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I love Andre Johnson and was one of his biggest proponents dating back before his ascent to the #1WR in FF.However, this comment sounds more like that of a fan than a FF player. He's a great talent and the argument can be made for him still being the best all around WR in the game though that's far from definitive. But there are several reasons I think he belongs ranked outside of the top 5 headed into 1012.Houston has transformed into a running team leading the league in rush attempts last year and 3rd in rushing TDs. That's a trend that looks to continue this year with Foster and Tate.Johnson is coming off another injury plagued season and seems to constantly battle leg problems. Not good for a WR.Schuab is coming off another injury and has his own share of problems over the years.Even when he was healthy and clearly the #1WR in the game Andre never recorded double digit TDs.Again, I love Johnson as a player but there are several other guys who have more upside IMO based on the offenses they play in and overall situations.
You're right i am clearly a very big AJ fan
. I will say though that if he does play 16 games I truly believe he is the #2 fantasy wr (I'm not crazy enough to argue him over Calvin Johnson). Yes Houston is a little more of a running team right now, but the players people are ranking over him also have some potential issues (obviously we are nit picking for 2nd-early 3rd round picks).Julio Jones- Had an amazing first pre season game, in his 2nd game he also looked excellent but his numbers certainly don't jump off the page. Yes they are going to throw more this year but they still have Roddy and Tony Gonzalez who will both clearly see a high number of targets and TD's. He was also injured last year and is just a second year player. AJ Green- His situation is very similar to AJ's imo. Clear #1 target on his team, Cin will also run plenty. Talent wise I think he is fairly close but still not quite to AJ's level. Texans will likely score more points and also have an easier schedule (AJ's playoff schedule actually looks pretty damn good, Green has Pitt and Philly).Larry Fitz- He, Andre, and Calvin are the most talented wr's in the league imo. Clearly though fitz has issues at qb and thus his ceiling is simply not that high. He is safe, and is a mortal lock to produce top 15 numbers as long as he is on the field, but I dont see #1 or even #3-4 overall wr upside.Welker- I have seen a big split on were people are willing to take him, and personally don't consider him in the top overall wr format, but in a ppr I guess you could argue it. I think that with the addition of Lloyd though, talk of Hernandez getting more targets, and just the overall number of weapons, that he simply becomes a very safe and solid wr choice in a ppr.You can argue other players certainly, but imo all have as many or more potential things holding them back from the #2 overall wr as the guys listed above. If Andre Johnson plays healthy all 16 games he WILL finish top 10, he almost certainly will finish top 5, and he has a damn good chance to finish #2 (or who knows maybe #1?).
Whats his ADP?This year so far I have Nicks as being the shark move at WR, but thats just my opinion.Ive seen him go late 3rd early 4th in 12 team leagues. I can understand people taking Cruz a few picks ahead of him, makes way more sense than the people preaching up and down last year when they took Manningham ahead of him, but when Cruz is going in the 2nd early 3rd sometimes, I just dont get it.
"Value" all depends on where you get him. But I believe Green will be the #1 or #2 fantasy WR this season.
Hes competing for first with Dwayne Bowe and Desean Jackson for the most over rated WRs in the NFL ever.
This sums it up IMO. You can make an argument for Fitz, AJ, Green, Welker, Nicks, Nelson, Jennings, and a few others but it's all opinion, choice, feel, or whatever after The Megatron if you ask me.I'll let others start the trend and grab any one of there WRs on the backside of the run. If I miss, I feel there are 5 or so more I'll be happy with.
Not sure how Colston is overrated look at his ppg last season. Brees has to throw his 5,000 yards to someone besides for Jimmy Graham this year.
In the last few years I've tried to hit on 2 top notch WRs in the 1st 4 rounds if the trends will allow me to be so greedy. Then either try to hit homers in the later rounds and/or scan the waivers for the next big thing. This is in a start 3 WRs, which I think you're talking about. In a start 2 the number drops to 1 and so does my strategy.
Or still Jimmy Graham and Sproles.
Who I'm sure are going to put up 120 catches for 1500 yards a piece and leave 2000 yards for the rest of the team..........To answer the thread question it almost has to be Fitz. He has been consistant his entire career with mostly bad QB play the last 3(?) seasons or more. When picking guys you cannot just say "well Fitz won't be the second best receiver so he shouldn't be the second receiver taken".I look at players in rankings of 5. especially early on. Who is more likely to be top 5 based off recent history? Fitz or Andre? Fitz or Green? Fitz or Julio? In all of those cases id say Fitz has the higher chance and is this safer of a pick.Saying that I'll have Fitz zero times in leagues because of how badly RB scares me.
