Tour if he breaks a step slow and can't get to the front. Parked to the outside wouldn't be good for him
Dan Lambskin
Footballguy
I wish I didn’t commit to doing a bunch of house projects this weekend
no time for the undercard
no time for the undercard
QuizGuy66
Footballguy
Didn't make it to the track but didn't have a compelling feelong about today. Guy on the radio said 2-3-5-9 which sorta meshes with the thread so I woulda boxed em up for 50c tri and dollat exacta. And then I'd have done $5 atb on the 2. Let's see if I saved $39 or will have some regerts today.
-QG
-QG
otb_lifer
Footballguy
Cowboysfan8
Footballguy
Been golfing today
Hows the main track playing ?
Hows the main track playing ?
otb_lifer
Footballguy
going with the #6 in race 12 - off lasix today, looking for a move up from last under Prat on the cabbage
11-1 atm
anything will be better than last - i'm ice
cold
11-1 atm
anything will be better than last - i'm ice
cold
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Leroy Hoard
Footballguy
Mike Tirico is so smooth. I usually make fun of announcers but this guy can do multiple sports at a professional level.
Leroy Hoard
Footballguy
Why is Baffart not there? Is there a bigger race he needs to attend?
Judge Smails
Footballguy
No real value but after seeing Irad break in that last race I'm going to key Midnight Bourbon. I think he understands the way the track is playing. Got the 8 out of there fast. Otherwise is was the inside horses running. I hope he breaks MB 10X better than Mike Smith did in the Derby and Concert Tour doesn't get out there. Probably will do a pretty big box with MB and Medina Spirit but I'm also going to play MB with some of the longshots that aren't hung up outside in case Medina Spirit really needed that ointment
Judge Smails
Footballguy
otb_lifer
Footballguy
he announced shortly after the split came back that he'd vacate today ... i mentioned it a few times, but kept getting
from folks. w.t.f.?
Leroy Hoard
Footballguy
He be scared.he announced shortly after the split came back that he'd vacate today ... i mentioned it a few times, but kept getting
w.t.f.?
otb_lifer
Footballguy
MB has the dream draw/pace scenario ... absolutely ZERO excuses for him today.
Asmussen would not be running this cat back in 2 weeks lest he saw something that said "GO!"
only time he missed the board in 7 starts was the Derby - and he availed himself nicely enough to come up to 6th.
he is the drama free snag today.
CT has his work cut out - dunno if he can cross clean, and if he doesn't - i'm pretty sure he can't rate for ####.
ONLY caveat is BB skipping Churchill 'cuz he aimed here - tough ####### nut to crack.
Cowboysfan8
Footballguy
Speeds holding I assume?
otb_lifer
Footballguy
2nd.going with the #6 in race 12 - off lasix today, looking for a move up from last under Prat on the cabbage
11-1 atm
anything will be better than last - i'm ice
look, i love Prat ... but that was a horse#### ride.
this #6 shoulda had it.
4,9
4,5,9,10
3,4,5,6,8,9,10
$15.00 trifecta
No good reason just hoping for an upset and a bigger payday. I put $25 in my Twinspires account last race. Alive in the pick 3 to the 4,5,9,10 and the 10 in the last.
If I hit I’ll keep it up at Los Alamitos and the Meadowlands later. Good luck to everyone wagering.
4,5,9,10
3,4,5,6,8,9,10
$15.00 trifecta
No good reason just hoping for an upset and a bigger payday. I put $25 in my Twinspires account last race. Alive in the pick 3 to the 4,5,9,10 and the 10 in the last.
If I hit I’ll keep it up at Los Alamitos and the Meadowlands later. Good luck to everyone wagering.
Leroy Hoard
Footballguy
Let's have a clean race and best of luck to a!!.
ms and mb...both about equal money bet to win....BUT 500k bet to place on ms vs 700k on mb...... show bets are reversed.... 590k on ms vs 420k on mb ..... Seems weird...what to make of this and is there some way to use this info to make better bets assuming you like the 2 horses equal? So people like mb to place but ms to show.... weord
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QuizGuy66
Footballguy
I mean it's a steakhouse that makes one think of the Kennedy assassination so they tend to cut against the grain to begin with.
-QG
JaxBill
Footballguy
can only speak for myself but maybe MS is only slightly affected by drug / turn around and good enough to place / show.
-fish-
Footballguy
i dont think so. he had a great race in the derby, but he's a beatable horse. 5/2 seems about right.
QuizGuy66
Footballguy
I love trying to make plays based on the underneath pools but never seems to work out
Maybe people are making more purposeful bets on MB as the 2nd choice but not quite confident of whether they can beat out MS. Maybe there's just more ATB action on MS.
Maybe it's a handful of big bets tipping the totals?
I just hope next time I at the track there's the fun of a bridge jumper show bet to go against in the hope of a big payout
-QG
Leroy Hoard
Footballguy
6 getting a little late love.
