I remember a few years ago I drafted Curtis Martin fairly late as a RB3 and he started off on a tear that year - I was concerned about his age, about him breaking down, about his center (Mawae) being injured, etc. so I decided to sell him high for Ahman Green ... well, Green did junk and Martin wound up winning the rushing title that year (I think he beat Alexander by 1 yard). So ... while it might be tempting to sell someone who you believe to be overperforming, it might be prudent to sit tight and keep playing him hoping that he will keep it up; you will regret it if you trade away someone who winds up becoming a top 5 back ...
Ni.
while i understand your logic, Jordan and Cmart are considerably different running backs in terms of talent and pure ability. Track record alone would tell me not to sell high on Cmart back when you traded him. But look at Jordan's track record - not very impressive. One good year and then has his knee scoped the next year and plays in only 9 games. Well, if you call what he did in those 9 games
playing.
Jordan has way to many negatives that could occur. Bad team, always playing from behind, overweight, bad back, alost 30, knee concern, tough defenses on the horizon, potential for a committee upon Rhodes return (i said potential, not certain) etc....Think of Ben Stillers Computer Risk Program in Along Came Polly....Plug in all of those Cons and Jordan makes for a very risky play.
All that being said, I like Jordan and believe he is a good runner who wants to succeed and leaves it all out on the field. But in the end, this game comes down to numbers and i believe jordans will fall off very soon.
Back in '04 people on these boards were calling for Curtis to fall back to earth every week. I had him that year, the chatter was monstrous, "Don't start him against Baltimore!" everyone said, he put up 124 & 2 TDs. "Miami will shut him down!" they said he lit them up to the tune of 268 yards and 2 TDs in two games. But the naysayers did not stop all year long. Glad I held onto him.Regarding Jordan, the Raiders have been in every game this year, they are not getting blown out, their defense is very solid and will keep them in most games this season. I know about Jordan's back but what's this about a knee problem? Please provide a link to that. His age is irrelevant considering he was not getting starter reps until his 5th season so he is a low mileage back on the right side of 30.
As far as his schedule goes it is not brutal by any stretch, their 2nd game vs the Chargers is in week 17 after most fantasy seasons are over, he gets the Vikings but it's not like they will blow Oakland out with their anemic offense, the Bears are not looking like the Bears right now and the defense is riddled with injuries. Titans, Pack, Colts, Jags? Those are decent defenses but not the "must avoid" types that we have seen over the past few seasons and only the Colts have an offense that could keep Jordan on the sidelines. Then again Jordan has excellent hands out of the backfield. And he isn't overweight, you're just making things up with that one.
Dominic Rhodes will get touches but that doesn't seem to affect guys like Marion Barber, Clinton Portis or even Lendale White this year. Let's see how MJD and Fred Taylor play out this year, but last season was great for both of them. I don't think it has to be a death knell for Jordan in fact I think it could help to keep him upright and producing later in the season. I don't have numbers but I have the impression that Jordan is a much better short yardage back than Rhodes. I know he was very effective in that role earlier in his career, not sure about Rhodes. Oh and Rhodes has not been able to practice with the team for over a month, I would give it until week 7 or 8 before he has a shot at significant carries.
Excellent post Big, and I agree 100%.Yes, the O-line is worlds better than last year. Yes, the moral is a billion times better too. New coaching staff, and optimism is a big thing, but for fantasy football, it all boils down to the numbers. IMO, it will all be speculation until we see how he ranks with other RB's going against the same tough D's.
ETA:I dont think I would have done the trade if I only had FWP and Lamont for RB's because of the safe play of Lamont... And I 'm only telling this to add to the ongoing discussions about both players trade value, not because I want you to care about my team 
