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He's deciding between Jason Hill and Earl Bennett. Let the man think!
Can't say I've ever seen a TE go 1st in any format.
heh, this is true. id proly went gates but can def see a te being top scorer.
I've contested several leagues against Matt, and he is always tough as nails. If he thinks Witten is worth 1.01 in this scoring paradigm, I can assure you that the math works out given Matt's projections. Also, there is a reason his nickname is "Wildman" - Matt thinks outside the box, and isn't concerned with taking "safe" picks - he plays to win. 
Really?Selection Date/Time Comments
I'm suggesting that instead of seeing the second tier RBs go at the end of the first round and the second tier WRs go throughout the 3rd round, you're going to see TEs, DEs, a LB or three, and a DT mixed in. In most leagues with combined offense-IDP lineups, you wouldn't (and shouldn't) see that occur.My draft board has six RBs in the top ten, but only about ten carry grades in the top four rounds. The second tier receivers fit the same profile, fewer carry higher grades. I draft in tiers, so that's somewhat fluid, but I'll be very surprised. if I have two backs and a receiver on my roster through three rounds.
1.06 is a tough spot for you. If you earmarked it for a top 1-2 TE wiith this system you'll have people saying you did it to bail out Waldman.
I am not considering TE here. I very well might in Round 2, however.
This was someone taking Rodgers and Gonzo with his first 2 picks a couple years ago. So glad my brain stores such useful information.
DT (Suh) is one of the three positions in the mix for me.There's no good way to value those cover corners. Even when you prioritize PD and INT and INT return yards over tackles, it's hard to elevate a player that isn't targeted. Things like yards per attempt allowed or awarding points for fewer times targeted just aren't (yet) practical for fantasy leagues. It's the biggest blind spot for IDP leagues.
First of all, the bolded part is dead wrong. If you can only start 1 RB, the relative value of the studs goes down. The math is complicated, but just compare 1QB and 2QB leagues for an example of this principle. Second, this format bumps the value of high-yardage TEs, so tier 1 probably splits into at least two tiers. This is especially true because the multipliers magnify the differences between individual players' values.
not sure if you read Matt's post, if you did you should read it again.
I did. And I still think it was silly. What am I missing?
Not only that but 7 or 8 of his 9 TDs last season came from Kitna. He had 4 TDs in 2008 and 2 TDs in 2009 with Romo.
With you all the way Fester EXCEPT the Dallas defense is not getting better so they may find themselves in a lot of shootouts. They have a hit n miss secondary and then they have lost some pieces as well in the front 7. Romo stays healthy and I see him passing for a career high. There might be room for Austin to grab 1000/8TD, Dez to come close to 1,000 and Witten to still post fairly strong numbers.
Receptions and Yards are more the thing in this league. Witten past four years with/without Austin and Romo starting 9, 16, 13, 16 games past four years: Witten 94-1002-9, 94-1030-2, 81-952-4, 96-1145-7.
that Witten was the #3 overall player in the league and the position turnover analysis. I think his explanation is very rational and methodical. I can possibly see debating a different TE but based on the scoring system TE's are valuable and he's looking for a consistent and reliable one and while Gates would fit the bill ordinarily his injury history knocked him down.
Matt,Are you at all concerned with Witten's mediocre start with Romo under center for the first six games?Here is his gamelog:1 09/12/10 @WAS 3 27 0 2 09/19/10 CHI 5 51 0 3 09/26/10 @HOU 7 56 0 4* // - - - - - 5 10/10/10 TEN 5 84 1 6 10/17/10 @MIN 3 52 0
With all due respect, Matt, if Romo hadn't been injured, I doubt you would have seen those numbers last year. Kitna (for whatever reason) had a poor rapport with Austin and Witten was the beneficiary. For that reason, I view last year's stats as an anomaly or outlier.
I will reserve judgement until I see Matt 2nd pick. There are a lots of RBs that aren't considered top tier but will still get the lions share of carries. (I don't even know why I am commenting since it a mock draft. It not like it counts for anything.)
See above. I'll take four years over six games last year.
Whether it works out or not, I appreciate you understand the logic behind it. Because it is pretty logical.
