Contributing factors include warmer than normal sea-surface temperatures, weaker trade winds, and lower wind shear. A neutral phase of the El Nino Southern Oscillation is likely through the season, however it’s possible we transition transition back to a weak La Nina later in the year, which also aids in tropical development. Additionally, an enhanced African Monsoon season should lead to increased tropical development in the main development region of the Central Atlantic toward the peak of the season.
At the end of the day it’s to important to remember you should prepare for hurricane season in the exact same way every year regardless of what the seasonal outlook says. All it takes is one storm where you live to make it a bad year for you.
We are monitoring an area east of Bermuda at the moment for possible preseason development – a somewhat common occurrence in recent years. There is a high likelihood this develops into a subtropical system in the next day or two as it moves near Bermuda, before moving into a harsher environment late in the weekend into early next weekend. If a storm forms, it would get the name ‘Ana’. It will be no threat to the United States.
It's funny, I saw that they were predicting it could be named, and I kept checking. That's about when I figured we would need the thread started.We had a Subtropical Storm Ana about 2 weeks ago. It stayed out north of Bermuda, and lasted about 3 days, I think
Most people did, but because I live in Florida, every meteorologist in the state has to put any tropical system at the top of the news, because it’s one of the few times they get to say something about the weather that isn’t “It’s going to be another hot sunny day, back to you.”It's funny, I saw that they were predicting it could be named, and I kept checking. That's about when I figured we would need the thread started.
I completely missed her brief life.
The strength here looks to be dictated by the proximity it gets to cuba.Looks like the track has moved a little south. Could lead to a stronger storm hitting the US
Yeah, that is what I am thinkingThe strength here looks to be dictated by the proximity it gets to cuba.
I think they have a contract with Mother Nature to avoid their property all together.Flying down to Daytona Beach for work next Friday>Monday. Thankfully will likely just Miss Elsa.
Odds Elsa hits Disney?
Allegiant?Ooof. My wife is scheduled to fly into Sanford Tuesday evening.
I worked on a project at that airport. The day I was with them doing some GPS collection, some yahoo ran a van into a parked plane. Not terrorism or anything, it was just someone who is very dumb.
I mean, he may have been a misogynist, but not sure he deserves to get punched by one of his creationsFlying down to Daytona Beach for work next Friday>Monday. Thankfully will likely just Miss Elsa.
Odds Elsa hits Disney?
Elsa isn't supposed to hit Georgia until Wed evening.Planning on driving from SoFla tomorrow up to Southern Illinois so I am keeping an eye on how quickly this thing moves through Florida. It's a 17 hour drive without stops and I wanted to leave early in the morning but I may wait a little bit to let Elsa do her thing and then trail behind as she sweeps up to Georgia.
Glad to see there was no flooding in east St Pete...some people have just recently fixed the damage from last year.Some heavy rain here after midnight, but the wind was mostly just a breeze. Always thankful when these storms power down sooner than expected, but as always, I will continue to prep.
4 to 10 inches of rain in a swath from Gainesville to Valdosta. Power outages in the low thousands per Gainesville TV. Coastal Georgia might get lots of rain, while Jacksonville appears to have escaped the worst of Elsa.We had a tornado touch down a few miles away (near the school where my wife teaches). No casualties AFAIK.
Gainesville had some serious flooding.
Mostly relatively minor stuff in the grand scheme of things but major headaches for some.