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A look at week 1 scores from 2009 vs making the final 250.

Code:
+--------------+------+----------------+--------+| week_1_score | num  | made_final_250 | pct	|+--------------+------+----------------+--------+| 240s		 |	3 |			  0 | 0.0000 || 230s		 |	7 |			  0 | 0.0000 || 220s		 |   30 |			  1 | 0.0333 || 210s		 |   69 |			  2 | 0.0290 || 200s		 |  149 |			  5 | 0.0336 || 190s		 |  388 |			  9 | 0.0232 || 180s		 |  667 |			 14 | 0.0210 || 170s		 | 1219 |			 21 | 0.0172 || 160s		 | 1779 |			 33 | 0.0185 || 150s		 | 2255 |			 55 | 0.0244 || 140s		 | 2262 |			 48 | 0.0212 || 130s		 | 1916 |			 39 | 0.0204 || 120s		 | 1363 |			 23 | 0.0169 || 110s		 |  698 |			  0 | 0.0000 || 100s		 |  324 |			  0 | 0.0000 || 90s		  |  115 |			  0 | 0.0000 || 80s		  |   24 |			  0 | 0.0000 || 70s		  |	9 |			  0 | 0.0000 |+--------------+------+----------------+--------+
 
I spent a total of 17 dollars on 4 defenses and got a total of 12 points TOTAL out of the sad lot of them. I am not sure which is worse, spending that much on D's or how horribly they performed.

 
A look at week 1 scores from 2009 vs making the final 250.

Code:
+--------------+------+----------------+--------+| week_1_score | num  | made_final_250 | pct	|+--------------+------+----------------+--------+| 240s		 |	3 |			  0 | 0.0000 || 230s		 |	7 |			  0 | 0.0000 || 220s		 |   30 |			  1 | 0.0333 || 210s		 |   69 |			  2 | 0.0290 || 200s		 |  149 |			  5 | 0.0336 || 190s		 |  388 |			  9 | 0.0232 || 180s		 |  667 |			 14 | 0.0210 || 170s		 | 1219 |			 21 | 0.0172 || 160s		 | 1779 |			 33 | 0.0185 || 150s		 | 2255 |			 55 | 0.0244 || 140s		 | 2262 |			 48 | 0.0212 || 130s		 | 1916 |			 39 | 0.0204 || 120s		 | 1363 |			 23 | 0.0169 || 110s		 |  698 |			  0 | 0.0000 || 100s		 |  324 |			  0 | 0.0000 || 90s		  |  115 |			  0 | 0.0000 || 80s		  |   24 |			  0 | 0.0000 || 70s		  |	9 |			  0 | 0.0000 |+--------------+------+----------------+--------+
So, slightly better odds at making the final 250 if you scored over 200 in week 1, but still pretty high variance across the board.
 
TheFanatic said:
They can't access the rosters this year as it violates the TOS here at FBG. At least that's the story. I think it sucks that I can't pay $2 or whatever it was for someone to calculate my squad.
That's actually not quite right (at least from my inside pieces of the story), but the bottom line is that we aren't going to be able to score everyone this year, for a variety of reasons. I hate not knowing where we stand right after MNF is over, but this week was also unusual in that we didn't get results 1st thing Tuesday morning. DD does a great job of running the report for us, keeping the wait to a minimum.See you all in week 2!
Let's clear this up. We have not been told by any staff member at FBG that what we were doing violated the TOS here, nor can I find it on their site that it's a violation of TOS. However, the site we used to get the stats (http://myffl.net) is not meant for commercial use. So, if I am taking "donations", charging subscriptions or other, it's against their TOS. We really cant get the live stats short of this free site without paying thousands of dollars. That being said, I am still working on making the gameday scores available to everyone for free and if I have time, I will reopen the ability to add your own roster, or have it pull your contest roster. Please note, that it's unfortunate, I just don't have any free time on my hands this year, so I really haven't had time to do it pro bono..Good luck everyone.

Here's where the links will be when they are complete. I still need to add/remove players to the gameday scoring pages so it reflects the current contest players..

Gameday Scoring for all players - http://thefantasystar.com/fbg35k/scores.php

Original FBG 2010 Player Values - http://thefantasystar.com/fbg35k/2010.php

 
Last edited by a moderator:
TheFanatic said:
They can't access the rosters this year as it violates the TOS here at FBG. At least that's the story. I think it sucks that I can't pay $2 or whatever it was for someone to calculate my squad.
That's actually not quite right (at least from my inside pieces of the story), but the bottom line is that we aren't going to be able to score everyone this year, for a variety of reasons. I hate not knowing where we stand right after MNF is over, but this week was also unusual in that we didn't get results 1st thing Tuesday morning. DD does a great job of running the report for us, keeping the wait to a minimum.See you all in week 2!
Let's clear this up. We have not been told by any staff member at FBG that what we were doing violated the TOS here, nor can I find it on their site that it's a violation of TOS. However, the site we used to get the stats (http://myffl.net) is not meant for commercial use. So, if I am taking "donations", charging subscriptions or other, it's against their TOS. We really cant get the live stats short of this free site without paying thousands of dollars. That being said, I am still working on making the gameday scores available to everyone for free and if I have time, I will reopen the ability to add your own roster, or have it pull your contest roster. Please note, that it's unfortunate, I just don't have any free time on my hands this year, so I really haven't had time to do it pro bono..Good luck everyone.

Here's where the links will be when they are complete. I still need to add/remove players to the gameday scoring pages so it reflects the current contest players..

Gameday Scoring for all players - http://thefantasystar.com/fbg35k/scores.php

Original FBG 2010 Player Values - http://thefantasystar.com/fbg35k/2010.php
Understood OC. Don't want you to violate the TOS or anything.If you do get the gameday scoring up and running, I (and I'm sure many others) would be happy to buy, um, a "t-shirt" or something from your website... completely unrelated to the gameday scoring, of course. :goodposting:

 
Tom Brady $24 30.90

Philip Rivers $19 27.40

Derek Anderson $6 21.75

Chris Johnson $40 29.00

Ahmad Bradshaw $18 16.30

C.J. Spiller $17 3.40

Arian Foster $13 42.30

Calvin Johnson $27 8.50

Wes Welker $21 26.40

Terrell Owens $19 12.30

Mike Williams $8 14.00

Laurent Robinson $7 10.80

Heath Miller $13 10.00

Jermaine Gresham $6 17.50

Joe Nedney $3 6.00

Jason Hanson $2 2.00

Dallas Cowboys $5 1.00

Detroit Lions $2 12.00

TOTAL 206.70 Rank 513

#100635

 
TheFanatic said:
They can't access the rosters this year as it violates the TOS here at FBG. At least that's the story. I think it sucks that I can't pay $2 or whatever it was for someone to calculate my squad.
That's actually not quite right (at least from my inside pieces of the story), but the bottom line is that we aren't going to be able to score everyone this year, for a variety of reasons. I hate not knowing where we stand right after MNF is over, but this week was also unusual in that we didn't get results 1st thing Tuesday morning. DD does a great job of running the report for us, keeping the wait to a minimum.See you all in week 2!
Let's clear this up. We have not been told by any staff member at FBG that what we were doing violated the TOS here, nor can I find it on their site that it's a violation of TOS. However, the site we used to get the stats (http://myffl.net) is not meant for commercial use. So, if I am taking "donations", charging subscriptions or other, it's against their TOS. We really cant get the live stats short of this free site without paying thousands of dollars. That being said, I am still working on making the gameday scores available to everyone for free and if I have time, I will reopen the ability to add your own roster, or have it pull your contest roster. Please note, that it's unfortunate, I just don't have any free time on my hands this year, so I really haven't had time to do it pro bono..Good luck everyone.

Here's where the links will be when they are complete. I still need to add/remove players to the gameday scoring pages so it reflects the current contest players..

Gameday Scoring for all players - http://thefantasystar.com/fbg35k/scores.php

Original FBG 2010 Player Values - http://thefantasystar.com/fbg35k/2010.php
Understood OC. Don't want you to violate the TOS or anything.If you do get the gameday scoring up and running, I (and I'm sure many others) would be happy to buy, um, a "t-shirt" or something from your website... completely unrelated to the gameday scoring, of course. :thumbdown:
:angry: Thanks. Words cant even explain how busy I have been at work, I'm a Network Engineer for a consulting company and at clients all the time, so it's not even like I can take a half hour out here or there to knock this out.... just been stupid busy. Sorry guys, I know it's a valuable app and I appreciate the support to get it up.. The best I can say is I'll do what I can to get it to a point where it's valuable for people as soon as I can. Wish I could do more.
 
I was confused....I went to find my team and it took me awhile to find it. I hit control+f, typed in my team number and hit return. Usually it it runs down to the bottom 1/3 of the list, but this time it didn't move. I was really confused.....until I realized I was number 3 on the list.

I'm not sure if it really means anything to be ranked this high, but I do think that the Brandon Jackson pick could be huge. Yay me.

 
TheFanatic said:
They can't access the rosters this year as it violates the TOS here at FBG. At least that's the story. I think it sucks that I can't pay $2 or whatever it was for someone to calculate my squad.
That's actually not quite right (at least from my inside pieces of the story), but the bottom line is that we aren't going to be able to score everyone this year, for a variety of reasons. I hate not knowing where we stand right after MNF is over, but this week was also unusual in that we didn't get results 1st thing Tuesday morning. DD does a great job of running the report for us, keeping the wait to a minimum.See you all in week 2!
Let's clear this up. We have not been told by any staff member at FBG that what we were doing violated the TOS here, nor can I find it on their site that it's a violation of TOS. However, the site we used to get the stats (http://myffl.net) is not meant for commercial use. So, if I am taking "donations", charging subscriptions or other, it's against their TOS. We really cant get the live stats short of this free site without paying thousands of dollars. That being said, I am still working on making the gameday scores available to everyone for free and if I have time, I will reopen the ability to add your own roster, or have it pull your contest roster. Please note, that it's unfortunate, I just don't have any free time on my hands this year, so I really haven't had time to do it pro bono..Good luck everyone.

Here's where the links will be when they are complete. I still need to add/remove players to the gameday scoring pages so it reflects the current contest players..

Gameday Scoring for all players - http://thefantasystar.com/fbg35k/scores.php

Original FBG 2010 Player Values - http://thefantasystar.com/fbg35k/2010.php
Understood OC. Don't want you to violate the TOS or anything.If you do get the gameday scoring up and running, I (and I'm sure many others) would be happy to buy, um, a "t-shirt" or something from your website... completely unrelated to the gameday scoring, of course. :thumbup:
:thumbup: :thumbup:

Props to OC regardless of if he gets the time to get it back going. I assume that having to work hard means you are doing well in you job :)

-QG

 
HairySasquatch said:
I was confused....I went to find my team and it took me awhile to find it. I hit control+f, typed in my team number and hit return. Usually it it runs down to the bottom 1/3 of the list, but this time it didn't move. I was really confused.....until I realized I was number 3 on the list.

I'm not sure if it really means anything to be ranked this high, but I do think that the Brandon Jackson pick could be huge. Yay me.
The simulator usually has my team higher than what my actual results will be. So the simulator likes my team more than reality does.

 
A look at week 1 scores from 2009 vs making the final 250.

Code:
+--------------+------+----------------+--------+| week_1_score | num  | made_final_250 | pct	|+--------------+------+----------------+--------+| 240s		 |	3 |			  0 | 0.0000 || 230s		 |	7 |			  0 | 0.0000 || 220s		 |   30 |			  1 | 0.0333 || 210s		 |   69 |			  2 | 0.0290 || 200s		 |  149 |			  5 | 0.0336 || 190s		 |  388 |			  9 | 0.0232 || 180s		 |  667 |			 14 | 0.0210 || 170s		 | 1219 |			 21 | 0.0172 || 160s		 | 1779 |			 33 | 0.0185 || 150s		 | 2255 |			 55 | 0.0244 || 140s		 | 2262 |			 48 | 0.0212 || 130s		 | 1916 |			 39 | 0.0204 || 120s		 | 1363 |			 23 | 0.0169 || 110s		 |  698 |			  0 | 0.0000 || 100s		 |  324 |			  0 | 0.0000 || 90s		  |  115 |			  0 | 0.0000 || 80s		  |   24 |			  0 | 0.0000 || 70s		  |	9 |			  0 | 0.0000 |+--------------+------+----------------+--------+
A really interesting distribution. I could just be a sample size effect, but it looks bi-modal.
 
QuizGuy66 said:
You have to think that these people didn't really understand the scoring rules. They probably thought that every player you select gets added together each week.
That's what I've been thinking. Nobody would waste the time to put together a team like that just as a way of throwing away a chance to win $20,000 would they (even if it is only a 1 in 13,000 chance)?
 
A look at week 1 scores from 2009 vs making the final 250.

Code:
+--------------+------+----------------+--------+| week_1_score | num  | made_final_250 | pct	|+--------------+------+----------------+--------+| 240s		 |	3 |			  0 | 0.0000 || 230s		 |	7 |			  0 | 0.0000 || 220s		 |   30 |			  1 | 0.0333 || 210s		 |   69 |			  2 | 0.0290 || 200s		 |  149 |			  5 | 0.0336 || 190s		 |  388 |			  9 | 0.0232 || 180s		 |  667 |			 14 | 0.0210 || 170s		 | 1219 |			 21 | 0.0172 || 160s		 | 1779 |			 33 | 0.0185 || 150s		 | 2255 |			 55 | 0.0244 || 140s		 | 2262 |			 48 | 0.0212 || 130s		 | 1916 |			 39 | 0.0204 || 120s		 | 1363 |			 23 | 0.0169 || 110s		 |  698 |			  0 | 0.0000 || 100s		 |  324 |			  0 | 0.0000 || 90s		  |  115 |			  0 | 0.0000 || 80s		  |   24 |			  0 | 0.0000 || 70s		  |	9 |			  0 | 0.0000 |+--------------+------+----------------+--------+
So, slightly better odds at making the final 250 if you scored over 200 in week 1, but still pretty high variance across the board.
With so much chance involved I don't think Week 1 scores can tell you much at all about your odds of making the final cut.
 
Bi-modal is two humps, I see only one.
Depends how you look at it.There's little doubt that teams that score high in week 1 (or any week, really) are probably more likely to make the final cut than teams that don't. On average, they probably have better teams. The more interesting question, I think, is how they fare when they get there. Is being a top scorer an advantage or a crutch once you get to the final three weeks? On the one hand you definitely want players that are putting up a ton of points all season long, but it would seem you're also more likely to be competing against other teams with many of the same players, and that lack of uniqueness may hurt the most in those final weeks. Not sure, though.

 
Bi-modal is two humps, I see only one.
This is some racy talk for this thread :hophead:I'm curious if you put a small number of restrictions (basically every position is filled each week - that is no 1 QB teams and other gimmicky teams etc) if that changes the success distribution at all. Seems like there'd be a loose correlation between week 1 success and overall success and I think that's demonstrated here.-QG
 
A look at week 1 scores from 2009 vs making the final 250.

Code:
+--------------+------+----------------+--------+| week_1_score | num  | made_final_250 | pct	|+--------------+------+----------------+--------+| 240s		 |	3 |			  0 | 0.0000 || 230s		 |	7 |			  0 | 0.0000 || 220s		 |   30 |			  1 | 0.0333 || 210s		 |   69 |			  2 | 0.0290 || 200s		 |  149 |			  5 | 0.0336 || 190s		 |  388 |			  9 | 0.0232 || 180s		 |  667 |			 14 | 0.0210 || 170s		 | 1219 |			 21 | 0.0172 || 160s		 | 1779 |			 33 | 0.0185 || 150s		 | 2255 |			 55 | 0.0244 || 140s		 | 2262 |			 48 | 0.0212 || 130s		 | 1916 |			 39 | 0.0204 || 120s		 | 1363 |			 23 | 0.0169 || 110s		 |  698 |			  0 | 0.0000 || 100s		 |  324 |			  0 | 0.0000 || 90s		  |  115 |			  0 | 0.0000 || 80s		  |   24 |			  0 | 0.0000 || 70s		  |	9 |			  0 | 0.0000 |+--------------+------+----------------+--------+
A really interesting distribution. I could just be a sample size effect, but it looks bi-modal.
I'm not understanding how Tila Tequila is involved.
 
Checking my subscriber team it shows Eric Decker "out?" weeks 3-7. Not expecting much from a flier like Decker but I can't find anything indicating Decker is expected to miss weeks 3-7... was he injured or something?

 
Checking my subscriber team it shows Eric Decker "out?" weeks 3-7. Not expecting much from a flier like Decker but I can't find anything indicating Decker is expected to miss weeks 3-7... was he injured or something?
No, I suspect it is just a test of the function and that layout seems to be a work in progress. Brandon Jackson is also pulling up a bunch of "out?" results too.
 
Checking my subscriber team it shows Eric Decker "out?" weeks 3-7. Not expecting much from a flier like Decker but I can't find anything indicating Decker is expected to miss weeks 3-7... was he injured or something?
No, I suspect it is just a test of the function and that layout seems to be a work in progress. Brandon Jackson is also pulling up a bunch of "out?" results too.
I think that's a cool addition as well :unsure: -QG
 
A look at week 1 scores from 2009 vs making the final 250.

Code:
+--------------+------+----------------+--------+| week_1_score | num  | made_final_250 | pct	|+--------------+------+----------------+--------+| 240s		 |	3 |			  0 | 0.0000 || 230s		 |	7 |			  0 | 0.0000 || 220s		 |   30 |			  1 | 0.0333 || 210s		 |   69 |			  2 | 0.0290 || 200s		 |  149 |			  5 | 0.0336 || 190s		 |  388 |			  9 | 0.0232 || 180s		 |  667 |			 14 | 0.0210 || 170s		 | 1219 |			 21 | 0.0172 || 160s		 | 1779 |			 33 | 0.0185 || 150s		 | 2255 |			 55 | 0.0244 || 140s		 | 2262 |			 48 | 0.0212 || 130s		 | 1916 |			 39 | 0.0204 || 120s		 | 1363 |			 23 | 0.0169 || 110s		 |  698 |			  0 | 0.0000 || 100s		 |  324 |			  0 | 0.0000 || 90s		  |  115 |			  0 | 0.0000 || 80s		  |   24 |			  0 | 0.0000 || 70s		  |	9 |			  0 | 0.0000 |+--------------+------+----------------+--------+
So, slightly better odds at making the final 250 if you scored over 200 in week 1, but still pretty high variance across the board.
With so much chance involved I don't think Week 1 scores can tell you much at all about your odds of making the final cut.
I think it might point to strategy in selecting teams. I think the smaller of the peaks might be attributed to teams that spread the wealth and created a balanced team.
 
quick question about something I just noticed and maybe didn't realize.....

looks like if a player has negative yards rushing or receiving that it it can count against them....?

example: McGahee had a TD but only scored 5.70 points.....

so QB kneel downs, etc could cause you to lose points......

 
quick question about something I just noticed and maybe didn't realize.....looks like if a player has negative yards rushing or receiving that it it can count against them....?example: McGahee had a TD but only scored 5.70 points.....so QB kneel downs, etc could cause you to lose points......
yuppers.-QG
 
quick question about something I just noticed and maybe didn't realize.....looks like if a player has negative yards rushing or receiving that it it can count against them....?example: McGahee had a TD but only scored 5.70 points.....so QB kneel downs, etc could cause you to lose points......
Yep. A guy I know got eliminated year before last by .05 when his QB took a knee and lost a yard.
 
quick question about something I just noticed and maybe didn't realize.....looks like if a player has negative yards rushing or receiving that it it can count against them....?example: McGahee had a TD but only scored 5.70 points.....so QB kneel downs, etc could cause you to lose points......
Yep. A guy I know got eliminated year before last by .05 when his QB took a knee and lost a yard.
PTTS
 
Anyway to look back and see how the past few winners did the 1st few weeks?
2009. I would love to see 2008 if anyone has itEdited to say : DUH : all you need to do is manipulate the year to 2008. now i can look back at the year i had Vick, Brady and Carr :hey: ))
2009's top week 1 scorer was knocked out in week 3 by about 32 points.#2 went out in week 2 by about 2 points.

 
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Anyway to look back and see how the past few winners did the 1st few weeks?
2009. I would love to see 2008 if anyone has itEdited to say : DUH : all you need to do is manipulate the year to 2008. now i can look back at the year i had Vick, Brady and Carr :goodposting: ))
For nostalgia's sake, I just went through team by team in 2008 to find my roster that year.I made it to the money round, but finished #183 thanks to putting up my worst score of the year in week 16. That team was very consistent. Only broke 200 one time, but was never really that close to the cut line.

Team #103192

 
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From a quick look at last year's top ten after week 1, I think all ten got eliminated. A few of them were gone by week 3. The last one went down around week 10.

The teams that scored high week one last year have many of the same players....when their studs didn't produce, they got eliminated.

I think it might be better to barely make it through to the next round by a small margin....and it helps if your long shots are the ones that are pulling you through. I guess my thinking is that you want as many teams as possible with the same studs as your team to be eliminated as possible.

 
Anyway to look back and see how the past few winners did the 1st few weeks?
2009. I would love to see 2008 if anyone has itEdited to say : DUH : all you need to do is manipulate the year to 2008. now i can look back at the year i had Vick, Brady and Carr :P ))
For nostalgia's sake, I just went through team by team in 2008 to find my roster that year.I made it to the money round, but finished #183 thanks to putting up my worst score of the year in week 16. That team was very consistent. Only broke 200 one time, but was never really that close to the cut line.

Team #103192
Is your team number the same year-over-year???? I used my number from this year to look at '09 and I'm pretty sure that wasn't my roster.

 
18-guy survival rate: 88.68%19-guy survival rate: 91.55%20-guy survival rate: 93.72%21-guy survival rate: 95.01%22-guy survival rate: 94.74%23-guy survival rate: 96.59%24-guy survival rate: 97.15%25-guy survival rate: 97.01%26-guy survival rate: 97.73%27-guy survival rate: 96.57%28-guy survival rate: 97.78%29-guy survival rate: 92.96%30-guy survival rate: 95.57%
That means nothing. Just wait until we get to the playoff weeks. That's when the 18 man rosters will rule.Signed,18 man roster guy with head in sand yet again
 
2007 Winner

Interesting notes:

He made the Week 10 cutoff by less than one point (Patriots bye week).

He only carried 2 QBs, and they had the same bye week (week 4).

He used David Garrard's points more often than Drew Brees, including the last three weeks.

LT was $70 that year.

ADP was $23 (his rookie year).

 
They can't access the rosters this year as it violates the TOS here at FBG. At least that's the story. I think it sucks that I can't pay $2 or whatever it was for someone to calculate my squad.
That's actually not quite right (at least from my inside pieces of the story), but the bottom line is that we aren't going to be able to score everyone this year, for a variety of reasons. I hate not knowing where we stand right after MNF is over, but this week was also unusual in that we didn't get results 1st thing Tuesday morning. DD does a great job of running the report for us, keeping the wait to a minimum.See you all in week 2!
Let's clear this up. We have not been told by any staff member at FBG that what we were doing violated the TOS here, nor can I find it on their site that it's a violation of TOS. However, the site we used to get the stats (http://myffl.net) is not meant for commercial use. So, if I am taking "donations", charging subscriptions or other, it's against their TOS. We really cant get the live stats short of this free site without paying thousands of dollars. That being said, I am still working on making the gameday scores available to everyone for free and if I have time, I will reopen the ability to add your own roster, or have it pull your contest roster. Please note, that it's unfortunate, I just don't have any free time on my hands this year, so I really haven't had time to do it pro bono..Good luck everyone.

Here's where the links will be when they are complete. I still need to add/remove players to the gameday scoring pages so it reflects the current contest players..

Gameday Scoring for all players - http://thefantasystar.com/fbg35k/scores.php

Original FBG 2010 Player Values - http://thefantasystar.com/fbg35k/2010.php
Thanks for everything OC! Appreciate all that you have done!
 
Anyway to look back and see how the past few winners did the 1st few weeks?
2009. I would love to see 2008 if anyone has itEdited to say : DUH : all you need to do is manipulate the year to 2008. now i can look back at the year i had Vick, Brady and Carr :lmao: ))
For nostalgia's sake, I just went through team by team in 2008 to find my roster that year.I made it to the money round, but finished #183 thanks to putting up my worst score of the year in week 16. That team was very consistent. Only broke 200 one time, but was never really that close to the cut line.

Team #103192
Is your team number the same year-over-year???? I used my number from this year to look at '09 and I'm pretty sure that wasn't my roster.
Its not the same every year. not at all
 
blend said:
Jayrod said:
Anyway to look back and see how the past few winners did the 1st few weeks?
2009. I would love to see 2008 if anyone has itEdited to say : DUH : all you need to do is manipulate the year to 2008. now i can look back at the year i had Vick, Brady and Carr :lmao: ))
For nostalgia's sake, I just went through team by team in 2008 to find my roster that year.I made it to the money round, but finished #183 thanks to putting up my worst score of the year in week 16. That team was very consistent. Only broke 200 one time, but was never really that close to the cut line.

Team #103192
Is your team number the same year-over-year???? I used my number from this year to look at '09 and I'm pretty sure that wasn't my roster.
No....I just remembered that I made the final 250, about where I finished (between 150 & 200), and that my QB's were Brees, Schaub & Warner.My QB's were money that year and scored like 25-40 every single week....the rest of my team was fairly blah except for Slaton & Fitzgerald.

 
A look at week 1 scores from 2009 vs making the final 250.

Code:
+--------------+------+----------------+--------+| week_1_score | num  | made_final_250 | pct	|+--------------+------+----------------+--------+| 240s		 |	3 |			  0 | 0.0000 || 230s		 |	7 |			  0 | 0.0000 || 220s		 |   30 |			  1 | 0.0333 || 210s		 |   69 |			  2 | 0.0290 || 200s		 |  149 |			  5 | 0.0336 || 190s		 |  388 |			  9 | 0.0232 || 180s		 |  667 |			 14 | 0.0210 || 170s		 | 1219 |			 21 | 0.0172 || 160s		 | 1779 |			 33 | 0.0185 || 150s		 | 2255 |			 55 | 0.0244 || 140s		 | 2262 |			 48 | 0.0212 || 130s		 | 1916 |			 39 | 0.0204 || 120s		 | 1363 |			 23 | 0.0169 || 110s		 |  698 |			  0 | 0.0000 || 100s		 |  324 |			  0 | 0.0000 || 90s		  |  115 |			  0 | 0.0000 || 80s		  |   24 |			  0 | 0.0000 || 70s		  |	9 |			  0 | 0.0000 |+--------------+------+----------------+--------+
Here is a look at making it to week 11 vs week 1 score:
Code:
+--------------+------+--------------------+--------+| week_1_score | num  | made_it_to_week_11 | pct	|+--------------+------+--------------------+--------+| 240s		 |	3 |				  0 | 0.0000 || 230s		 |	7 |				  0 | 0.0000 || 220s		 |   30 |				  4 | 0.1333 || 210s		 |   69 |				  7 | 0.1014 || 200s		 |  149 |				 20 | 0.1342 || 190s		 |  388 |				 55 | 0.1418 || 180s		 |  667 |				 81 | 0.1214 || 170s		 | 1219 |				186 | 0.1526 || 160s		 | 1779 |				251 | 0.1411 || 150s		 | 2255 |				338 | 0.1499 || 140s		 | 2262 |				295 | 0.1304 || 130s		 | 1916 |				246 | 0.1284 || 120s		 | 1363 |				127 | 0.0932 || 110s		 |  698 |				  0 | 0.0000 || 100s		 |  324 |				  0 | 0.0000 || 90s		  |  115 |				  0 | 0.0000 || 80s		  |   24 |				  0 | 0.0000 || 70s		  |	9 |				  0 | 0.0000 |+--------------+------+--------------------+--------+
 
A look at week 1 scores from 2009 vs making the final 250.

Code:
+--------------+------+----------------+--------+| week_1_score | num  | made_final_250 | pct	|+--------------+------+----------------+--------+| 240s		 |	3 |			  0 | 0.0000 || 230s		 |	7 |			  0 | 0.0000 || 220s		 |   30 |			  1 | 0.0333 || 210s		 |   69 |			  2 | 0.0290 || 200s		 |  149 |			  5 | 0.0336 || 190s		 |  388 |			  9 | 0.0232 || 180s		 |  667 |			 14 | 0.0210 || 170s		 | 1219 |			 21 | 0.0172 || 160s		 | 1779 |			 33 | 0.0185 || 150s		 | 2255 |			 55 | 0.0244 || 140s		 | 2262 |			 48 | 0.0212 || 130s		 | 1916 |			 39 | 0.0204 || 120s		 | 1363 |			 23 | 0.0169 || 110s		 |  698 |			  0 | 0.0000 || 100s		 |  324 |			  0 | 0.0000 || 90s		  |  115 |			  0 | 0.0000 || 80s		  |   24 |			  0 | 0.0000 || 70s		  |	9 |			  0 | 0.0000 |+--------------+------+----------------+--------+
Here is a look at making it to week 11 vs week 1 score:
Code:
+--------------+------+--------------------+--------+| week_1_score | num  | made_it_to_week_11 | pct	|+--------------+------+--------------------+--------+| 240s		 |	3 |				  0 | 0.0000 || 230s		 |	7 |				  0 | 0.0000 || 220s		 |   30 |				  4 | 0.1333 || 210s		 |   69 |				  7 | 0.1014 || 200s		 |  149 |				 20 | 0.1342 || 190s		 |  388 |				 55 | 0.1418 || 180s		 |  667 |				 81 | 0.1214 || 170s		 | 1219 |				186 | 0.1526 || 160s		 | 1779 |				251 | 0.1411 || 150s		 | 2255 |				338 | 0.1499 || 140s		 | 2262 |				295 | 0.1304 || 130s		 | 1916 |				246 | 0.1284 || 120s		 | 1363 |				127 | 0.0932 || 110s		 |  698 |				  0 | 0.0000 || 100s		 |  324 |				  0 | 0.0000 || 90s		  |  115 |				  0 | 0.0000 || 80s		  |   24 |				  0 | 0.0000 || 70s		  |	9 |				  0 | 0.0000 |+--------------+------+--------------------+--------+
Right now I'm just worried about making it to week 3 :lmao: -QG
 
A look at week 1 scores from 2009 vs making the final 250.

Code:
+--------------+------+----------------+--------+| week_1_score | num  | made_final_250 | pct	|+--------------+------+----------------+--------+| 240s		 |	3 |			  0 | 0.0000 || 230s		 |	7 |			  0 | 0.0000 || 220s		 |   30 |			  1 | 0.0333 || 210s		 |   69 |			  2 | 0.0290 || 200s		 |  149 |			  5 | 0.0336 || 190s		 |  388 |			  9 | 0.0232 || 180s		 |  667 |			 14 | 0.0210 || 170s		 | 1219 |			 21 | 0.0172 || 160s		 | 1779 |			 33 | 0.0185 || 150s		 | 2255 |			 55 | 0.0244 || 140s		 | 2262 |			 48 | 0.0212 || 130s		 | 1916 |			 39 | 0.0204 || 120s		 | 1363 |			 23 | 0.0169 || 110s		 |  698 |			  0 | 0.0000 || 100s		 |  324 |			  0 | 0.0000 || 90s		  |  115 |			  0 | 0.0000 || 80s		  |   24 |			  0 | 0.0000 || 70s		  |	9 |			  0 | 0.0000 |+--------------+------+----------------+--------+
Here is a look at making it to week 11 vs week 1 score:
Code:
+--------------+------+--------------------+--------+| week_1_score | num  | made_it_to_week_11 | pct	|+--------------+------+--------------------+--------+| 240s		 |	3 |				  0 | 0.0000 || 230s		 |	7 |				  0 | 0.0000 || 220s		 |   30 |				  4 | 0.1333 || 210s		 |   69 |				  7 | 0.1014 || 200s		 |  149 |				 20 | 0.1342 || 190s		 |  388 |				 55 | 0.1418 || 180s		 |  667 |				 81 | 0.1214 || 170s		 | 1219 |				186 | 0.1526 || 160s		 | 1779 |				251 | 0.1411 || 150s		 | 2255 |				338 | 0.1499 || 140s		 | 2262 |				295 | 0.1304 || 130s		 | 1916 |				246 | 0.1284 || 120s		 | 1363 |				127 | 0.0932 || 110s		 |  698 |				  0 | 0.0000 || 100s		 |  324 |				  0 | 0.0000 || 90s		  |  115 |				  0 | 0.0000 || 80s		  |   24 |				  0 | 0.0000 || 70s		  |	9 |				  0 | 0.0000 |+--------------+------+--------------------+--------+
Well, looking at that, I'm among the group with the highest probability of reaching week 11. And, in next week's simulator, I'm number 9 overall. So far, so good.
 

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