A lot of people seem to think Wayne is just going to roll out there and do what he has always done..............color me not so confident in that, not coming off major injury in less than a year at his age.
Agreed. Wayne is 35 years old turning 36 durning the season. To think he is going to come back to form is overly optimistic and down right crazy IMO. While still effective last year, it was clear he was slowing down. I think that slow down gets magnified this year because of Father Time and the injury recovery. The body simply doesn't heal as quickly when you get older. That's not to say he can't still play a solid role in the offense. I just think the optimism level is a bit crazy with him.
Every year there are people that make this kind of mistake. Not saying it WILL be a mistake in Wayne's particular case but I'm guessing it will.
You have a guy that was literally the most durable WR in the league for a decade. Never missed a single game after his rookie season. He hasn't been dependent of speed in years. He is about smarts and technician and hands. Has been for years. An ACL probably affects that the least in comparison to a guy that is quick reflexes, shifting, speeding down the field.
So that's the known. We also know that ACL injuries are not the end of careers like they were years ago. There are many, many players with ACL injuries. Multiples, even. In fact, I think Thomas Davis, who is 31, has had three and had a terrific year last year. So, really, this just comes down to age and the tendency for people to write players off at a certain age, knowing that one of these years they will be right.
But here's the thing: People have been writing Wayne off for about 4 years now and it's been clear: they aren't really watching Wayne and don't really understand what he is on this Colts team.
Now, his knee could do him in. But I'll tell you right now, that is the only thing that is going to do it. If all the reports about how well he has recovered are lies and his knee is still and issue or re-breaks, then you have something. But if he has recovered from his knee injury, just like many other NFL players have in the past, then you will miss the boat.
I posted my thoughts on a stat line somewhere in this thread. I admit, I'm not the greatest at it and don't do it often. But then someone said it was a crazy stat prediction so I went and looked at what he has actually done and also what a dozen or so fantasy site predictors were saying and, to my surprise, I was actually on the low side. So I will defer to the "experts" of ff projections but I know now that my thinking is in the same vein as those who do this type of thing and not just saying "knee injury plus age=dead".
I think Wayne could be a real value compared to where he is being drafted.