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FBG Writers Challenge - Need to Know Changes and Why It Matters (1 Viewer)

Joe Bryant

Joe Bryant

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Staff member
I'll say upfront this thread has two purposes.

#1 - I think it'll be good content.

#2. We're not currently looking to add FBG Staffers but we likely will add some new people this year. The board is a great way to identify smart people. I'm not promising anything but I think it's a good topic for identifying writers in two areas:

A. Identifying what's important - finding the "needles" in the "haystacks" of info is really what we do at FBG

B. Identifying the writers who are able to convey their thoughts.

Here's the challenge:

Pick a team (any team) and give 3-5 news items that you feel are "need to know" type changes and then a short description (2-4 sentences) on why each change matters.

Teams change every year. Some more than others. But most all have some type or change. Whether it's free agency, coaching changes, players retiring or just getting older and less effective.

When a fantasy owner looks at a player, I think it's helpful to ask the question - "What's different about his situation this year?"

Summarizing the changes and what they mean is a great way to approach that.

We'll do this again after the draft as for many teams, rookies will have an impact. But a ton of this can be done now.

It's ok to pick a team that someone else has done. But every team is important and let's try to get good coverage.

And please, let's make this mostly a thread where people are throwing out thoughts. If you've got constructive feedback on posts, go ahead and reply to them and maybe start a dialog. But by and large, let's make this about what you think. Not picking what the other guy has already written.

Have at it.

J

 
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Washington Redskins

3 key changes:

1. Adding DeSean Jackson. Why this matters: The addition of DJax gives RG3 another much needed receiving threat. The Redskins WRs were pretty bad last year outside of Garcon and Jordan Reed. The addition of DJax should open up the middle of the field for Reed and Andre Roberts more. Garcon will also not be double teamed anymore since teams can't just slide a safety over him and let him catch screens like he did all last season. The Redskins could have a pretty potent offense considering Jay Gruden likes to throw the ball.

2. Hiring Jay Gruden. Why this matters: Jay Gruden helped develop Andy Dalton into a pretty nice NFL QB. Dalton finished last season as a top 3 fantasy QB. I think we can all agree that RG3 has more potential than Dalton. If Gruden can get RG3 back to his 2012 self, the Skins offense could be among the best in the league. One can argue the Skins offensive weapons are better than what Gruden had to work with in Cinncy. Garcon, Jackson, Roberts, Reed, Morris and Helu should give Gruden plenty of new toys to work with in DC.

3. RG3 loses the brace. Why this matters: It was clear RG3 wasn't 100% last season. He came back too soon from knee surgery and just wasn't himself. Part of the reason was his knee brace. Even during the season, Pierre Garcon said he didn't look as quick with the brace on. RG3 has said that he is entering the 2014 season sans brace. I would expect his speed to pick back up closter to his 2012 numbers. Without the brace, RG3 should be more of a running threat than he was last year. Gruden has already said he is fine with running the read option. A more mobile RG3 will definitely help with the downfield threat of DeSean Jackson now.

From a fantasy perspective, I'd say it's quiet alright to own some Redskins' skill players this year. RG3 should be closer to his 2012 numbers and could easily crack the top 10 QBs. Garcon and Jackson will make a nice WR duo. Garcon will be hard pressed to haul in 113 balls again, but he could still press for WR1 numbers and at worst be a nice WR2. Jackson will more than likely not repeat his career year in Philly last season, but could also be a nice WR2 and at worst WR3. With the WRs drawing more attention and RG3 being healthy, the boxes won't be quite as stacked this year for Alfred Morris. Who with all the problems on offense last season, still rushed for 1,275yds and 7TDs. I also wouldn't be surprised to see him a little more involved in the passing game either. Jordan Reed could be a nice low-end TE1 as long as he stays healthy. His season ended early last year due to concussions. If healthy, he has the skills and opportunity to put up nice numbers in this offense.

 
MattFancy said:
Washington Redskins

3 key changes:

1. Adding DeSean Jackson. Why this matters: The addition of DJax gives RG3 another much needed receiving threat. The Redskins WRs were pretty bad last year outside of Garcon and Jordan Reed. The addition of DJax should open up the middle of the field for Reed and Andre Roberts more. Garcon will also not be double teamed anymore since teams can't just slide a safety over him and let him catch screens like he did all last season. The Redskins could have a pretty potent offense considering Jay Gruden likes to throw the ball.

2. Hiring Jay Gruden. Why this matters: Jay Gruden helped develop Andy Dalton into a pretty nice NFL QB. Dalton finished last season as a top 3 fantasy QB. I think we can all agree that RG3 has more potential than Dalton. If Gruden can get RG3 back to his 2012 self, the Skins offense could be among the best in the league. One can argue the Skins offensive weapons are better than what Gruden had to work with in Cinncy. Garcon, Jackson, Roberts, Reed, Morris and Helu should give Gruden plenty of new toys to work with in DC.

3. RG3 loses the brace. Why this matters: It was clear RG3 wasn't 100% last season. He came back too soon from knee surgery and just wasn't himself. Part of the reason was his knee brace. Even during the season, Pierre Garcon said he didn't look as quick with the brace on. RG3 has said that he is entering the 2014 season sans brace. I would expect his speed to pick back up closter to his 2012 numbers. Without the brace, RG3 should be more of a running threat than he was last year. Gruden has already said he is fine with running the read option. A more mobile RG3 will definitely help with the downfield threat of DeSean Jackson now.

From a fantasy perspective, I'd say it's quiet alright to own some Redskins' skill players this year. RG3 should be closer to his 2012 numbers and could easily crack the top 10 QBs. Garcon and Jackson will make a nice WR duo. Garcon will be hard pressed to haul in 113 balls again, but he could still press for WR1 numbers and at worst be a nice WR2. Jackson will more than likely not repeat his career year in Philly last season, but could also be a nice WR2 and at worst WR3. With the WRs drawing more attention and RG3 being healthy, the boxes won't be quite as stacked this year for Alfred Morris. Who with all the problems on offense last season, still rushed for 1,275yds and 7TDs. I also wouldn't be surprised to see him a little more involved in the passing game either. Jordan Reed could be a nice low-end TE1 as long as he stays healthy. His season ended early last year due to concussions. If healthy, he has the skills and opportunity to put up nice numbers in this offense.
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Excellent Matt. Great job.

I'll call this out in the email update tonight and see if some of the guys reading the email update want to give it a shot along with the guys here.

J

 
Baltimore Ravens

3 key news items:

1. Hiring Gary Kubiak. Why this matters: Kubiak brings both his zone blocking run game and tight end friendly pass game to Baltimore. We've seen what he has done with Arian Foster and Ben Tate in Houston and looks to do the same with the tandem of Ray Rice and Bernard Pierce. As for the use of his tight ends? Over the last four seasons, Kubiak's offense has targeted the tight ends about 28.2% of the time and given them about 43.5% of the touchdowns. This should bode well for Dennis Pitta in Baltimore.

2. Ray Rice Indicted. Why this matters: Rice has been indicted on one count of aggravated assualt for a February incident in which he allegedly struck his (then) fiance, Janay Palmer. While Rice has since married Palmer and the Ravens have publicly defended him, there is still always a chance that NFL commisioner, Roger Goodell, takes a stand and suspends the former Scarlet Knight. This combined with Rice's apparent decline makes "backup" Bernard Pierce an intriguing target in both dynasty and re-draft leagues this season. Any time as the lead back in Kubiak's zone blocking scheme would make Pierce, at the minimum, a strong RB2.

3. Signing a Pair of Veterans. Why this matters: The Ravens brought in both Steve Smith and Owen Daniels to give quarterback Joe Flacco some new (ableit cheap) weapons. With Smith's speed on the decline, he should figure to take on a role similar to what we saw from Kevin Walter in Houston, which would make him a week-to-week matchup play. The signing of Daniels, who has only played for Kubiak, should bring with it much usage of 12 personel in Baltimore. This bolsters the above statements about Dennis Pitta, but also makes Daniels a strong TE2 option considering his familiarity with the system.

 
Green Bay Packers:

1) Aaron Rodgers is back. This impacts everything from Eddie Lacy to the defense. Lacy averaged over 20 touches and 100 yards per game during Rodgers' absence last season. To wit, when Lacy played Chicago in Week 9, he gained 150 yards on the ground. When he faced the same defense in Week 17, he rushed for 66 yards with Rodgers back. Obviously Rodgers is a huge presence on the field, but I'm not so sure that he's a net positive for ROY Eddie Lacy. Jonathan Franklin is going to be back as well and he showed very well. I expect Green Bay to use him as COP back quite often.

2) The offensive line will be better. Brian Bulaga missed the season last year and probably lost a handle on the LT job to impressive Rookie David Bakthiari. He'll move over to right tackle which is his more natural position. The team lost Evan Deitrich-Smith to Free agency. Here is what Mike McCarthy had to say “If you look at our depth chart right now this is the best group of offensive linemen from a depth standpoint that we’ve had in my time in Green Bay,” said McCarthy, who is entering his ninth season as head coach. “There’s a lot of good things to build off of with our offense.”

3) The team made the playoffs despite being an absolute MASH unit. Rodgers returns obviously. You know you have injury problem when you need your quarterback to simply help the defense get pummeled on a weekly basis. Getting back Casey Heyward to bolster the backfield is huge. He was very impressive as a rookie but did nothing in 2013 due to injury.

Here is a little article describing the severity of the Packers injuries.

GREEN BAY, Wis. -- Mike McCarthy made a frank statement at last week’s NFL annual meetings about the injuries that have befallen the Green Bay Packers in his eight seasons as head coach.

"We've had eight cracks at it and had two healthy football teams," McCarthy told reporters. "One of them was 15-1 and one of them was 13-3."

He was referring to the 2011 and 2007 seasons, respectively. Some injuries – say the broken collarbone that cost Aaron Rodgers seven-plus games last season – hurt more than others. So what's the best way to measure the impact of injuries on a team? Football Outsiders has a formula.

In what it calls the Adjusted Games Lost metric, Football Outsiders said the Packers were among the most injured teams in the NFL the last two seasons.

Last season, the Packers ranked 30th in the NFL in adjusted games lost with 104.5. Only the Indianapolis Colts (110.3) and New York Giants (144.6) had more. In 2012, the Packers had the most (108.1).

 
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Going to give this a shot

Pittsburgh Steelers:

1. Mike Munchak hired - Why it matters: Last year was another disappointing year from the Steelers, and most seem to believe that the qualms started in Week 1 when Maurkice Pouncey went down with a season ending knee injury vs. Tennessee on a poorly executed zone block by David DeCastro. The Steelers, still reeling from the loss of OL Coach Sean Kugler to UTEP, relied on Jack Bicknell Jr. from KC to revamp the OL and get the Steelers back to running the ball w/ authority and blocking Ben. The line, however, was a mess for most of the year (assist. line coach Shaun Sarrett allegedly took over the coaching reigns of the OL), and while injuries played a part in the letdown, the line was chiefly the reason why the Steelers opened up with a poor record in a # of games they simply could've won. Enter Mike Munchak. Munchak has a stellar reputation around the league as an excellent teacher and technician of the OL. When you couple that with a very young OL of high pedigree (several 1st and 2nd rounders), if Munchak can get these guys to play to their potential and properly teach them how to be an OL in the NFL, then the Steelers will be in EXCELLENT shape offensively. They would be able reap the benefits of a power running game behind Bell/Blount and Ben leading the aerial assault in the prime of his career. The Steelers also now boast having 3 assistants on it's coaching staff with head coaching experience, which could be good from a leadership standpoint (Todd Haley - KC, **** LeBeau - CIN, Mike Munchak - TEN).

2. Jason Worlids resigned/tagged - Why it matters: The Steelers are putting alot of faith in Jason Worlid's #s from 2013, and hoping he is the antidote to the pass rush questions the Steelers have had in recent years. They let go of all-pro, but oft-injured LB LaMarr Woodley - who was still putting up good #'s when healthy. The Stelers are betting alot of $ that a somewhat unproven commodity in Worlids (who isnt exactly the picture of good health either) can continue his breakout and be the next in line of dominant LBs to be produced by Pittsburgh. They'd better hope they are right, because the depth behind Jarvis Jones and Worlids is quite bare and a step back for Worlids and/or Jones could be quite devastating in the short/long term.

3. Free Agent Bonanza - Why it matters: The Steelers are notorious for standing pat in Free Agency until after the draft/training camp to fill in depth behind established veterans. However, in the past few years due to age/salary cap restraints there has been a bloodletting of veterans, especially on defense, for the Steelers and an infusion of talent was very much needed. While most fans thought the Steelers would address this in typical fashion via the draft, the Steelers made somewhat of a splash signing a veteran S on the first day (S Mike Mitchell - CAR) and adding a host of other veterans to bolster their depth on both sides of the ball: those signings were WR Lance Moore (NO), NT/DE Cam Thomas (SD), RB Legarrette Blount (NE), LB Arthur Moats (BUF), among others. The Steelers may not be done adding talent either, as DE/LB/WR are areas that are still thin even after signing all of these players; despite the voids, the Steelers will wait until atleast after the draft to see what positions need a few more bodies added.

 
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Jacksonville Jaguars

1. Denard Robinson has bulked up and put on 15 pounds. Why it matters: He's committing to RB full-time. With MJD gone, will he emerge as the 12-15 snaps a game RB to spell Toby Gerhart?

2. The OL will look much different. Joekel is back at LT. They signed Zane Beadles to play LG. The are pursuing Alex Mack to possibly take over for the retired Brad Meester at center. Last year's pleasant surprise, Austin Pasztor, flips back to RT. Why this matters: The Jags OL was bad last year, especially up the middle. Jags are committing to the ZBS with Beadles and if Mack is obtained, he would fit nicely in that scheme also. They still need to draft at least one more and probably multiple OL.

3. Jags have made some underrated signings/re-signings on both sides of the ball.Chad Henne, Jason Babin, Will Blackmon were re-signed. Chris Clemons, Red Byant, Ziggy Hood, Dekoda Watson, and Tandon Doss were brought in. Why This Matters: While these guys are not All-World, they do fit nicely in the Jaguars system and accomplish one thing: they give the Jaguars Draft Day flexibility, Henne won't win you a division, but he allows you the possibility of waiting on your franchise QB. Same thing with Clemons and Babin on the pass-rusher front. It gives Caldwell the flexibility to move around teh first round as he sees fit.

 
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Chicago Bears

1. Earl Bennett has departed. Defenses will now face 6'4" Brandon Marshall, 6'3" Alshon Jeffery, 6'6" Martellus Bennett and the 21 year-old 6'3" Marqueess Wilson who will likely get the slot. And we should not forget 6'2" RB Matt Forte or 6'3" Jay Cutler. That's a TALL order. Can anyone name another franchise with this kind of height advantage?

2. Spending most of 2013 with between 5 and 7 defensive starters on the IR, GM Phil Emery has already brought in Jared Allen and Lamarr Houston, Willie Young, Israel Idonije to bolster the Def Line, re-signed CB Charles Tillman and MLB D.J. WIlliams, with plans to move Shea McLellin to the SAM LB. Also signed WR Domenik Hixon, a LB, three safeties, center and a new punter.

3. The draft should be pretty straightforward. DT, RB (to replace M. Bush), Safety, CB, probably a LB

 
Great job Guys. Takes guts to put your thoughts out like this. Thanks. Excellent job by all.

Let's keep this going for the spring and summer. Don't worry about things getting out of date. Each post is time stamped obviously so it's understood you're writing these based on what we know right now. It's how we always operate.

Great work.

J

 
Philadelphia Eagles 2014 Offseason through Free Agency Report

1. Turnover at WR

Why this doesn't matter: With the return of Jeremy Maclin, the development of Zack Ertz as a receiving TE and the addition of at least one upcoming draft pick, the Eagle's passing game will not miss Desean Jackson and Jason Avant. Granted Desean put up over 1,300 yards and 9 TD's over last season, and that is a big gaudy number. However, during the games with Foles at QB, Desean was trending lower in production as the ball was spread around to all receivers. Additionally, Desean disappears against press man coverage, which is the adjustment most teams made to deal with McCoy's amazing success running the ball, allowing the defenses to drop a safety into the box. After the Eagle's bye week, Desean averaged 4 receptions for 38 yards and 0.25 TD's a game - excluding the Vikings game where they played 3 deep zone coverage and gave free releases off of the line and allowed several long plays on short passes.

Jason Avant will be missed - in the locker room and blocking downfield. However, his receiving production was a very pedestrian 2013 season average of just over 2 catches, 28 yards and 0.125 TD's a game. There may be more of an impact in the running game due to his absence, if it were not for the likely replacement of Avant's contributions by Zack Ertz, a TE, receiving more snaps. In total, the Eagle's passing game will be losing an estimated 6 receptions for 66 yards and 0.375 TD's per game.

With Jeremy Maclin returning from an ACL injury suffered at the beginning of last year's training camp, the Eagles get back a solid producer who has experience with Nick Foles and has been with the team during Chip Kelly's first year as head coach. During the last 4 games with Foles at QB, Maclin averaged over 6 receptions for 78 yards and 0.75 TD's per game. I believe it was this history with Foles that allowed the Eagles to release Desean Jackson without fear of a drastic drop off in production.

2. The addition of Darren Sproles

Why this matters: The Achilles's heel of Chip Kelly's offense last year was beating press man coverage. Opposing defenses would often drop a safety into the box to assist with stopping McCoy, and then play cover one, daring the Eagle's to beat them deep before the pass rush got to the QB. Foles often had no one open or worse, took a sack waiting for something to happen. Chip Kelly has said he wants the ball out of the QB's hands quickly, and to do that against press man, a good option is a quick slot receiver who can get those first downs to keep a drive alive. During the end of his career with the Saints, Sproles was featured more as a pass catcher motioning out of the backfield or lining up in the slot, and less as a runner. I believe Darren Sproles will be used in this role quite often, and his ability to relieve McCoy occasionally and return kicks is a welcome plus. The possibility of using Sproles and McCoy in the same backfield should give defensive coordinators a lot to think about in the off season. I don't think Sproles will be a world beater in Chip Kelly's offense, but he should add just enough to keep drives alive and ultimately help put additional points on the board.

3. Feeling Safe at Safety - Malcolm Jenkins signed for 3 years

Why this matters: With one of the worst pass defenses in the NFL, it is easy to see why allowing Patrick Chung, Kurt Coleman and Colt Anderson's contracts to expire and signing Jenkins is a big deal. Jenkins was a former first round draft pick and 2 time defensive captain with the Saints. He was originally drafted as a CB and later moved to safety, which adds versatility and coverage skills to his arsenal. While rebuilding a defense, and changing from the 4-3 to the 3-4, is a multi-year process, this move is definitely a cornerstone piece. The Eagles waited for several weeks in free agency before signing Nate Allen back to the team on a one year deal. While Allen showed promise at times, his game play has been a bit erratic over the years, perhaps causing the Eagles to think about acquiring another safety in the draft. In Allen's defense, this will be the first time he will have the same defensive coordinator for the next season so it will be interesting to see if he develops and perhaps earns an extension, or a rookie is drafted and battles for the starting position. While there are too many holes to fill in just this off season, the Eagle's defense should be improved, and getting the ball back into the offense's hands a few times more a game should be quite interesting.

Net fantasy impact of the offseason through the free agency period: Foles should continue to be a QB1 and McCoy a top 3 RB. However, due to spreading the ball around there appears to be no clear WR1 on this team. Maclin and Cooper should be WR3's or flex possibilities, but trying to decide who is hot in which week may drive an owner insane. The defense should improve to average statistically, but with the offense turning over the ball quickly either through scoring or punting, the defense does not rise above a possible "rent a defense" during a bye week.

 
Washington Redskins

1) Meet the New Boss

The new coach Jay Gruden will certainly implement a new offensive, probably much different than Shanahan's. At Cincinnati, he called a good bit of pass plays, even with Andy Dalton at quarterback. Does more pass attempts get Griffin killed, or elevate his stats? Either way, it should help the pass catchers as a whole, while decreasing the opportunities for rushers.

2) New Kid on the Block

Owner Dan Syder added some grease to the frying pan signing DeSean Jackson. If the deep threat plays like his 2013 form, he will have been well worth the risk. His arrival though, could reduce some of Pierre Garcon's targets. Desean's speed requires a defense's precaution, which may open things up underneath for tight ends and running backs.

3) Mending the Fence

The Redskins sported one of the league's worst offensive lines in 2013, hurting the entire offense. The team has already addressed the issue after signing free agent guard Shawn Lauvao; yet, they still may select a lineman in the draft for immediate improvement. As bad as the unit performed last year, they have to improve for next season.

 
Carolina Panthers

1) Losing Steve Smith... and the rest of their WRs.

The impact of losing a guy like Steve Smith speaks for it's self but having LaFell, Ginn and Hixon leave too means that the Panthers no longer have a WR that caught a regular or post season pass from Cam Newton last year. Smith, LaFell and Ginn combined for 149-1928-14 last season. Tom Brady went through the same type of issue last year and his fantasy numbers reflected it. Regardless, of how someone feels about the team bringing Jerricho Cotchery, Jason Avant, Tiquan Underwood they don't have the reps with Cam Newton to develop chemistry. Ed Dickson was also brought in from Baltimore but Dickson is much of receiving threat.

2) Jordan Gross Retired.

Has basically played in every game since Cam Newton got drafted. He made the Pro Bowl last year. Losing a Pro Bowl LT is a larger issue then losing all of a teams WRs which means any notion of the Panthers drafting a stud WR in the first should be out the window.

3) Cam Newton ankle surgery.

Newton is expected to miss OTAs and be back by training camp. Missing this time really compounds the affects of WRs and even LT that left town. The WR chemistry is the obvious problem but being a LT for a QB like Newton who moves around so much is also something that needs time to develop a chemistry and understanding with each other. The of course there's the simple question of how much is this ankle surgery going to hinder Cam? A mobile QB needs those ankles healthy for running around but even throwing the ball requires weight transfers and for the foot to be planted.

4) DeAngelo Williams Concerned about 8-9 man boxes.

“I just don’t want to see eight, nine guys in the box week in and week out because we’re working on our timing.” is what Williams told NFL AM. This is a legitimate concern. Fantasy owners already know that Williams, Stewart, Tolbert and Newton seem to be sharing carries so if they have to constantly faces defences that aren't afraid of the pass game so, those spread out carries might be for less yards. Oh, and they would have their Pro Bowl left tackle blocking for them any more.

Why it all matters: Newton's value should drop for this season. There's a chance he puts up great numbers because he is just too much of a stud to hold down but all signs point to a down year. There may also be a WR that just clicks with Newton too. Keep and eye out for some late round flyers in with Panthers WRs.

 
New England Patriots

1) Father Time Catching Up?

Tom Brady has entered the twilight years of his playing career. If it hasn't already, a steady decrease in ability will ensue; but how much and when? Did the Patriots passing struggles last season have to do the Tom Brady losing some of his greatness?

2) Healthy for a Change

Vereen, Gronkowski, and Amdendola played one game together last season. No offense can excel after losing its best offensive weapons, but the Patriots offense still managed pretty well. Assuming that injuries occur at random, they should have fewer causalities in 2014. Though some would warn buyer beware, due to injury-proneness.

3) Another Year Wiser

The Patriots relied on some rookie receivers at times in 2013, and for better or worse, they had their moments. Coaches widely agree that players make the biggest jump from year one to two. If either Dobson, Boyce, or Thompkins have talent, they should show it in their approaching second season.

4) Running Back Carousel

Bilicheck has a long reputation of frustrating fantasy owners with his use of running backs, playing the hot hand; only occasionally does he rely one player to carry the load - for instance, Stevan Ridley carried 285 times in 2012. Does Legarrette Blount's exit clear a path for the same opportunity, or will Bilicheck continue to mess with us?

My take on Brady:

Many will assume that Tom Brady's slide last season had everything to do with his decline due to aging. But they shouldn't overlook his very poor surroundings. For the Patriots, 2013 was an aberration. Their best player had an injury plagued season; a few other solid starters joined him on the sideline; unprepared rookies played instead.

I have to assume the situation will improve for Tom Brady. Even with reduced ability, he still has what it takes to produce in a good situation. He's one of the better buys in both redraft and dynasty.

 
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Titans-

1, Munchak and Bruce Matthews departure sheds decades of outstanding line play and line coaching experience, this is followed by losing their excellent defensive line coach just a few years before. The almost taken for granted great line play of the Titans for much of the last twenty years has been a hallmark of the team and a crutch. Short of Warren Moon's run N shoot, they have not been a dynamic offense but instead more predictable relying on the line to do more than most teams. It's difficult to word. Every team's RB is stalled if the line isn't blocking, yet the Titans offense is horrific is their line is not outstanding. If they are outstanding, it's been an efficient offense.

1b. The Titans were blessed with bookend tackles that made pro bowls and even all pro teams for about a decade. Recently, due to age, they let David Stewart leave and signed Michael Oher to replace him at a very similar salary. Roos is old-ish and they must address that soon.

1a. Their line has not performed well recently. They were terrible in 2012 and good in 2013. Very much not up to the high standard. This was but one reason for a change.

2. There was not a clear successor to Fisher. Munchak seemed like a descendant. Whisenhunt's presence finally seems like a successor and a breath of fresh air.

3. Chris Johnson was a difficult RB to root for and coach. Everyone likes the ESPN highlight where he flies for 80 yards, but it usually took 15-20 times where he appeared to run into a brick wall until that "daylight" came. They have said they'll draft a RB. The Titans are well stocked with backups if they could land a quality starter. Generally, when a starting RB leaves a guy like Shonn Greene is whom every writer and team press spokesman says will get the reins. This has rarely been the case and should be noted by FF folks expecting him to be a sleeper. Jackie Battle was more effective as a hard nosed type than Greene in 2013.

3a. CJs absence and the signing of McCluster will finally show the non-Titans fans how ridiculously quick Kendall Wright is and McCluster will bring some more speed. The Titans do not lack speed with his release.

4. Palmer's offense was terrible and he was fired. Loggains offense was very poor and included an alarming low amount of medium range passes with as few as two thrown in some games. This is simply too predictable for a defense. It doesn't give the Titans WRs room either. Whisenhunt's offense will be a dramatic improvement that FF folks should make a note of.

5. Locker has not been given the reins like he's their future and the streets are paved with gold. He has been given a one year show me deal from the coach. Locker has played just a smidge over a season's worth of games in three years. He is less experienced than many seem to realize, while at the same time going to be expected to perform like a veteran.

6. Hunter's time is 2014. Lavelle Hawkins signed with the Bucs, Britt signed with the Rams. Damian Williams signed with the Dolphins. Nate Washington and Kendall Wright remain. Marc Mariani-the prototypical coaches dream supposedly showed up for his interview all sweaty from a workout and Whisenhunt fell in love too and re-signed him. He's been hurt much of the last two years. He played primarily a return role yet oddly enough that earned him a pro bowl nod where he played WR. He's a small speedy Welker clone type that hasn't really been able to play WR much except for the preseason where he did well.

7. Munchak did an excellent job of instilling his attitude on most of the team and the hard work, tough guy mindset will be helpful for Whisenhunt, I'm sure. Whisenhunt is set up well to succeed. The Titans offense went from their beloved OC passing away to having two offensive coordinators that have been fired. Whisenhunt is oh so welcome and has been received so gratefully by the fans.

8. On defense, the Titans lost their top CB, Alterraun Verner. Some reviewed his 2013 stats as being the 2nd best CB in the NFL. This is a glaring hole, but not as large as the lack of an identity in the defense since Munchak took over. The last time the general public was intrigued by the Titans D Albert Haynesworth was on it. New defensive coordinator Ray Horton was with Whisenhunt on the Steelers, then with him in Arizona, and recently coached the Browns defense. While less news has been generated about the defensive changes this offseason, they should be as significant as the offensive changes.

There's some dramatic change in Titan town because it's the first time in a very long time that things do not seem familiar. In some ways it seemed older players were just doing their job they were used to and didn't really get a new system under Munchak. They went from the longest tenured coach to a guy that had been with the team his entire adult life. Most NFL teams have this revolving door at the coaching position. The Titans have not been that way-Whisenhunt brings a newness that the rest of the NFL is used to except Tennessee.

 
Saints:

[SIZE=12pt]Darren Sproles leaves. The Sean Payton Saints can be said to fall into two eras: the 2006-10 years with Reggie Bush and the 2011-13 seasons with Darren Sproles. Although the years with Bush included a Super Bowl, that championship came with him playing something of a specialized role and the foundation of an emphasis on the run game that largely did not include him (354 carries for Thomas, Bell and Hamilton, to 70 for Bush) but which made the offense extremely unpredictable for teams to attack. That offense was seventh in rushing attempts, sixth in rushing yards and the play action was typically unstoppable. In the years that followed the Saints finished 30th, 20th (the first year with Sproles), 29th and 26th in rushing attempts. As Brees clicked with Sproles (86, 75 and 71 receptions in 2011-13, respectively) the offense also became increasingly predictable. It seemed Brees even became dependent on Sproles and when he was in the game more and more it was fairly much a signal the Saints would be passing. Though the yards piled up in typical fashion, the points did not, and losses to the Patriots, Jets and Rams could be put squarely on failures of the offense. Seventy reception is a lot for a running back, there were only five to reach that level in the whole league (two of whom were named Charles and Forte), but the Saints had two by themselves. Sproles’ departure leaves either Cadet in his stead or an empty spot as a placeholder with a RB to be named in the draft or among the field of undrafted free agents. It certainly appears that Peyton wants to build a new foundation on a better running game. This was borne out in the playoffs when the Saints beat the Eagles and lost to the Seahawks while accentuating the rushing game, averaging 31 attempts and 146.5 yards per game, very much on par with Seattle, San Francisco and New England. [/SIZE]

[SIZE=12pt]The defensive backfield has been transformed as the Saints have released Malcolm Jenkins, Roman Harper, Jabari Greer, and Isa Abdul-Quddus, and have added Jairus Byrd, Marcus Ball, Champ Bailey, and matched Atlanta to keep Rafael Bush to run with Kenny Vaccaro. This pattern also has to be viewed within the context that the Saints spent a first round pick on a safety, Vaccaro, last year. And the Byrd contract is an NFL high for a safety. Perhaps most telling was a recent quote from Sean Payton: [/SIZE]

[SIZE=12pt]There was a time when that money might have gone to running backs in free agency. I think it’s shifted offensively over the years as teams look at the makeup of their roster. Specifically you are looking for ball production. You really begin to value those guys who, the ball finds them. He [byrd] is one of those players who really seems to be around the ball a lot. ... There was a time when if a safety was in position, the quarterback might not throw to a target. I think [now] he might be in position, but if he is someone who can't turn his hips, or if he is someone who struggles catching the football, the quarterback is throwing it. I think offenses pay close attention to ball skills on the other side of the ball and attack those players who don't have it.[/SIZE]
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[SIZE=12pt]- If you think about it this means that Payton, a renowned passing game and offensive guru, now believes that safeties are more important than running backs and as a practical matter he and GM Mickey Loomis have given Sproles’ money to Byrd. That is a heck of a sea change in philosophy.[/SIZE]

[SIZE=12pt]Mike Neu replaces Joe Lombardi as quarterbacks coach. The last time the Saints had a change among the core offensive brain trust it was 2009 when Doug Marrone left and Pete Carmichael moved up from quarterbacks coach to offensive coordinator and Joe Lombardi moved up from offensive assistant to quarterbacks coach. A change in one position coach may not seem like much but the year after offensive line coach Aaron Kromer left as offensive line coach the Saints’ sack total went from 26 to 37. Mike Neu was previously an Arena League head coach and the quarterbacks coach at Tulane, and it just so happens that backup quarterback Ryan Griffin tutored under Neu at Tulane as their starter. There may be some kind of developmental role for the future there as the staff has gone out of its way to praise Griffin, who could ultimately be a long term hold. This could reflect a possible shift in philosophy, though what that could be is undetermined as of now.[/SIZE]

[SIZE=12pt]Lance Moore left and signed with the Steelers. What this means is that the Saints’ wide receiver corps is essentially Marques Colston and Kenny Stills, and then a bunch consisting of Nick Toon, Joe Morgan and some projects (and Robert Meachem could be resigned). This leaves a lot of room to maneuver in the draft or free agency. In my opinion, the Saints are holding one or more spots for the draft, including perhaps one of the top six or so receivers that could go in the first round. Like Sproles, this further means that Brees has lost yet another reliable target if nothing else happens. [/SIZE]

[SIZE=12pt]Former starting left tackle Charles Brown and center Brian de la Puente left and have signed with the Giants and Bears, respectively. De la Puente is especially notable because the Saints have devoted so much to the middle of their line. From Jeff Faine to Jon Goodwin and then (for a while) Olin Kreutz, the Saints front office has emphasized putting smart capable vets in at center. De la Puente stepped in when Kreutz suddenly retired but he was himself a veteran of several camps and had great communication and rapport with Brees and the rest of the line. The Saints might start Tom Lelito, signed last year as a rookie undrafted free agent out of Stanford, or they could sign Jon Goowdin back again, or they could draft someone. The best scenario for Brees would be Goodwin. [/SIZE][SIZE=12pt]Alternatively, another way to look at this is that the Saints would prefer to have more of a mauler than de la Puente, someone who could be more of a force in the run game.[/SIZE]

 
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Minnesota Vikings

Transition at MLB

The Minnesota Vikings released ILB Erin Henderson earlier this offseason after his 3rd DUI arrest. Henderson's spot leaves a hole at linebacker for the Vikings at a possible IDP sleeper in tackle-heavy leagues. OLB Chad Greenway led the team in tackles in 2013, but he agreed to a paycut this offseason based on his performance last year. According to PFF, Chad Greenway led all OLBs last year in missed tackles. Enter new Head Coach Mike Zimmer. Last season, OLB Vontaze Burfict finished 1st among all IDPs in tackles last season. This leaves tackle opportunities galore for whoever wins the MLB for the Vikings this offseason. The early favorite heading into camp appears to be Audie Cole, but keep an eye on his backup, Matt Mauti, who is fully healthy for the first time this season and may push Cole for the MLB job.

Norv Turner Hired as OC

Mention the name Norv Turner and two players should come to mind: Antonio Gates and Jordan Cameron. Enter Kyle Rudolph. A 2nd round pick in 2011, Rudolph has already shown flashes during his first two seasons in Minnesota with Christian Ponder under center. Rudolph has the natural "basketball skills" that Gates and Jordan possess, but was a much more-heralded prospect coming out of Notre Dame. Rudolph is an obvious choice for an uptick in production and should pay dividends for owners who wait on a TE this season.

Matt Cassel Re-Signed

With Matt Cassel's re-signing, there is one WR flying under the radar that most fantasy owners are overlooking -- Greg Jennings. Despite the last-season emergence of Cordarelle Patterson, the WR with the most targets and yards during Matt Cassel's six starts last season was Greg Jennings, including a 11/163/1 line against the Eagles in Week 15. While Jennings continues to fall behind sexier picks at WR, keep in mind: in 2012, Jennings was the WR4 in ESPN's final preseason rankings,he has shown legitimate chemistry with Matt Cassel, and can be had for a marginal draft pick in 2014.

 
Green Bay Packers II

Who are the real Packer Cornerbacks?

Sam Shields and Tramon Williams started the year slow but both finished the season strong. In the second half of the season they really stepped up their game. Will this continue in 2014? Shields is in the prime of his career at age 26 and Williams is still relevant at 31. Shields just scored a big pay day and is pivotal to the success of the Packer Defense. Both need to be healthy and on top of their games if the Packers plan to make a Super Bowl run in 2014.

Julius - Anything left in the tank?

Peppers performance really fell off last year. Will a change in scenery rejuvenate his career? He is 34 and past his prime, but many DEs have had great seasons past age 34. The Packers will use Peppers as a hybrid outside linebacker/defensive end and line him up all over the field. If he can have an all-pro year he could be a key cog in another Super Bowl run.

Will Ted find a Safety?

He sure needs one! My guess is that he will take a safety with one of his top two picks. Last year no Packers safety had an interception and Morgan Burnett had a disappointing year to say the least. Micah Hyde was serviceable as a rookie and could be in line for a full time role. Burnett will also be back, but Ted will add a safety in this draft!

Will Ted add a Tight End?

Jermichael Finley may not be back and Brandon Bostick is probably not the answer. The Tight End is an important position in the Packers offense and Ted Thompson knows this. If he has a crack at either Eric Ebron or Austin Seferian-Jenkins I think he will take one of them as a replacement for Finley. Trading up in either the first or second round may be a priority for Ted if he falls in love with one of these two. I have a feeling that Ted will jump on one of these difference makers at a position of need.

Does Ted get a piece of this WR heavy draft?

We know that Ted likes the WR position. You have to think that he is licking his lips at the chance of getting a receiver in this deep draft. James Jones is gone and the Pack could use another receiver. Both Jordy and Cobb are going into the final years of their contracts (although the Packers are expected to re-up with both). Ted probably will grab a WR as a bargaining chip and a plan B - just in case.

 
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Detroit Lions

1. The Suh Saga: Why it matters. Suh has procrastinated his new contract negotiations, he didn't even name an agent until 5 days before the start of free agency, why does this matter? He has a cap number of around 22 million this year. Had he got a new deal done before free agency he would have given the Lions another 10 million in cap space to upgrade a very poor back 7 for their defense. I think this is a clear sign that Suh doesn't want to be in Detroit after this season, he is also not participating in off season workouts with the team.

2. Fairley doesn't get a fifth year: Detroit declined to pick up the optional fifth year on the rookie contract of Fairley, he goes into this season in a contract year and their is a chance that Detroit will have 2 new starting defensive tackles in 2015. Why it matters. For a team that has invested 3 first round picks in a defensive line since 2010 this would be a horrible way to start 2015 with 2 of those guys no longer even on the team.

3. Don't buy Golden Tate just yet: Golden Tate signed a 5 year deal with Detroit and it looked to be Golden Tate owners most wild dreams coming true, but now the rumors are heating up that Detroit is in love with Sammy Watkins and are going to do what it takes to trade up to 5 to get him.

4. Bush is not the back to own for the Lions. Bush was recently interviewed and he said he expects his workload to be less this year to keep him fresher for later in the season. There was also hinting that he could be used more in the Sproles role now that the Lions have hired Joe Lombardi from the Saints.

 
Is there anything going on in Buffalo? | Projected 2014 Buffalo Bills Offense

Changes:

1.) Healthy Manuel + Spiller.

2.) Upgraded Receiving Core + 2nd Year for Woods.

3.) Potential Upgrades in the Draft.

In Fantasy Football, we all know our ringers such as Adrian Peterson who will lift your fantasy team to greatness. But many teams and players don't get a second thought,Buffalo for instance. Name me one fantasy relevant player from Buffalo. You'll instinctively say, "CJ Spiller" and a few CJ Spiller haters will probably chime in "Stevie Johnson". Buffalo players have not been on many winning Fantasy Football teams the past few years for good reason but there's reason to be optimistic.

The acquisition of Mike Williams from Tampa Bay is a definite upgrade at Wide Receiver. This core should be more than enough ammunition for EJ Manuel to produce with if he's got the goods. The combination of Stevie Johnson, Robert Woods, and Mike Williams is nothing to scoff at. One of those three players will definitely go over 1,000 yards receiving and score 6 - 8 touchdowns. There's definite value in whoever the starting 2 WR are.

The envisioned core of the Offense EJ Manuel and CJ Spiller were banged up last season but will be healthy to start 2014. EJ Manuel is a gunslinger who's pocket presence reminds me of Ben Roethlisberger. They both have the uncanny ability to use their size to extend the play; on top of that Manuel is quite mobile and can run potential zone-read plays. Especially with defense playing conservatively against a burner like CJ Spiller. Manuel was on pace for 20 Touchdowns (Rush + Pass), 3,000 yards passing, and 239 yards on the ground last year. Not gaudy numbers but with a gimpy supporting cast, certainly acceptable for a rookie. I wouldn't advise drafting EJ Manuel but he is definitely a guy I would roll with against a weak matchup. A healthy Spiller equates to more yards and the receiving core has seen a significant upgrade from last year. This will open the door for more scoring opportunities in Buffalo.

The entire Buffalo offense is going to gel this year, I think all three of Johnson, Woods, and Williams can ball. It's really going to matter who wins the starting 2 WR jobs that determine who will be relevant this year. If Manuel can establish some credibility in the passing game, that opens Spiller up for draws, screens, flat routes, etc. Not to mention Manuel getting rushing attempts himself (he ran the ball 53 times in 10 games last year).

The blueprint of this Offense makes sense to me, it's going to be interesting to see what direction Buffalo goes in the draft. I think they would be wise to go Offensive Line or potentially draft Mike Evans. Evans would benefit from having a Quarterback with a rocket arm like EJ Manuel; Manuel would benefit from a big bodied receiver with hands like Evans. I can also seeing them drafting a complementary back to CJ Spiller. You've got to account for a smaller Running Back getting banged up and I think Buffalo will add an insurance policy who isn't the grizzled but somehow still producing Fred Jackson.

The best part is, drafting none of these guys will make or break your season with the exception of Spiller who's 2nd - 3rd Round Projection still warrants risk for a guy who has never proven he can get it done over 16 games.

 
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Colts

What's different from the second half of last season?

Reggie Wayne

Dwayne Allen

Hakeem Nicks

Why this matters- targets and flexibility for the offense.

With Wayne and Nicks likely playing on the outside, this puts Hilton back to his dangerous slot position. While many times this offense moves Wayne inside, now Hilton has the experience to play all positions.

Nicks will hit 1000 in this offense.

Allen comes back and immediately helps the run game.

Samson Satele is gone!

Why this matters- he was not good as a starting center. Costa will be an upgrade there. The interior offensive line is revamped which should help the run game.

D'Qwell Jackson in at MLB

Why this matters- this will be a major improvement in the defense which should lead to more possessions for Luck and the offense. The Colts were horrible last season at getting crucial stops. This is likely to improve.

 
1. The Giants have undergone a major transformation as Coughlin's staff was changed in too many ways to list. It seems like only he remains from last year.

2. The Green Back Packers quarterbacks coach Ben McAdoo has become their offensive coordinator. Some believe he is the heir apparent to Coughlin. They will run a mish-mash of the previous Giants system and the Packers system in recent years.

3. The Giants could have as many as four new starters on their offensive line. Eli had "no time" to throw last year and played very poorly. Their poor play threw last season and will be the focus all summer.

4. Determined to protect Eli, I'm already leery of any Giants TE for FF and expect them to consider going back to playing a FB on seemingly every play.

5. Hakeem Nicks is now Luck's target and Giants fans do not seem concerned with Cruz, Randle and Jerrel on board.

6. Andre Brown is in Houston. Assuming they make it through camp, the Giants will return with Brandon Jacobs and Peyton Hillis. Coughlin has always shown a preference toward tough hard-nosed runningbacks, so don't expect both old dogs to be sent to the pound this summer. Coughlin was quoted saying he prays David Wilson will be ready-this was after they signed Rashad Jennings. That comment sent off lots of flares through fan message boards and you can read into that however you deem fit. Wilson was not anywhere near as productive or effective as most hoped for last summer. The previous fifteen years, the Giants have had a wealth of depth at RB including backups that would become starters. They've been blessed with signings and picks that performed far better than expected. This is not that group. To coach the runningbacks the Giants brought in Steve McNair's and Kerry Collins' quarterback coach. Some say this was Coughlin's idea as his staff was being let go and a signing he's adamant about being a significant one for 2014. All this sets up for so much curiousity for the Giants running game in 2014.

7. Eli won't be ready til later in the offseason and the Giants are expected to sign a veteran backup to cover the early camps.

8. The Giants are interested in Chris Johnson. CJ running against a Jacobs/Hillis worn down defense does seem very intriguing with a new thunder and lightning vibe, but we shall see. For now, it seems like an all out camp battle of the previous RBs mentioned to see who starts.

9. On defense the Giants have lost Osi previously and Tuck this offseason. JPP remains, but he hasn't been dominant since 2011. Mathias Kiwi Kiwanuka went from oh so promising DE to playing LB and back to DE where he is more situational and generally average as a defender. Kiwi could suddenly become the DE help they need, but it's more likely he's depth at age 31. The other 31 teams GMs feel extremely fortunate when they draft an excellent DE so they usually go early in the draft. The Giants have had an incredible knack for selecting DEs that turn into quality players. This offseason seems set up for the Giants about banking on pulling this off again in the draft. This is a worrisome scenario.

10. The Giants secondary may be talented and a nice group if the line could apply pressure. Many have them drafting a CB with their first round pick. This won't help if the wide receivers have "all day" to get open.

11. Jessie Armstead is the last excellent LB the Giants had from what was once a staple of the team. Former first round pick of the Bengals, Keith Rivers, didn't become a star with NYG so he went north to Buffalo. Jon Beason hasn't played as well as he did in Carolina but he was re-signed and brings some hope.

The Giants 2014 season hinges on the play of their lines.

The Giants have long had an odd tradition of never allowing a head coach to coach in the last year of his contract. With much of his staff replaced and only re-signed to a one year deal, it is very possible this is Coughlin's last in New York.

 
msudaisy26 said:
Detroit Lions

1. The Suh Saga: Why it matters. Suh has procrastinated his new contract negotiations, he didn't even name an agent until 5 days before the start of free agency, why does this matter? He has a cap number of around 22 million this year. Had he got a new deal done before free agency he would have given the Lions another 10 million in cap space to upgrade a very poor back 7 for their defense. I think this is a clear sign that Suh doesn't want to be in Detroit after this season, he is also not participating in off season workouts with the team.

2. Fairley doesn't get a fifth year: Detroit declined to pick up the optional fifth year on the rookie contract of Fairley, he goes into this season in a contract year and their is a chance that Detroit will have 2 new starting defensive tackles in 2015. Why it matters. For a team that has invested 3 first round picks in a defensive line since 2010 this would be a horrible way to start 2015 with 2 of those guys no longer even on the team.

3. Don't buy Golden Tate just yet: Golden Tate signed a 5 year deal with Detroit and it looked to be Golden Tate owners most wild dreams coming true, but now the rumors are heating up that Detroit is in love with Sammy Watkins and are going to do what it takes to trade up to 5 to get him.

4. Bush is not the back to own for the Lions. Bush was recently interviewed and he said he expects his workload to be less this year to keep him fresher for later in the season. There was also hinting that he could be used more in the Sproles role now that the Lions have hired Joe Lombardi from the Saints.
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As a follow up on Bush, what's the take on Bell? Is he the back to own? I've got a good feeling about him this season.

 
werdnoynek said:
msudaisy26 said:
Detroit Lions

1. The Suh Saga: Why it matters. Suh has procrastinated his new contract negotiations, he didn't even name an agent until 5 days before the start of free agency, why does this matter? He has a cap number of around 22 million this year. Had he got a new deal done before free agency he would have given the Lions another 10 million in cap space to upgrade a very poor back 7 for their defense. I think this is a clear sign that Suh doesn't want to be in Detroit after this season, he is also not participating in off season workouts with the team.

2. Fairley doesn't get a fifth year: Detroit declined to pick up the optional fifth year on the rookie contract of Fairley, he goes into this season in a contract year and their is a chance that Detroit will have 2 new starting defensive tackles in 2015. Why it matters. For a team that has invested 3 first round picks in a defensive line since 2010 this would be a horrible way to start 2015 with 2 of those guys no longer even on the team.

3. Don't buy Golden Tate just yet: Golden Tate signed a 5 year deal with Detroit and it looked to be Golden Tate owners most wild dreams coming true, but now the rumors are heating up that Detroit is in love with Sammy Watkins and are going to do what it takes to trade up to 5 to get him.

4. Bush is not the back to own for the Lions. Bush was recently interviewed and he said he expects his workload to be less this year to keep him fresher for later in the season. There was also hinting that he could be used more in the Sproles role now that the Lions have hired Joe Lombardi from the Saints.
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As a follow up on Bush, what's the take on Bell? Is he the back to own? I've got a good feeling about him this season.
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Everything I have read and heard on talk radio says the Lions love what Bell brings to the table. Early reports are him getting about 60 percent of the running back carries this year and all the short yardage work. He is also a very good receiver out of the backfield. I don't expect him to put up more points this year compared to last year, but I do expect him to be more consistent. If Bush goes down though he is going to be in the neighborhood of a top 10 back though.

 
San Diego Chargers

1. Signing of Donald Brown

Why It Matters – GM Tom Telesco can refer to Ryan Mathews as his “bell cow” all he wants. The signing of Donald Brown to a three-year, 10.5 million dollar contract speaks volumes concerning how the organization feels about Mathew’s ability to carry the load. Mathews was a force down the stretch with 107 carries for 473 yards over the final four games of the regular season, as the Chargers made their memorable run to the post-season. Unfortunately, Mathews spent most of the playoffs on the sidelines nursing an ankle sprain and watched while undersized Danny Woodhead and inefficient Ronnie Brown failed to get things going on the ground. Woodhead’s struggles were not reserved to his post-season between the tackles rushes. He seemed to lose steam during the second half of the season, catching more than four balls only once over the final eight games, after having done so in six of the first eight games. Look for Donald Brown to spell both Mathews and Woodhead, creating a frustrating situation for fantasy owners.

2.Signing of David Johnson

Why It Matters – Former Steeler, David Johnson, was brought in to play fullback and tight end. Johnson is a run-blocking specialist who will be asked to help the aforementioned Mathews and Brown control the clock on the ground. This signing further illustrates the commitment to the ground game and chips away at some of the hype surrounding the resurgence of Philip Rivers.

3. Lack of interest in free agent wide receivers

Why It Matters – Rumors of San Diego being a possible landing spot for Steve Smith or Hakeem Nicks proved to wrong and San Diego is left very thin behind Keenan Allen. This should prove to be good news for Allen’s owners. As defenses look to stop the run, as well as account for TE’s Antonio Gates and Ladarius Greene, Allen should find himself in single coverage often. As a rookie, Allen proved to be a phenomenal route runner who quickly earned River’s trust. Keenan Allen is a WR1.

 
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New York Jets:

1) The signing of Michael Vick- Why it matters- Whether you think he's done as a viable or starter or not (I think he is) Vick's experience in Marty Mornhinweg's system makes him the biggest wildcard in this year's Jets season. While Geno Smith showed some significant improvement down the stretch last season, he's still a non-first round pick coming off of a pretty shaky debut season. The Jets investment in him is small enough that they can cut bait and give Vick a shot if they think he gives them a better chance of sneaking into the playoffs.

2) The signing of Eric Decker- While he's not a number 1 receiver, Decker's size, route running and ability to work the middle of the field should provide whoever is under center with a much needed security blanket. While I'm certainly worried that the greatness of Peyton Manning played a big part in Decker's rise to prominence, he absolutely presents an upgrade over what the Jets played at WR last year (They were pulling the likes of David Nelson and Greg Salas off the scrap heap in the middle of the year). His arrival also allows Jeremy Kerley to slide to his more natural 3rd WR role. Unfortunately, the Jets are still very much in need of a true # 1 target (as well as a TE, as the current #1, Jeff Cumberland, is no more than a JAG)

3) The signing of....nobody else- Despite multiple holes, an abundance of cap space and the fact that many free agents signed what appear to be very reasonable deals, Jeff Idzik and the Jets front office basically took a pass on the free agency spending spree (other than Decker and Vick). While this shouldn't have been that surprising to anyone familiar with Idzik (due to his previous affiliation with the draft-built Superbowl Champion Seahawks) it was nevertheless disappointing. Idzik has put himself in a position where he has to hit a home run in this year's draft. The team still has gaping holes at WR, TE, guard and most notably cornerback (not to mention several other positions which are currently manned by aging stop gap options like Calvin Pace and Dawan Landry), which isn't exactly good news in Rex Ryan's press-coverage heavy defensive scheme. Idzik's super-conservative approach is probably a good long term move, but it certainly can't sit well with his coach (who remains very much on the hot-seat, despite an over-achieving 8-8 2013) or much of the fan base (which was forced to endure another year outside the playoffs as well as the heartbreak of seeing Darrelle Revis sign with the hated Patriots)

4) The defensive front-7- On a much more positive note, the 2013 Jets saw the emergence of what appears to be a dominant group of defensive linemen. The "Son's of Anarchy" (Wilkerson, Richardson and Harrison) collectively emerged as one of the best units in the league (holding opponents to an NFL best 3.4 yards per carry). The pass rush also took a big leap from 2012 (11 more sacks) due to significant improvement from Wilkerson, 2nd year man Quentin Coples and a turn-back the clock season from Calvin Pace. The question for 2014 is: Just how good can this unit become? Will the expected development of this young group take the Jets defense to another level or will the weakness at CB and lack of a true impact OLB prevent the Jets D from joining the league's elite?

 
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Kansas City: Need to Know

1- Change On the Offensive Line

The offensive line is the bread and butter of an offense that opens up holes for running backs and gives quarterbacks valuable time in the form of pass protection. In Kansas City, this is currently a problem. They let Pro Bowl left tackle Brandon Albert walk along with starting guards Jon Asamoah and Geoff Schwartz. This is more than just a bump in the road, and the O-line will likely make or break the Chiefs season. #1 overall pick Eric Fisher will likely be moving back to his original position at left tackle, but the depth chart looks shaky.

A weakened offensive line will mean many things. First, potential #1 overall fantasy pick Jamal Charles won't find as many holes to run through. Although he is a talented back, he WILL NOT duplicate the numbers of last year. Also, a more average offensive line gives Alex Smith less time in the pocket. Although he will take few risks, Smith could see an uptick in INTs and a lower number of passing touchdowns in 2014. This doesn't account for the other draft able Chief Dwayne Bowe, who's stock has been dropping ever since his broke out on the fantasy scene.

2- The loss of Dexter McCluster

McCluster wasn't a huge fantasy factor. He did put up a huge game every once in a while but he was never a dependable player that a fantasy owner could trust. However, he is more valuable in the real world. Lining up at both RB and WR, he provided versatility to the Chiefs roster. Although he was mainly a pass catcher out of the backfield he was known to take a few carries. McCluster was signed by the Titans during free agency, and this is a huge loss for the Chiefs offense. Losing McCluster just makes the rest of the Kansas City receivers more prone to coverage. The former Chief is no longer a worry to opposing defenses, so focus will be put more on Bowe, Kelce, and Charles this season.

3- Defensive Changes

The Chiefs had one of the most surprising high scoring defenses in 2013. Their splash onto the scene was great, as long as he wasn't on your opponent's fantasy team. However, they don't carry the same weight as they did last year. They cannot go off as a top 5 defense in fantasy drafts in 2014. Their defense was very lucky to play an easy schedule last year, which made their fantasy numbers strong in the first 8 (or so) games last season. Down the stretch and in the playoffs they struggled to stop offenses, get sacks, and create turnovers. After finishing 2nd in the division, their schedule will be more difficult this year.

Expectations must be tempered for the squad despite the similar faces. They may have lost defensive end Tyson Jackson but they signed former Raider Vance Walker to go opposite Mike DeVito. They still boast one of the league's finest linebacking group (Hali, Houston, Johnson, Mays) and have a young, solid secondary that includes Pro Bowlers like safety Eric Berry, and star cornerback Brandon Flowers.

A talented defense will face a more difficult schedule in 2014. I believe they are still draftable as a fantasy defense, but I do not believe they are top 5 material.

4- Watch out for Travis Kelce

Banged up last season, Kelce really didn't see the field. Drafted in the 3rd round last year, the Chiefs wanted to grab a different type of tight end who could catch passes. He may not be the best blocker, but he has shown the ability to run good routes, get downfield, and catch balls. While he may not be another Tony Gonzalez, he could have a positive impact on the Chiefs offense, and also your fantasy team. He may not be anything more that a late round sleeper #2 TE right now, but I think that will change by the end of the preseason.

 
Why the Oakland Raiders are interesting...

1-James Jones and the receivers:

James Jones was an ideal #3 WR in Green Bay behind Cobb and Jordy Nelson. Now he enters an environment that has been devoid of a good Wide Receiver since, dare I say, Jerry Rice. Okay that might be a stretch but the receiving at Oakland has been a problem for the past few years. James Jones, along with Rod Streater, Mychal Rivera and Denarius Moore, will likely headline the passing attack.

Jones, although injured last year, was able to contribute as a bench player in fantasy. Moving to Oakland doesn't help his fantasy value, even if he does become the #1 option. If anything, he becomes a #4 wide receiver in fantasy drafts. His presence will take coverage away from players like Streater and Rivera, but neither should be taken as anything but a late round flier in drafts, at least right now.

2- Schaub, and drafting a QB

The Raiders now have a plethora of solid backup QBs on their team with Matt Schaub, Matt McGloin, and Terrelle Pryor. If they draft a Quarterback in the 1st round this May, this all changes. But right now, Matt Schaub is the team's starter. With the upgrades Oakland has made on offense I believe they can bring the former Texan back to starting QB form. It wasn't too long ago that Schaub was a solid fantasy backup QB.

There is no way Schaub can throw as many pick-sixes as he did last year. But will his 2013 INT% drop from 3.9% back to his career average of 2.6%? The loss of tackle Jared Veldheer puts a hole on their O-line (one that can be filled however). I believe that Schaub could be a low end #2 QB next year.

3- RBBC?

The Raiders resigned Darren McFadden and signed Maurice Jones-Drew in the offseason. Behind that, they have an interesting asset in Latavius Murray. McFadden and Jones-Drew are likely to split touches going into the season, which isn't a bad thing. That being said, neither Jones-Drew nor McFadden can be drafted as a #3 running back in fantasy football.

We need to remember that Jones-Drew is aging and won't be able to be as powerful or speedy as before. McFadden already has trouble exerting himself since he gets hurt every day and a half. So if these guys go down, Murray could step in and provide help to the running attack. I believe that both McFadden and Jones-Drew have the chance to be consistent every week, but not home run threats. They should see equal work, and thus equal fantasy points.

Note: It will be interesting to see who gets the goal line carries among the RBs. My bet is on Jones-Drew, but it could very well be Run-DMC or Murray.

4- The Defense

The Raiders have overall improved their defense. Before getting into specifics, it is important to take into account a few factors. A better defense leads to less possession by the opponents. This creates more time on offense for Oakland, providing more scoring opportunities for the team.

Their pass rush has seen a significant boost in the additions of Justin Tuck, Lamar Woodley and Antonio Smith. This will help get pressure on the QB and create more sacks and turnovers. The Raiders also resigned safeties Woodson and Young, keeping the secondary stable for now.

Recently the Raiders D/ST has been undraftable and even unplayable (even against the Jaguars offense) in recent years. But with these additions, they are a candidate to be a middle of the pack defensive unit. You obviously shouldn't start them against the Broncos, but if they play the weakened Chiefs, they could be worth a start over top 10 defense playing a talented offense.

 
As a wrtiter and I know Joe wants you to put what you think in stories remember - Rule #1 in writing for papers, websites and for the AP. Unless it is an editorial, NEVER, EVER, put "I think" in your story but try to convey it in other means. People want to be informed, they care less what "you think."

Not saying that as a negative although it comes across that way, but just providing a constructive critique for future writings. In commentary its mostly allowed, in stories and articles, it is frowned upon.

 
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Joe Bryant said:
I'll say upfront this thread has two purposes.

#1 - I think it'll be good content.

#2. We're not currently looking to add FBG Staffers but we likely will add some new people this year. The board is a great way to identify smart people. I'm not promising anything but I think it's a good topic for identifying writers in two areas:

A. Identifying what's important - finding the "needles" in the "haystacks" of info is really what we do at FBG

B. Identifying the writers who are able to convey their thoughts.

Here's the challenge:

Pick a team (any team) and give 3-5 news items that you feel are "need to know" type changes and then a short description (2-4 sentences) on why each change matters.

Teams change every year. Some more than others. But most all have some type or change. Whether it's free agency, coaching changes, players retiring or just getting older and less effective.

When a fantasy owner looks at a player, I think it's helpful to ask the question - "What's different about his situation this year?"

Summarizing the changes and what they mean is a great way to approach that.

We'll do this again after the draft as for many teams, rookies will have an impact. But a ton of this can be done now.

It's ok to pick a team that someone else has done. But every team is important and let's try to get good coverage.

And please, let's make this mostly a thread where people are throwing out thoughts. If you've got constructive feedback on posts, go ahead and reply to them and maybe start a dialog. But by and large, let's make this about what you think. Not picking what the other guy has already written.

Have at it.

J
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False Start said:
As a wrtiter and I know Joe wants you to put what you think in stories remember - Rule #1 in writing for papers, websites and for the AP. Unless it is an editorial, NEVER, EVER, put "I think" in your story but try to convey it in other means. People want to be informed, they care less what "you think."

Not saying that as a negative although it comes across that way, but just providing a constructive critique for future writings. In commentary its mostly allowed, in stories and articles, it is frowned upon.
Click to expand...
I do realize that using "think" in formal styles of writing is generally not accepted, I was simply trying to follow directions given by Joe. I viewed this as a mix between a forum discussion and a formal article/blog post about fantasy football. I wanted to make my point, expand upon it, and give my perspective. I like my view to be seen as if readers were peers, so they too can understand my logic and way of thinking.

However, simply stating the facts and providing information is enough for the reader. I will try my best to minimize the use of the 1st person.

 
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

4-12, 1-5 in division

4th in NFC South

New uniforms are not the only thing to get excited about in Tampa, for some. Even with the loss of Revis, the team made a splash in free agency and landed a coach that has a winning presence.

New Head Coach and Staff

This could prove to be the best move of the short off-season for the Buccaneers. Lovie Smith provides a defensive minded philosophy and will have his old friend Leslie Frazier to run that side of the ball while he brought in new offensive coordinator Jeff Tedford to lead his run heavy offense. This is a good fit for the Buccaneers as their team is built around this type of concept. Lovie is a respected coach at the NFL level who knows how to win and that is what the Buccaneers are looking for with the departure of Greg Schiano. The fresh look for a team coming off a disappointing season is important to it's success as the previous performance and team make up under Schiano was just not cutting for the ownership and fans.

Free Agency

The Buccaneers swung for the fences this off-season by making as many big splashes in free agency as possible. They landed four key starters in defensive end Michael Johnson and left tackle Anthony Collins from the Bengals, while also scoring corner Alterraun Verner from the Titans and center Evan Dietrich-Smith from the Packers. The acquisition of stop gap quarterback Jake McCown almost instantly gives the impression that they may draft a QB at some point since naming McCown starter shows that Lovie has little faith in Glennon being that guy. The Buccaneers also signed pass rushing defensive tackle Clinton McDonald from Seattle to give much needed depth at the position.

Derrelle Revis Departure

This is the move that has been the most disappointing for Tampa Bay fans this off-season. Fans shouldnt let it get them down too much however, as his $16 million cap number allowed for the Buccaneers to make the moves they did in free agency. They covered the position well with the acquisition of Vernor and beefed up other positions with the money they saved from the Revis departure. Amazing how losing one players salary can get a team the roster it needs pre-draft. Revis is still an effective corner but at the price he commanded, the moves the Buccaneers made in free agency justified the means.

 
I'm doing SF tomorrow, not looking for a gig, but I would like to break down what has me nervous in SF. Here is a preview:

1) Off the field issues

2) Defense becomes a question mark - Bowman and the gruesome injury, Justin Smith getting old, Aldon Smith (where to begin), & the loss of Hitner

3) Jim Harbaugh & Baalke beef

4) The passing game, can Kaep grow

 
You said any team so here it goes:

St. Louis Pizza Cutters, Forest Park Softball League

1) Fat Joe, the pitcher, departs team: Joe’s body was made of soft dough, but his arm was like rubbery dough; he could consistently throw strikes for multiple games in one day. When you get into serious tournament games, batters will take pitches and walks so it’s imperative to have someone who can consistently hit the mat. It’s the single most important defensive position so filling that hole will be challenging. If it can’t be done inorganically, the pizza cutters will have to countermeasure his loss with intensive off-season training with their catcher, Cocoa Critty.

2) Snake back in the slammer: Snake has been missing child support payments and is back in the slammer. Snake is the quiet, lead by example ripped, tough guy type; you can feel his presence when he’s there, and when he’s gone his absence is felt even more. Snake keeps guys in check and focused. The pizza cutters commit far more defensive errors when Snake is gone, which puts added pressure on their bats. Without Snake there is a great deal of leadership missing, and in a mentally grueling sport this can have dire consequences.

3) See number’s 1 & 2 because there is not a third major change (yet).

 
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yumpinyoda said:
Bri said:
6. Andre Brown is in Houston. Assuming they make it through camp, the Giants will return with Brandon Jacobs and Peyton Hillis.
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Uh, Brandon Jacobs announced his retirement on Jan 2nd of this year.
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Hmmm, don't know how I missed that, but I did, thanks

 
False Start said:
As a wrtiter and I know Joe wants you to put what you think in stories remember - Rule #1 in writing for papers, websites and for the AP. Unless it is an editorial, NEVER, EVER, put "I think" in your story but try to convey it in other means. People want to be informed, they care less what "you think."

Not saying that as a negative although it comes across that way, but just providing a constructive critique for future writings. In commentary its mostly allowed, in stories and articles, it is frowned upon.
Click to expand...
I'm not looking for a gig here. All the same though, I love the people here and the experience. I like to goof around as much as the next guy, but I would also jump at any chance to contribute to the overall quality on this board as well.

I think you should spell writer correctly if you are one and it shouldn't really ever be a typo. It comes across in a similar fashion to a doctor spelling doctor incorrectly; the sentence was also a run-on sentence that was poorly punctuated.

A commentary is a personal narrative or series of explanations. Joe did not ask for people to go cover stories at games. What he did was invite people to find a handful of news stories that they felt were important to their team, write a description, and then state why it's important to the team. I interpreted this to be asking for a commentary.

I assume Joe will follow some process here that involves an individual cleaning things up before it goes from messageboard post to "in print" over at the main site. Other than those denoted as fan speak or MB contributions, I have never known FBG to paste content from the MB to their main site.

Please keep in mind how many times Joe used the phrase "I think" himself.

If this involved reporting on news, 10k people would probably have their jaws drop at once if anyone other than Faust was chosen.

Constructive criticism after the fact, is not often constructive. Your post could have been written with an entirely different tone.

If anyone is interested in learning about writing, I would suggest googling the Inverted Pyramid and buying the book "The Scott."

 
TheWalkmen said:
You said any team so here it goes:

St. Louis Pizza Cutters, Forest Park Softball League

1) Fat Joe, the pitcher, departs team: Joe’s body was made of soft dough, but his arm was like rubbery dough; he could consistently throw strikes for multiple games in one day. When you get into serious tournament games, batters will take pitches and walks so it’s imperative to have someone who can consistently hit the mat. It’s the single most important defensive position so filling that hole will be challenging. If it can’t be done inorganically, the pizza cutters will have to countermeasure his loss with intensive off-season training with their catcher, Cocoa Critty.

2) Snake back in the slammer: Snake has been missing child support payments and is back in the slammer. Snake is the quiet, lead by example ripped, tough guy type; you can feel his presence when he’s there, and when he’s gone his absence is felt even more. Snake keeps guys in check and focused. The pizza cutters commit far more defensive errors when Snake is gone, which puts added pressure on their bats. Without Snake there is a great deal of leadership missing, and in a mentally grueling sport this can have dire consequences.

3) See number’s 1 & 2 because there is not a third major change (yet).
Click to expand...
:lmao: Thanks Walkmen. But please let's keep this to 2014 NFL Teams. Good one though.

J

 
[SIZE=12pt]Denver Broncos[/SIZE]

[SIZE=12pt]1. Knowshon Moreno signs with Miami[/SIZE]

[SIZE=12pt]Why it matters – Knowshon Moreno was one of last season’s great stories. Moreno entered training camp as an afterthought and ended up rushing for 1038 yards, adding 60 receptions for 548 yards, with a total of 13 touchdowns. Despite Moreno’s success, Denver showed no interest in resigning their leading rusher, which tells you all you need to know concerning their feelings for Montee Ball. As great as Moreno’s numbers were last season, Ball has the potential to put up even greater statistics. Moreno’s totals came while sharing carries and targets with Ball. Ball’s usage spiked in the final weeks of the season, finishing with 120 carries for 559 yards, 20 receptions for another 145 and scoring four touchdowns. C.J. Anderson will assume backup duties, but he will not approach the 140 touches that Ball had in the same role last season. Because he is still somewhat unproven, Ball will likely be available at the beginning of the 2nd round, especially in leagues that draft early. Don’t be fooled, he has fantasy MVP upside and would be a steal in the late first/early second. [/SIZE]

[SIZE=12pt]2 .Defensive spending spree[/SIZE]

[SIZE=12pt]Why it matters – Denver invested heavily in its defense this offseason, signing All-Pro cornerback Aqib Talib, premier pass-rusher DeMarcus Ware, and safety T.J. Ward. Coupled with a full-season of Von Miller (18.5 sack in 2012 vs. only five in a 2013 season that was marred by suspension and injury), Denver is hoping that their defense can rival the excellence of its offense. While it remains to be seen if the defense becomes one of the leagues dominant units, clearly improvement can be expected. A stronger defense, along with improvement in the ground game will cause a decline in the ridiculous offensive numbers from last season. Let someone else spend a first-rounder on Peyton Manning. No doubt, Peyton should be considered fantasy’s number one passer going into the draft. However, with the depth of serviceable fantasy quarterbacks, it would take an unlikely repeat of last season’s record-breaking performance for Manning to be worth a first-round pick. [/SIZE]

[SIZE=12pt]3. Eric Decker is replaced by Emmanuel Sanders[/SIZE]

[SIZE=12pt]Why it matters - Red-zone monster Eric Decker is heading to New York, replaced by a man four inches shorter and thirty-four pounds lighter. Emmanuel Sanders and his eleven career touchdowns steps into the lineup, taking over for Decker. While it would not be surprising to see Sanders produce career highs in catches and yards, don’t expect Decker-like red zone production. Decker’s twenty four touchdowns from the past two seasons will be spread out. Even with a predictable drop in touchdown passing for Peyton Manning, expect Demaryius Thomas and Julius Thomas to maintain and possibly increase their top-tier production from last season as Decker’s red-zone targets are sent their way. [/SIZE]

 
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Fresh Prince of Bel Nor said:
[SIZE=12pt]Denver Broncos[/SIZE]

[SIZE=12pt]1. Knowshon Moreno signs with Miami[/SIZE]

[SIZE=12pt]Why it matters – Knowshon Moreno was one of last season’s great stories. Moreno entered training camp as an afterthought and ended up rushing for 1038 yards, adding 60 receptions for 548 yards, with a total of 13 touchdowns. Despite Moreno’s success, Denver showed no interest in resigning their leading rusher, which tells you all you need to know concerning their feelings for Montee Ball. As great as Moreno’s numbers were last season, Ball has the potential to put up even greater statistics. Moreno’s totals came while sharing carries and targets with Ball. Ball’s usage spiked in the final weeks of the season, finishing with 120 carries for 559 yards, 20 receptions for another 145 and scoring four touchdowns. C.J. Anderson will assume backup duties, but he will not approach the 140 touches that Ball had in the same role last season. Because he is still somewhat unproven, Ball will likely be available at the beginning of the 2nd round, especially in leagues that draft early. Don’t be fooled, he has fantasy MVP upside and would be a steal in the late first/early second. [/SIZE]

[SIZE=12pt]2 .Defensive spending spree[/SIZE]

[SIZE=12pt]Why it matters – Denver invested heavily in its defense this offseason, signing All-Pro cornerback Aqib Talib, premier pass-rusher DeMarcus Ware, and safety T.J. Ward. Coupled with a full-season of Von Miller (18.5 sack in 2012 vs. only five in a 2013 season that was marred by suspension and injury), Denver is hoping that their defense can rival the excellence of its offense. While it remains to be seen if the defense becomes one of the leagues dominant units, clearly improvement can be expected. A stronger defense, along with improvement in the ground game will cause a decline in the ridiculous offensive numbers from last season. Let someone else spend a first-rounder on Peyton Manning. No doubt, Peyton should be considered fantasy’s number one passer going into the draft. However, with the depth of serviceable fantasy quarterbacks, it would take an unlikely repeat of last season’s record-breaking performance for Manning to be worth a first-round pick. [/SIZE]

[SIZE=12pt]3. Eric Decker is replaced by Emmanuel Sanders[/SIZE]

[SIZE=12pt]Why it matters - Red-zone monster Eric Decker is heading to New York, replaced by a man four inches shorter and thirty-four pounds lighter. Emmanuel Sanders and his eleven career touchdowns steps into the lineup, taking over for Decker. While it would not be surprising to see Sanders produce career highs in catches and yards, don’t expect Decker-like red zone production. Decker’s twenty four touchdowns from the past two seasons will be spread out. Even with a predictable drop in touchdown passing for Peyton Manning, expect Demaryius Thomas and Julius Thomas to maintain and possibly increase their top-tier production from last season as Decker’s red-zone targets are sent their way. [/SIZE]
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I think Ware is a gem of a guy and an awesome personal addition to any locker-room or team. How do you think he plays in Denver though?

With their pro bowl lineups, is there a "not enough to go around" theory that needs to be involved for 2014?

 
Fresh Prince of Bel Nor said:
[SIZE=12pt]Denver Broncos[/SIZE]

[SIZE=12pt]1. Knowshon Moreno signs with Miami[/SIZE]

[SIZE=12pt]Why it matters – Knowshon Moreno was one of last season’s great stories. Moreno entered training camp as an afterthought and ended up rushing for 1038 yards, adding 60 receptions for 548 yards, with a total of 13 touchdowns. Despite Moreno’s success, Denver showed no interest in resigning their leading rusher, which tells you all you need to know concerning their feelings for Montee Ball. As great as Moreno’s numbers were last season, Ball has the potential to put up even greater statistics. Moreno’s totals came while sharing carries and targets with Ball. Ball’s usage spiked in the final weeks of the season, finishing with 120 carries for 559 yards, 20 receptions for another 145 and scoring four touchdowns. C.J. Anderson will assume backup duties, but he will not approach the 140 touches that Ball had in the same role last season. Because he is still somewhat unproven, Ball will likely be available at the beginning of the 2nd round, especially in leagues that draft early. Don’t be fooled, he has fantasy MVP upside and would be a steal in the late first/early second. [/SIZE]

[SIZE=12pt]2 .Defensive spending spree[/SIZE]

[SIZE=12pt]Why it matters – Denver invested heavily in its defense this offseason, signing All-Pro cornerback Aqib Talib, premier pass-rusher DeMarcus Ware, and safety T.J. Ward. Coupled with a full-season of Von Miller (18.5 sack in 2012 vs. only five in a 2013 season that was marred by suspension and injury), Denver is hoping that their defense can rival the excellence of its offense. While it remains to be seen if the defense becomes one of the leagues dominant units, clearly improvement can be expected. A stronger defense, along with improvement in the ground game will cause a decline in the ridiculous offensive numbers from last season. Let someone else spend a first-rounder on Peyton Manning. No doubt, Peyton should be considered fantasy’s number one passer going into the draft. However, with the depth of serviceable fantasy quarterbacks, it would take an unlikely repeat of last season’s record-breaking performance for Manning to be worth a first-round pick. [/SIZE]

[SIZE=12pt]3. Eric Decker is replaced by Emmanuel Sanders[/SIZE]

[SIZE=12pt]Why it matters - Red-zone monster Eric Decker is heading to New York, replaced by a man four inches shorter and thirty-four pounds lighter. Emmanuel Sanders and his eleven career touchdowns steps into the lineup, taking over for Decker. While it would not be surprising to see Sanders produce career highs in catches and yards, don’t expect Decker-like red zone production. Decker’s twenty four touchdowns from the past two seasons will be spread out. Even with a predictable drop in touchdown passing for Peyton Manning, expect Demaryius Thomas and Julius Thomas to maintain and possibly increase their top-tier production from last season as Decker’s red-zone targets are sent their way. [/SIZE]
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I think Ware is a gem of a guy and an awesome personal addition to any locker-room or team. How do you think he plays in Denver though?

With their pro bowl lineups, is there a "not enough to go around" theory that needs to be involved for 2014?
Click to expand...
The "not enough to go around" theory certainly is a concern. The offense was able to support three viable starts at WR, along with a top TE and RB. It does appear that they are looking to copy some of the philosophy of the team that rolled them for the championship and are making the defense and running game a priority this off-season. Obviously, they are not going to suddenly become a mirrior image of Seattle. They will continue to let Manning do his thing, I would just expect an overall drop off from last season's record-shattering numbers.

With that, I have concerns about Welker and Sanders in that I see them alternating solid weeks. They would be fine as later round draft-only types, but I think I will pass in traditional leagues unless they are available late.

Demaryius should be immune from the "not enough to go around" since he will be the clear red-zone threat amongst the WR core and will get his targets. At this point I would take him over any receiver not named Calvin, although the case for Gordon as fantasy's #2 WR going in is strong. I worry about AJ losing targets in the Bengal's new run-first offense, since Dalton isn't going anywhere near last season's 586 attempts.

 
Bri said:
SaintsInDome2006 said:
Did anyone catch the recent email blast / article?
Click to expand...
No. Usually get one. It's been Bloom's recap of news. Can you summarize?
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Here you go. That's weird if you didn't receive this in the email. If it's not in your spam folder, please shoot an email to our Clayton Gray at gray@footballguys.com and he can maybe see what's going on there. Thanks.

J

Hi Folks,

Welcome to Friday and another Footballguys Recap of the News and Notes. The NBA wrapped up their regular season where they play 82 games to eliminate four teams from the post season or something like that. Whatever. Don't worry though as you can stay glued to the hardwood while our Sigmund Bloom has you covered with everything that's happened in the NFL this week as of Thursday evening.

Remember, a big change for Footballguys this year is the website will be open all "offseason" long. We'll be bringing you a ton of information for the NFL Draft as well as Fantasy Specific content for you. Check out the front page for Footballguys.com and you can see all the FREE Off Season Content here.

Have a great Friday and we'll see you next week. Happy Easter to you.

J

SITE NEWS

A. Way Too Early Redraft WR Rankings

Is Mid April too early to be ranking fantasy players for this year? Of course is it. Is that stopping us? No way. Our Sigmund Bloom has his set of WR rankings ready for you.

B. Way Too Early Redraft TE Rankings

Same thing with TEs. Yes, it's too early. And we're ok with that.

C. FBG Player Movement Tracker

The question every owner needs to stay on top of every offseason is "What's different?" Our Footballguys Player Movement Tracker helps you answer exactly that as we keep up with every player of note that's moving teams. And like most Footballguys features, it's user friendly allowing the viewer to sort and view in the way that works best for you.

D. Rookie Primer - Wide Receivers

Our Chad Parsons continues the Rookie Primer series taking a post combine look at WRs.

E. Potential Situations for Rookie QBs

Our Cian Fahey takes a detailed look into where the Rookie QBs may end up and what kind of role they might have.



INSIDE THIS ISSUE

This Week in NFL News by Sigmund Bloom AFCCleveland - The Browns matched Jacksonville's five-year, 42 million dollar offer sheet for C Alex Mack.

Why It Matters - This was expected, but it is good to see that the Browns are using their cap room to keep a cornerstone. Center is increasing in value around the league, and Mack is one of the best, so he is raising the bar for what a top center can get paid on the open market. This will help Ben Tate and the Browns passing game. The Jaguars lose out, but at least they are attempting to make improvements.

Denver - QB Peyton Manning said RB Montee Ball is ready to be the starter.

Why It Matters - Manning's endorsement is important, as pass blocking is just as important as running effectively when you are beside Manning in the backfield - ask "Dammit" Donald Brown. Ball is already being drafted in the second round - or even late first - as if he will perform at the ceiling Knowshon Moreno set in the Denver backfield last year. There are backs who should be just as productive with less risk available at the same point in your drafts, so we wouldn't get too caught up in theBall hype train.

Kansas City - WR Dwayne Bowe pled guilty to lesser defective equipment and littering charges to resolve a November arrest for marijuana possession.

Why It Matters - Bowe is unlikely to be suspended after another person in the car swore under oath that the marijuana was his and Bowe had no knowledge of it. While his 2013 was extremely disappointing, Bowe looked more like his old self as the season went on, and he should be a value as a WR3/Flex pick in the mid-rounds of drafts this year.

New England - Mike Freeman, of Bleacher Report, wrote this week that according to source close to TE Rob Gronkowski, he will "take his time and then take more time" in his return from a torn ACL and MCL.

Why It Matters - Gronkowski owners from last year know this drill, where Gronkowski returns when he is ready, not when everyone else is ready for him to return. Gronkowski could start the year on the PUP, and give fantasy owners a tough choice again in the 3rd-5th rounds of fantasy drafts. The good news is that Gronk was a stud once he did get back on the field, and if it wasn't for the freak hit directly on his knee, he was likely to help many teams go deep into the fantasy playoffs.

New York Jets - The Jets signed RB Chris Johnson to a two-year, eight million dollar deal with three million guaranteed.

Why It Matters - Johnson is getting paid more than Chris Ivory, so he is likely to have more fantasy value, but the duo will be used more like a RBBC than Johnson as the lead back and Ivory as the backup. Johnson should also get the passing down work and plenty of receptions, so RB2 status in PPR leagues is not a stretch. Adam Schefter of ESPN reported that the Jets have some concerns about one of Johnson's knees, including arthritis, but Johnson denied that he has an arthritic knee. Either way, his decline has started, at least in the view of the NFL, as Johnson was slated to get eight million for just this season under his old contract with Tennessee.

San Diego - San Diego Union Tribune reporter Michael Gehlken wrote that WR Malcom Floyd's career is still in jeopardy despite his reporting to voluntary veteran workouts next week.

Why It Matters - No timetable has been set for Floyd's clearance to return to football activities, or even a decision whether Floyd will be able to continue playing according to Gehlken. The Chargers are likely to draft a wide receiver, but in the meantime, Vincent Brown and Eddie Royal project as secondary targets, with tight ends Antonio Gates and breakout candidate Ladarius Green helping pick up the slack for the lack of a true #2 wide receiver in the Chargers' offense.

NFC

Detroit - New WR Golden Tate compared his role in the Lions' offense to Lance Moore's under new offensive coordinator Joe Lombardi when Lombardi was in New Orleans.

Why It Matters - Moore's numbers during his time with New Orleans should be considered Tate's floor, as Tate is a better receiver in the air and after the catch than Moore, although he is not as good of a route runner. Tate will also benefit from the coverage that Calvin Johnson draws, giving him the upside to be a strong WR3/Flex, assuming the Lions don't trade up to get Sammy Watkins or otherwise spend a high pick on a wide receiver.

Green Bay - The Packers signed QB Matt Flynn.

Why It Matters - Flynn will compete with Scott Tolzien to back up Aaron Rodgers. He proved to be only a desperation option for fantasy in his return to the Packers last year. The wide receivers took a hit when Flynn started, but RB Eddie Lacy and TE Andrew Quarless were bigger parts of the offense. Flynn is not a sure thing to beat out Tolzien, but he should be considered the favorite to win the #2 QB job.

New Orleans - The deadline for TE Jimmy Graham to file a grievance about his designation as a tight end on his franchise tag is next Tuesday, April 22, but GM Mickey Loomis said that the date was not a deadline for a new contract.

Why It Matters - This dispute has been simmering like a pot of gumbo while the free agent news and draft speculation has been flying. Graham would get over five million dollars more as a tagged wide receiver, and he was arguably used more like a wide receiver, so he would be remiss if he did not file a grievance, unless a long-term deal gets done in the next few days. Jermichael Finley got more than the tight end tag number from the Packers two years ago when he was a candidate to be tagged, and Graham is worth more to the Saints than Finley was to the Packers.

New York Giants - The Giants signed QB Josh Freeman to a one-year deal.

Why It Matters - The team must not be that comfortable with 2013 fourth-round pick Ryan Nassib as the backup to Eli Manning. Freeman's standing has plummeted in league circles. He is only 26 and has franchise QB tools, but the NFL let him sit on the market for over a month, and he likely signed a dirt cheap deal with little commitment. If the Giants can help him turn around his career, they could retain Freeman, which has the potential to figure into the decision of whether to extend Eli Manning after his contract expires in 2015.

New York Giants - Former offensive coordinator Kevin Gilbride dismissed talk that QB Eli Manning is on the decline and implied by omission that WR Rueben Randle might not be in the Giants future plans.

Why It Matters - After flirting with fantasy QB1 level numbers in the past, Manning has fallen to the point that he might not even be drafted in some fantasy leagues this summer. Gilbride said Manning will be fine once the Giants solidify the offensive line and "get somebody that’s going to be productive for them as an outside receiver". Since Randle is already on the roster, that is not a great sign of Gilbride's opinion of the third-year receiver. GM Jerry Reese was also lukewarm when he talked about Randle earlier in the offseason. Randle could break out this year, but he should be low on your list of sleeper wideouts until he generates more positive buzz.

San Francisco - OLB Aldon Smith was arrested at the LAX airport for an incident in which he made a false bomb threat.

Why It Matters - Tim Kawakami of the Bay Area News Group reported that "after talking to several sources involved with the 49ers’ decision-making, is that troubled linebacker Aldon Smith hasn’t only lost the benefit of the doubt, he probably won’t play for the 49ers in 2014." Ian Rapoport of NFL Network reported that it appeared unlikely that the 49ers would pick up Smith's fifth-year option, adding fuel to the fire. Smith is also facing previous DUI and felony weapons charges with an April 29court date. The team did draft Tank Carradine and Corey Lemonier last year, and Ahmad Brooks has turned into an all-pro level 3-4 OLB, so the team could release or trade Smith and have a plan B at his position.

San Francisco - Matt Barrows of the Sacramento Bee reports that the 49ers have been shopping RB LaMichael James.

Why It Matters - Philadelphia is mentioned as a possible trade partner because head coach Chip Kelly had James at Oregon. James, a 2012 second-round pick, has been a massive disappointment, and the 49ers have been looking at punt returners and running backs in free agency and the draft pool, despite GM Trent Baalke's insistence that James "will be a 49er" back in February. James is unlikely to garner more than a very late-round pick, but Barrows writes that he wants to be on the field more, so perhaps he could get his foot in the door on a new team. He is probably only worth holding onto in deep dynasty leagues at this point.

San Francisco - The 49ers signed WR Brandon Lloyd.

Why It Matters - Lloyd could push 2013 fourth-round pick Quinton Patton for the #3 wide receiver job and cost Jon Baldwin a roster spot, but he has been away from the game for a year. The 49ers may run more three-wide sets this year, but it is unlikely that Lloyd would have fantasy relevance without multiple injuries to key San Francisco passcatchers - that is, if he even makes the team.

San Francisco - According to the police report, Seattle WR Ricardo Lockette called the police to intervene in the incident involving 49ers Colin Kaepernick.

Why It Matters - In other words, this is highly unlikely to be a problem for Kaepernick. No charges have been filed and Kaepernick has not been sought for questioning. Chalk this one up to the TMZ-ization of the NFL news cycle.

Seattle - WR Sidney Rice returned to the Seahawks on a one-year deal.

Why It Matters - This could slow down any sleeper buzz building behind Jermaine Kearse, but it makes sense for both Rice and the Seahawks to maintain continuity, as Rice provides a downfield and red zone threat when healthy, although that when healthy part has been the sticking point. QB Russell Wilson tweeted"Yesssssss!!!!!" upon news of the signing, so you know it is not a bad thing for his fantasy outlook. Rice is very unlikely to have fantasy relevance this year, but a player of his former abilities is always worth monitoring for an unlikely resurgence.

Tampa Bay - ESPN's Pat Yasinskas advises that RB Doug Martin "is going to be the main ball carrier and that means he still will be a fantasy force".

Why It Matters - There have been worries about Martin's workload being cut back based on comments about a rotation from head coach Lovie Smith, but this is the smart play. He was overrated as a top 5 pick last year, but Martin is a value if you can get him in the second round of drafts this year.

That'll do it for today, Folks. Thanks for reading and thanks for sharing your Fantasy Football Season with us. Seriously. We think it's a big deal that you give us the time to read what we write. We're in this thing together and we'll do all we can to help you make 2014 your best year yet. Have a great week and we'll see you next Friday with another update.

Peace,

J
Click to expand...
 
False Start said:
As a wrtiter and I know Joe wants you to put what you think in stories remember - Rule #1 in writing for papers, websites and for the AP. Unless it is an editorial, NEVER, EVER, put "I think" in your story but try to convey it in other means. People want to be informed, they care less what "you think."

Not saying that as a negative although it comes across that way, but just providing a constructive critique for future writings. In commentary its mostly allowed, in stories and articles, it is frowned upon.
Click to expand...
Peter King needs this advice-

TEN THINGS I THINK I THINK http://mmqb.si.com/2014/04/21/2014-nfl-draft-rumors-monday-morning-quarterback/5/
 
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