DeWill has shown some flashes of running well outside, but overall Foster has still been the better RB. The fumbles are a concern, but I don't see any adjustments coming unless Foster gets hurt.Foster can't seem to hang onto the ball this year. And Williams is definitely running better... Any homers in the area got a finger on the pulse? Could Carolina take the extra week to give Williams lots of first team reps?
WOW!!Carolina is 23-2 when Foster gets 15+ touches in a game.
Where did you find that stat? Could explain why he starts and gets the majority of carries.MarcO said:Carolina is 23-2 when Foster gets 15+ touches in a game.
Of course there's a correlation there. Teams run the ball when they're leading. And with as ineffective as Foster usually is, he's not going to get the rock a lot unless his team has a big lead...MarcO said:Carolina is 23-2 when Foster gets 15+ touches in a game.
My count at NFL.com shows 19-7 when Foster gets 15+ touches a game... Still good, but typical for many RBs.MarcO said:Carolina is 23-2 when Foster gets 15+ touches in a game.
http://www.carolinagrowl.com/Read.aspx?Story=288Item E.Where did you find that stat? Could explain why he starts and gets the majority of carries.MarcO said:Carolina is 23-2 when Foster gets 15+ touches in a game.
for the record I counted it as 23-5 including post seasonSure, I would like to see DeAngelo Williams get more carries – he averaged 12.1 yards a pop on Sunday – but I guess the Panthers have to give the ball to DeShaun Foster at least 15 times every game. When they do that, they’re 23-2. Why fool with those numbers?
Uh, nice to know that Steve Reed is just pulling numbers out of his butt. Go to NFL.com and you're not going to get 23 and 5... or 23 and 2...http://www.carolinagrowl.com/Read.aspx?Story=288Item E.Where did you find that stat? Could explain why he starts and gets the majority of carries.MarcO said:Carolina is 23-2 when Foster gets 15+ touches in a game.
for the record I counted it as 23-5 including post seasonSure, I would like to see DeAngelo Williams get more carries – he averaged 12.1 yards a pop on Sunday – but I guess the Panthers have to give the ball to DeShaun Foster at least 15 times every game. When they do that, they’re 23-2. Why fool with those numbers?
I'm pulling these from pro-football-reference. I have no stake in this, just curious so I ran the numbers:2003Uh, nice to know that Steve Reed is just pulling numbers out of his butt. Go to NFL.com and you're not going to get 23 and 5... or 23 and 2...http://www.carolinagrowl.com/Read.aspx?Story=288Item E.Where did you find that stat? Could explain why he starts and gets the majority of carries.MarcO said:Carolina is 23-2 when Foster gets 15+ touches in a game.
for the record I counted it as 23-5 including post seasonSure, I would like to see DeAngelo Williams get more carries – he averaged 12.1 yards a pop on Sunday – but I guess the Panthers have to give the ball to DeShaun Foster at least 15 times every game. When they do that, they’re 23-2. Why fool with those numbers?
Not sure where you're getting your numbers from but they don't jive with NFLs official stats.
I guess if you add some of the playoff wins you might get up to 23, but you still can't disregard the 7 losses I counted in the regular season.
| WK OPP | RSH YD | RECYD | TD | Result | Score || 2 kan | 32 174 | 0 | 1 | W | 28-17 || 4 atl | 19 51 | 54 | 1 | L | 10-27 |
| WK OPP | RSH YD | RECYD | TD | Result | Score || 9 tam | 16 23 | 16 | 0 | W | 34-14 || 12 buf | 22 74 | 24 | 0 | W | 13- 9 || 13 atl | 24 131 | 49 | 2 | W | 24- 6 || 15 nor | 21 75 | 9 | 0 | W | 27-10 || 16 dal | 22 68 | 13 | 0 | L | 20-24 || 17 atl | 18 165 | 0 | 1 | W | 44-11 |
| WK OPP | RSH YD | RECYD | TD | Result | Score || 1 atl | 15 54 | 20 | 0 | L | 6-20 || 3 tam | 20 82 | 7 | 0 | W | 26-24 || 4 nor | 16 105 | 6 | 1 | W | 21-18 || 5 cle | 24 106 | 12 | 0 | W | 20-12 || 6 bal | 26 58 | 12 | 0 | W | 23-21 || 8 dal | 15 50 | 31 | 1 | L | 14-35 || 16 atl | 28 102 | 5 | 0 | W | 10- 3 || 17 nor | 19 79 | 12 | 1 | W | 31-21 |
| WK OPP | RSH YD | RECYD | TD | Result | Score || 1 stl | 17 94 | 7 | 0 | W | 27-13 || 3 atl | 20 122 | 13 | 2 | W | 27-20 || 4 tam | 15 64 | 17 | 0 | L | 7-20 || 5 nor | 19 59 | 0 | 0 | W | 16-13 || 6 ari | 17 43 | 6 | 0 | W | 25-10 |
Not disputing the statistics, but I'm curious if this is just due to Carolina running more in general when they're winning. In games where Foster didn't get 15 carries, did they lose because they didn't give him enough carries, or did they lose because their running game, and offense in general was just ineffective?We all know correlation doesn't imply causation, so saying Foster deserves 15 carries or more based on these statistics isn't taking this analysis deep enough.I'm pulling these from pro-football-reference. I have no stake in this, just curious so I ran the numbers:2003Uh, nice to know that Steve Reed is just pulling numbers out of his butt. Go to NFL.com and you're not going to get 23 and 5... or 23 and 2...http://www.carolinagrowl.com/Read.aspx?Story=288Item E.Where did you find that stat? Could explain why he starts and gets the majority of carries.MarcO said:Carolina is 23-2 when Foster gets 15+ touches in a game.
for the record I counted it as 23-5 including post seasonSure, I would like to see DeAngelo Williams get more carries – he averaged 12.1 yards a pop on Sunday – but I guess the Panthers have to give the ball to DeShaun Foster at least 15 times every game. When they do that, they’re 23-2. Why fool with those numbers?
Not sure where you're getting your numbers from but they don't jive with NFLs official stats.
I guess if you add some of the playoff wins you might get up to 23, but you still can't disregard the 7 losses I counted in the regular season.
| WK OPP | RSH YD | RECYD | TD | Result | Score || 6 ind | 16 85 | 54 | 0 | W | 23-20 | | 10 tam | 22 56 | -2 | 0 | W | 27-24 || 16 det | 21 76 | 38 | 1 | W | 20-14 || 17 nyg | 17 43 | 20 | 0 | W | 37-24 |2004
2005Code:| WK OPP | RSH YD | RECYD | TD | Result | Score || 2 kan | 32 174 | 0 | 1 | W | 28-17 || 4 atl | 19 51 | 54 | 1 | L | 10-27 |
2006Code:| WK OPP | RSH YD | RECYD | TD | Result | Score || 9 tam | 16 23 | 16 | 0 | W | 34-14 || 12 buf | 22 74 | 24 | 0 | W | 13- 9 || 13 atl | 24 131 | 49 | 2 | W | 24- 6 || 15 nor | 21 75 | 9 | 0 | W | 27-10 || 16 dal | 22 68 | 13 | 0 | L | 20-24 || 17 atl | 18 165 | 0 | 1 | W | 44-11 |
2007Code:| WK OPP | RSH YD | RECYD | TD | Result | Score || 1 atl | 15 54 | 20 | 0 | L | 6-20 || 3 tam | 20 82 | 7 | 0 | W | 26-24 || 4 nor | 16 105 | 6 | 1 | W | 21-18 || 5 cle | 24 106 | 12 | 0 | W | 20-12 || 6 bal | 26 58 | 12 | 0 | W | 23-21 || 8 dal | 15 50 | 31 | 1 | L | 14-35 || 16 atl | 28 102 | 5 | 0 | W | 10- 3 || 17 nor | 19 79 | 12 | 1 | W | 31-21 |
By my count that's 20-5 when he gets AT LEAST 15 carries, but 20-2 when he gets OVER 15 carries. And only one loss when he gets 20+ carries.Inteesting too, that in the losses where Foster only received 15 carries, he wasn't being ineffective, not stellar, but not ineffective -Code:| WK OPP | RSH YD | RECYD | TD | Result | Score || 1 stl | 17 94 | 7 | 0 | W | 27-13 || 3 atl | 20 122 | 13 | 2 | W | 27-20 || 4 tam | 15 64 | 17 | 0 | L | 7-20 || 5 nor | 19 59 | 0 | 0 | W | 16-13 || 6 ari | 17 43 | 6 | 0 | W | 25-10 |
15-54 3.6YPC
15-50 3.4YPC
15-64 4.3YPC
that is probably where he got the numbers from 20-2 when he gets MORE than 15 carries and then add the 3 playoff games and that is 23-2. good work.I'm pulling these from pro-football-reference. I have no stake in this, just curious so I ran the numbers:2003Uh, nice to know that Steve Reed is just pulling numbers out of his butt. Go to NFL.com and you're not going to get 23 and 5... or 23 and 2...http://www.carolinagrowl.com/Read.aspx?Story=288Item E.Where did you find that stat? Could explain why he starts and gets the majority of carries.MarcO said:Carolina is 23-2 when Foster gets 15+ touches in a game.
for the record I counted it as 23-5 including post seasonSure, I would like to see DeAngelo Williams get more carries – he averaged 12.1 yards a pop on Sunday – but I guess the Panthers have to give the ball to DeShaun Foster at least 15 times every game. When they do that, they’re 23-2. Why fool with those numbers?
Not sure where you're getting your numbers from but they don't jive with NFLs official stats.
I guess if you add some of the playoff wins you might get up to 23, but you still can't disregard the 7 losses I counted in the regular season.
| WK OPP | RSH YD | RECYD | TD | Result | Score || 6 ind | 16 85 | 54 | 0 | W | 23-20 | | 10 tam | 22 56 | -2 | 0 | W | 27-24 || 16 det | 21 76 | 38 | 1 | W | 20-14 || 17 nyg | 17 43 | 20 | 0 | W | 37-24 |2004
2005Code:| WK OPP | RSH YD | RECYD | TD | Result | Score || 2 kan | 32 174 | 0 | 1 | W | 28-17 || 4 atl | 19 51 | 54 | 1 | L | 10-27 |
2006Code:| WK OPP | RSH YD | RECYD | TD | Result | Score || 9 tam | 16 23 | 16 | 0 | W | 34-14 || 12 buf | 22 74 | 24 | 0 | W | 13- 9 || 13 atl | 24 131 | 49 | 2 | W | 24- 6 || 15 nor | 21 75 | 9 | 0 | W | 27-10 || 16 dal | 22 68 | 13 | 0 | L | 20-24 || 17 atl | 18 165 | 0 | 1 | W | 44-11 |
2007Code:| WK OPP | RSH YD | RECYD | TD | Result | Score || 1 atl | 15 54 | 20 | 0 | L | 6-20 || 3 tam | 20 82 | 7 | 0 | W | 26-24 || 4 nor | 16 105 | 6 | 1 | W | 21-18 || 5 cle | 24 106 | 12 | 0 | W | 20-12 || 6 bal | 26 58 | 12 | 0 | W | 23-21 || 8 dal | 15 50 | 31 | 1 | L | 14-35 || 16 atl | 28 102 | 5 | 0 | W | 10- 3 || 17 nor | 19 79 | 12 | 1 | W | 31-21 |
By my count that's 20-5 when he gets AT LEAST 15 carries, but 20-2 when he gets OVER 15 carries. And only one loss when he gets 20+ carries.Inteesting too, that in the losses where Foster only received 15 carries, he wasn't being ineffective, not stellar, but not ineffective -Code:| WK OPP | RSH YD | RECYD | TD | Result | Score || 1 stl | 17 94 | 7 | 0 | W | 27-13 || 3 atl | 20 122 | 13 | 2 | W | 27-20 || 4 tam | 15 64 | 17 | 0 | L | 7-20 || 5 nor | 19 59 | 0 | 0 | W | 16-13 || 6 ari | 17 43 | 6 | 0 | W | 25-10 |
15-54 3.6YPC
15-50 3.4YPC
15-64 4.3YPC
Hard to determine correlation verse causation, but I do know this with my own two eyes:1. When Foster starts the game well, they usually win2. Foster is a better RB than DWill, even though DWill is flashier (flash doesn't win you games)Not disputing the statistics, but I'm curious if this is just due to Carolina running more in general when they're winning. In games where Foster didn't get 15 carries, did they lose because they didn't give him enough carries, or did they lose because their running game, and offense in general was just ineffective?We all know correlation doesn't imply causation, so saying Foster deserves 15 carries or more based on these statistics isn't taking this analysis deep enough.
Neither do fumbles. Just kidding, I don't watch enough Carolina games to judge their relative merits, but I had Foster last year, and he didn't do me any favors. I plugged Williams in last week as a bye week filler, and he had a nice little 120 yard/1 TD day. I'm okay with Foster starting, but a little flash mixed in won't hurt Carolina's chances.Hard to determine correlation verse causation, but I do know this with my own two eyes:1. When Foster starts the game well, they usually win2. Foster is a better RB than DWill, even though DWill is flashier (flash doesn't win you games)Not disputing the statistics, but I'm curious if this is just due to Carolina running more in general when they're winning. In games where Foster didn't get 15 carries, did they lose because they didn't give him enough carries, or did they lose because their running game, and offense in general was just ineffective?We all know correlation doesn't imply causation, so saying Foster deserves 15 carries or more based on these statistics isn't taking this analysis deep enough.
Agreed - using DWill as a COP is good, and they need to get him involved more, but having him be the starting RB when he is inconsistent and not very good between the tackles won't do the team any good.Neither do fumbles. Just kidding, I don't watch enough Carolina games to judge their relative merits, but I had Foster last year, and he didn't do me any favors. I plugged Williams in last week as a bye week filler, and he had a nice little 120 yard/1 TD day. I'm okay with Foster starting, but a little flash mixed in won't hurt Carolina's chances.Hard to determine correlation verse causation, but I do know this with my own two eyes:1. When Foster starts the game well, they usually win2. Foster is a better RB than DWill, even though DWill is flashier (flash doesn't win you games)Not disputing the statistics, but I'm curious if this is just due to Carolina running more in general when they're winning. In games where Foster didn't get 15 carries, did they lose because they didn't give him enough carries, or did they lose because their running game, and offense in general was just ineffective?We all know correlation doesn't imply causation, so saying Foster deserves 15 carries or more based on these statistics isn't taking this analysis deep enough.
Based on what? The totals in the box score? The guy had 3 carries in the first quarter for 3 yards and did not look impressive at all. He had one carry for 9 yards on the last play of the first half, when the Cardinals were defending against the long pass. In the third quarter the Panthers' offense started moving the ball a bit, but more importantly, the defense put the clamps on Rattay and the Cards' offense. Williams had 2 carries for 17 yards. Then, in the 4th quarter, after the Cardinals defense had been on the field for something like the 20-21 of the last 30 minutes of the game, Williams ripped off 92 yards (88 in the last 3:19 while they were salting away an 8 point lead). I'm not one of these "if you take away the 75 yard run" people, but there wasn't anything in his performance Sunday that made me optimistic he'll be taking the bulk of the carries going forward. And I own the guy. I hope I'm wrong and the coaching staff sees something I didn't. But I have no idea what that would be.Foster can't seem to hang onto the ball this year. And Williams is definitely running better...
Panther homer here, and anyone who has read my posts saw that I predicted that Williams would take over by week 4. So I was a couple of weeks off but Foster is horrible. He carries the ball like a loaf of bread and cannot for the life of me understand why he continues to do so. Williams is insanely faster than Foster and seems to hit the hole harder. He doesnt have the power of Foster but for anyone who saw the Cards game he runs like a bat out of hell. I predict if he gets 20 carries a game he would look all world. Fox seems to know more than me though. I look for Williams to start in 2 weeks. I am trying to trade Torry Holt for Williams straight up.
Seriously. Shouldn't "trying" pretty much consist of:"Hey, want Torry Holt for DeAngelo Williams?"Panther homer here, and anyone who has read my posts saw that I predicted that Williams would take over by week 4. So I was a couple of weeks off but Foster is horrible. He carries the ball like a loaf of bread and cannot for the life of me understand why he continues to do so. Williams is insanely faster than Foster and seems to hit the hole harder. He doesnt have the power of Foster but for anyone who saw the Cards game he runs like a bat out of hell. I predict if he gets 20 carries a game he would look all world. Fox seems to know more than me though. I look for Williams to start in 2 weeks. I am trying to trade Torry Holt for Williams straight up.
My opinion from the games I've watched and YPC.Based on what? The totals in the box score?Foster can't seem to hang onto the ball this year. And Williams is definitely running better...
They weren't salting away a three score lead. The D knew they were running and rattling off yards like that when the other team is desperate to get the ball back is a good thing... not something to toss away as if they were playing scrubs.Then, in the 4th quarter, after the Cardinals defense had been on the field for something like the 20-21 of the last 30 minutes of the game, Williams ripped off 92 yards (88 in the last 3:19 while they were salting away an 8 point lead). I'm not one of these "if you take away the 75 yard run" people, but there wasn't anything in his performance Sunday that made me optimistic he'll be taking the bulk of the carries going forward. And I own the guy. I hope I'm wrong and the coaching staff sees something I didn't. But I have no idea what that would be.
They had been on the field for 18 of 27 minutes at that point. They were effectively playing scrubs.My opinion from the games I've watched and YPC.Based on what? The totals in the box score?Foster can't seem to hang onto the ball this year. And Williams is definitely running better...They weren't salting away a three score lead. The D knew they were running and rattling off yards like that when the other team is desperate to get the ball back is a good thing... not something to toss away as if they were playing scrubs.Then, in the 4th quarter, after the Cardinals defense had been on the field for something like the 20-21 of the last 30 minutes of the game, Williams ripped off 92 yards (88 in the last 3:19 while they were salting away an 8 point lead). I'm not one of these "if you take away the 75 yard run" people, but there wasn't anything in his performance Sunday that made me optimistic he'll be taking the bulk of the carries going forward. And I own the guy. I hope I'm wrong and the coaching staff sees something I didn't. But I have no idea what that would be.
Now it makes sense. OP and Steve Reed both said touches, not carries...I'm pulling these from pro-football-reference. I have no stake in this, just curious so I ran the numbers:2003Uh, nice to know that Steve Reed is just pulling numbers out of his butt. Go to NFL.com and you're not going to get 23 and 5... or 23 and 2...http://www.carolinagrowl.com/Read.aspx?Story=288Item E.Where did you find that stat? Could explain why he starts and gets the majority of carries.MarcO said:Carolina is 23-2 when Foster gets 15+ touches in a game.
for the record I counted it as 23-5 including post seasonSure, I would like to see DeAngelo Williams get more carries – he averaged 12.1 yards a pop on Sunday – but I guess the Panthers have to give the ball to DeShaun Foster at least 15 times every game. When they do that, they’re 23-2. Why fool with those numbers?
Not sure where you're getting your numbers from but they don't jive with NFLs official stats.
I guess if you add some of the playoff wins you might get up to 23, but you still can't disregard the 7 losses I counted in the regular season.
| WK OPP | RSH YD | RECYD | TD | Result | Score || 6 ind | 16 85 | 54 | 0 | W | 23-20 | | 10 tam | 22 56 | -2 | 0 | W | 27-24 || 16 det | 21 76 | 38 | 1 | W | 20-14 || 17 nyg | 17 43 | 20 | 0 | W | 37-24 |2004
2005Code:| WK OPP | RSH YD | RECYD | TD | Result | Score || 2 kan | 32 174 | 0 | 1 | W | 28-17 || 4 atl | 19 51 | 54 | 1 | L | 10-27 |
2006Code:| WK OPP | RSH YD | RECYD | TD | Result | Score || 9 tam | 16 23 | 16 | 0 | W | 34-14 || 12 buf | 22 74 | 24 | 0 | W | 13- 9 || 13 atl | 24 131 | 49 | 2 | W | 24- 6 || 15 nor | 21 75 | 9 | 0 | W | 27-10 || 16 dal | 22 68 | 13 | 0 | L | 20-24 || 17 atl | 18 165 | 0 | 1 | W | 44-11 |
2007Code:| WK OPP | RSH YD | RECYD | TD | Result | Score || 1 atl | 15 54 | 20 | 0 | L | 6-20 || 3 tam | 20 82 | 7 | 0 | W | 26-24 || 4 nor | 16 105 | 6 | 1 | W | 21-18 || 5 cle | 24 106 | 12 | 0 | W | 20-12 || 6 bal | 26 58 | 12 | 0 | W | 23-21 || 8 dal | 15 50 | 31 | 1 | L | 14-35 || 16 atl | 28 102 | 5 | 0 | W | 10- 3 || 17 nor | 19 79 | 12 | 1 | W | 31-21 |
By my count that's 20-5 when he gets AT LEAST 15 carries, but 20-2 when he gets OVER 15 carries. And only one loss when he gets 20+ carries.Inteesting too, that in the losses where Foster only received 15 carries, he wasn't being ineffective, not stellar, but not ineffective -Code:| WK OPP | RSH YD | RECYD | TD | Result | Score || 1 stl | 17 94 | 7 | 0 | W | 27-13 || 3 atl | 20 122 | 13 | 2 | W | 27-20 || 4 tam | 15 64 | 17 | 0 | L | 7-20 || 5 nor | 19 59 | 0 | 0 | W | 16-13 || 6 ari | 17 43 | 6 | 0 | W | 25-10 |
15-54 3.6YPC
15-50 3.4YPC
15-64 4.3YPC
How can you say Foster is Fox's guy when Fox drafted Williams?Foster is Fox's guy... basically an injury is the only way DeAngelo overtakes a 40/60 to 50/50 split.
if he was special he would have scored on that 75 yard run... really - I'm just curious as to why you think he is "special"?congrats Foster for helping your team win against the (0-6) Rams, (1-4) Saints, (1-5) Falcons, & the (3-3) Cards with a third string QB.Foster is a very average back and Williams will be special. Too bad Carolina doesnt care.As for this whole stat thing, its just stupid. Why is the magic number 15? Why not 13? or 20? People can skew stats however they want.Watch me...Carolina is UNDEFEATED when Williams gets 20 carries a game.
Wow, DWill is in for a long career if he isnt any better than DeShaun Foster!switz said:Hard to determine correlation verse causation, but I do know this with my own two eyes:1. When Foster starts the game well, they usually winNot disputing the statistics, but I'm curious if this is just due to Carolina running more in general when they're winning. In games where Foster didn't get 15 carries, did they lose because they didn't give him enough carries, or did they lose because their running game, and offense in general was just ineffective?
We all know correlation doesn't imply causation, so saying Foster deserves 15 carries or more based on these statistics isn't taking this analysis deep enough.
2. Foster is a better RB than DWill, even though DWill is flashier (flash doesn't win you games)
I know that College success doesnt always correlate into NFL success, but I think holding the record for most career all-purpose yardage & 100-yard rushing games might have something to do with being 'special'. I know he played for Memphis and didnt go up against the toughest opponents, but there's no question he has talent (1st Round draft pick).MarcO said:if he was special he would have scored on that 75 yard run... really - I'm just curious as to why you think he is "special"?Max Power said:congrats Foster for helping your team win against the (0-6) Rams, (1-4) Saints, (1-5) Falcons, & the (3-3) Cards with a third string QB.
Foster is a very average back and Williams will be special. Too bad Carolina doesnt care.
As for this whole stat thing, its just stupid. Why is the magic number 15? Why not 13? or 20? People can skew stats however they want.
Watch me...
Carolina is UNDEFEATED when Williams gets 20 carries a game.
Because they aren't mutually exclusive.How can you say Foster is Fox's guy when Fox drafted Williams?Foster is Fox's guy... basically an injury is the only way DeAngelo overtakes a 40/60 to 50/50 split.
First, when did Williams get a chance to be the guy?Second, Foster is no superstar.They both have been given opportunities to be the man and blew it. Foster is the more consistent performer yards wise and blocking wise but has to learn to hang on to the f'in ball. Your boss doesnt care how much of a superstar you are at work as long as you show up and give a decent effort, an NFL coach will put up with mediocre yards as long as you're NOT PUTTING THE BALL ON THE GROUND.
He had a long run in the 4th quarter because there was around 4 minutes left, the Arizona D was tired and had to get right back on the field after an interception by the Panthers, and there was a big hole and Williams hit it. He didn't run wild the whole 4th quarter.This guy seems to think he will get a shot....just one guys opinion
Running back
If Fox follows the "hot hand" philosophy, there could be a change at this position. Second-year pro DeAngelo Williams ran wild in the fourth quarter in Arizona after veteran DeShaun Foster had another ordinary game.All the offseason talk about the new offense and blocking scheme hasn't produced big results, and the running game hasn't been much more productive than a year ago.
That puts more pressure on receiver Steve Smith, who remains the only big-play option in the starting lineup.
YASINSKAS' MOVE: Start Williams.
^^^Whoever he is^^