Jump to content
Fantasy Football - Footballguys Forums

It's All About Spa-Mar (DelaToga?) 🐎 (Missing GB MoCS)


Recommended Posts

Posted (edited)
10 minutes ago, Leroy Hoard said:

As far as Baffert goes, having all the attention on 2 of the favorites isn't a a bad thing for the rest of the field.

his ml 9/5, pt 2/1 fave just bombed the #### OUT in the Suze - don't even think she hit the super. 

ETA: finished 7th

he's not there in person at all this weekend. 

Edited by otb_lifer
  • Thinking 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

As of 5.14.21 @6:15 p.m.

Ram12-1

Keepmeinmind10-1

Medina Spirit3-1

Crowded Trade7-1

Midnight Bourbon5-2

Rombauer11-1

France Go de Ina18-1

Unbridled Honor13-1

Risk Taking16-1

Concert Tour4-1

  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

9 hours ago, otb_lifer said:

well, in terms of recouping any coin from their official bets on the Derby, they are SOL - that ship sails once the race is deemed "official" - 

the only recourse here is via lawsuit(s) - and away we go!

wonder how much this story is gonna tilt the split sample to come back favorably for Baffert ... i'd say this lawsuit all but clinches his vindication. 

 

Can’t imagine these guys have a prayer.  

Link to comment
Share on other sites

7 hours ago, Dan Lambskin said:

Can’t imagine these guys have a prayer.  

 

it's about all they have 🙏

 

10 hours ago, Leroy Hoard said:

As of 5.14.21 @6:15 p.m.

Ram12-1

Keepmeinmind10-1

Medina Spirit3-1

Crowded Trade7-1

Midnight Bourbon5-2

Rombauer11-1

France Go de Ina18-1

Unbridled Honor13-1

Risk Taking16-1

Concert Tour4-1

will pays for the Suze/Preak have MB at $23, CT at $30, MS at $33 

mirrors the above - can it be that MS actually winds up as ... value? 

:coffee:

  • Thinking 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

first of the card is roughly 90 minutes away ... Hozier is ml 2/5 favorite for that one - this cat was a strong 2nd to CT in the Rebel, but then finished last of 6 at the Arky. 

Joel up, this is the clear class of the field - the Baffert barn needs this one in a big way after the spectacular filly flop in the Suze yesterday to quell the "SEE?!? HE CAN'T WIN WITHOUT CHEATING!!1!" cabal. 

if Hozier somehow (inexplicably) blows a bag of Richards in the opener, they just may be on to something, and it could sway punters away form the Bafferts in a very big way  - he has no other entries on the (kinda ####ty) card other than the Preakness. 

 

 

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

56 minutes ago, otb_lifer said:

first of the card is roughly 90 minutes away ... Hozier is ml 2/5 favorite for that one - this cat was a strong 2nd to CT in the Rebel, but then finished last of 6 at the Arky. 

Joel up, this is the clear class of the field - the Baffert barn needs this one in a big way after the spectacular filly flop in the Suze yesterday to quell the "SEE?!? HE CAN'T WIN WITHOUT CHEATING!!1!" cabal. 

if Hozier somehow (inexplicably) blows a bag of Richards in the opener, they just may be on to something, and it could sway punters away form the Bafferts in a very big way  - he has no other entries on the (kinda ####ty) card other than the Preakness. 

 

 

Yes, when linking the Baffart races, I noticed only R1 and R13. That's a long break.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

9 minutes ago, Leroy Hoard said:

Yes, when linking the Baffart races, I noticed only R1 and R13. That's a long break.

the card is ... lacking, to put it mildly. 

the Belmont undercard is gonna be so much better.

i will sit the warmups out today - only interested in seeing how the track bias is trending - inside was the place to be yesterday, well trodden winners path. 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, otb_lifer said:

first of the card is roughly 90 minutes away ... Hozier is ml 2/5 favorite for that one - this cat was a strong 2nd to CT in the Rebel, but then finished last of 6 at the Arky. 

Joel up, this is the clear class of the field - the Baffert barn needs this one in a big way after the spectacular filly flop in the Suze yesterday to quell the "SEE?!? HE CAN'T WIN WITHOUT CHEATING!!1!" cabal. 

if Hozier somehow (inexplicably) blows a bag of Richards in the opener, they just may be on to something, and it could sway punters away form the Bafferts in a very big way  - he has no other entries on the (kinda ####ty) card other than the Preakness. 

 

 

... aaand Hozier goes down in a foto finish. 

the lone speed of the race, the #3, threw his jock out the gate, relegating this to a robust 4 horse affair - that's how we start Preakness Day!

the #1, King Cheek, took control - Hozier seemingly put him away top of the stretch, but - WAIT - here comes ol' King Cheek right back, took the fave's measure by a head. 

and away we go.

:deadhorse:

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Hit a nice exacta with a 25-1 shot on top at Santa Anita yesterday so have some extra play money to take some shots today.  Hadn't thought of track bias too much but would love to toss Concert Tour if he breaks a step slow and can't get to the front.  Parked to the outside wouldn't be good for him

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Didn't make it to the track but didn't have a compelling feelong about today.  Guy on the radio said 2-3-5-9 which sorta meshes with the thread so I woulda boxed em up for 50c tri and dollat exacta.  And then I'd have done $5 atb on the 2.  Let's see if I saved $39 or will have some regerts today.

:deadhorse:

-QG

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted (edited)

going with the #6 in race 12 - off lasix today, looking for a move up from last under Prat on the cabbage

11-1 atm 

anything will be better than last - i'm ice 🧊 cold

21 minutes ago, otb_lifer said:

stumbled out the gate - be advised 

💉

Edited by otb_lifer
Link to comment
Share on other sites

No real value but after seeing Irad break in that last race I'm going to key Midnight Bourbon.  I think he understands the way the track is playing.  Got the 8 out of there fast.  Otherwise is was the inside horses running.  I hope he breaks MB 10X better than Mike Smith did in the Derby and Concert Tour doesn't get out there.  Probably will do a pretty big box with MB and Medina Spirit but I'm also going to play MB with some of the longshots that aren't hung up outside in case Medina Spirit really needed that ointment

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, Leroy Hoard said:

Why is Baffart not there? Is there a bigger race he needs to attend?

he announced shortly after the split came back that he'd vacate today ... i mentioned it a few times, but kept getting 🤔 from folks. 

w.t.f.?

  • Like 1
  • Thinking 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, Judge Smails said:

No real value but after seeing Irad break in that last race I'm going to key Midnight Bourbon.  I think he understands the way the track is playing.  Got the 8 out of there fast.  Otherwise is was the inside horses running.  I hope he breaks MB 10X better than Mike Smith did in the Derby and Concert Tour doesn't get out there.  Probably will do a pretty big box with MB and Medina Spirit but I'm also going to play MB with some of the longshots that aren't hung up outside in case Medina Spirit really needed that ointment

MB has the dream draw/pace scenario ... absolutely ZERO excuses for him today. 

Asmussen would not be running this cat back in 2 weeks lest he saw something that said "GO!"

only time he missed the board in 7 starts was the Derby - and he availed himself nicely enough to come up to 6th. 

he is the drama free snag today. 

CT has his work cut out - dunno if he can cross clean, and if he doesn't - i'm pretty sure he can't rate for ####. 

ONLY caveat is BB skipping Churchill 'cuz he aimed here - tough ####### nut to crack. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

47 minutes ago, otb_lifer said:

going with the #6 in race 12 - off lasix today, looking for a move up from last under Prat on the cabbage

11-1 atm 

anything will be better than last - i'm ice 🧊 cold

💉

2nd. 

look, i love Prat ... but that was a horse#### ride. 

this #6 shoulda had it. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

4,9

4,5,9,10

3,4,5,6,8,9,10

$15.00 trifecta

No good reason just hoping for an upset and a bigger payday. I put $25 in my Twinspires account last race. Alive in the pick 3 to the 4,5,9,10 and the 10 in the last. 

If I hit I’ll keep it up at Los Alamitos and the Meadowlands later. Good luck to everyone wagering. 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted (edited)

ms and mb...both about equal money bet to win....BUT   500k bet to place on ms  vs 700k  on mb......  show bets are reversed....   590k on ms  vs 420k  on mb  .....  Seems weird...what to make of this and is there some way to use this info to make better bets assuming  you like the 2 horses equal?   So people like mb to place but ms  to show.... weord

Edited by da_budman
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, JaxBill said:

Trying to figure out why somebody thought a 120 pound jockey was a natural to promote a steakhouse.

I mean it's a steakhouse that makes one think of the Kennedy assassination so they tend to cut against the grain to begin with.

-QG

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, da_budman said:

ms and mb...both about equal money bet to win....BUT   500k bet to place on ms  vs 700k  on mb......  show bets are reversed....   590k on ms  vs 420k  on mb  .....  Seems weird...what to make of this and is there some way to use this info to make better bets assuming  you like the 2 horses equal?   So people like mb to place but ms  to show.... weord

can only speak for myself but maybe MS is only slightly affected by drug / turn around and good enough to place / show.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, QuizGuy66 said:

So if there's no issue with the sample MS woulda been like even money right?

Feels like 5/2 is a pretty good price for him.

-QG

i dont think so.  he had a great race in the derby, but he's a beatable horse.  5/2 seems about right.  

  • Like 1
  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

7 minutes ago, da_budman said:

ms and mb...both about equal money bet to win....BUT   500k bet to place on ms  vs 700k  on mb......  show bets are reversed....   590k on ms  vs 420k  on mb  .....  Seems weird...what to make of this and is there some way to use this info to make better bets assuming  you like the 2 horses equal?   So people like mb to place but ms  to show.... weord

I love trying to make plays based on the underneath pools but never seems to work out 😕

Maybe people are making more purposeful bets on MB as the 2nd choice but not quite confident of whether they can beat out MS.  Maybe there's just more ATB action on MS.

Maybe it's a handful of big bets tipping the totals?

I just hope next time I at the track there's the fun of a bridge jumper show bet to go against in the hope of a big payout :)

-QG

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • otb_lifer changed the title to ***Official 2021 Belmont Stakes Thread*** Zahzeetch Fest At Big Sandy - Mal Sits It Out 🐎 (Missing GB MoCS)
  • otb_lifer changed the title to It's All About Spa-Mar (DelaToga?) 🐎 (Missing GB MoCS)

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Restore formatting

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...