***Official*** 2011 FBG Subscriber Contest Thread (2 Viewers)

[NYRAGE]

156.5 and officially worried. Just Rivers and Floyd left

 

[kardplayer]

Here's player counts. Right now I'm #478 and I have 118.25 + VJax - 9.20 :(Gates 4Gabbert 2Shorts 11Karim 99Jax D 46J Hill 6Scobee 10Floyd 85M Lewis 1MJD 23M Thomas 17Tolbert 39Kaeding 5Crayton 12Rivers 125McMichael 7R Jennings 1Mathews 10Um - Succop?!? <--- attn Kard. 5SD Def 40V Brown 4VJax 145-QG

Thanks QG! Not surprisingly, he didn't move the cutline at all.

 

[kevzilla]

OC>Zach Miller (Sea) showing zero, I have him for 8.3. Probably won't matter to me or anyone else, but you might want to have a look, to make sure no other players are affected. Thanks for all you've done.

Philly and Seattle aren't on site.I'm calculating a cutline... shooting to have it for halftime. Hopefully sooner.

Hey guys, I thought these were pulled in correctly, but it appears it skipped the Philly/Seattle game. I just re-ran it and these stats have been pulled in.

Now the DET/NO players are missing.

 

[kardplayer]

All players were included in the cutline - including the Philly and Seattle guys and the Detroit and New Orleans guys. Ryan Succop was not in the calculations for the documents on Google, but he had only 4 points and didn't move the cutline.

 

[kardplayer]

Projected scoring based on Dodds' early in the week projections. Keep in mind, there are players with zeroes that may play (e.g. Sidney Rice), and of course, to paraphrase Iggy... this assumes everyone scores exactly what the projections say, and that obviously won't happen. Nonetheless, here they are:https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AmSV5aHfLpnkdEhDcHVxWkxuMHVBcFlYeWplTmxBdUE

Hate to say I told me sohttp://forums.footballguys.com/forum/index.php?showtopic=601473&view=findpost&p=13855517

12th place going into MNF

 

[apalmer]

Looks like the High Octane run is over--149 with only Karim and Floyd left. Neither one is likely to outscore my flex. Needed Burleson to stay on his feet after that bomb instead of falling out of bounds.

 

[kevzilla]

OC's cutline about 20 points lower than kardplayer's.

 

[BassNBrew]

Looks like the High Octane run is over--149 with only Karim and Floyd left. Neither one is likely to outscore my flex. Needed Burleson to stay on his feet after that bomb instead of falling out of bounds.

That play probably cost me a shot at advancing.

 

[Bad_Mo]

Looks like the High Octane run is over--149 with only Karim and Floyd left. Neither one is likely to outscore my flex. Needed Burleson to stay on his feet after that bomb instead of falling out of bounds.

I imagine there were many of the 500 teams alive with Burleson swearing at their tvs. Between that play and the PI calls....

 

[LittlePhatty]

Needed Burleson to stay on his feet after that bomb instead of falling out of bounds.

And stop drawing a penalty on every play where a defender is within 10 feet of him.

 

[Bad_Mo]

I need Karim to have a McCluster-like performance tonight. I can't rely on Rivers and Jackson. I also can't stand reading things like this about Vernon Davis (especially when you're one of 2 owners in the top 500)...

"Davis could have had a much bigger afternoon, but let what would have been a 40-yard touchdown clang off his hands in the end zone in the second quarter. Davis was all alone after managing to blow by both Rams safeties. The score would have been his third in four games."

 

[Ignoratio Elenchi]

OC's cutline about 20 points lower than kardplayer's.

Something's definitely up with OC's. Not sure what kardplayer posted but I just ran the numbers this morning and I have the current cutline at 153.45.

 

[apalmer]

OC's cutline about 20 points lower than kardplayer's.

Something's definitely up with OC's. Not sure what kardplayer posted but I just ran the numbers this morning and I have the current cutline at 153.45.

When I checked this morning, OC's calculations didn't have any of the Detroit scores.

 

[QuizGuy66]

My cutline is at 100.59

I think I'm up to stage 3 at this point.

2nd time I've gotten this far and checked out right here in the last 500. Well, unless VJax posts like an 80 tonight

Thanks to the Turk and Footballguys for running the contest, first and foremost. Hopefully he'll be back around this board come next year as I really miss the Turkomatic sims.

Thanks to OC, Kard, Iggy, and all the other people that make this thread fun. I'll still come around here - given the way things have gone with my roster lately I don't think I have to worry about the "if only my team made the last 250 scenario". May have detailed analysis/whining in a later post

Good luck in the final 250 to those who populate the thread!

-QG

 

[Ignoratio Elenchi]

OC's cutline about 20 points lower than kardplayer's.

Something's definitely up with OC's. Not sure what kardplayer posted but I just ran the numbers this morning and I have the current cutline at 153.45.

If everyone scores exactly what Dodds has them projected to score tonight, I have the cut line moving up to 158.I'm torturing myself with my DB here. I've found out that if Rivers scores 40 points, and Malcom Floyd scores 25 points, and everyone else scores what Dodds has them projected to, I will stay alive. Highly unlikely, but not totally outside the realm of possibility, right? Interesting to find that there is a chance, however slim, that I could hang on for the finals.

 

[domvin]

http://ffltools.com/fbg35k/

Included the link so teams can easily find it.

Sitting at 146.7.

Have Tolbert, (-4.1) and VJAX (-10.3)

If its at 153, and maybe goes to 158, I can see myself barely making and also barely mising it.

Either way, I am already looking forward to next year.

Cheers to all those who made this an awesome thread!

 

[QuizGuy66]

OC's cutline about 20 points lower than kardplayer's.

Something's definitely up with OC's. Not sure what kardplayer posted but I just ran the numbers this morning and I have the current cutline at 153.45.

If everyone scores exactly what Dodds has them projected to score tonight, I have the cut line moving up to 158.I'm torturing myself with my DB here. I've found out that if Rivers scores 40 points, and Malcom Floyd scores 25 points, and everyone else scores what Dodds has them projected to, I will stay alive. Highly unlikely, but not totally outside the realm of possibility, right? Interesting to find that there is a chance, however slim, that I could hang on for the finals.

LOL Iggy can you run a sim where VJax gets 70 (all on reverses) and everyone else gets 0 and see if I make it then -QG

 

[24seven]

how about a sim where the impact players score say 20 a piece. How much does cut move??

 

[24seven]

How much does V.jax's 30 move the cut line?

 

[Ignoratio Elenchi]

How much does V.jax's 30 move the cut line?

Vjax Pts	Cutline5	153.6010	154.5015	154.9020	156.5025	158.2530	159.25

 

[Ignoratio Elenchi]

OC's cutline about 20 points lower than kardplayer's.

Something's definitely up with OC's. Not sure what kardplayer posted but I just ran the numbers this morning and I have the current cutline at 153.45.

If everyone scores exactly what Dodds has them projected to score tonight, I have the cut line moving up to 158.I'm torturing myself with my DB here. I've found out that if Rivers scores 40 points, and Malcom Floyd scores 25 points, and everyone else scores what Dodds has them projected to, I will stay alive. Highly unlikely, but not totally outside the realm of possibility, right? Interesting to find that there is a chance, however slim, that I could hang on for the finals.

LOL Iggy can you run a sim where VJax gets 70 (all on reverses) and everyone else gets 0 and see if I make it then -QG

This would move the cutline to 168.70.

 

[24seven]

How much does V.jax's 30 move the cut line?

Vjax Pts	Cutline5	153.6010	154.5015	154.9020	156.5025	158.2530	159.25

IT'S GO TIME

 

[Bad_Mo]

Well, upon further review...even if Rivers and Jackson score 30 points each, my chances of survival are slim. I really need Karim to bust a long TD or vulture MJD's points.

One play, here or there, could've put me in the driver's seat. However, now I'm hitchhiking my way across country.

 

[northwoods]

Just figured out that if I can get 55 combined points from Rivers and V Jax I can break 160 points and probably make the cut. It's happened 3 times already this year out of the 7 times VJax has played a full game or not been on bye, is a 4th time the charm??? Needless to say, I'm a HUGE Chargers fan tonight and would love to see a shoot-out...

 

[I was in the pool]

I am completely shocked that I have made it this far. Horrid RBs all year outside of Shonn Greene's 3 TDs in week 13. Sitting at 172, so it looks like I will make the final 250 playoff push.

Matt Ryan $21 14.95 32.35 22.70 23.15 13.25 20.85 21.10 0.00 30.75 29.45 22.10 31.40

Matthew Stafford $18 32.25 37.80 30.80 22.90 22.05 27.55 15.15 33.45 0.00 18.55 44.95 19.90

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Peyton Hillis $27 11.70 25.70 0.00 9.40 0.00 1.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.10 out?

Shonn Greene $26 3.80 12.50 14.10 2.30 16.20 8.20 12.20 0.00 7.60 8.50 1.90 10.50

Tim Hightower $14 17.20 11.10 16.50 3.30 0.00 0.00 8.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 out? out? out? out?

Jerome Harrison $5 2.70 0.60 1.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Bilal Powell $3 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.30 0.00

LaRod Stephens-Howling $2 1.70 0.00 0.00 1.50 0.50 0.00 14.60 1.70 0.40 4.80 0.40 2.80

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Brandon Lloyd $22 14.90 0.00 7.80 21.60 3.00 0.00 13.40 17.30 13.00 14.80 17.70 18.40

Dez Bryant $21 16.10 0.00 10.30 19.20 0.00 11.80 20.00 5.80 11.60 19.40 15.80 6.50

Mario Manningham $19 8.90 8.60 0.00 2.00 10.60 10.60 0.00 18.30 12.30 19.70 1.40 0.00

Lance Moore $10 0.00 1.60 23.80 10.00 6.00 6.60 7.40 20.40 11.00 3.80 0.00 22.40

Harry Douglas $4 3.00 3.90 8.50 0.00 3.60 7.70 10.20 0.00 0.00 21.60 9.10 12.50

Denarius Moore $3 0.00 28.10 15.70 10.90 0.00 1.60 1.40 0.00 10.10 29.30 2.40 0.00

Roscoe Parrish $2 0.00 2.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 out? out? out? out?

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Jimmy Graham $15 17.60 16.90 22.00 34.20 24.90 22.90 26.40 9.90 16.80 24.70 0.00 27.90

Aaron Hernandez $10 26.80 22.70 0.00 0.00 13.10 24.80 0.00 10.10 15.50 10.10 10.40 15.20

Lance Kendricks $6 3.30 4.10 4.70 9.30 0.00 13.10 0.00 1.70 2.20 0.00 5.10 8.20

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

David Akers $3 16.00 9.00 10.00 7.00 13.00 16.00 0.00 8.00 19.00 18.00 13.00 11.00

Josh Brown $3 9.00 10.00 1.00 5.00 0.00 4.00 1.00 8.00 14.00 8.00 1.00 11.00

Jay Feely $2 4.00 3.00 6.00 9.00 7.00 0.00 2.00 12.00 8.00 3.00 1.00 12.00

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Green Bay Packers $8 11.00 12.00 7.00 15.00 5.00 5.00 6.00 0.00 20.00 11.00 6.00 7.00

Cleveland Browns $3 4.00 6.00 9.00 2.00 0.00 4.00 7.00 1.00 2.00 5.00 1.00 4.00

Carolina Panthers

Very Little room for error if I have any chance to finish in the top half of the final 250.

 

[Bad_Mo]

Just figured out that if I can get 55 combined points from Rivers and V Jax I can break 160 points and probably make the cut. It's happened 3 times already this year out of the 7 times VJax has played a full game or not been on bye, is a 4th time the charm??? Needless to say, I'm a HUGE Chargers fan tonight and would love to see a shoot-out...

I like having guys on both teams, however, my frantic reviews of the personnel on Jax's offense before every snap may give me an ulcer. Can't MJD come down with the flu or something?

 

[Chicago Hooligan]

Still flying...

 

[QuizGuy66]

OC's cutline about 20 points lower than kardplayer's.

Something's definitely up with OC's. Not sure what kardplayer posted but I just ran the numbers this morning and I have the current cutline at 153.45.

If everyone scores exactly what Dodds has them projected to score tonight, I have the cut line moving up to 158.I'm torturing myself with my DB here. I've found out that if Rivers scores 40 points, and Malcom Floyd scores 25 points, and everyone else scores what Dodds has them projected to, I will stay alive. Highly unlikely, but not totally outside the realm of possibility, right? Interesting to find that there is a chance, however slim, that I could hang on for the finals.

LOL Iggy can you run a sim where VJax gets 70 (all on reverses) and everyone else gets 0 and see if I make it then -QG

This would move the cutline to 168.70.

Still gotta chance then -QG

 

[Fullback Fro]

150 - ugh

 

[apalmer]

Just figured out that if I can get 55 combined points from Rivers and V Jax I can break 160 points and probably make the cut. It's happened 3 times already this year out of the 7 times VJax has played a full game or not been on bye, is a 4th time the charm??? Needless to say, I'm a HUGE Chargers fan tonight and would love to see a shoot-out...

I like having guys on both teams, however, my frantic reviews of the personnel on Jax's offense before every snap may give me an ulcer. Can't MJD come down with the flu or something?

I'll chip in on plane fare for any highly contagious carrier we can find to go down and breathe on him.

 

[Bankerguy]

Sad to exit, but I had no chance of winning it all. Good year, I continue to improve year over year and one year will win this thing.

Top 500 is nothing to sneeze at.

Tim Hightower/Felix Jones/Mario Manningham killed me.

GL to all those who are still alive.

 

[blend]

How much does V.jax's 30 move the cut line?

Vjax Pts	Cutline5	153.6010	154.5015	154.9020	156.5025	158.2530	159.25

IT'S GO TIME

Thanks for posting this.. Now I know what to root for. Please let VJax have a big week when I actually need it. I'm at 149 with VJax (-8) still to go.

 

[Cantonese32]

How much does V.jax's 30 move the cut line?

Vjax Pts	Cutline5	153.6010	154.5015	154.9020	156.5025	158.2530	159.25

Thanks for the info. Curious about whether the cutline to VJax's 30 includes the associated River's points? I guess what I'm interested in is the VJax and River's 30 impact on the cutline.

 

[domvin]

Those who needed karim, he is inactive tonight.

 

[kardplayer]

I'll be updating the cutline semi-live again (like last week) - stay tuned if you are on the bubble...

 

[kardplayer]

Mike Tolbert scores... and the line doesn't move - still at 153.45

 

[Balco]

Sitting at 171. If the Charges score, I just hope they spread the wealth. No big games from heavily owned guys.

 

[Balco]

Those who needed karim, he is inactive tonight.

What a waste on my team. And he was a guy I pretty much had on all my rosters I came up with. Him and Taiwan Jones.

 

[Grid71]

Mike Tolbert scores... and the line doesn't move - still at 153.45

Where does the cut line go if Tolbert scroes 20?

 

[kardplayer]

At the end of 1, current cutline is 153.6 - has only moved 0.15 so far

 

[Ever Present Lurker]

Anyone know what happened to the NO/DET scores in the live scoring app?

 

[kardplayer]

Mike Tolbert scores... and the line doesn't move - still at 153.45

Where does the cut line go if Tolbert scroes 20?

Not very far... 154.5

 

[domvin]

Those who needed karim, he is inactive tonight.

What a waste on my team. And he was a guy I pretty much had on all my rosters I came up with. Him and Taiwan Jones.

Laughing. Me too

 

[kardplayer]

Gabbert to MJD. Scobee adds the PAT, and the cutline nudges up to 154.

 

[Grid71]

Mike Tolbert scores... and the line doesn't move - still at 153.45

Where does the cut line go if Tolbert scroes 20?

Not very far... 154.5

Thanks kardplayer.go Tolbert

 

[kardplayer]

MJD has a big catch and run, Cecil Shorts goes in. Scobee adds the PAT... cutline moves to 154.5

 

[aposulli]

Anyone know what happened to the NO/DET scores in the live scoring app?

 

[Ever Present Lurker]

Anyone know what happened to the NO/DET scores in the live scoring app?

It's a conspiracy!!!

 

[kardplayer]

I'll post full team scores on Google Docs at halftime - you just need to know your number to find your team

 

[Balco]

Blaine Gabbert. Why? River to Jackson is just what I didn't need in the last minute.