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You have it backwards. Medical progress is the norm, not the exception. If you are diagnosed with cancer you doctor isn't giving you a prognosis based on survival rates from the 1960s.
Comparing Hightower, a mediocre RB, to ADP and Charles, elite RBs is folly. If Hightower comes back at 80% of himself he is a replacement leve RB, a top end RB at 80% comes back as an average to above average back.
Your list of injuries has also been shredded elsewhere.
Lastly Welker's...
Lol. Good ole LHUCKS. SJ had 19 and 17 RZ targets the past 2 years, tied for 18th in 2010 with Nicks and 9th in 2011, and 3 players in the top 10 last season had and 3 in 2010 had lower than his y/c in 2011.Nothing like LHUCKS dissing on a guy to make you like him more.
Moving pretty slow. The Browns so far have installed a really simple system. Lots of power running plays and lots of short routes. This isn't surprising since they have a rookie QB, RT, RB and #2 WR and their #1 WR is Little. A possession power offense with a strong RB o-line and 2 big WRs...
As a fan one of the worst parts of watching players get concussed is that you stop rooting for their comebacks. When a guy tears up his knee and tries to come back you pull for him but with a concussion you start to cringe and say "man I just hope he retires".
I don't know why you are grabbing a guy like Smith in this scenario. You only have 4 RBs and Mendenhall has a lot of Qs about him (and Stewart got dinged up). I would have taken basically any RB over Smith there. Otherwise its a solid looking squad.
1. Its not lock, its a risk. The same way Bush's injuries are a risk. 2. McGahee hasn't been used as a pass catching back for years. 8 seasons in the league and he has caught 30+ balls once. 31 year old RBs generally don't triple their targets all of a sudden. His y/r has also been poor...
Quadruple smokescreen: He knows the rest of the league knows he would never say anything like this, so now they think "This isn't Peyton Manning, its an imposter" and don't even bother preparing for the Broncos.
I think anyone who is drafting him in the 8th round is saying that. First there are a bunch of RBs that have that kind of upside going near him and second he is a big risk to not even make the team (certainly compared to any RB taken near him) or get little work even if he does. Deangelo...
I agree, and this is why I would use an 11th or 12th rounder on him. If he makes the team, and if he gets playing time he could have a fantasy impact (though I see no way hes a top 10 back and little chance at top 15 unless every GB back is injured all year). But then again Blount could be a...
I also love the "your just looking at the stats" angle. Cedric's stats are among the worst in the league over a 40 year sample- and this was during what should be his physical prime. Arguing that he is better than his situation is fine but that hardly brings a guy from dregs of the league up...
I'm a Browns fan and have watched plenty of Benson games. His burst is piss poor and his power mediocre. Game charters agree with me putting Benson at the bottom of Elusive ratings on Profootball focus and at the bottom of DVOA and DYAR at football outsiders.
What about Cedric is "very good"? His y/c has flat out stunk almost his entire career. He had 1 single season with 4.2 yards per carry in the past 5 but the other 4 were sub 4.0 and 3 of them 3.5 or 3.4. He actually has the 7th worst y/c since 1970 for RBs with 1200+ carries. He's not...
I think there is at least as much risk with McGahee as there is with Bush, maybe more. Lead backs under Manning tend to average 2-3 receptions a game. (Quick count) Total RB receptions in 2008 for Ind- 75, 2009 67, 2010 55. Mcgahee hasn't even average 1 full reception per game the past 3...
This is why I think its nuts- he hasn't even made the team. All the other players around him are assured of roster spots and are (likely) slated for work during the regular season. At 30 and coming off back 2 back seasons averaging less than 4 yards per carry and has never averaged 2...
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