The Duff Man
Footballguy
Player values are up.
Picks coming....
Picks coming....
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Fanduel Wk 4 (1 Viewer)
- Thread starter The Duff Man
- Start date
Trizzler
Footballguy
Just put a lineup in for a $1 66k tournament with 1k entries.
QB: Ponder vs. DET ($6,900)
RB: Foster vs. TEN ($9,600)
RB: Benson vs. NO ($6,900)
WR: VJax vs. WAS ($6,300)
WR: Harvin vs. DET ($6,700)
WR: Thomas vs. OAK ($6,300)
TE: Gonzo vs. CAR ($6,000)
K: Crosby vs. NO ($5,400)
D: SEA vs. STL ($5,000)
IMO, Benson and Ponder are huge value plays this week. Several QBs are extremely overpriced (Brees at $9,600; Newton at $8,900?) but there is good value at WR.
Does anyone have a link to the week 4 Footballguys contest yet?
QB: Ponder vs. DET ($6,900)
RB: Foster vs. TEN ($9,600)
RB: Benson vs. NO ($6,900)
WR: VJax vs. WAS ($6,300)
WR: Harvin vs. DET ($6,700)
WR: Thomas vs. OAK ($6,300)
TE: Gonzo vs. CAR ($6,000)
K: Crosby vs. NO ($5,400)
D: SEA vs. STL ($5,000)
IMO, Benson and Ponder are huge value plays this week. Several QBs are extremely overpriced (Brees at $9,600; Newton at $8,900?) but there is good value at WR.
Does anyone have a link to the week 4 Footballguys contest yet?
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The Duff Man
Footballguy
Early thoughts on guys I like:
QBs
RG3 won me a lot of money the last two weeks. He is getting up there at $8.9. Will likely look elsewhere.
Schaub $7.2
Ponder $6.9
Hill $5.8
RBs
M Bush $6.7
Benson $6.9
Will check the Bills situation as the week progresses. Their line is great.
WRs
Megatron and AJ Green obviously
Harvin $6.7
I will likely spend a lot of my money on WR this week
TEs
Celek $5.4
QBs
RG3 won me a lot of money the last two weeks. He is getting up there at $8.9. Will likely look elsewhere.
Schaub $7.2
Ponder $6.9
Hill $5.8
RBs
M Bush $6.7
Benson $6.9
Will check the Bills situation as the week progresses. Their line is great.
WRs
Megatron and AJ Green obviously
Harvin $6.7
I will likely spend a lot of my money on WR this week
TEs
Celek $5.4
nosfan1019
Footballguy
For a $55k budget
QB - Palmer ($7,200)
RB - Martin ($6,500)
RB - Lynch ($7,600)
WR - S. Smith ($6,500)
WR - Garcon ($5,600)
WR - L. Moore ($5,800)
TE - Witten ($5,200)
K - Hanson ($5,400)
DEF - Giants ($5,200)
QB - Palmer ($7,200)
RB - Martin ($6,500)
RB - Lynch ($7,600)
WR - S. Smith ($6,500)
WR - Garcon ($5,600)
WR - L. Moore ($5,800)
TE - Witten ($5,200)
K - Hanson ($5,400)
DEF - Giants ($5,200)
SameSongNDance
Footballguy
60k budget..
QB - Ponder @ DET - $6,900
RB - Foster vs. TEN - $9,600
RB - Lynch @ STL - $7,600
WR - Harvin @ DET - $6,700
WR - Decker vs. OAK - $6,100
WR- Maclin vs. NYG - $6,000
TE - V.Davis A NYJ - $6,700
K - dk yet
DST - SEA (@ STL) - $5,000
$400 left over
QB - Ponder @ DET - $6,900
RB - Foster vs. TEN - $9,600
RB - Lynch @ STL - $7,600
WR - Harvin @ DET - $6,700
WR - Decker vs. OAK - $6,100
WR- Maclin vs. NYG - $6,000
TE - V.Davis A NYJ - $6,700
K - dk yet
DST - SEA (@ STL) - $5,000
$400 left over
mrip541
Footballguy
My first thought was that RG3 is too expensive this week, but he's playing TB, is the #1 overall player in fantasy and has yet to score fewer than 25 points. I agree that I'll be spending big on WRs this week and small on TEs. If Fred Jackson practices and starts he's pretty much a must have.'The Duff Man said:
Values IMO...
QB - Flacco vs CLE ($6900)
QB - Ponder @ DET ($6900)
QB - Freeman vs WASH ($6700) - he's been horrible, but Washington pass D has been worse
RB - Benson vs NO ($6900)
WR - Harvin @ DET ($6700)
WR - VJax vs WASH ($6300)
WR - Hankerson @ TB ($5000) - assuming Garcon will still be out?
TE - Pitta vs CLE ($5000) - he's still too cheap IMO
TE - Celek @ PHI ($5400)
K - Graham vs TEN ($5000)
DEF - Dallas vs CHI ($5000)
DEF - Seattle @ STL ($5000)
QB - Flacco vs CLE ($6900)
QB - Ponder @ DET ($6900)
QB - Freeman vs WASH ($6700) - he's been horrible, but Washington pass D has been worse
RB - Benson vs NO ($6900)
WR - Harvin @ DET ($6700)
WR - VJax vs WASH ($6300)
WR - Hankerson @ TB ($5000) - assuming Garcon will still be out?
TE - Pitta vs CLE ($5000) - he's still too cheap IMO
TE - Celek @ PHI ($5400)
K - Graham vs TEN ($5000)
DEF - Dallas vs CHI ($5000)
DEF - Seattle @ STL ($5000)
netmau5
Footballguy
Harvin is stupidly underpriced this week. Benson presents a decent value mostly because all the playable QBs have inflated prices but don't get too excited by him. Running MBush + Benson would be a mistake in my opinion.
I think Megatron becomes a must-start with Shaun Hill at QB. This may be counter-intuitive, but I fully expect that guy to chuck it at CJ whenever he's in doubt. Hill doesn't have the repore with other receivers that Stafford does.
I think Megatron becomes a must-start with Shaun Hill at QB. This may be counter-intuitive, but I fully expect that guy to chuck it at CJ whenever he's in doubt. Hill doesn't have the repore with other receivers that Stafford does.
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Wingnut
Footballguy
I like Dalton ($7600) this week. Two straight games with 300yds and 3tds (1int in each). In those games hes completed more than 70% of his passes. Yeah, it was against CLE and WAS, but CIN is on a roll and I think they continue this week.
Last year @ JAX (his 5th career start) went 21 for 33 for 179, 2tds, 1int. The Jags have been good against the pass this year but bad against the run, so I look for some big play-action plays down the field.
I'm rolling with him in all my games this week.
Last year @ JAX (his 5th career start) went 21 for 33 for 179, 2tds, 1int. The Jags have been good against the pass this year but bad against the run, so I look for some big play-action plays down the field.
I'm rolling with him in all my games this week.
JHuber77
Footballguy
Harvin's value is lower because of Jerome Simpson coming off suspension.
The Kuhn
Footballguy
You can say Stafford didn't look for Calvin much in the 1st half of the Titans game (because of the coverage), but he wasn't overly spreading the ball around vs. STL or SF. Pettigrew, for example, was really only featured in one drive vs. STL and didn't get nearly enough looks vs. TEN given how much they fail to cover TEs.
netmau5
Footballguy
I can see that, but I think Harrison is an upgrade for Ponder, not a downgrade for Harvin (feels like a push). I thought that the prices were generated based on some trailing PPG average with some flooring logic. Is there a human at the helm?
Carver
Footballguy
Packers are gonna come out ANGRY and throwing... I got it bad for Rodgers this week.
Colstons a steal at $5600. If he plays, he is scoring this week, NO QUESTION. Seems like something happens every week that just keeps him from getting into the EZ. He's getting some love this week.
Colstons a steal at $5600. If he plays, he is scoring this week, NO QUESTION. Seems like something happens every week that just keeps him from getting into the EZ. He's getting some love this week.
Prince Myshkin
Footballguy
i like schaub this week at 7200...also feeling leshoure and freddie jackson (if he plays)...going with those 3 would allow you to absolutely load up at wr/te.
i'm thinking of going with schaub/leshoure/jackson (again big if there)/megatron/julio/harvin/gronk/hanson/arizona in a $60000
i'm thinking of going with schaub/leshoure/jackson (again big if there)/megatron/julio/harvin/gronk/hanson/arizona in a $60000
flc735
Footballguy
i know at draftstreet, they place a heavy weight on the past 3 games. going into week 2, the prices changed drastically on that site (spiller was the 2nd highest rb in week 2) because they didn't have 3 weeks to go off of. the price change seems to be a lot slower on fanduel. so i guess they put more weight on "original price". i think the only numbers that are human adjusted are injury based. for example, s hill and choice priced at more than $4,500 indicates this.
HairySasquatch
Footballguy
I know this has been asked before, but I thought I would throw it out there again since we have three weeks to work with now.
Is it better to get in a contest early in the week or Sunday morning? My gut is telling me that Sunday morning is better, but I don't have a lot to go on to back that up. My thinking is that you will have more people picking teams without a lot of research to back up their selections.
Am I over analyzing this?
Is it better to get in a contest early in the week or Sunday morning? My gut is telling me that Sunday morning is better, but I don't have a lot to go on to back that up. My thinking is that you will have more people picking teams without a lot of research to back up their selections.
Am I over analyzing this?
Ace Matherton
Footballguy
I think so. Since you can edit the team anytime before the start of the first game I get into the leagues I want before they fill. I just figure if you are going to do research you are going to be prepared no matter what time you get in and if you are not doing research you are likely set and forget anyway no matter what time you sign up.I know this has been asked before, but I thought I would throw it out there again since we have three weeks to work with now.Is it better to get in a contest early in the week or Sunday morning? My gut is telling me that Sunday morning is better, but I don't have a lot to go on to back that up. My thinking is that you will have more people picking teams without a lot of research to back up their selections. Am I over analyzing this?
Carver
Footballguy
It doesn't matter IMO. I set up my H2H games tonight and tomorrow. The sharks wont typically take other peoples games, so I don't worry much about that. They set up their own games. Even though I lost most of my tourney games, I went something like 8/10 in H2H's. My two losses were to high-rollers that I challenged.I know this has been asked before, but I thought I would throw it out there again since we have three weeks to work with now.Is it better to get in a contest early in the week or Sunday morning? My gut is telling me that Sunday morning is better, but I don't have a lot to go on to back that up. My thinking is that you will have more people picking teams without a lot of research to back up their selections. Am I over analyzing this?
If you are gonna play in those 10-20 team games.. wait until Sat night to enter. Slip in right before the Sunday morning traffic gets to the party and fills up the open spots.
HairySasquatch
Footballguy
Those are the games I was thinking about when I asked the question....the 50/50, 20 or 50 team contests. I want to enter these contests with the guy putting together his team Sunday morning....not the guy who is entering mid week. To me, it seems like the mid week 50/50 guys are going to be better prepared. For the big contests, it doesn't matter since they take so long to fill up and you can edit your teams.It doesn't matter IMO. I set up my H2H games tonight and tomorrow. The sharks wont typically take other peoples games, so I don't worry much about that. They set up their own games. Even though I lost most of my tourney games, I went something like 8/10 in H2H's. My two losses were to high-rollers that I challenged.I know this has been asked before, but I thought I would throw it out there again since we have three weeks to work with now.Is it better to get in a contest early in the week or Sunday morning? My gut is telling me that Sunday morning is better, but I don't have a lot to go on to back that up. My thinking is that you will have more people picking teams without a lot of research to back up their selections. Am I over analyzing this?
degenerate
Footballguy
rg3,adp,fjax,mega,thomas,vjax,gonzo,keading,arz 60k
Rick James
Footballguy
Flacco still looks like a bargain
Carver
Footballguy
They're all about the same. The Peter King is prob the most popular.
Ace Matherton
Footballguy
Why do I not see the frerolls anywhere on the league entry page?
Cold Dead Hands
Footballguy
Any draftstreet freerolls we should know about?
Can someone explain the freerolls to me? Are they different than the FDP balance I am accumulating?
mrip541
Footballguy
They are different. Usually free contests (no FDP balance use) that have real $ prizes.From my experience you need to click on a link in an email or on a webpage to be brought to the specific freeroll page. For example, there is a freeroll link on this page: http://rotosynthesis.rotowire.com/RotowireFanDuel-$500-NFL-Week-4-Freeroll-BBD4146.htm
You can enter 1 freeroll per day.
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bengalbuck
Footballguy
I played for the first time ever last week and finished 10th out of 2790 spending big on RBs (A. Foster and MJD). I mention it because I actually started the exact 2 WRs you mentioned, Stevie Johnson and Reggie Wayne, along with AJ Green. Forced me to go cheap at QB (Dalton) and TE (Pitta), but I think it is a bit easier to play matchups with the QB than other positions (though I could be wrong about that and just got lucky). Just seems to me like it is really risky trying to play matchups at RB with lesser talents when you can play matchups with the RB studs and get 2 really top notch guys going against bad defenses.I think I like the general strategy of getting 2 pretty sure things at RB, 1 stud at WR and then trying to play matchups and find bargains at QB/TE.
I'm probably in the minority from reading some of these threads, but I also think it is worth it to pay the little bit extra and get the best D possible. I had the Bears last week even though they were the most expensive. Doesn't make much sense to me to try to go cheap at a position like Defense because there is very little price difference between the best matchups and the worst....maybe I'm missing something on that though.
bengalbuck
Footballguy
After saying I like the idea of going cheap at QB, I ended up going against my own strategy and spent big for Aaron Rodgers. My 1st crack at a 60k lineup for this weekend:Aaron Rodgers- 9,400
Arian Foster- 9,600
Jamaal Charles- 7,800
Jordy Nelson- 6,700
Pierre Garcon- 5,600
Torrey Smith- 5,600
Dennis Pitta- 5,000
Blair Walsh- 5,000
Ravens D- 5,200
I'll have to monitor the news on Garcon, but if healthy he's a nice bargain.
I like the Ravens passing game against the Browns with both Pitta and Torrey Smith looking like nice values. Haden's out still and the Browns CBs are slow and mediocre. I watched live as the Bengals WRs beat them deep all day and they don't have Torrey's speed. Browns are also giving a ton of playing time to some undrafted rookies at LB, so I will continue to roll with Pitta as he is still really cheap for some reason. I also think the Ravens veteran D could make Weeden's life pretty miserable and generate some turnovers and sacks, so I will pay the slight premium to get the great matchup of the Ravens at home against a turnover prone rookie QB.
Went against my cheap QB strategy that I just espoused 15 minutes ago and decided to go with Aaron Rodgers. I think the Packers offense is due for a huge breakout passing game, especially since they will have to score to beat the Saints and the fact that the Saints D looks terrible. Went with Jordy due to that same reasoning. Feels like a 4 TD type of game from Rodgers and I think Jordy will get at least 1 of them and maybe even two.
Even after splurging for Rodgers, was still able to save enough money to get 2 big-time RBs with pretty attractive matchups. Charles at home against a decent SD defense. Should get a ton of touches with Hillis banged up and he looks great. Rolling with A. Foster again even though the cost is steep. He's just such a sure thing for a good day and he also has an upside few can match, with the possibility of a 3 TD type of day not at all unrealistic.
(I also thought some of the guys in the Det-Min matchup were very nice values. Neither of those Ds is very good against the pass and playing indoors on the fast turf in Detroit, I could see guys like Harvin, Rudolph, Ponder, Megatron, Hill/Stafford, etc. all having big days. If I'd have stuck to my cheap QB strategy, Ponder would have been my guy.)
bengalbuck
Footballguy
Just saw this post. Great list. Totally agree with all of it except Benson. I would never start a GB RB if I didn't have to, just way too risky and the multiple TD upside probably isn't there (imo). I think you nailed the passing game bargains with your list of QB/WR/TE. Seattle vs. Stl could be a high upside D play and is a great call. STL's OTs are terrible and Seattle's DEs look great. I generally like a home team for my D, but that is still a nice bargain at 5k.
Thanks for the feedback!I'm not big on Ced but after seeing Charles torch them last week I think he could go for 100 and a TD.
Bobcat10
Footballguy
Links to a bunch of freerolls from one page.
http://www.reupsports.com/analyses/details/669/NFL-Week-4-Guide-to-Daily-Fantasy-Football
http://www.reupsports.com/analyses/details/669/NFL-Week-4-Guide-to-Daily-Fantasy-Football
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LHUCKS
Footballguy
Up to 100 bucks now after starting with 25...easy money, even with Spiller's injury last week. Do a search on LHUCKS to see my stats.
Here's my early lean for 55K 50/50 leagues
Flacco - lock city
MJD
Leshoure - lock city
Austin -
T. Smith - lock city
Colston -
Pitta - lock city
Graham
Cards D - lock city
I can be swayed on the others.
Here's my early lean for 55K 50/50 leagues
Flacco - lock city
MJD
Leshoure - lock city
Austin -
T. Smith - lock city
Colston -
Pitta - lock city
Graham
Cards D - lock city
I can be swayed on the others.
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Road Warriors
Footballguy
My 60k 1st cut.
Matt Ryan
Doug Martin
Darren McFadden
Percy Harvin
Brandon Lloyd
A.J. Green
Tony Gonzalez
Shayne Graham
Houston Texans
Matt Ryan
Doug Martin
Darren McFadden
Percy Harvin
Brandon Lloyd
A.J. Green
Tony Gonzalez
Shayne Graham
Houston Texans
Kool-Aid Larry
Footballguy
can you enter any of these after thursday's game?
Kool-Aid Larry
Footballguy
I might be using pitta/torrey in my early draftstreet league, but i'm concerned balt will be drubbing cle, and the second half will be all rice.I played both stevie and aj against cle, and while they did ok, it was nothing exceptional.
flacco's a little pricey on ds for my liking.
flacco vs cle last year
10/23 158/0
11/24 132/2
yeah, it's a new year, and all that
what do you think of these cheaper qb options?
ponder @ det - ponder was my sleeper back up qb this year, so I think I'll stick with him -- should be pressure to throw and he adds simpson, but peterson could vulture,
freeman v wash - wash has given up 300/3 every week, and has recently lost carriker and orakpo, not to mention the safety issues, and nickleback, but freeman kind of sux
kolb v mia - mia has a fairly crummy pass d, and should give teh ball back fairly quickly, but kolb kind of sux
think I just talked myself into ponder
