Recent content by Englishteacher

He was released by the Hawks, Redskins, And Cowboys. Helluva year to accomplish that.

The 20%, 16%, 12.8%.................. etc. comes from the Pareto Principle. If you take the rule, or Principle, 80% of our good, or production, comes from 20% of our effort. I applied this to the ranking system, giving weight to the younger years of a player's career and the most immediate time...

I'm somewhat familiar in name and concept with regression to the mean, fake snaps, projecting with draft position, and Bayesian stats. Gordon had a pretty brutal rookie season. Some of the scouting reports I remembered reading on him were that he had a bust potential and that his college...

Unfortunately, PFF doesn't allow access to their premium statistics anymore as they've shifted their concept, just player grades are available. I had a subscription in the last several years but the premium statistics accumulated stats while the player grades average them.

Very true about Ware. Of course, he's been sitting behind two HOF'ers.

Thanks for the comments ZWK. 1. I agree small sample sizes are less predictive. What's less predicitve, I feel, is actual production and fantasy points than a measured performance using a grading system. To me, this is a more important barometer for long term success than opportunity (guy in...

Appreciate it.

I agree, and I'll come back to this further. I tend to favor talent over situation in dynasty. That's the short answer. For redraft, that's a different beast.

While he had a quality rookie season, I think from my analysis, Johnson is overvalued right now in Dynasty Circles. I'm seeing him go #3 behind Gurley and Bell and while he is decently talented and has a good situation I bet he doesn't live up to that over the course of his career. I'd expect to...

Last    First    PFF Grade  20        21    22    23      24         25        26         27         28         29         30         31       32        33       34    35    36                                              0.2       0.2    0.2   0.16  0.128    0.102    0.092    0.074    0.059  ...

That will take me a little bit but I am on it.

I agree on Tre Mason. In fact, I owned him in a six man keeper-dynasty and was excited about his prospects. However, he was on the cusp in analysis like this, BEFORE Gurley's drafting of being cut by me in my league because I identified him as a guy that could be replaced as a starter in either...

Haven't finished the spreadsheet yet. Only the Top 24 graded runners per PFF in 2015, of which, David Johnson was not.

Hi Biabreakable. For talent, I simply used player grades from the 2015 season from PFF. Then inserted them into a formula, above in post 1, that quantifies talent applied, a career, for dynasty purposes. While subjective, the PFF grades have a criteria if you are familiar with them. While...

Ivory is older. McCoy may be on the decline. Charles is on the decline. While Duke and Sims are stronger as receivers than runners, their PFF  grade indicates they hold enough on their own in both to be very good. With a break or two, all of these guys are likely future studs. If you're...