Milkman
Footballguy
Yeah Hill definitely looks really good. I just watched his game against Miss St and he can cut pretty violently when he gets going downhill. It's not Christine Michael "omg did he just do that" violent. His cuts are more economical but they get the defender off balance enough that he can run through their arm tackle. He's fast for 235 to. He has homerun speed and good vision. I am very excited to see him run the 40 at the combine.Pretty much with you on all of this.I have the same top eight except a little bit different order.EBF said:I posted my first top 24 of this draft season. It's the top link in my signature if you're curious.
Now it's time to sit back and see what these guys look like at the combine.
1. Watkins
2. Hyde
3. Lee
4. Seastrunk
5. Robinson
6. Hill
7. Ebron
8. Evans
Hill has kind of grown on me. He just looks so natural catching the football and he looks fast for his size. He does seem a little stiff to me. Hyde looks more fluid than Hill and I think he has the size and enough wiggle to be special. I think Hyde is a special talent. Does everything well. Can start day one and be 1200 yard 10+ TD back right out of the gate.
I only have Watkins #1 because everybody who's opinion I respect has him #1. So I figure I'm most likely mistaken about him. The way he got his yards in college scares me a little bit. NFL level CB's are not going to play 8-10 yards off of him and let him catch bubble screens all day. Watkins also looks a little stiff to me. He does have elite acceleration, good hands, and good size so his floor his pretty high.
Ebron's floor is very high imo. He reminds me of Vernon Davis (I know you say that's a bad comparison ) He's much more fluid than Davis. I could see him being a top 2-3 TE in the league in a couple years "if" he can be a good redzone target. That's a big if and the biggest question mark on Ebron.
I have no idea why Seastrunk is falling so far but I have the #5 pick and if he's there I will be jumping up and down. If he can catch the ball well he is going to be a 3 down back with homerun play ability. That's potentially top 10 overall dynasty value down the road.
Robinson really excites me because I think he is going to fall into the bottom of the 1st round in most rookie drafts. You made a great comparison his route running/footwork remind me of Keenan Allen. We all know how that worked out.
Lee looks amazing on tape but his drop rate scares me. Particularly his drop rate on long passes. He would be a great fit for Detroit with Calvin Johnson doing all the deep stuff and Lee the underneath routes.
Evans is kind of the forgotten man but he dominated some good SEC defenses. He has a huge upside. I heard or read somewhere that he is an extremely hard worker which I personally love. He hasn't been playing football for very long and he was a total stud this year in the SEC. That counts for something.
As far as Watkins goes, I see what you mean about stiffness. That's why I mentioned Mike Wallace as part of my comparison. Watkins is just a little bit straight-linish like that. He doesn't have the agile open field moves of Lee, Robinson, or Beckham. I have a pretty strong preference for agile players, so that's a little bit of a negative for me. Ultimately though, does he do enough things at a high enough level to be successful? I think the answer's yes. I'm not valuing him like he's a 21 year old Julio or Demaryius. I've got him around WR9-12 and I think at that stage you're not passing on anyone who's obviously superior.
Hyde vs. Hill is an interesting one. Hyde has grown on me throughout the season. I think he's a little more put together than Hill. He sort of reminds me of Doug Martin, but maybe a bit taller and with a fraction less explosiveness. I tentatively have him ranked over Hill, as you can see on the list. Part of that is just the cleaner character profile. I've been burned by guys like Justin Blackmon and Santonio Holmes, so if two guys look pretty close on talent then I'm probably going to prefer the one who isn't gonna be getting in bar fights. Putting that aside, Hill is a deceptive athlete.
I posted this little clip before, but he's not just a plodding power back. He has better lateral ability than people might realize. You can see it here:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UgGpQYFfs3c
He has a little bit of that Marshawn Lynch/Ray Rice thing where he runs on a swivel and can make hard cuts in the second level to leave tacklers grasping air. That's a quality that I always like to see in a RB. One of the hallmark traits of the great ones like ADP or LT is that they have very active feet/hips. Defenders can never get a clean shot on them because they're always bouncing around and redirecting their momentum. Hill is no LT, but for a guy who might weigh 230 he's pretty slippery.
Jeremy Hill has two things going for him that make him very appealing to FF owners. He has great hands to catch the football. I mean he looks like a WR catching the ball. Catches the ball with his hands away from his body. Turns up field decisively and he has good vision. He's also going to have GL duties. That's a really good combination for a running back.
He pass pro looks good/above average to. He runs at the line of scrimmage to shorten the space between him and the defender well and he uses his size and strength to punch the defender in the chest. I don't see him going low on defenders much. Just mans up and punches them in the mouth. If he would just stop doing that off the field he would be good to go.